Jaguars vs Texans Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Sep 29)

Updated: 2024-09-22T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Jacksonville Jaguars will travel to face the Houston Texans on September 29, 2024, in an AFC South divisional matchup. The Texans, sitting at 2-1, look to extend their strong start, while the Jaguars, at 0-3, are seeking their first win of the season after a series of tough losses.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 29, 2024

Start Time: 1:00 PM EST​

Venue: NRG Stadium​

Texans Record: (2-1)

Jaguars Record: (0-3)

OPENING ODDS

JAC Moneyline: +211

HOU Moneyline: -261

JAC Spread: +6

HOU Spread: -6.0

Over/Under: 45.5

JAC
Betting Trends

  • The Jaguars have struggled against the spread (ATS) in recent games, covering in only 1 of their last 5 contests. Their most recent ATS loss came in a blowout defeat to the Buffalo Bills, where they lost 47-10.

HOU
Betting Trends

  • The Texans have been solid ATS, particularly in their home games, going 3-1 ATS in their last four matchups at NRG Stadium. However, they failed to cover in their recent loss to the Minnesota Vikings.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Jaguars are 1-5 straight up (SU) in their last six games when playing in Houston. Additionally, the total has gone UNDER in 6 of the last 8 matchups between these two teams at NRG Stadium.

JAC vs. HOU
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best Prop Bet for this matchup: Trevor Lawrence Over 225.5 Passing Yards.

LIVE NFL ODDS

NFL ODDS COMPARISON

WANT MORE AI PICKS?

VAULT
VS. SPREAD
325-240
VAULT
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+395.4
VAULT
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$39,540
EXECUTIVE
VS. SPREAD
1593-1364
EXECUTIVE
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+371.9
EXECUTIVE
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$37,192

AI SPORTS PICK PRODUCTS

Create a Free Account

‘Create an Account’ to Get Remi’s Picks Today.

Remi Finds New Picks

Remi calculates the probability a team will cover the line.

Remi Works 24/7

Remi uses this probability to assign units to each pick.

Get Remi's AI Picks

Get Remi’s Top AI Sports Picks sent direct to your inbox.

Jacksonville vs Houston Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/29/24

The Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans meet for an important AFC South showdown at NRG Stadium on Sunday, September 29, 2024. The Texans are off to a strong start this season, entering the game with a 2-1 record and looking to bounce back from a tough 34-7 loss to the Vikings. Led by second-year quarterback C.J. Stroud, Houston’s offense has been efficient, particularly in their two wins against the Colts and Bears, where Stroud passed for over 500 yards combined. With a strong rushing attack anchored by veteran running back Joe Mixon, the Texans have found a balanced offensive approach that has kept opposing defenses on their heels.

The Jaguars, on the other hand, are struggling. After being blown out by the Bills 47-10, they have fallen to 0-3 on the season. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence has been unable to find consistency behind a shaky offensive line, and while running back Travis Etienne Jr. has shown flashes of brilliance, the Jaguars’ offense has been largely ineffective. Defensively, Jacksonville has struggled mightily, allowing 28.3 points per game, and will need a more disciplined effort to contain the Texans’ balanced offensive attack. The Jaguars’ recent history against the Texans does not bode well, as they are 1-5 SU in their last six trips to Houston. The Texans are currently favored by 6 points, and with Jacksonville’s poor form, Houston seems primed to cover the spread in front of their home crowd. The key to this game will likely be whether the Jaguars can protect Lawrence and establish a more effective ground game, while the Texans will look to capitalize on Jacksonville’s defensive struggles.

Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Preview

The Jacksonville Jaguars enter this Week 4 matchup desperate for their first win of the season. After a disappointing start, including a 47-10 blowout loss to Buffalo, the Jaguars are looking for answers. Trevor Lawrence has struggled to find consistency, completing just over 60% of his passes while dealing with constant pressure. The Jaguars’ offense, averaging just 13.3 points per game, has yet to hit its stride, and their rushing attack, led by Travis Etienne Jr., has been one of the few bright spots. Defensively, the Jaguars have been porous, allowing nearly 30 points per game, and they have struggled particularly in pass defense, giving up 252.3 passing yards per game. If Jacksonville hopes to turn their season around, they will need to tighten up defensively, especially in the secondary, and generate more pressure on opposing quarterbacks. They’ll also need to limit turnovers, as Lawrence has thrown costly interceptions in each of the past two games. Despite their struggles, the Jaguars have the talent to compete, but their track record in Houston is concerning. They have lost 5 of their last 6 games at NRG Stadium, and their offense will need to find answers quickly if they hope to avoid falling to 0-4.

The Jacksonville Jaguars will travel to face the Houston Texans on September 29, 2024, in an AFC South divisional matchup. The Texans, sitting at 2-1, look to extend their strong start, while the Jaguars, at 0-3, are seeking their first win of the season after a series of tough losses. Jacksonville vs Houston AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Sep 29. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Houston Texans NFL Preview

The Houston Texans have surprised many with their 2-1 start to the 2024 season, thanks to an offense that has developed under the leadership of quarterback C.J. Stroud. After a close win over the Colts in Week 1 and a defensive battle victory against the Bears, the Texans now return home to face a Jaguars team desperate for a win. The Texans’ offense, averaging 108.7 rushing yards and 232.3 passing yards per game, has shown balance, with Joe Mixon providing solid production on the ground and Stroud spreading the ball effectively to his receivers. Defensively, Houston has been solid, allowing only 24.7 points per game and limiting opponents to under 100 rushing yards on average. Linebacker Will Anderson Jr. has been a force in the pass rush, while Azeez Al-Shaair leads the team in tackles. The defense will aim to pressure Lawrence and force turnovers, a strategy that has been effective in their past matchups against Jacksonville. Playing at NRG Stadium gives Houston a significant advantage, as they have gone 3-1 ATS in their last four home games. The Texans will be looking to exploit Jacksonville’s vulnerable defense and continue their winning ways at home.

Jacksonville vs. Houston Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Jaguars and Texans play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at NRG Stadium in Sep can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best Prop Bet for this matchup: Trevor Lawrence Over 225.5 Passing Yards.

Jacksonville vs. Houston Prediction (AI)

Remi Robot Icon

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Jaguars and Texans and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most fixated on the trending factor knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Jacksonville’s strength factors between a Jaguars team going up against a possibly improved Texans team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Jacksonville vs Houston picks, computer picks Jaguars vs Texans, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NFL 10/20 HOU@SEA UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 HOU@SEA UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Jaguars Betting Trends

The Jaguars have struggled against the spread (ATS) in recent games, covering in only 1 of their last 5 contests. Their most recent ATS loss came in a blowout defeat to the Buffalo Bills, where they lost 47-10.

Texans Betting Trends

The Texans have been solid ATS, particularly in their home games, going 3-1 ATS in their last four matchups at NRG Stadium. However, they failed to cover in their recent loss to the Minnesota Vikings.

Jaguars vs. Texans Matchup Trends

The Jaguars are 1-5 straight up (SU) in their last six games when playing in Houston. Additionally, the total has gone UNDER in 6 of the last 8 matchups between these two teams at NRG Stadium.

Jacksonville vs. Houston Game Info

Jacksonville vs Houston starts on September 29, 2024 at 1:00 PM EST.

Spread: Houston -6.0
Moneyline: Jacksonville +211, Houston -261
Over/Under: 45.5

Jacksonville: (0-3)  |  Houston: (2-1)

Remi's searched hard and found the best Prop Bet for this matchup: Trevor Lawrence Over 225.5 Passing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Jaguars are 1-5 straight up (SU) in their last six games when playing in Houston. Additionally, the total has gone UNDER in 6 of the last 8 matchups between these two teams at NRG Stadium.

JAC trend: The Jaguars have struggled against the spread (ATS) in recent games, covering in only 1 of their last 5 contests. Their most recent ATS loss came in a blowout defeat to the Buffalo Bills, where they lost 47-10.

HOU trend: The Texans have been solid ATS, particularly in their home games, going 3-1 ATS in their last four matchups at NRG Stadium. However, they failed to cover in their recent loss to the Minnesota Vikings.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.

Jacksonville vs. Houston Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Jacksonville vs Houston trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Jacksonville vs Houston Opening Odds

JAC Moneyline: +211
HOU Moneyline: -261
JAC Spread: +6
HOU Spread: -6.0
Over/Under: 45.5

Jacksonville vs Houston Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 23, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Chargers
10/23/25 8:15PM
Vikings
Chargers
+144
-172
+3 (-105)
-3 (-115)
O 44.5 (-112)
U 44.5 (-108)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
New England Patriots
10/26/25 1PM
Browns
Patriots
+290
-360
+7 (-114)
-7 (-106)
O 40.5 (-105)
U 40.5 (-115)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Carolina Panthers
10/26/25 1PM
Bills
Panthers
-430
+340
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 46.5 (-105)
U 46.5 (-115)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
10/26/25 1PM
Jets
Bengals
+245
-300
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
O 43.5 (-115)
U 43.5 (-105)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens
10/26/25 1PM
Bears
Ravens
+265
-330
+6.5 (-106)
-6.5 (-114)
O 50.5 (-105)
U 50.5 (-115)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
10/26/25 1PM
Giants
Eagles
+270
-335
+7 (-108)
-7 (-112)
O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Houston Texans
10/26/25 1PM
49ers
Texans
-108
-108
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (-102)
O 41.5 (-105)
U 41.5 (-115)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
10/26/25 1PM
Dolphins
Falcons
+280
-350
+7.5 (-122)
-7.5 (+100)
O 44.5 (-114)
U 44.5 (-106)
Oct 26, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
10/26/25 4:05PM
Buccaneers
Saints
-235
+194
-4.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-108)
O 46.5 (-114)
U 46.5 (-106)
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
10/26/25 4:25PM
Cowboys
Broncos
+146
-174
+3.5 (-118)
-3.5 (-104)
O 49.5 (-120)
U 49.5 (-102)
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
10/26/25 4:25PM
Titans
Colts
+750
-1200
+14.5 (-118)
-14.5 (-104)
O 46.5 (-114)
U 46.5 (-106)
Oct 26, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/26/25 8:20PM
Packers
Steelers
-174
+146
-3.5 (-104)
+3.5 (-118)
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
Oct 27, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Kansas City Chiefs
10/27/25 8:15PM
Commanders
Chiefs
+430
-590
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans on September 29, 2024 at NRG Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NE@TEN NE -6.5 55.2% 5 WIN
CAR@NYJ CAR -110 57.4 4 WIN
PHI@MIN PHI -130 58.0% 6 WIN
GB@ARI ARI +7 54.8% 5 WIN
NO@CHI NO +4.5 57.4% 7 LOSS
WAS@DAL JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 56.1% 5 WIN
GB@ARI JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 56.6% 6 WIN
PIT@CIN JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
BUF@ATL BUF -3.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
CHI@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 56.6% 6 WIN
TEN@LV UNDER 42 54.8% 3 WIN
DET@KC DET +2.5 55.7% 7 LOSS
SEA@JAC SEA -112 55.7% 5 WIN
LAC@MIA LAC -3.5 54.0% 3 LOSS
ARI@IND IND -8.5 55.6% 5 LOSS
TEN@LV TEN +4.5 56.7% 6 LOSS
LAR@BAL LAR -7 56.2% 6 WIN
SF@TB SF +3.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
CLE@PIT JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 LOSS
DEN@NYJ BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS 55.0% 4 LOSS
KC@JAC UNDER 45.5 54.9% 3 LOSS
KC@JAC PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP 56.6% 6 LOSS
HOU@BAL HOU -125 58.5% 7 WIN
DET@CIN DET -10 55.6% 5 WIN
DAL@NYJ NYJ +1.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
TB@SEA TB +3.5 54.9% 4 WIN
TEN@ARI ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) 54.9% 4 LOSS
DEN@PHI DEN +4.5 57.5% 7 WIN
MIA@CAR TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS 54.5% 4 WIN
LV@IND ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 WIN
SF@LAR DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS 55.7% 5 WIN
NYJ@MIA NYJ +3 53.8 3 LOSS
CIN@DEN DEN -7.5 54.8 4 WIN
NYJ@MIA OVER 44 52.9% 2 WIN
CIN@DEN UNDER 44.5 53.7% 3 WIN
NYJ@MIA GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS 53.7% 3 WIN
CIN@DEN TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS 55.5% 5 LOSS
WAS@ATL ATL -2.5 54.3 4 WIN
BAL@KC BAL -2.5 56.3% 6 LOSS
TEN@HOU TEN +7.5 57.9% 7 LOSS
LAC@NYG LAC -6 57.3% 7 LOSS
NO@BUF UNDER 48.5 55.1% 3 LOSS
GB@DAL JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS 55.5% 5 LOSS
CAR@NE DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 LOSS
SEA@ARI SEA -125 57.7% 6 WIN
SEA@ARI KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 WIN
DET@BAL JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS 55.8% 5 WIN
DAL@CHI DAL -120 58.7% 6 LOSS
PIT@NE PIT -116 60.1% 6 WIN
ATL@CAR ATL -4.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
LV@WAS LV +3 54.3% 4 LOSS