Jaguars vs. Texans
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 29 | NFL AI Picks
Updated: 2024-09-22T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Jacksonville Jaguars will travel to face the Houston Texans on September 29, 2024, in an AFC South divisional matchup. The Texans, sitting at 2-1, look to extend their strong start, while the Jaguars, at 0-3, are seeking their first win of the season after a series of tough losses.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Sep 29, 2024
Start Time: 1:00 PM EST​
Venue: NRG Stadium​
Texans Record: (2-1)
Jaguars Record: (0-3)
OPENING ODDS
JAC Moneyline: +211
HOU Moneyline: -261
JAC Spread: +6
HOU Spread: -6.0
Over/Under: 45.5
JAC
Betting Trends
- The Jaguars have struggled against the spread (ATS) in recent games, covering in only 1 of their last 5 contests. Their most recent ATS loss came in a blowout defeat to the Buffalo Bills, where they lost 47-10.
HOU
Betting Trends
- The Texans have been solid ATS, particularly in their home games, going 3-1 ATS in their last four matchups at NRG Stadium. However, they failed to cover in their recent loss to the Minnesota Vikings.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Jaguars are 1-5 straight up (SU) in their last six games when playing in Houston. Additionally, the total has gone UNDER in 6 of the last 8 matchups between these two teams at NRG Stadium.
JAC vs. HOU
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best Prop Bet for this matchup: Trevor Lawrence Over 225.5 Passing Yards.
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Jacksonville vs Houston Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/29/24
The Jaguars, on the other hand, are struggling. After being blown out by the Bills 47-10, they have fallen to 0-3 on the season. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence has been unable to find consistency behind a shaky offensive line, and while running back Travis Etienne Jr. has shown flashes of brilliance, the Jaguars’ offense has been largely ineffective. Defensively, Jacksonville has struggled mightily, allowing 28.3 points per game, and will need a more disciplined effort to contain the Texans’ balanced offensive attack. The Jaguars’ recent history against the Texans does not bode well, as they are 1-5 SU in their last six trips to Houston. The Texans are currently favored by 6 points, and with Jacksonville’s poor form, Houston seems primed to cover the spread in front of their home crowd. The key to this game will likely be whether the Jaguars can protect Lawrence and establish a more effective ground game, while the Texans will look to capitalize on Jacksonville’s defensive struggles.
On to Houston.@Dream_Finders | #DUUUVAL pic.twitter.com/T0Kk60IEfX
— Jacksonville Jaguars (@Jaguars) September 24, 2024
Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Preview
The Jacksonville Jaguars enter this Week 4 matchup desperate for their first win of the season. After a disappointing start, including a 47-10 blowout loss to Buffalo, the Jaguars are looking for answers. Trevor Lawrence has struggled to find consistency, completing just over 60% of his passes while dealing with constant pressure. The Jaguars’ offense, averaging just 13.3 points per game, has yet to hit its stride, and their rushing attack, led by Travis Etienne Jr., has been one of the few bright spots. Defensively, the Jaguars have been porous, allowing nearly 30 points per game, and they have struggled particularly in pass defense, giving up 252.3 passing yards per game. If Jacksonville hopes to turn their season around, they will need to tighten up defensively, especially in the secondary, and generate more pressure on opposing quarterbacks. They’ll also need to limit turnovers, as Lawrence has thrown costly interceptions in each of the past two games. Despite their struggles, the Jaguars have the talent to compete, but their track record in Houston is concerning. They have lost 5 of their last 6 games at NRG Stadium, and their offense will need to find answers quickly if they hope to avoid falling to 0-4.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Houston Texans NFL Preview
The Houston Texans have surprised many with their 2-1 start to the 2024 season, thanks to an offense that has developed under the leadership of quarterback C.J. Stroud. After a close win over the Colts in Week 1 and a defensive battle victory against the Bears, the Texans now return home to face a Jaguars team desperate for a win. The Texans’ offense, averaging 108.7 rushing yards and 232.3 passing yards per game, has shown balance, with Joe Mixon providing solid production on the ground and Stroud spreading the ball effectively to his receivers. Defensively, Houston has been solid, allowing only 24.7 points per game and limiting opponents to under 100 rushing yards on average. Linebacker Will Anderson Jr. has been a force in the pass rush, while Azeez Al-Shaair leads the team in tackles. The defense will aim to pressure Lawrence and force turnovers, a strategy that has been effective in their past matchups against Jacksonville. Playing at NRG Stadium gives Houston a significant advantage, as they have gone 3-1 ATS in their last four home games. The Texans will be looking to exploit Jacksonville’s vulnerable defense and continue their winning ways at home.
The mentality stays the same pic.twitter.com/FaUZ3gJDWA
— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) September 23, 2024
Jacksonville vs. Houston Prop Picks (AI)
Jacksonville vs. Houston Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Jaguars and Texans and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most keyed in on the trending weight human bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Jaguars team going up against a possibly strong Texans team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Jacksonville vs Houston picks, computer picks Jaguars vs Texans, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Jaguars Betting Trends
The Jaguars have struggled against the spread (ATS) in recent games, covering in only 1 of their last 5 contests. Their most recent ATS loss came in a blowout defeat to the Buffalo Bills, where they lost 47-10.
Texans Betting Trends
The Texans have been solid ATS, particularly in their home games, going 3-1 ATS in their last four matchups at NRG Stadium. However, they failed to cover in their recent loss to the Minnesota Vikings.
Jaguars vs. Texans Matchup Trends
The Jaguars are 1-5 straight up (SU) in their last six games when playing in Houston. Additionally, the total has gone UNDER in 6 of the last 8 matchups between these two teams at NRG Stadium.
Jacksonville vs. Houston Game Info
What time does Jacksonville vs Houston start on September 29, 2024?
Jacksonville vs Houston starts on September 29, 2024 at 1:00 PM EST.
Where is Jacksonville vs Houston being played?
Venue: NRG Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Jacksonville vs Houston?
Spread: Houston -6.0
Moneyline: Jacksonville +211, Houston -261
Over/Under: 45.5
What are the records for Jacksonville vs Houston?
Jacksonville: (0-3) Â |Â Houston: (2-1)
What is the AI best bet for Jacksonville vs Houston?
Remi's searched hard and found the best Prop Bet for this matchup: Trevor Lawrence Over 225.5 Passing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Jacksonville vs Houston trending bets?
The Jaguars are 1-5 straight up (SU) in their last six games when playing in Houston. Additionally, the total has gone UNDER in 6 of the last 8 matchups between these two teams at NRG Stadium.
What are Jacksonville trending bets?
JAC trend: The Jaguars have struggled against the spread (ATS) in recent games, covering in only 1 of their last 5 contests. Their most recent ATS loss came in a blowout defeat to the Buffalo Bills, where they lost 47-10.
What are Houston trending bets?
HOU trend: The Texans have been solid ATS, particularly in their home games, going 3-1 ATS in their last four matchups at NRG Stadium. However, they failed to cover in their recent loss to the Minnesota Vikings.
Where can I find AI Picks for Jacksonville vs Houston?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
Jacksonville vs. Houston Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Jacksonville vs Houston trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Jacksonville vs Houston Opening Odds
JAC Moneyline:
+211 HOU Moneyline: -261
JAC Spread: +6
HOU Spread: -6.0
Over/Under: 45.5
Jacksonville vs Houston Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Sep 28, 2025 9:31AM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Pittsburgh Steelers
9/28/25 9:31AM
Vikings
Steelers
|
–
–
|
-140
+115
|
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
|
O 41 (-110)
U 41 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
Detroit Lions
9/28/25 1PM
Browns
Lions
|
–
–
|
+400
-550
|
+10 (-110)
-10 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Chargers
New York Giants
9/28/25 1PM
Chargers
Giants
|
–
–
|
-285
+230
|
-6.5 (-105)
+6.5 (-115)
|
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
9/28/25 1:01PM
Titans
Texans
|
–
–
|
+300
-375
|
+7 (-105)
-7 (-115)
|
O 39 (-110)
U 39 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Philadelphia Eagles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9/28/25 1:01PM
Eagles
Buccaneers
|
–
–
|
-190
+160
|
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
|
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Atlanta Falcons
9/28/25 1:01PM
Commanders
Falcons
|
–
–
|
+110
-130
|
+2 (-110)
-2 (-110)
|
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
New Orleans Saints
Buffalo Bills
9/28/25 1:01PM
Saints
Bills
|
–
–
|
+800
-1300
|
+15 (-110)
-15 (-110)
|
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Carolina Panthers
New England Patriots
9/28/25 1:01PM
Panthers
Patriots
|
–
–
|
+200
-250
|
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
|
O 43 (-110)
U 43 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Jacksonville Jaguars
San Francisco 49ers
9/28/25 4:06PM
Jaguars
49ers
|
–
–
|
+150
-180
|
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
|
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Indianapolis Colts
Los Angeles Rams
9/28/25 4:06PM
Colts
Rams
|
–
–
|
+160
-190
|
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
|
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Baltimore Ravens
Kansas City Chiefs
9/28/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Chiefs
|
–
–
|
-150
+125
|
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (+100)
|
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 4:26PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Las Vegas Raiders
9/28/25 4:26PM
Bears
Raiders
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
|
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 8:21PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Dallas Cowboys
9/28/25 8:21PM
Packers
Cowboys
|
–
–
|
-325
+250
|
-7 (-105)
+7 (-115)
|
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 29, 2025 7:15PM EDT
New York Jets
Miami Dolphins
9/29/25 7:15PM
Jets
Dolphins
|
–
–
|
+125
-150
|
+3 (-115)
-3 (-105)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 29, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
9/29/25 8:15PM
Bengals
Broncos
|
–
–
|
+310
-400
|
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
|
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 2, 2025 8:16PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
10/2/25 8:16PM
49ers
Rams
|
–
–
|
+134
-158
|
+3 (-105)
-3 (-115)
|
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
|
NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans on September 29, 2024 at NRG Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| NFL |
   LEAN |    %WIN |    UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| GB@CLE | GB -7 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| ARI@SF | ARI +3 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| KC@NYG | PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| GB@CLE | JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIA@BUF | TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@LV | LAC -3 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TB@HOU | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| CHI@DET | DET -6.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| DEN@IND | DEN -118 | 60.1% | 10 | LOSS |
| PHI@KC | PHI -115 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@NO | SF -3 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
| SEA@PIT | OVER 40 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@ARI | BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| DEN@IND | JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| ATL@MIN | BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
| WAS@GB | WAS +3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| WAS@GB | JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@CHI | CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| TEN@DEN | DEN -8.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| SF@SEA | SF -115 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@SEA | KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@JAC | TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| KC@LAC | JUSTIN HERBERT UNDER 0.5 INT | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
| DAL@PHI | GEORGE PICKENS LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 22.5 YDS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@PHI | JUJU SMITH-SCHUSTER UNDER 16.5 RECV YDS | 53.90% | 5 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 20.5 YDS | 54.40% | 6 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 68.3% PASS COMP | 55.00% | 8 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | JALEN HURTS LONGEST RUSH OVER 12.5 YDS | 55.60% | 8 | WIN |
| BUF@KC | DALTON KINCAID OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.10% | 8 | LOSS |
| WAS@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS | 55.80% | 8 | WIN |
| BUF@KC | JAMES COOK ANYTIME TD | 53.00% | 5 | WIN |
| LAR@PHI | SAQUON BARKLEY UNDER 128 RUSH + REC YDS | 53.20% | 5 | LOSS |
| BAL@BUF | LAMAR JACKSON OVER 54.5 RUSH YDS | 54.50% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@KC | C.J. STROUD RUSH YDS UNDER 14.5 | 53.10% | 5 | LOSS |
| WAS@DET | JAMESON WILLIAMS RUSH YDS OVER 1.5 | 53.30% | 5 | WIN |
| WAS@DET | JARED GOFF PASS COMP % UNDER 72.3 | 54.30% | 6 | WIN |
| MIN@LAR | COOPER KUPP ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN | 52.60% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@LAR | MATTHEW STAFFORD OVER 21.5 PASS COMP | 54.10% | 6 | LOSS |
| WAS@TB | BRIAN ROBINSON JR OVER 1.5 REC TARGETS | 53.50% | 5 | WIN |
| WAS@TB | BAKER MAYFIELD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT | 54.90% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@PHI | JALEN HURTS OVER 67.1 PASS COMP PERCENTAGE | 54.60% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@HOU | J.K. DOBBINS ANYTIME TD | 52.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@HOU | LAC -2.5 | 53.40% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@HOU | JUSTIN HERBERT OVER 19.5 RUSH YDS | 53.40% | 5 | LOSS |