Saints vs Falcons Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Sep 29)

Updated: 2024-09-22T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The New Orleans Saints will face the Atlanta Falcons on September 29, 2024, in a key NFC South matchup. Both teams aim to bounce back from recent losses and solidify their standing within the division, with the Falcons sitting at 1-2 and the Saints at 2-1.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 29, 2024

Start Time: 1:00 PM EST​

Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium​

Falcons Record: (1-2)

Saints Record: (2-1)

OPENING ODDS

NO Moneyline: +109

ATL Moneyline: -129

NO Spread: +1.5

ATL Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 42.5

NO
Betting Trends

  • The Saints have been strong as road underdogs, covering the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. They are also 5-1 SU in their last 6 road games against Atlanta.

ATL
Betting Trends

  • The Falcons have struggled in recent ATS performances, going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. They have also been poor as home favorites in Week 4 matchups, losing 5 of their last 6.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Saints have covered the spread in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs on the East Coast, a trend that could be significant against an inconsistent Falcons squad.

NO vs. ATL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best Prop Bet for this matchup: Chris Olave Over 5.5 Receptions.

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New Orleans vs Atlanta Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/29/24

The Week 4 clash between the New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons is a pivotal NFC South showdown. The Saints, led by Derek Carr, sit at 2-1 after a narrow 15-12 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles. Prior to that, they had dominated the Cowboys and Panthers, scoring a combined 91 points in those two wins. Their defense has been stingy, allowing just 14.7 points per game, and they will look to rebound against a struggling Falcons offense. Atlanta, with a 1-2 record, comes off a disappointing loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. The Falcons’ offense has been inconsistent, averaging just 16.3 points per game, and while Bijan Robinson has shown flashes of brilliance, the ground game has struggled to gain momentum.

Their defense, however, ranks 13th in the league, allowing just over 20 points per game. This matchup will likely come down to whether the Falcons can find a way to jumpstart their offense against a solid Saints defense. New Orleans has historically performed well on the road against Atlanta, winning 5 of their last 6 meetings in Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Saints are listed as slight underdogs, but their recent form suggests they could cover the spread and potentially pull off the victory.

New Orleans Saints NFL Preview

The New Orleans Saints have started the 2024 season strong, sitting at 2-1 after impressive wins against the Panthers and Cowboys. Despite a stumble last week against the Eagles, where they only managed 12 points, the Saints have shown they can score in bunches, averaging 34.3 points in their two wins. Quarterback Derek Carr has been efficient, although his performance against Philadelphia highlighted the need for more consistent offensive production. On the ground, Alvin Kamara has returned to form, amassing 87 rushing yards in their loss to the Eagles. Chris Olave has been a key weapon in the passing game, leading the team with 86 receiving yards in that game. The Saints’ defense, meanwhile, has been exceptional, allowing just 14.7 points per game and holding their last three opponents under 300 passing yards. New Orleans has also been effective in road games, particularly in Atlanta, where they have won 5 of their last 6 contests. Their defense will be looking to stifle a Falcons offense that has been sluggish, and Carr will aim to exploit Atlanta’s secondary. The Saints have been reliable underdogs, covering the spread in 12 of their last 13 games on the East Coast, and their solid defense should keep them in the game, even if the offense continues to have up-and-down performances.

The New Orleans Saints will face the Atlanta Falcons on September 29, 2024, in a key NFC South matchup. Both teams aim to bounce back from recent losses and solidify their standing within the division, with the Falcons sitting at 1-2 and the Saints at 2-1. New Orleans vs Atlanta AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Sep 29. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Atlanta Falcons NFL Preview

The Atlanta Falcons enter this matchup desperate for a turnaround after a 1-2 start to the season. In their last game, they failed to capitalize on an early lead against the Kansas City Chiefs, ultimately losing 23-17. Quarterback Kirk Cousins, who has been serviceable, finished the game with 230 passing yards but failed to spark a consistent offensive rhythm. The Falcons’ ground game, featuring rookie Bijan Robinson, has also underperformed, averaging just 83.7 rushing yards per game. Defensively, Atlanta has been solid, giving up 20.3 points per game and ranking in the top half of the league in most key metrics. Their pass defense, in particular, has been a bright spot, limiting opponents to 205 yards per game. However, injuries to key players like Kaleb McGary on the offensive line and defensive contributors could pose challenges. The Falcons’ recent ATS record at home has not been favorable. They are just 1-6 ATS when playing at home against the Saints in their last seven meetings, and they have historically struggled in Week 4 matchups as favorites. To win, Atlanta will need more production from Robinson and the offense, along with a cleaner game overall, avoiding the costly mistakes that have hampered their early season.

New Orleans vs. Atlanta Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Saints and Falcons play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Sep can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best Prop Bet for this matchup: Chris Olave Over 5.5 Receptions.

New Orleans vs. Atlanta Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Saints and Falcons and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the growing weight knucklehead sportsbettors often put on player performance factors between a Saints team going up against a possibly healthy Falcons team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New Orleans vs Atlanta picks, computer picks Saints vs Falcons, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Saints Betting Trends

The Saints have been strong as road underdogs, covering the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. They are also 5-1 SU in their last 6 road games against Atlanta.

Falcons Betting Trends

The Falcons have struggled in recent ATS performances, going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. They have also been poor as home favorites in Week 4 matchups, losing 5 of their last 6.

Saints vs. Falcons Matchup Trends

The Saints have covered the spread in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs on the East Coast, a trend that could be significant against an inconsistent Falcons squad.

New Orleans vs. Atlanta Game Info

New Orleans vs Atlanta starts on September 29, 2024 at 1:00 PM EST.

Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Spread: Atlanta -1.5
Moneyline: New Orleans +109, Atlanta -129
Over/Under: 42.5

New Orleans: (2-1)  |  Atlanta: (1-2)

Remi's searched hard and found the best Prop Bet for this matchup: Chris Olave Over 5.5 Receptions.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Saints have covered the spread in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs on the East Coast, a trend that could be significant against an inconsistent Falcons squad.

NO trend: The Saints have been strong as road underdogs, covering the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. They are also 5-1 SU in their last 6 road games against Atlanta.

ATL trend: The Falcons have struggled in recent ATS performances, going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. They have also been poor as home favorites in Week 4 matchups, losing 5 of their last 6.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.

New Orleans vs. Atlanta Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the New Orleans vs Atlanta trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

New Orleans vs Atlanta Opening Odds

NO Moneyline: +109
ATL Moneyline: -129
NO Spread: +1.5
ATL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 42.5

New Orleans vs Atlanta Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 10, 2025 8:15PM EST
Philadelphia Eagles
Green Bay Packers
11/10/25 8:15PM
Eagles
Packers
-105
-115
-1 (-110)
+1 (-110)
O 45 (-110)
U 45 (-110)
Nov 13, 2025 8:15PM EST
New York Jets
New England Patriots
11/13/25 8:15PM
Jets
Patriots
+550
-850
+12 (-110)
-12 (-110)
O 43 (-115)
U 43 (-105)
Nov 16, 2025 9:30AM EST
Washington Commanders
Miami Dolphins
11/16/25 9:30AM
Commanders
Dolphins
+130
-150
+2.5 (+100)
-2.5 (-120)
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
11/16/25 1PM
Panthers
Falcons
+165
-195
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
O 42.5 (-110)
U 42.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
11/16/25 1PM
Bears
Vikings
+140
-165
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Los Angeles Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars
11/16/25 1PM
Chargers
Jaguars
-150
+130
-3 (+100)
+3 (-120)
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Green Bay Packers
New York Giants
11/16/25 1PM
Packers
Giants
-460
+360
-7.5 (-120)
+7.5 (-102)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
11/16/25 1PM
Bengals
Steelers
+205
-245
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buffalo Bills
11/16/25 1PM
Buccaneers
Bills
+225
-275
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
11/16/25 1PM
Texans
Titans
-370
+285
-7 (-110)
+7 (-110)
O 39.5 (-105)
U 39.5 (-115)
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
11/16/25 4:05PM
49ers
Cardinals
-150
+130
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (+100)
O 49 (-115)
U 49 (-105)
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
11/16/25 4:05PM
Seahawks
Rams
+130
-150
+2.5 (+100)
-2.5 (-120)
O 48 (-115)
U 48 (-105)
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
11/16/25 4:25PM
Chiefs
Broncos
-210
+175
-4 (-110)
+4 (-110)
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
11/16/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Browns
-470
+345
-8 (-110)
+8 (-110)
O 41.5 (-115)
U 41.5 (-105)
Nov 16, 2025 8:20PM EST
Detroit Lions
Philadelphia Eagles
11/16/25 8:20PM
Lions
Eagles
+104
-122
+1.5 (-112)
-1.5 (-108)
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
Nov 17, 2025 8:15PM EST
Dallas Cowboys
Las Vegas Raiders
11/17/25 8:15PM
Cowboys
Raiders
-185
+160
-3.5 (+100)
+3.5 (-120)
O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons on September 29, 2024 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
LV@DEN RILEY MOSS OVER 4.5 TACKLE + ASST 54.8% 4 WIN
LV@DEN UNDER 43 53.4% 2 WIN
ARI@DAL BUDDA BAKER OVER 7.5 TACKLES + ASSTS 54.4% 4 WIN
ARI@DAL GEORGE PICKENS OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS 56.6% 6 WIN
DEN@HOU WIL LUTZ OVER 1.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 54.2% 3 LOSS
SEA@WAS SEA -3 56.7% 6 WIN
IND@PIT IND -3 56.8% 6 LOSS
LAC@TEN LAC -9.5 56.2% 6 LOSS
CHI@CIN CHI -2.5 52.6% 2 WIN
SEA@WAS OVER 48 52.9% 2 WIN
SEA@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 20.5 PASS COMP 56.7% 6 LOSS
JAC@LV JAC -140 64.2% 7 WIN
NO@LAR LAR -14 55.0% 4 WIN
DEN@HOU HOU -1.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
CAR@GB GB -12.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
SF@NYG NYG +2.5 56.1% 5 LOSS
BAL@MIA TUA TAGOVAILOA UNDER 0.5 INT 55.3% 5 LOSS
TB@NO TB -3.5 52.3% 1 WIN
GB@PIT GB -2.5 52.3% 1 WIN
SF@HOU SF +2.5 56.0% 6 LOSS
NYG@PHI NYG +7.5 53.9% 3 LOSS
BUF@CAR CAR +7.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
DAL@DEN DAL +3.5 55.0% 4 LOSS
MIA@ATL MIA +7 54.3% 4 WIN
CLE@NE CLE +7 56.8% 6 LOSS
TB@NO BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 15.5 RUSH YDS 56.6% 6 LOSS
MIN@LAC JUSTIN HERBERT PASS ATT UNDER 35.5 55.5% 5 WIN
TB@DET TB +6.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
TB@DET RACHAAD WHITE UNDER 14.5 RUSH ATT 54.4% 4 WIN
NE@TEN NE -6.5 55.2% 5 WIN
CAR@NYJ CAR -110 57.4 4 WIN
PHI@MIN PHI -130 58.0% 6 WIN
GB@ARI ARI +7 54.8% 5 WIN
NO@CHI NO +4.5 57.4% 7 LOSS
WAS@DAL JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 56.1% 5 WIN
GB@ARI JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 56.6% 6 WIN
PIT@CIN JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
BUF@ATL BUF -3.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
CHI@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 56.6% 6 WIN
TEN@LV UNDER 42 54.8% 3 WIN
DET@KC DET +2.5 55.7% 7 LOSS
SEA@JAC SEA -112 55.7% 5 WIN
LAC@MIA LAC -3.5 54.0% 3 LOSS
ARI@IND IND -8.5 55.6% 5 LOSS
TEN@LV TEN +4.5 56.7% 6 LOSS
LAR@BAL LAR -7 56.2% 6 WIN
SF@TB SF +3.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
CLE@PIT JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 LOSS
DEN@NYJ BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS 55.0% 4 LOSS
KC@JAC UNDER 45.5 54.9% 3 LOSS
KC@JAC PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP 56.6% 6 LOSS