Jaguars vs Texans Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Sep 29)
Updated: 2024-09-22T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Jacksonville Jaguars will travel to face the Houston Texans on September 29, 2024, in an AFC South divisional matchup. The Texans, sitting at 2-1, look to extend their strong start, while the Jaguars, at 0-3, are seeking their first win of the season after a series of tough losses.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Sep 29, 2024
Start Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: NRG Stadium
Texans Record: (2-1)
Jaguars Record: (0-3)
OPENING ODDS
JAC Moneyline: +211
HOU Moneyline: -261
JAC Spread: +6
HOU Spread: -6.0
Over/Under: 45.5
JAC
Betting Trends
- The Jaguars have struggled against the spread (ATS) in recent games, covering in only 1 of their last 5 contests. Their most recent ATS loss came in a blowout defeat to the Buffalo Bills, where they lost 47-10.
HOU
Betting Trends
- The Texans have been solid ATS, particularly in their home games, going 3-1 ATS in their last four matchups at NRG Stadium. However, they failed to cover in their recent loss to the Minnesota Vikings.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Jaguars are 1-5 straight up (SU) in their last six games when playing in Houston. Additionally, the total has gone UNDER in 6 of the last 8 matchups between these two teams at NRG Stadium.
JAC vs. HOU
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best Prop Bet for this matchup: Trevor Lawrence Over 225.5 Passing Yards.
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Jacksonville vs Houston Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/29/24
The Jaguars, on the other hand, are struggling. After being blown out by the Bills 47-10, they have fallen to 0-3 on the season. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence has been unable to find consistency behind a shaky offensive line, and while running back Travis Etienne Jr. has shown flashes of brilliance, the Jaguars’ offense has been largely ineffective. Defensively, Jacksonville has struggled mightily, allowing 28.3 points per game, and will need a more disciplined effort to contain the Texans’ balanced offensive attack. The Jaguars’ recent history against the Texans does not bode well, as they are 1-5 SU in their last six trips to Houston. The Texans are currently favored by 6 points, and with Jacksonville’s poor form, Houston seems primed to cover the spread in front of their home crowd. The key to this game will likely be whether the Jaguars can protect Lawrence and establish a more effective ground game, while the Texans will look to capitalize on Jacksonville’s defensive struggles.
On to Houston.@Dream_Finders | #DUUUVAL pic.twitter.com/T0Kk60IEfX
— Jacksonville Jaguars (@Jaguars) September 24, 2024
Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Preview
The Jacksonville Jaguars enter this Week 4 matchup desperate for their first win of the season. After a disappointing start, including a 47-10 blowout loss to Buffalo, the Jaguars are looking for answers. Trevor Lawrence has struggled to find consistency, completing just over 60% of his passes while dealing with constant pressure. The Jaguars’ offense, averaging just 13.3 points per game, has yet to hit its stride, and their rushing attack, led by Travis Etienne Jr., has been one of the few bright spots. Defensively, the Jaguars have been porous, allowing nearly 30 points per game, and they have struggled particularly in pass defense, giving up 252.3 passing yards per game. If Jacksonville hopes to turn their season around, they will need to tighten up defensively, especially in the secondary, and generate more pressure on opposing quarterbacks. They’ll also need to limit turnovers, as Lawrence has thrown costly interceptions in each of the past two games. Despite their struggles, the Jaguars have the talent to compete, but their track record in Houston is concerning. They have lost 5 of their last 6 games at NRG Stadium, and their offense will need to find answers quickly if they hope to avoid falling to 0-4.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Houston Texans NFL Preview
The Houston Texans have surprised many with their 2-1 start to the 2024 season, thanks to an offense that has developed under the leadership of quarterback C.J. Stroud. After a close win over the Colts in Week 1 and a defensive battle victory against the Bears, the Texans now return home to face a Jaguars team desperate for a win. The Texans’ offense, averaging 108.7 rushing yards and 232.3 passing yards per game, has shown balance, with Joe Mixon providing solid production on the ground and Stroud spreading the ball effectively to his receivers. Defensively, Houston has been solid, allowing only 24.7 points per game and limiting opponents to under 100 rushing yards on average. Linebacker Will Anderson Jr. has been a force in the pass rush, while Azeez Al-Shaair leads the team in tackles. The defense will aim to pressure Lawrence and force turnovers, a strategy that has been effective in their past matchups against Jacksonville. Playing at NRG Stadium gives Houston a significant advantage, as they have gone 3-1 ATS in their last four home games. The Texans will be looking to exploit Jacksonville’s vulnerable defense and continue their winning ways at home.
The mentality stays the same pic.twitter.com/FaUZ3gJDWA
— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) September 23, 2024
Jacksonville vs. Houston Prop Picks (AI)
Jacksonville vs. Houston Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Jaguars and Texans and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most fixated on the trending factor knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Jacksonville’s strength factors between a Jaguars team going up against a possibly improved Texans team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Jacksonville vs Houston picks, computer picks Jaguars vs Texans, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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| NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Jaguars Betting Trends
The Jaguars have struggled against the spread (ATS) in recent games, covering in only 1 of their last 5 contests. Their most recent ATS loss came in a blowout defeat to the Buffalo Bills, where they lost 47-10.
Texans Betting Trends
The Texans have been solid ATS, particularly in their home games, going 3-1 ATS in their last four matchups at NRG Stadium. However, they failed to cover in their recent loss to the Minnesota Vikings.
Jaguars vs. Texans Matchup Trends
The Jaguars are 1-5 straight up (SU) in their last six games when playing in Houston. Additionally, the total has gone UNDER in 6 of the last 8 matchups between these two teams at NRG Stadium.
Jacksonville vs. Houston Game Info
What time does Jacksonville vs Houston start on September 29, 2024?
Jacksonville vs Houston starts on September 29, 2024 at 1:00 PM EST.
Where is Jacksonville vs Houston being played?
Venue: NRG Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Jacksonville vs Houston?
Spread: Houston -6.0
Moneyline: Jacksonville +211, Houston -261
Over/Under: 45.5
What are the records for Jacksonville vs Houston?
Jacksonville: (0-3) | Houston: (2-1)
What is the AI best bet for Jacksonville vs Houston?
Remi's searched hard and found the best Prop Bet for this matchup: Trevor Lawrence Over 225.5 Passing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Jacksonville vs Houston trending bets?
The Jaguars are 1-5 straight up (SU) in their last six games when playing in Houston. Additionally, the total has gone UNDER in 6 of the last 8 matchups between these two teams at NRG Stadium.
What are Jacksonville trending bets?
JAC trend: The Jaguars have struggled against the spread (ATS) in recent games, covering in only 1 of their last 5 contests. Their most recent ATS loss came in a blowout defeat to the Buffalo Bills, where they lost 47-10.
What are Houston trending bets?
HOU trend: The Texans have been solid ATS, particularly in their home games, going 3-1 ATS in their last four matchups at NRG Stadium. However, they failed to cover in their recent loss to the Minnesota Vikings.
Where can I find AI Picks for Jacksonville vs Houston?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
Jacksonville vs. Houston Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Jacksonville vs Houston trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Jacksonville vs Houston Opening Odds
JAC Moneyline:
+211 HOU Moneyline: -261
JAC Spread: +6
HOU Spread: -6.0
Over/Under: 45.5
Jacksonville vs Houston Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
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Los Angeles Chargers
10/23/25 8:15PM
Vikings
Chargers
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–
–
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+144
-172
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+3 (-105)
-3 (-115)
|
O 44.5 (-112)
U 44.5 (-108)
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New England Patriots
10/26/25 1PM
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–
–
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+290
-360
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+7 (-114)
-7 (-106)
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O 40.5 (-105)
U 40.5 (-115)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Carolina Panthers
10/26/25 1PM
Bills
Panthers
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–
–
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-430
+340
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-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
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O 46.5 (-105)
U 46.5 (-115)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
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Bengals
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–
–
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+245
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+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
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O 43.5 (-115)
U 43.5 (-105)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens
10/26/25 1PM
Bears
Ravens
|
–
–
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+265
-330
|
+6.5 (-106)
-6.5 (-114)
|
O 50.5 (-105)
U 50.5 (-115)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
10/26/25 1PM
Giants
Eagles
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–
–
|
+270
-335
|
+7 (-108)
-7 (-112)
|
O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Houston Texans
10/26/25 1PM
49ers
Texans
|
–
–
|
-108
-108
|
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (-102)
|
O 41.5 (-105)
U 41.5 (-115)
|
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
10/26/25 1PM
Dolphins
Falcons
|
–
–
|
+280
-350
|
+7.5 (-122)
-7.5 (+100)
|
O 44.5 (-114)
U 44.5 (-106)
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Oct 26, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
10/26/25 4:05PM
Buccaneers
Saints
|
–
–
|
-235
+194
|
-4.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-108)
|
O 46.5 (-114)
U 46.5 (-106)
|
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Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
10/26/25 4:25PM
Cowboys
Broncos
|
–
–
|
+146
-174
|
+3.5 (-118)
-3.5 (-104)
|
O 49.5 (-120)
U 49.5 (-102)
|
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Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
10/26/25 4:25PM
Titans
Colts
|
–
–
|
+750
-1200
|
+14.5 (-118)
-14.5 (-104)
|
O 46.5 (-114)
U 46.5 (-106)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/26/25 8:20PM
Packers
Steelers
|
–
–
|
-174
+146
|
-3.5 (-104)
+3.5 (-118)
|
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Oct 27, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Kansas City Chiefs
10/27/25 8:15PM
Commanders
Chiefs
|
–
–
|
+430
-590
|
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
|
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans on September 29, 2024 at NRG Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| NFL |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE@TEN | NE -6.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| CAR@NYJ | CAR -110 | 57.4 | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIN | PHI -130 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | ARI +7 | 54.8% | 5 | WIN |
| NO@CHI | NO +4.5 | 57.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| WAS@DAL | JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PIT@CIN | JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| BUF@ATL | BUF -3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TEN@LV | UNDER 42 | 54.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@KC | DET +2.5 | 55.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| SEA@JAC | SEA -112 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MIA | LAC -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| ARI@IND | IND -8.5 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| TEN@LV | TEN +4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAR@BAL | LAR -7 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@TB | SF +3.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| CLE@PIT | JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@NYJ | BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | UNDER 45.5 | 54.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@BAL | HOU -125 | 58.5% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@CIN | DET -10 | 55.6% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@NYJ | NYJ +1.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| TB@SEA | TB +3.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TEN@ARI | ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@PHI | DEN +4.5 | 57.5% | 7 | WIN |
| MIA@CAR | TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| LV@IND | ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@LAR | DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | NYJ +3 | 53.8 | 3 | LOSS |
| CIN@DEN | DEN -7.5 | 54.8 | 4 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | OVER 44 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
| CIN@DEN | UNDER 44.5 | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| CIN@DEN | TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| WAS@ATL | ATL -2.5 | 54.3 | 4 | WIN |
| BAL@KC | BAL -2.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
| TEN@HOU | TEN +7.5 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
| LAC@NYG | LAC -6 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| NO@BUF | UNDER 48.5 | 55.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| GB@DAL | JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| CAR@NE | DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |