Patriots vs 49ers Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Sep 29)
Updated: 2024-09-22T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The New England Patriots travel to face the San Francisco 49ers on September 29, 2024, at Levi’s Stadium. Both teams enter the matchup with 1-2 records and are in desperate need of a win to avoid falling further in their respective divisions.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Sep 29, 2024
Start Time: 4:05 PM EST
Venue: Levi's Stadium
49ers Record: (1-2)
Patriots Record: (1-2)
OPENING ODDS
NE Moneyline: +400
SF Moneyline: -543
NE Spread: +10
SF Spread: -10.0
Over/Under: 39.5
NE
Betting Trends
- The Patriots have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, going 1-2 overall. They are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games, though they’ve lost six consecutive games against NFC opponents.
SF
Betting Trends
- The 49ers are 1-2 ATS this season, and they’ve gone 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games, reflecting some inconsistency in covering spreads, especially at Levi’s Stadium.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their last six matchups, the UNDER has hit in five of those games between the Patriots and 49ers, suggesting a trend of lower-scoring affairs when these teams meet.
NE vs. SF
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best Prop Bet for this matchup :Brandon Aiyuk Anytime Touchdown.
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New England vs San Francisco Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/29/24
The Patriots’ offense has been one of the worst in the league, averaging just 13 points per game. Quarterback Jacoby Brissett has struggled behind an underperforming offensive line, and their run game, featuring Rhamondre Stevenson and Antonio Gibson, has failed to get off the ground. New England’s defense, however, remains solid, allowing just 19 points per game. They will need to find a way to contain the 49ers’ balanced attack, especially if they hope to turn their season around. San Francisco, led by Brock Purdy, has been efficient offensively, averaging 24.3 points per game. However, injuries to key players like Christian McCaffrey and George Kittle have hindered their production. Despite the injuries, Jordan Mason has filled in admirably at running back, and the 49ers will look to exploit the Patriots’ vulnerable offensive line with their star pass rusher, Nick Bosa. The 49ers enter as 10-point favorites, and this game could come down to how well their defense handles the Patriots’ struggling offense. Given New England’s difficulties moving the ball and San Francisco’s potent offense, the 49ers will be looking to secure a much-needed home win.
Join us at home for a match with Miami.
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) September 24, 2024
Enter for the chance to win tickets to Week 5 at @GilletteStadium: https://t.co/y47HztHQb6 pic.twitter.com/evo1LaHN8K
New England Patriots NFL Preview
The New England Patriots are coming off a demoralizing 24-3 loss to the Jets, and they’ll need to quickly fix their offensive woes to avoid falling further in the standings. Jacoby Brissett has struggled under center, completing just 12 of 18 passes for 98 yards in their last outing. The running game, featuring Rhamondre Stevenson, has been underwhelming, and the Patriots’ offensive line has been unable to protect Brissett or open lanes for the rushing attack. Defensively, New England continues to be a bright spot. They rank 10th in points allowed per game, giving up just 19 points per contest. However, the unit will face a tough challenge against a balanced 49ers offense led by Brock Purdy. The Patriots’ secondary will need to limit the deep passes to Jauan Jennings, while their front seven will be tasked with slowing down Jordan Mason on the ground. For the Patriots to stand a chance, they’ll need a much-improved performance from their offense. They have to establish the run early and keep the 49ers’ defense on their heels. If New England can avoid turnovers and control time of possession, they might be able to keep this game closer than expected.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
San Francisco 49ers NFL Preview
The San Francisco 49ers enter this game eager to bounce back from a narrow loss to the Rams, which saw them lose a 4th-quarter lead. Brock Purdy has been solid this season, throwing for 842 yards and four touchdowns, but the injuries to key players like Christian McCaffrey and George Kittle have impacted the offense’s ability to close out games. Running back Jordan Mason has stepped in well, rushing for 324 yards, and wide receiver Jauan Jennings has become a reliable target in the passing game. Defensively, the 49ers’ front seven remains one of the strongest in the league, led by Nick Bosa and Fred Warner. They have allowed 104 rushing yards per game, and Bosa will look to disrupt Brissett behind the Patriots’ struggling offensive line. With the Patriots’ offense ranking near the bottom of the league, the 49ers’ defense will aim to dominate the line of scrimmage and force turnovers. At home, the 49ers will be looking to improve their 1-1 record and avoid falling to 1-3, especially in a competitive NFC West division. Their ability to pressure Brissett and control the clock with their ground game will be key to securing a win.
For the culture ❤️
— San Francisco 49ers (@49ers) September 18, 2024
¡Somos Los 49ers y somos fiel a la cultura! pic.twitter.com/J6dWIXbip5
New England vs. San Francisco Prop Picks (AI)
New England vs. San Francisco Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Patriots and 49ers and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most watching on the growing weight knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Patriots team going up against a possibly rested 49ers team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI New England vs San Francisco picks, computer picks Patriots vs 49ers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Patriots Betting Trends
The Patriots have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, going 1-2 overall. They are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games, though they’ve lost six consecutive games against NFC opponents.
49ers Betting Trends
The 49ers are 1-2 ATS this season, and they’ve gone 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games, reflecting some inconsistency in covering spreads, especially at Levi’s Stadium.
Patriots vs. 49ers Matchup Trends
In their last six matchups, the UNDER has hit in five of those games between the Patriots and 49ers, suggesting a trend of lower-scoring affairs when these teams meet.
New England vs. San Francisco Game Info
What time does New England vs San Francisco start on September 29, 2024?
New England vs San Francisco starts on September 29, 2024 at 4:05 PM EST.
Where is New England vs San Francisco being played?
Venue: Levi's Stadium.
What are the opening odds for New England vs San Francisco?
Spread: San Francisco -10.0
Moneyline: New England +400, San Francisco -543
Over/Under: 39.5
What are the records for New England vs San Francisco?
New England: (1-2) | San Francisco: (1-2)
What is the AI best bet for New England vs San Francisco?
Remi's searched hard and found the best Prop Bet for this matchup :Brandon Aiyuk Anytime Touchdown.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are New England vs San Francisco trending bets?
In their last six matchups, the UNDER has hit in five of those games between the Patriots and 49ers, suggesting a trend of lower-scoring affairs when these teams meet.
What are New England trending bets?
NE trend: The Patriots have struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, going 1-2 overall. They are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games, though they’ve lost six consecutive games against NFC opponents.
What are San Francisco trending bets?
SF trend: The 49ers are 1-2 ATS this season, and they’ve gone 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games, reflecting some inconsistency in covering spreads, especially at Levi’s Stadium.
Where can I find AI Picks for New England vs San Francisco?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
New England vs. San Francisco Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the New England vs San Francisco trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
New England vs San Francisco Opening Odds
NE Moneyline:
+400 SF Moneyline: -543
NE Spread: +10
SF Spread: -10.0
Over/Under: 39.5
New England vs San Francisco Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Nov 13, 2025 8:15PM EST
New York Jets
New England Patriots
11/13/25 8:15PM
Jets
Patriots
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–
–
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+500
-835
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+12 (-114)
-12 (-110)
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O 43.5 (-113)
U 43.5 (-113)
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Nov 16, 2025 9:30AM EST
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Miami Dolphins
11/16/25 9:30AM
Commanders
Dolphins
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–
–
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+112
-148
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+2.5 (-109)
-2.5 (-117)
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O 47 (-117)
U 47 (-109)
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Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
11/16/25 1PM
Panthers
Falcons
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–
–
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+160
-205
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+3.5 (-112)
-3.5 (-114)
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O 42.5 (-112)
U 42.5 (-114)
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Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
11/16/25 1PM
Bears
Vikings
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–
–
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+120
-159
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+3 (-115)
-3 (-109)
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O 48 (-109)
U 48 (-117)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Los Angeles Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars
11/16/25 1PM
Chargers
Jaguars
|
–
–
|
-150
+118
|
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (-106)
|
O 44 (-112)
U 44 (-114)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Green Bay Packers
New York Giants
11/16/25 1PM
Packers
Giants
|
–
–
|
-450
+350
|
-7.5 (-114)
+7.5 (-106)
|
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
|
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Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
11/16/25 1PM
Bengals
Steelers
|
–
–
|
+205
-265
|
+5.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-110)
|
O 49.5 (-114)
U 49.5 (-112)
|
|
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Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buffalo Bills
11/16/25 1PM
Buccaneers
Bills
|
–
–
|
+200
-250
|
+5.5 (-114)
-5.5 (-112)
|
O 49 (-112)
U 49 (-114)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
11/16/25 1PM
Texans
Titans
|
–
–
|
-400
+295
|
-7 (-117)
+7 (-109)
|
O 39.5 (-109)
U 39.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
11/16/25 4:05PM
49ers
Cardinals
|
–
–
|
-159
+118
|
-3 (-108)
+3 (-118)
|
O 48.5 (-112)
U 48.5 (-113)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
11/16/25 4:05PM
Seahawks
Rams
|
–
–
|
+123
-155
|
+2.5 (-109)
-2.5 (-117)
|
O 48 (-113)
U 48 (-113)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
11/16/25 4:25PM
Chiefs
Broncos
|
–
–
|
-210
+160
|
-4 (-112)
+4 (-114)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
11/16/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Browns
|
–
–
|
-500
+350
|
-8.5 (-112)
+8.5 (-114)
|
O 41.5 (-112)
U 41.5 (-113)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 8:20PM EST
Detroit Lions
Philadelphia Eagles
11/16/25 8:20PM
Lions
Eagles
|
–
–
|
+106
-124
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 48.5 (-105)
U 48.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Nov 17, 2025 8:15PM EST
Dallas Cowboys
Las Vegas Raiders
11/17/25 8:15PM
Cowboys
Raiders
|
–
–
|
-186
+145
|
-3.5 (-107)
+3.5 (-120)
|
O 50.5 (-112)
U 50.5 (-114)
|
NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New England Patriots vs. San Francisco 49ers on September 29, 2024 at Levi's Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LV@DEN | RILEY MOSS OVER 4.5 TACKLE + ASST | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| LV@DEN | UNDER 43 | 53.4% | 2 | WIN |
| ARI@DAL | BUDDA BAKER OVER 7.5 TACKLES + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| ARI@DAL | GEORGE PICKENS OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@HOU | WIL LUTZ OVER 1.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| SEA@WAS | SEA -3 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| IND@PIT | IND -3 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@TEN | LAC -9.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@CIN | CHI -2.5 | 52.6% | 2 | WIN |
| SEA@WAS | OVER 48 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
| SEA@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 20.5 PASS COMP | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| JAC@LV | JAC -140 | 64.2% | 7 | WIN |
| NO@LAR | LAR -14 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
| DEN@HOU | HOU -1.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@GB | GB -12.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| SF@NYG | NYG +2.5 | 56.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| BAL@MIA | TUA TAGOVAILOA UNDER 0.5 INT | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| TB@NO | TB -3.5 | 52.3% | 1 | WIN |
| GB@PIT | GB -2.5 | 52.3% | 1 | WIN |
| SF@HOU | SF +2.5 | 56.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| NYG@PHI | NYG +7.5 | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| BUF@CAR | CAR +7.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| DAL@DEN | DAL +3.5 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIA@ATL | MIA +7 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| CLE@NE | CLE +7 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| TB@NO | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 15.5 RUSH YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIN@LAC | JUSTIN HERBERT PASS ATT UNDER 35.5 | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| TB@DET | TB +6.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| TB@DET | RACHAAD WHITE UNDER 14.5 RUSH ATT | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NE@TEN | NE -6.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| CAR@NYJ | CAR -110 | 57.4 | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIN | PHI -130 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | ARI +7 | 54.8% | 5 | WIN |
| NO@CHI | NO +4.5 | 57.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| WAS@DAL | JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PIT@CIN | JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| BUF@ATL | BUF -3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TEN@LV | UNDER 42 | 54.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@KC | DET +2.5 | 55.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| SEA@JAC | SEA -112 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MIA | LAC -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| ARI@IND | IND -8.5 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| TEN@LV | TEN +4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAR@BAL | LAR -7 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@TB | SF +3.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| CLE@PIT | JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@NYJ | BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | UNDER 45.5 | 54.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |