Saints vs Falcons Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Sep 29)

Updated: 2024-09-22T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The New Orleans Saints will face the Atlanta Falcons on September 29, 2024, in a key NFC South matchup. Both teams aim to bounce back from recent losses and solidify their standing within the division, with the Falcons sitting at 1-2 and the Saints at 2-1.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 29, 2024

Start Time: 1:00 PM EST​

Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium​

Falcons Record: (1-2)

Saints Record: (2-1)

OPENING ODDS

NO Moneyline: +109

ATL Moneyline: -129

NO Spread: +1.5

ATL Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 42.5

NO
Betting Trends

  • The Saints have been strong as road underdogs, covering the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. They are also 5-1 SU in their last 6 road games against Atlanta.

ATL
Betting Trends

  • The Falcons have struggled in recent ATS performances, going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. They have also been poor as home favorites in Week 4 matchups, losing 5 of their last 6.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Saints have covered the spread in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs on the East Coast, a trend that could be significant against an inconsistent Falcons squad.

NO vs. ATL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best Prop Bet for this matchup: Chris Olave Over 5.5 Receptions.

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New Orleans vs Atlanta Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/29/24

The Week 4 clash between the New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons is a pivotal NFC South showdown. The Saints, led by Derek Carr, sit at 2-1 after a narrow 15-12 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles. Prior to that, they had dominated the Cowboys and Panthers, scoring a combined 91 points in those two wins. Their defense has been stingy, allowing just 14.7 points per game, and they will look to rebound against a struggling Falcons offense. Atlanta, with a 1-2 record, comes off a disappointing loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. The Falcons’ offense has been inconsistent, averaging just 16.3 points per game, and while Bijan Robinson has shown flashes of brilliance, the ground game has struggled to gain momentum.

Their defense, however, ranks 13th in the league, allowing just over 20 points per game. This matchup will likely come down to whether the Falcons can find a way to jumpstart their offense against a solid Saints defense. New Orleans has historically performed well on the road against Atlanta, winning 5 of their last 6 meetings in Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Saints are listed as slight underdogs, but their recent form suggests they could cover the spread and potentially pull off the victory.

New Orleans Saints NFL Preview

The New Orleans Saints have started the 2024 season strong, sitting at 2-1 after impressive wins against the Panthers and Cowboys. Despite a stumble last week against the Eagles, where they only managed 12 points, the Saints have shown they can score in bunches, averaging 34.3 points in their two wins. Quarterback Derek Carr has been efficient, although his performance against Philadelphia highlighted the need for more consistent offensive production. On the ground, Alvin Kamara has returned to form, amassing 87 rushing yards in their loss to the Eagles. Chris Olave has been a key weapon in the passing game, leading the team with 86 receiving yards in that game. The Saints’ defense, meanwhile, has been exceptional, allowing just 14.7 points per game and holding their last three opponents under 300 passing yards. New Orleans has also been effective in road games, particularly in Atlanta, where they have won 5 of their last 6 contests. Their defense will be looking to stifle a Falcons offense that has been sluggish, and Carr will aim to exploit Atlanta’s secondary. The Saints have been reliable underdogs, covering the spread in 12 of their last 13 games on the East Coast, and their solid defense should keep them in the game, even if the offense continues to have up-and-down performances.

The New Orleans Saints will face the Atlanta Falcons on September 29, 2024, in a key NFC South matchup. Both teams aim to bounce back from recent losses and solidify their standing within the division, with the Falcons sitting at 1-2 and the Saints at 2-1. New Orleans vs Atlanta AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Sep 29. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Atlanta Falcons NFL Preview

The Atlanta Falcons enter this matchup desperate for a turnaround after a 1-2 start to the season. In their last game, they failed to capitalize on an early lead against the Kansas City Chiefs, ultimately losing 23-17. Quarterback Kirk Cousins, who has been serviceable, finished the game with 230 passing yards but failed to spark a consistent offensive rhythm. The Falcons’ ground game, featuring rookie Bijan Robinson, has also underperformed, averaging just 83.7 rushing yards per game. Defensively, Atlanta has been solid, giving up 20.3 points per game and ranking in the top half of the league in most key metrics. Their pass defense, in particular, has been a bright spot, limiting opponents to 205 yards per game. However, injuries to key players like Kaleb McGary on the offensive line and defensive contributors could pose challenges. The Falcons’ recent ATS record at home has not been favorable. They are just 1-6 ATS when playing at home against the Saints in their last seven meetings, and they have historically struggled in Week 4 matchups as favorites. To win, Atlanta will need more production from Robinson and the offense, along with a cleaner game overall, avoiding the costly mistakes that have hampered their early season.

New Orleans vs. Atlanta Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Saints and Falcons play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Sep rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best Prop Bet for this matchup: Chris Olave Over 5.5 Receptions.

New Orleans vs. Atlanta Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Saints and Falcons and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most focused on the growing emphasis emotional bettors often put on New Orleans’s strength factors between a Saints team going up against a possibly rested Falcons team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New Orleans vs Atlanta picks, computer picks Saints vs Falcons, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NFL 10/20 HOU@SEA UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 HOU@SEA UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Saints Betting Trends

The Saints have been strong as road underdogs, covering the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. They are also 5-1 SU in their last 6 road games against Atlanta.

Falcons Betting Trends

The Falcons have struggled in recent ATS performances, going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. They have also been poor as home favorites in Week 4 matchups, losing 5 of their last 6.

