Buccaneers vs Falcons Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Oct 03)
Updated: 2024-09-26T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1) will visit the Atlanta Falcons (2-2) on October 3, 2024, at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The game is crucial for both teams, as it could help solidify their standings in a competitive NFC South division. Tampa Bay enters with momentum after a dominant 33-16 victory over the Philadelphia Eagles, while the Falcons are coming off a narrow 26-24 win over the New Orleans Saints.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Oct 03, 2024
Start Time: 8:15 PM EST
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Falcons Record: (2-2)
Buccaneers Record: (3-1)
OPENING ODDS
TB Moneyline: +106
ATL Moneyline: -125
TB Spread: +1.5
ATL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 43.5
TB
Betting Trends
- The Buccaneers have been strong against the spread this season, covering in three of their four games. With Baker Mayfield’s efficient passing (70% completion rate, 8-2 TD-INT ratio), they are well-positioned to outperform expectations.
ATL
Betting Trends
- The Falcons have struggled against the spread, barely covering in their two wins. Their inconsistency at quarterback and the inability to establish a consistent running game make them a risky bet, particularly against strong defenses.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Tampa Bay has been particularly efficient on the road during Thursday night games, covering the spread in five of their last seven. Short weeks tend to favor disciplined teams, which could give them the edge against an inconsistent Atlanta squad.
TB vs. ATL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Drake London Receiving Targets - Over 8.5
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Tampa Bay vs Atlanta Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 10/3/24
Atlanta’s offensive woes are compounded by an inconsistent run game, where neither Bijan Robinson nor Tyler Allgeier has been able to consistently produce. Despite their challenges, the Falcons managed to scrape by with a close win over the Saints, thanks to a game-winning field goal. This matchup will likely come down to the battle between Tampa Bay’s high-powered passing attack and Atlanta’s bend-but-don’t-break defense. Mike Evans and Chris Godwin present significant matchup problems for Atlanta’s secondary, which has been vulnerable against top-tier receivers. For Atlanta, establishing the run will be key to keeping the Buccaneers’ defense honest and preventing Mayfield from controlling the tempo.
Glad @TristanWirfs78 is on our side 😮💨 pic.twitter.com/M5HSuzezjb
— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@Buccaneers) October 1, 2024
Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Preview
The Buccaneers have exceeded early-season expectations, with Mayfield at the helm showcasing a much more balanced and poised offensive unit. His 347-yard, two-touchdown performance against the Eagles was a statement game, proving that he can win in tough environments. The Bucs have a formidable receiving duo in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, and their offensive line has provided solid protection, giving Mayfield time to exploit mismatches downfield. Defensively, the Buccaneers have been stingy in the red zone, forcing opponents to settle for field goals. While their run defense has had some lapses, allowing 4.3 yards per carry, they have shown the ability to clamp down when it matters most. Against a Falcons team that struggles to sustain long drives, the Buccaneers’ defense will look to create turnovers and capitalize on Atlanta’s mistakes. The key for Tampa Bay will be to start fast and put Atlanta in a position where Cousins has to throw under pressure. Mayfield’s mobility will be a factor, as Atlanta’s pass rush has been inconsistent at best. If the Buccaneers can get out to an early lead, they should be able to control the game and leave Atlanta with a critical road win.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Atlanta Falcons NFL Preview
The Atlanta Falcons are at a crossroads. Despite being 2-2, their victories have been far from convincing, and their offensive performance has been middling. Cousins has only managed a 4-4 touchdown-to-interception ratio, and Bijan Robinson has been held below the NFL average at just 4.1 yards per carry. The key for Atlanta will be to control the clock and keep Mayfield off the field. If the Falcons can get Cousins comfortable early and establish a rhythm with quick, short throws, they may be able to negate Tampa Bay’s defensive strengths. Atlanta’s defense, currently ranked 15th in the league, has held up reasonably well against mediocre offenses but has yet to face a quarterback with Mayfield’s efficiency this season. The Falcons must find a way to pressure Mayfield, who is mobile enough to escape the pocket and extend plays. A strong pass rush could disrupt his timing with Evans and Godwin, and force turnovers, which will be crucial in a game where every possession matters.
18k gold ✨ pic.twitter.com/b1JOOVjY9x
— Atlanta Falcons (@AtlantaFalcons) October 2, 2024
Tampa Bay vs. Atlanta Prop Picks (AI)
Tampa Bay vs. Atlanta Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every facet between the Buccaneers and Falcons and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned factor human bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Buccaneers team going up against a possibly improved Falcons team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Tampa Bay vs Atlanta picks, computer picks Buccaneers vs Falcons, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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| NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Buccaneers Betting Trends
The Buccaneers have been strong against the spread this season, covering in three of their four games. With Baker Mayfield’s efficient passing (70% completion rate, 8-2 TD-INT ratio), they are well-positioned to outperform expectations.
Falcons Betting Trends
The Falcons have struggled against the spread, barely covering in their two wins. Their inconsistency at quarterback and the inability to establish a consistent running game make them a risky bet, particularly against strong defenses.
Buccaneers vs. Falcons Matchup Trends
Tampa Bay has been particularly efficient on the road during Thursday night games, covering the spread in five of their last seven. Short weeks tend to favor disciplined teams, which could give them the edge against an inconsistent Atlanta squad.
Tampa Bay vs. Atlanta Game Info
What time does Tampa Bay vs Atlanta start on October 03, 2024?
Tampa Bay vs Atlanta starts on October 03, 2024 at 8:15 PM EST.
Where is Tampa Bay vs Atlanta being played?
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Tampa Bay vs Atlanta?
Spread: Atlanta -1.5
Moneyline: Tampa Bay +106, Atlanta -125
Over/Under: 43.5
What are the records for Tampa Bay vs Atlanta?
Tampa Bay: (3-1) | Atlanta: (2-2)
What is the AI best bet for Tampa Bay vs Atlanta?
Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Drake London Receiving Targets - Over 8.5. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Tampa Bay vs Atlanta trending bets?
Tampa Bay has been particularly efficient on the road during Thursday night games, covering the spread in five of their last seven. Short weeks tend to favor disciplined teams, which could give them the edge against an inconsistent Atlanta squad.
What are Tampa Bay trending bets?
TB trend: The Buccaneers have been strong against the spread this season, covering in three of their four games. With Baker Mayfield’s efficient passing (70% completion rate, 8-2 TD-INT ratio), they are well-positioned to outperform expectations.
What are Atlanta trending bets?
ATL trend: The Falcons have struggled against the spread, barely covering in their two wins. Their inconsistency at quarterback and the inability to establish a consistent running game make them a risky bet, particularly against strong defenses.
Where can I find AI Picks for Tampa Bay vs Atlanta?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
Tampa Bay vs. Atlanta Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Tampa Bay vs Atlanta trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Tampa Bay vs Atlanta Opening Odds
TB Moneyline:
+106 ATL Moneyline: -125
TB Spread: +1.5
ATL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 43.5
Tampa Bay vs Atlanta Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Oct 23, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Chargers
10/23/25 8:15PM
Vikings
Chargers
|
–
–
|
+148
-185
|
+3 (+100)
-3 (-120)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
New England Patriots
10/26/25 1PM
Browns
Patriots
|
–
–
|
+270
-374
|
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
|
O 40.5 (-110)
U 40.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Carolina Panthers
10/26/25 1PM
Bills
Panthers
|
–
–
|
-463
+321
|
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
|
O 46 (-110)
U 46 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
10/26/25 1PM
Jets
Bengals
|
–
–
|
+242
-330
|
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens
10/26/25 1PM
Bears
Ravens
|
–
–
|
+229
-315
|
+6.5 (+100)
-6.5 (-120)
|
O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
10/26/25 1PM
Giants
Eagles
|
–
–
|
+287
-407
|
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
|
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Houston Texans
10/26/25 1PM
49ers
Texans
|
–
–
|
-110
-116
|
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
|
O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
10/26/25 1PM
Dolphins
Falcons
|
–
–
|
+257
-355
|
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
10/26/25 4:05PM
Buccaneers
Saints
|
–
–
|
-220
+169
|
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
|
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
10/26/25 4:25PM
Cowboys
Broncos
|
–
–
|
+141
-181
|
+3.5 (-120)
-3.5 (+100)
|
O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
10/26/25 4:25PM
Titans
Colts
|
–
–
|
+682
-1442
|
+14 (-110)
-14 (-110)
|
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/26/25 8:20PM
Packers
Steelers
|
–
–
|
-192
+148
|
-3.5 (+100)
+3.5 (-120)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 27, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Kansas City Chiefs
10/27/25 8:15PM
Commanders
Chiefs
|
–
–
|
+390
-599
|
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
|
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons on October 03, 2024 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| NFL |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE@TEN | NE -6.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| CAR@NYJ | CAR -110 | 57.4 | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIN | PHI -130 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | ARI +7 | 54.8% | 5 | WIN |
| NO@CHI | NO +4.5 | 57.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| WAS@DAL | JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PIT@CIN | JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| BUF@ATL | BUF -3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TEN@LV | UNDER 42 | 54.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@KC | DET +2.5 | 55.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| SEA@JAC | SEA -112 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MIA | LAC -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| ARI@IND | IND -8.5 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| TEN@LV | TEN +4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAR@BAL | LAR -7 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@TB | SF +3.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| CLE@PIT | JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@NYJ | BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | UNDER 45.5 | 54.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@BAL | HOU -125 | 58.5% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@CIN | DET -10 | 55.6% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@NYJ | NYJ +1.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| TB@SEA | TB +3.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TEN@ARI | ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@PHI | DEN +4.5 | 57.5% | 7 | WIN |
| MIA@CAR | TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| LV@IND | ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@LAR | DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | NYJ +3 | 53.8 | 3 | LOSS |
| CIN@DEN | DEN -7.5 | 54.8 | 4 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | OVER 44 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
| CIN@DEN | UNDER 44.5 | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| CIN@DEN | TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| WAS@ATL | ATL -2.5 | 54.3 | 4 | WIN |
| BAL@KC | BAL -2.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
| TEN@HOU | TEN +7.5 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
| LAC@NYG | LAC -6 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| NO@BUF | UNDER 48.5 | 55.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| GB@DAL | JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| CAR@NE | DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |