Chiefs vs Chargers Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Sep 29)

Updated: 2024-09-22T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Kansas City Chiefs face the Los Angeles Chargers on September 29, 2024, at SoFi Stadium in an important AFC West matchup. The Chiefs are unbeaten at 3-0, while the Chargers are 2-1 and looking to knock off the reigning Super Bowl champions.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 29, 2024

Start Time: 4:25 PM EST​

Venue: SoFi Stadium​

Chargers Record: (2-1)

Chiefs Record: (3-0)

OPENING ODDS

KC Moneyline: -397

LAC Moneyline: +316

KC Spread: -8

LAC Spread: +8.0

Over/Under: 39

KC
Betting Trends

  • The Chiefs are 2-1 ATS this season and have excelled on the road against the Chargers, going 5-0 straight up in their last five visits to SoFi Stadium.

LAC
Betting Trends

  • The Chargers are 1-1 ATS at home this season, but they have struggled overall against the Chiefs, losing five consecutive home games against them. They are also 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The UNDER has hit in 6 of the last 7 games between the Chiefs and AFC West opponents, showing that divisional games have tended to be lower scoring for Kansas City.

KC vs. LAC
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best Prop Bet for this matchup: JK Dobbins Over 55.5 Rushing Yards

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Kansas City vs Los Angeles Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/29/24

This Week 4 matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Los Angeles Chargers has major AFC West implications. The Chiefs are off to another strong start at 3-0, powered by Patrick Mahomes’ efficient play and a defense that has allowed just 17.3 points per game. Mahomes is averaging 296 passing yards per game, and with targets like Travis Kelce and Rashee Rice emerging, Kansas City’s passing attack has remained one of the league’s most dangerous.

On the other side, the Chargers are coming in at 2-1, with Justin Herbert leading an explosive offense that averages 296 passing yards per game. Herbert has thrown for 8 touchdowns in the first three weeks, and his connection with Keenan Allen has been pivotal for the Chargers. However, the Chargers’ defense has struggled at times, allowing 27 points per game, which could be a major concern against Kansas City’s high-powered offense. Kansas City is a 3-point favorite heading into this matchup, and recent history has favored the Chiefs, who have dominated this divisional rivalry in recent years. The Chargers’ pass rush, led by Joey Bosa, will need to step up to disrupt Mahomes and keep the game within reach. A key factor will be the performance of the Chargers’ secondary, which has been vulnerable in big moments.

Kansas City Chiefs NFL Preview

The Kansas City Chiefs are riding high at 3-0 and look to continue their dominance over the Chargers in Los Angeles. Patrick Mahomes has once again been the driving force behind the Chiefs’ success, leading a passing attack that ranks near the top of the league. Despite some early injuries to key players, Kansas City’s offense has remained highly effective, with Mahomes spreading the ball around to multiple targets. The Chiefs’ defense has quietly been one of the best in the NFL, allowing just 17.3 points per game. Linebacker Nick Bolton and defensive end George Karlaftis have been standout performers, helping the Chiefs stifle opposing offenses. They’ll be tasked with slowing down Herbert and the Chargers’ explosive passing game, which will be a key to securing another road victory. Kansas City’s recent dominance over the Chargers, particularly at SoFi Stadium, gives them a psychological edge heading into this contest. If the Chiefs can maintain their balance on offense and limit Herbert’s opportunities, they should continue their winning streak in Los Angeles.

