Bills vs Texans Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Oct 06)

Updated: 2024-09-29T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Buffalo Bills will take on the Houston Texans on October 6, 2024, at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas. The Bills come into this matchup looking to rebound after a tough loss to the Baltimore Ravens, while the Texans aim to build on a close victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars. Both teams stand at 3-1, making this game crucial for positioning within their respective divisions.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Oct 06, 2024

Start Time: 1:00 PM EST​

Venue: NRG Stadium​

Texans Record: (3-1)

Bills Record: (3-1)

OPENING ODDS

BUF Moneyline: -103

HOU Moneyline: -117

BUF Spread: +1

HOU Spread: -1.0

Over/Under: 47

BUF
Betting Trends

  • The Buffalo Bills are 2-1 against the spread (ATS) this season. They have been consistent in covering the spread in their victories, particularly when their offense has managed to score over 30 points.

HOU
Betting Trends

  • The Houston Texans have struggled against the spread, going 0-3 ATS so far. Despite being competitive in most games, they have failed to cover due to late-game collapses and inconsistent defensive play.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Texans are 0-3 ATS at home when playing against AFC East opponents in the past two seasons, making this a difficult spot for them to turn things around, especially against a high-scoring Bills team.

BUF vs. HOU
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Josh Allen Over 20.5 Passing Completions

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Buffalo vs Houston Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 10/6/24

The Buffalo Bills and Houston Texans will face off in a Week 5 showdown at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas. Both teams enter the game with 3-1 records, but they are coming off contrasting performances. The Bills suffered a lopsided 35-10 loss to the Baltimore Ravens, while the Texans pulled off a late-game 24-20 victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars, led by a clutch performance from rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud. Buffalo’s offense, led by Josh Allen, has been one of the most potent in the league, averaging 30.5 points per game. Allen has thrown for 814 yards and 9 touchdowns, with Khalil Shakir and Stefon Diggs being his primary targets.

Their rushing attack, anchored by James Cook, provides a balanced offensive threat. Defensively, the Bills have been up and down, allowing 20.8 points per game, but they have struggled against teams that can establish a strong ground game. Houston, on the other hand, has been carried by the emergence of C.J. Stroud, who has thrown for 1,054 yards and 6 touchdowns. Nico Collins has been his go-to receiver, racking up 489 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns so far. Despite their offensive success, the Texans’ defense has been inconsistent, giving up 23.5 points per game and struggling against power running teams. For Houston to win, they need to control the tempo and limit the number of possessions for Buffalo’s high-octane offense.

Buffalo Bills NFL Preview

The Buffalo Bills come into this game looking to rebound after a disappointing performance against the Baltimore Ravens. Josh Allen has been the engine of the Bills’ offense, accounting for 9 total touchdowns and over 800 passing yards. Buffalo’s offense has been balanced, with James Cook providing a solid presence in the run game, averaging 4.1 yards per carry. Wide receiver Khalil Shakir has stepped up as a reliable target, contributing 230 receiving yards. Defensively, the Bills have been up and down. While they have been stout against the pass, allowing only 165.3 yards per game, they have struggled mightily against the run, giving up 156.5 yards per game on the ground. This could be a concern against a Texans team that may look to establish Joe Mixon early to open up the play-action game for Stroud. Buffalo’s path to victory will involve shutting down Houston’s passing attack and forcing them to be one-dimensional. In summary, this game will likely come down to whether Houston can protect Stroud and generate some semblance of a running game against a shaky Bills run defense. If they can, the Texans might keep it close, but if Buffalo’s offense gets into a rhythm, it could be a long day for the Houston defense.

The Buffalo Bills will take on the Houston Texans on October 6, 2024, at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas. The Bills come into this matchup looking to rebound after a tough loss to the Baltimore Ravens, while the Texans aim to build on a close victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars. Both teams stand at 3-1, making this game crucial for positioning within their respective divisions. Buffalo vs Houston AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Oct 06. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Houston Texans NFL Preview

The Houston Texans have surprised many this season, standing at 3-1 and sitting atop the AFC South. Rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud has been the driving force behind their resurgence, displaying poise and precision well beyond his years. Stroud has already thrown for 1,054 yards and 6 touchdowns, making him one of the top-performing rookies this season. His chemistry with Nico Collins, who has 489 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, has transformed Houston’s offense into a dynamic passing unit. However, the Texans’ ground game, led by Joe Mixon, has been inconsistent, averaging just 106.8 rushing yards per game. Their inability to establish the run has put more pressure on Stroud to carry the offense. Defensively, Houston has been vulnerable against the pass, allowing 161 passing yards per game, and the unit has struggled to generate turnovers. The key for the Texans will be to slow down the game, sustain long drives, and keep Josh Allen off the field.

Buffalo vs. Houston Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Bills and Texans play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at NRG Stadium in Oct seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Josh Allen Over 20.5 Passing Completions

Buffalo vs. Houston Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Bills and Texans and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most watching on the growing weight knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Bills team going up against a possibly tired Texans team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Buffalo vs Houston picks, computer picks Bills vs Texans, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NFL 10/20 HOU@SEA UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 HOU@SEA UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Bills Betting Trends

The Buffalo Bills are 2-1 against the spread (ATS) this season. They have been consistent in covering the spread in their victories, particularly when their offense has managed to score over 30 points.

Texans Betting Trends

The Houston Texans have struggled against the spread, going 0-3 ATS so far. Despite being competitive in most games, they have failed to cover due to late-game collapses and inconsistent defensive play.

Bills vs. Texans Matchup Trends

The Texans are 0-3 ATS at home when playing against AFC East opponents in the past two seasons, making this a difficult spot for them to turn things around, especially against a high-scoring Bills team.

