Saints vs. Falcons
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 29 | NFL AI Picks
Updated: 2024-09-22T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The New Orleans Saints will face the Atlanta Falcons on September 29, 2024, in a key NFC South matchup. Both teams aim to bounce back from recent losses and solidify their standing within the division, with the Falcons sitting at 1-2 and the Saints at 2-1.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Sep 29, 2024
Start Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Falcons Record: (1-2)
Saints Record: (2-1)
OPENING ODDS
NO Moneyline: +109
ATL Moneyline: -129
NO Spread: +1.5
ATL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 42.5
NO
Betting Trends
- The Saints have been strong as road underdogs, covering the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. They are also 5-1 SU in their last 6 road games against Atlanta.
ATL
Betting Trends
- The Falcons have struggled in recent ATS performances, going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. They have also been poor as home favorites in Week 4 matchups, losing 5 of their last 6.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Saints have covered the spread in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs on the East Coast, a trend that could be significant against an inconsistent Falcons squad.
NO vs. ATL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best Prop Bet for this matchup: Chris Olave Over 5.5 Receptions.
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New Orleans vs Atlanta Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/29/24
Their defense, however, ranks 13th in the league, allowing just over 20 points per game. This matchup will likely come down to whether the Falcons can find a way to jumpstart their offense against a solid Saints defense. New Orleans has historically performed well on the road against Atlanta, winning 5 of their last 6 meetings in Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Saints are listed as slight underdogs, but their recent form suggests they could cover the spread and potentially pull off the victory.
Brees and Ingram led the pregame chant 🗣️#Saints pic.twitter.com/qIRff2XSFO
— New Orleans Saints (@Saints) September 22, 2024
New Orleans Saints NFL Preview
The New Orleans Saints have started the 2024 season strong, sitting at 2-1 after impressive wins against the Panthers and Cowboys. Despite a stumble last week against the Eagles, where they only managed 12 points, the Saints have shown they can score in bunches, averaging 34.3 points in their two wins. Quarterback Derek Carr has been efficient, although his performance against Philadelphia highlighted the need for more consistent offensive production. On the ground, Alvin Kamara has returned to form, amassing 87 rushing yards in their loss to the Eagles. Chris Olave has been a key weapon in the passing game, leading the team with 86 receiving yards in that game. The Saints’ defense, meanwhile, has been exceptional, allowing just 14.7 points per game and holding their last three opponents under 300 passing yards. New Orleans has also been effective in road games, particularly in Atlanta, where they have won 5 of their last 6 contests. Their defense will be looking to stifle a Falcons offense that has been sluggish, and Carr will aim to exploit Atlanta’s secondary. The Saints have been reliable underdogs, covering the spread in 12 of their last 13 games on the East Coast, and their solid defense should keep them in the game, even if the offense continues to have up-and-down performances.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Atlanta Falcons NFL Preview
The Atlanta Falcons enter this matchup desperate for a turnaround after a 1-2 start to the season. In their last game, they failed to capitalize on an early lead against the Kansas City Chiefs, ultimately losing 23-17. Quarterback Kirk Cousins, who has been serviceable, finished the game with 230 passing yards but failed to spark a consistent offensive rhythm. The Falcons’ ground game, featuring rookie Bijan Robinson, has also underperformed, averaging just 83.7 rushing yards per game. Defensively, Atlanta has been solid, giving up 20.3 points per game and ranking in the top half of the league in most key metrics. Their pass defense, in particular, has been a bright spot, limiting opponents to 205 yards per game. However, injuries to key players like Kaleb McGary on the offensive line and defensive contributors could pose challenges. The Falcons’ recent ATS record at home has not been favorable. They are just 1-6 ATS when playing at home against the Saints in their last seven meetings, and they have historically struggled in Week 4 matchups as favorites. To win, Atlanta will need more production from Robinson and the offense, along with a cleaner game overall, avoiding the costly mistakes that have hampered their early season.