The Kansas City Chiefs face the Los Angeles Chargers on September 29, 2024, at SoFi Stadium in an important AFC West matchup. The Chiefs are unbeaten at 3-0, while the Chargers are 2-1 and looking to knock off the reigning Super Bowl champions. Kansas City vs Los Angeles AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Sep 29. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Los Angeles Chargers NFL Preview

The Los Angeles Chargers enter this critical divisional game with a 2-1 record, having shown flashes of brilliance offensively under Justin Herbert. Herbert has been one of the most productive quarterbacks in the league through the first three weeks, but the team is dealing with key injuries, including Joey Bosa and Rashawn Slater, which could significantly impact their ability to handle Kansas City’s potent offense. The Chargers’ offense has excelled in the passing game, with Herbert averaging nearly 300 passing yards per game. Wide receiver Keenan Allen continues to be Herbert’s go-to target, and the Chargers will need Allen to have a big game if they hope to keep pace with Kansas City. Running back Austin Ekeler, returning from injury, will also be key in balancing the offensive attack. Defensively, the Chargers have struggled to stop the run and have been inconsistent in pressuring opposing quarterbacks. If they can’t get pressure on Mahomes, the Chiefs’ offense could have a field day. The Chargers’ secondary, which has allowed multiple big plays this season, will need to be sharp to prevent Mahomes from connecting on deep throws.

Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Chiefs and Chargers play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at SoFi Stadium in Sep seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best Prop Bet for this matchup: JK Dobbins Over 55.5 Rushing Yards

Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Chiefs and Chargers and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the linear correlation of weight knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Chiefs team going up against a possibly strong Chargers team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

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Below is our current AI Kansas City vs Los Angeles picks, computer picks Chiefs vs Chargers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NFL 10/20 HOU@SEA UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 HOU@SEA UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Chiefs Betting Trends

The Chiefs are 2-1 ATS this season and have excelled on the road against the Chargers, going 5-0 straight up in their last five visits to SoFi Stadium.

Chargers Betting Trends

The Chargers are 1-1 ATS at home this season, but they have struggled overall against the Chiefs, losing five consecutive home games against them. They are also 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.

Chiefs vs. Chargers Matchup Trends

The UNDER has hit in 6 of the last 7 games between the Chiefs and AFC West opponents, showing that divisional games have tended to be lower scoring for Kansas City.

Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Game Info

Kansas City vs Los Angeles starts on September 29, 2024 at 4:25 PM EST.

Spread: Los Angeles +8.0
Moneyline: Kansas City -397, Los Angeles +316
Over/Under: 39

Kansas City: (3-0)  |  Los Angeles: (2-1)

Remi's searched hard and found the best Prop Bet for this matchup: JK Dobbins Over 55.5 Rushing Yards. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The UNDER has hit in 6 of the last 7 games between the Chiefs and AFC West opponents, showing that divisional games have tended to be lower scoring for Kansas City.

KC trend: The Chiefs are 2-1 ATS this season and have excelled on the road against the Chargers, going 5-0 straight up in their last five visits to SoFi Stadium.

LAC trend: The Chargers are 1-1 ATS at home this season, but they have struggled overall against the Chiefs, losing five consecutive home games against them. They are also 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.

Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Kansas City vs Los Angeles trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Kansas City vs Los Angeles Opening Odds

KC Moneyline: -397
LAC Moneyline: +316
KC Spread: -8
LAC Spread: +8.0
Over/Under: 39

Kansas City vs Los Angeles Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 23, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Chargers
10/23/25 8:15PM
Vikings
Chargers
+144
-172
+3 (-105)
-3 (-115)
O 44.5 (-112)
U 44.5 (-108)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
New England Patriots
10/26/25 1PM
Browns
Patriots
+290
-360
+7 (-114)
-7 (-106)
O 40.5 (-105)
U 40.5 (-115)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Carolina Panthers
10/26/25 1PM
Bills
Panthers
-430
+340
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 46.5 (-105)
U 46.5 (-115)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
10/26/25 1PM
Jets
Bengals
+245
-300
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
O 43.5 (-115)
U 43.5 (-105)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens
10/26/25 1PM
Bears
Ravens
+265
-330
+6.5 (-106)
-6.5 (-114)
O 50.5 (-105)
U 50.5 (-115)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
10/26/25 1PM
Giants
Eagles
+270
-335
+7 (-108)
-7 (-112)
O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Houston Texans
10/26/25 1PM
49ers
Texans
-108
-108
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (-102)
O 41.5 (-105)
U 41.5 (-115)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
10/26/25 1PM
Dolphins
Falcons
+280
-350
+7.5 (-122)
-7.5 (+100)
O 44.5 (-114)
U 44.5 (-106)
Oct 26, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
10/26/25 4:05PM
Buccaneers
Saints
-235
+194
-4.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-108)
O 46.5 (-114)
U 46.5 (-106)
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
10/26/25 4:25PM
Cowboys
Broncos
+146
-174
+3.5 (-118)
-3.5 (-104)
O 49.5 (-120)
U 49.5 (-102)
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
10/26/25 4:25PM
Titans
Colts
+750
-1200
+14.5 (-118)
-14.5 (-104)
O 46.5 (-114)
U 46.5 (-106)
Oct 26, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/26/25 8:20PM
Packers
Steelers
-174
+146
-3.5 (-104)
+3.5 (-118)
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
Oct 27, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Kansas City Chiefs
10/27/25 8:15PM
Commanders
Chiefs
+430
-590
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers on September 29, 2024 at SoFi Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NE@TEN NE -6.5 55.2% 5 WIN
CAR@NYJ CAR -110 57.4 4 WIN
PHI@MIN PHI -130 58.0% 6 WIN
GB@ARI ARI +7 54.8% 5 WIN
NO@CHI NO +4.5 57.4% 7 LOSS
WAS@DAL JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 56.1% 5 WIN
GB@ARI JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 56.6% 6 WIN
PIT@CIN JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
BUF@ATL BUF -3.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
CHI@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 56.6% 6 WIN
TEN@LV UNDER 42 54.8% 3 WIN
DET@KC DET +2.5 55.7% 7 LOSS
SEA@JAC SEA -112 55.7% 5 WIN
LAC@MIA LAC -3.5 54.0% 3 LOSS
ARI@IND IND -8.5 55.6% 5 LOSS
TEN@LV TEN +4.5 56.7% 6 LOSS
LAR@BAL LAR -7 56.2% 6 WIN
SF@TB SF +3.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
CLE@PIT JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 LOSS
DEN@NYJ BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS 55.0% 4 LOSS
KC@JAC UNDER 45.5 54.9% 3 LOSS
KC@JAC PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP 56.6% 6 LOSS
HOU@BAL HOU -125 58.5% 7 WIN
DET@CIN DET -10 55.6% 5 WIN
DAL@NYJ NYJ +1.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
TB@SEA TB +3.5 54.9% 4 WIN
TEN@ARI ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) 54.9% 4 LOSS
DEN@PHI DEN +4.5 57.5% 7 WIN
MIA@CAR TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS 54.5% 4 WIN
LV@IND ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 WIN
SF@LAR DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS 55.7% 5 WIN
NYJ@MIA NYJ +3 53.8 3 LOSS
CIN@DEN DEN -7.5 54.8 4 WIN
NYJ@MIA OVER 44 52.9% 2 WIN
CIN@DEN UNDER 44.5 53.7% 3 WIN
NYJ@MIA GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS 53.7% 3 WIN
CIN@DEN TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS 55.5% 5 LOSS
WAS@ATL ATL -2.5 54.3 4 WIN
BAL@KC BAL -2.5 56.3% 6 LOSS
TEN@HOU TEN +7.5 57.9% 7 LOSS
LAC@NYG LAC -6 57.3% 7 LOSS
NO@BUF UNDER 48.5 55.1% 3 LOSS
GB@DAL JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS 55.5% 5 LOSS
CAR@NE DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 LOSS
SEA@ARI SEA -125 57.7% 6 WIN
SEA@ARI KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 WIN
DET@BAL JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS 55.8% 5 WIN
DAL@CHI DAL -120 58.7% 6 LOSS
PIT@NE PIT -116 60.1% 6 WIN
ATL@CAR ATL -4.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
LV@WAS LV +3 54.3% 4 LOSS