Buffalo vs. Houston Game Info

Buffalo vs Houston starts on October 06, 2024 at 1:00 PM EST.

Spread: Houston -1.0
Moneyline: Buffalo -103, Houston -117
Over/Under: 47

Buffalo: (3-1)  |  Houston: (3-1)

Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Josh Allen Over 20.5 Passing Completions. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Texans are 0-3 ATS at home when playing against AFC East opponents in the past two seasons, making this a difficult spot for them to turn things around, especially against a high-scoring Bills team.

BUF trend: The Buffalo Bills are 2-1 against the spread (ATS) this season. They have been consistent in covering the spread in their victories, particularly when their offense has managed to score over 30 points.

HOU trend: The Houston Texans have struggled against the spread, going 0-3 ATS so far. Despite being competitive in most games, they have failed to cover due to late-game collapses and inconsistent defensive play.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.

Buffalo vs. Houston Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Buffalo vs Houston trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Buffalo vs Houston Opening Odds

BUF Moneyline: -103
HOU Moneyline: -117
BUF Spread: +1
HOU Spread: -1.0
Over/Under: 47

Buffalo vs Houston Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 23, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Chargers
10/23/25 8:15PM
Vikings
Chargers
+142
-165
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
O 45 (-110)
U 45 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
New England Patriots
10/26/25 1PM
Browns
Patriots
+290
-360
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
O 40.5 (-110)
U 40.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Carolina Panthers
10/26/25 1PM
Bills
Panthers
-400
+320
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 45.5 (-110)
U 45.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
10/26/25 1PM
Jets
Bengals
+250
-300
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-115)
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens
10/26/25 1PM
Bears
Ravens
+265
-325
+7 (-120)
-7 (+100)
O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
10/26/25 1PM
Giants
Eagles
+290
-360
+7 (-105)
-7 (-115)
O 43.5 (-115)
U 43.5 (-105)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Houston Texans
10/26/25 1PM
49ers
Texans
-110
-106
-1.5 (-104)
+1.5 (-118)
O 41.5 (-115)
U 41.5 (-105)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
10/26/25 1PM
Dolphins
Falcons
+280
-350
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
10/26/25 4:05PM
Buccaneers
Saints
-220
+184
-4.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-108)
O 47.5 (-105)
U 47.5 (-115)
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
10/26/25 4:25PM
Cowboys
Broncos
+146
-170
+3 (+100)
-3 (-120)
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
10/26/25 4:25PM
Titans
Colts
+750
-1200
+14 (-110)
-14 (-110)
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/26/25 8:20PM
Packers
Steelers
-185
+159
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
O 45 (-113)
U 45 (-107)
Oct 27, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Kansas City Chiefs
10/27/25 8:15PM
Commanders
Chiefs
+465
-630
+10.5 (-115)
-10.5 (-105)
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Buffalo Bills vs. Houston Texans on October 06, 2024 at NRG Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NE@TEN NE -6.5 55.2% 5 WIN
CAR@NYJ CAR -110 57.4 4 WIN
PHI@MIN PHI -130 58.0% 6 WIN
GB@ARI ARI +7 54.8% 5 WIN
NO@CHI NO +4.5 57.4% 7 LOSS
WAS@DAL JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 56.1% 5 WIN
GB@ARI JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 56.6% 6 WIN
PIT@CIN JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
BUF@ATL BUF -3.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
CHI@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 56.6% 6 WIN
TEN@LV UNDER 42 54.8% 3 WIN
DET@KC DET +2.5 55.7% 7 LOSS
SEA@JAC SEA -112 55.7% 5 WIN
LAC@MIA LAC -3.5 54.0% 3 LOSS
ARI@IND IND -8.5 55.6% 5 LOSS
TEN@LV TEN +4.5 56.7% 6 LOSS
LAR@BAL LAR -7 56.2% 6 WIN
SF@TB SF +3.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
CLE@PIT JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 LOSS
DEN@NYJ BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS 55.0% 4 LOSS
KC@JAC UNDER 45.5 54.9% 3 LOSS
KC@JAC PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP 56.6% 6 LOSS
HOU@BAL HOU -125 58.5% 7 WIN
DET@CIN DET -10 55.6% 5 WIN
DAL@NYJ NYJ +1.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
TB@SEA TB +3.5 54.9% 4 WIN
TEN@ARI ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) 54.9% 4 LOSS
DEN@PHI DEN +4.5 57.5% 7 WIN
MIA@CAR TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS 54.5% 4 WIN
LV@IND ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 WIN
SF@LAR DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS 55.7% 5 WIN
NYJ@MIA NYJ +3 53.8 3 LOSS
CIN@DEN DEN -7.5 54.8 4 WIN
NYJ@MIA OVER 44 52.9% 2 WIN
CIN@DEN UNDER 44.5 53.7% 3 WIN
NYJ@MIA GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS 53.7% 3 WIN
CIN@DEN TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS 55.5% 5 LOSS
WAS@ATL ATL -2.5 54.3 4 WIN
BAL@KC BAL -2.5 56.3% 6 LOSS
TEN@HOU TEN +7.5 57.9% 7 LOSS
LAC@NYG LAC -6 57.3% 7 LOSS
NO@BUF UNDER 48.5 55.1% 3 LOSS
GB@DAL JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS 55.5% 5 LOSS
CAR@NE DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 LOSS
SEA@ARI SEA -125 57.7% 6 WIN
SEA@ARI KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 WIN
DET@BAL JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS 55.8% 5 WIN
DAL@CHI DAL -120 58.7% 6 LOSS
PIT@NE PIT -116 60.1% 6 WIN
ATL@CAR ATL -4.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
LV@WAS LV +3 54.3% 4 LOSS