KP for 50 😤@kylepitts__ pic.twitter.com/H8Gzdla5mI
— Atlanta Falcons (@AtlantaFalcons) September 24, 2024
New Orleans vs. Atlanta Prop Picks (AI)
New Orleans vs. Atlanta Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Saints and Falcons and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most focused on the growing emphasis human bettors regularly put on New Orleans’s strength factors between a Saints team going up against a possibly rested Falcons team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI New Orleans vs Atlanta picks, computer picks Saints vs Falcons, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Saints Betting Trends
The Saints have been strong as road underdogs, covering the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. They are also 5-1 SU in their last 6 road games against Atlanta.
Falcons Betting Trends
The Falcons have struggled in recent ATS performances, going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. They have also been poor as home favorites in Week 4 matchups, losing 5 of their last 6.
Saints vs. Falcons Matchup Trends
The Saints have covered the spread in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs on the East Coast, a trend that could be significant against an inconsistent Falcons squad.
New Orleans vs. Atlanta Game Info
What time does New Orleans vs Atlanta start on September 29, 2024?
New Orleans vs Atlanta starts on September 29, 2024 at 1:00 PM EST.
Where is New Orleans vs Atlanta being played?
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
What are the opening odds for New Orleans vs Atlanta?
Spread: Atlanta -1.5
Moneyline: New Orleans +109, Atlanta -129
Over/Under: 42.5
What are the records for New Orleans vs Atlanta?
New Orleans: (2-1) | Atlanta: (1-2)
What is the AI best bet for New Orleans vs Atlanta?
Remi's searched hard and found the best Prop Bet for this matchup: Chris Olave Over 5.5 Receptions.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are New Orleans vs Atlanta trending bets?
The Saints have covered the spread in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs on the East Coast, a trend that could be significant against an inconsistent Falcons squad.
What are New Orleans trending bets?
NO trend: The Saints have been strong as road underdogs, covering the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. They are also 5-1 SU in their last 6 road games against Atlanta.
What are Atlanta trending bets?
ATL trend: The Falcons have struggled in recent ATS performances, going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. They have also been poor as home favorites in Week 4 matchups, losing 5 of their last 6.
Where can I find AI Picks for New Orleans vs Atlanta?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
New Orleans vs. Atlanta Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the New Orleans vs Atlanta trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
New Orleans vs Atlanta Opening Odds
NO Moneyline:
+109 ATL Moneyline: -129
NO Spread: +1.5
ATL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 42.5
New Orleans vs Atlanta Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Sep 28, 2025 9:31AM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Pittsburgh Steelers
9/28/25 9:31AM
Vikings
Steelers
|
–
–
|
-140
+118
|
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
|
O 41 (-110)
U 41 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
Detroit Lions
9/28/25 1PM
Browns
Lions
|
–
–
|
+400
-590
|
+10 (-107)
-10 (-112)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Chargers
New York Giants
9/28/25 1PM
Chargers
Giants
|
–
–
|
-305
+240
|
-6.5 (-105)
+6.5 (-115)
|
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
9/28/25 1:01PM
Titans
Texans
|
–
–
|
+295
-400
|
+7 (-108)
-7 (-112)
|
O 39.5 (-106)
U 39.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Philadelphia Eagles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9/28/25 1:01PM
Eagles
Buccaneers
|
–
–
|
-195
+162
|
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
|
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Atlanta Falcons
9/28/25 1:01PM
Commanders
Falcons
|
–
–
|
+110
-136
|
+2 (-108)
-2 (-112)
|
O 43.5 (-107)
U 43.5 (-112)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
New Orleans Saints
Buffalo Bills
9/28/25 1:01PM
Saints
Bills
|
–
–
|
+800
-1700
|
+14.5 (-107)
-14.5 (-114)
|
O 48 (-113)
U 48 (-108)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Carolina Panthers
New England Patriots
9/28/25 1:01PM
Panthers
Patriots
|
–
–
|
+195
-245
|
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-109)
|
O 43 (-114)
U 43 (-108)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Jacksonville Jaguars
San Francisco 49ers
9/28/25 4:06PM
Jaguars
49ers
|
–
–
|
+150
-190
|
+3.5 (-120)
-3.5 (+100)
|
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-112)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Indianapolis Colts
Los Angeles Rams
9/28/25 4:06PM
Colts
Rams
|
–
–
|
+158
-190
|
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
|
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Baltimore Ravens
Kansas City Chiefs
9/28/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Chiefs
|
–
–
|
-145
+122
|
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
|
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 4:26PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Las Vegas Raiders
9/28/25 4:26PM
Bears
Raiders
|
–
–
|
+100
-125
|
+1.5 (-108)
-1.5 (-112)
|
O 48 (-113)
U 48 (-108)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 8:21PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Dallas Cowboys
9/28/25 8:21PM
Packers
Cowboys
|
–
–
|
-355
+278
|
-6.5 (-115)
+6.5 (-105)
|
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 29, 2025 7:15PM EDT
New York Jets
Miami Dolphins
9/29/25 7:15PM
Jets
Dolphins
|
–
–
|
+125
-154
|
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
|
O 44.5 (-113)
U 44.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Sep 29, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
9/29/25 8:15PM
Bengals
Broncos
|
–
–
|
+345
-455
|
+7.5 (-105)
-7.5 (-115)
|
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 2, 2025 8:16PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
10/2/25 8:16PM
49ers
Rams
|
–
–
|
+134
-158
|
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
|
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
|
NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons on September 29, 2024 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| NFL |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| GB@CLE | GB -7 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| ARI@SF | ARI +3 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| KC@NYG | PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| GB@CLE | JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIA@BUF | TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@LV | LAC -3 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TB@HOU | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| CHI@DET | DET -6.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| DEN@IND | DEN -118 | 60.1% | 10 | LOSS |
| PHI@KC | PHI -115 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@NO | SF -3 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
| SEA@PIT | OVER 40 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@ARI | BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| DEN@IND | JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| ATL@MIN | BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
| WAS@GB | WAS +3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| WAS@GB | JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@CHI | CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| TEN@DEN | DEN -8.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| SF@SEA | SF -115 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@SEA | KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@JAC | TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| KC@LAC | JUSTIN HERBERT UNDER 0.5 INT | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
| DAL@PHI | GEORGE PICKENS LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 22.5 YDS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@PHI | JUJU SMITH-SCHUSTER UNDER 16.5 RECV YDS | 53.90% | 5 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 20.5 YDS | 54.40% | 6 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 68.3% PASS COMP | 55.00% | 8 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | JALEN HURTS LONGEST RUSH OVER 12.5 YDS | 55.60% | 8 | WIN |
| BUF@KC | DALTON KINCAID OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.10% | 8 | LOSS |
| WAS@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS | 55.80% | 8 | WIN |
| BUF@KC | JAMES COOK ANYTIME TD | 53.00% | 5 | WIN |
| LAR@PHI | SAQUON BARKLEY UNDER 128 RUSH + REC YDS | 53.20% | 5 | LOSS |
| BAL@BUF | LAMAR JACKSON OVER 54.5 RUSH YDS | 54.50% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@KC | C.J. STROUD RUSH YDS UNDER 14.5 | 53.10% | 5 | LOSS |
| WAS@DET | JAMESON WILLIAMS RUSH YDS OVER 1.5 | 53.30% | 5 | WIN |
| WAS@DET | JARED GOFF PASS COMP % UNDER 72.3 | 54.30% | 6 | WIN |
| MIN@LAR | COOPER KUPP ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN | 52.60% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@LAR | MATTHEW STAFFORD OVER 21.5 PASS COMP | 54.10% | 6 | LOSS |
| WAS@TB | BRIAN ROBINSON JR OVER 1.5 REC TARGETS | 53.50% | 5 | WIN |
| WAS@TB | BAKER MAYFIELD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT | 54.90% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@PHI | JALEN HURTS OVER 67.1 PASS COMP PERCENTAGE | 54.60% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@HOU | J.K. DOBBINS ANYTIME TD | 52.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@HOU | LAC -2.5 | 53.40% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@HOU | JUSTIN HERBERT OVER 19.5 RUSH YDS | 53.40% | 5 | LOSS |