Saints vs. Falcons Matchup Trends

The Saints have covered the spread in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs on the East Coast, a trend that could be significant against an inconsistent Falcons squad.

New Orleans vs. Atlanta Game Info

New Orleans vs Atlanta starts on September 29, 2024 at 1:00 PM EST.

Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Spread: Atlanta -1.5
Moneyline: New Orleans +109, Atlanta -129
Over/Under: 42.5

New Orleans: (2-1)  |  Atlanta: (1-2)

Remi's searched hard and found the best Prop Bet for this matchup: Chris Olave Over 5.5 Receptions.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Saints have covered the spread in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs on the East Coast, a trend that could be significant against an inconsistent Falcons squad.

NO trend: The Saints have been strong as road underdogs, covering the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. They are also 5-1 SU in their last 6 road games against Atlanta.

ATL trend: The Falcons have struggled in recent ATS performances, going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. They have also been poor as home favorites in Week 4 matchups, losing 5 of their last 6.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.

New Orleans vs. Atlanta Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the New Orleans vs Atlanta trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

New Orleans vs Atlanta Opening Odds

NO Moneyline: +109
ATL Moneyline: -129
NO Spread: +1.5
ATL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 42.5

New Orleans vs Atlanta Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 23, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Chargers
10/23/25 8:15PM
Vikings
Chargers
+148
-185
+3 (+100)
-3 (-120)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
New England Patriots
10/26/25 1PM
Browns
Patriots
+270
-374
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
O 40.5 (-110)
U 40.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Carolina Panthers
10/26/25 1PM
Bills
Panthers
-463
+321
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 46 (-110)
U 46 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
10/26/25 1PM
Jets
Bengals
+242
-330
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens
10/26/25 1PM
Bears
Ravens
+229
-315
+6.5 (+100)
-6.5 (-120)
O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
10/26/25 1PM
Giants
Eagles
+287
-407
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Houston Texans
10/26/25 1PM
49ers
Texans
-110
-116
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
10/26/25 1PM
Dolphins
Falcons
+257
-355
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
10/26/25 4:05PM
Buccaneers
Saints
-220
+169
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
10/26/25 4:25PM
Cowboys
Broncos
+141
-181
+3.5 (-120)
-3.5 (+100)
O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
10/26/25 4:25PM
Titans
Colts
+682
-1442
+14 (-110)
-14 (-110)
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/26/25 8:20PM
Packers
Steelers
-192
+148
-3.5 (+100)
+3.5 (-120)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Oct 27, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Kansas City Chiefs
10/27/25 8:15PM
Commanders
Chiefs
+390
-599
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons on September 29, 2024 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NE@TEN NE -6.5 55.2% 5 WIN
CAR@NYJ CAR -110 57.4 4 WIN
PHI@MIN PHI -130 58.0% 6 WIN
GB@ARI ARI +7 54.8% 5 WIN
NO@CHI NO +4.5 57.4% 7 LOSS
WAS@DAL JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 56.1% 5 WIN
GB@ARI JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 56.6% 6 WIN
PIT@CIN JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
BUF@ATL BUF -3.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
CHI@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 56.6% 6 WIN
TEN@LV UNDER 42 54.8% 3 WIN
DET@KC DET +2.5 55.7% 7 LOSS
SEA@JAC SEA -112 55.7% 5 WIN
LAC@MIA LAC -3.5 54.0% 3 LOSS
ARI@IND IND -8.5 55.6% 5 LOSS
TEN@LV TEN +4.5 56.7% 6 LOSS
LAR@BAL LAR -7 56.2% 6 WIN
SF@TB SF +3.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
CLE@PIT JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 LOSS
DEN@NYJ BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS 55.0% 4 LOSS
KC@JAC UNDER 45.5 54.9% 3 LOSS
KC@JAC PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP 56.6% 6 LOSS
HOU@BAL HOU -125 58.5% 7 WIN
DET@CIN DET -10 55.6% 5 WIN
DAL@NYJ NYJ +1.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
TB@SEA TB +3.5 54.9% 4 WIN
TEN@ARI ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) 54.9% 4 LOSS
DEN@PHI DEN +4.5 57.5% 7 WIN
MIA@CAR TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS 54.5% 4 WIN
LV@IND ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 WIN
SF@LAR DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS 55.7% 5 WIN
NYJ@MIA NYJ +3 53.8 3 LOSS
CIN@DEN DEN -7.5 54.8 4 WIN
NYJ@MIA OVER 44 52.9% 2 WIN
CIN@DEN UNDER 44.5 53.7% 3 WIN
NYJ@MIA GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS 53.7% 3 WIN
CIN@DEN TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS 55.5% 5 LOSS
WAS@ATL ATL -2.5 54.3 4 WIN
BAL@KC BAL -2.5 56.3% 6 LOSS
TEN@HOU TEN +7.5 57.9% 7 LOSS
LAC@NYG LAC -6 57.3% 7 LOSS
NO@BUF UNDER 48.5 55.1% 3 LOSS
GB@DAL JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS 55.5% 5 LOSS
CAR@NE DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 LOSS
SEA@ARI SEA -125 57.7% 6 WIN
SEA@ARI KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 WIN
DET@BAL JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS 55.8% 5 WIN
DAL@CHI DAL -120 58.7% 6 LOSS
PIT@NE PIT -116 60.1% 6 WIN
ATL@CAR ATL -4.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
LV@WAS LV +3 54.3% 4 LOSS