Commanders vs. Bengals
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 23 | NFL AI Picks
Updated: 2024-09-16T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Washington Commanders will visit the Cincinnati Bengals on September 23, 2024, for a Monday Night Football showdown at Paycor Stadium. Both teams are looking for improvement, with the Commanders standing at 1-1, while the Bengals are still seeking their first win of the season after starting 0-2.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 23, 2024
Start Time: 8:15 PM EST​
Venue: Paycor Stadium​
Bengals Record: (0-2)
Commanders Record: (1-1)
OPENING ODDS
WAS Moneyline: +300
CIN Moneyline: -380
WAS Spread: +7.5
CIN Spread: -7.5
Over/Under: 48.5
WAS
Betting Trends
- The Commanders have gone 1-1 against the spread (ATS) this season. However, they have struggled on the road, having lost five consecutive away games, which impacts their chances of covering the spread against Cincinnati.
CIN
Betting Trends
- The Bengals are 0-2 ATS in 2024 but have performed well against NFC opponents, winning their last nine such games. The Bengals are 1-1 ATS overall this season and historically tend to perform better at home.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Washington has failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games following a division matchup, making them less favorable in this spot. Meanwhile, Cincinnati has been strong in Week 3 games, scoring the first touchdown in 11 of their last 12 such appearances, which could give them an edge in the early part of the game.
WAS vs. CIN
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: QB Jayden Daniels Over 49.5 Rushing Yards
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Washington vs Cincinnati Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/23/24
If the Commanders hope to upset Cincinnati, they will need to control the clock and establish their running game early. Defensively, the Commanders have struggled, allowing 27.5 points per game, and will face a tough challenge in slowing down Burrow and his connection with top targets like Ja’Marr Chase. The Bengals’ defense, while giving up 21 points per game, has been effective in limiting explosive plays. Cincinnati’s pass rush, led by Trey Hendrickson, will be crucial in putting pressure on Daniels and forcing turnovers. Overall, this game will likely be decided by which team can better control the tempo and avoid mistakes. The Bengals have the advantage of playing at home and boast a more dynamic passing game, which gives them a slight edge heading into the matchup.
On lock đź”’@Benj_Juice | #RaiseHail pic.twitter.com/6YanyujAnS
— Washington Commanders (@Commanders) September 17, 2024
Washington Commanders NFL Preview
The Washington Commanders come into this Week 3 matchup with a 1-1 record but face challenges as they look to secure a win on the road. Jayden Daniels has been accurate through the first two games, completing 75.5% of his passes, but the lack of passing touchdowns has hampered Washington’s offensive output. Instead, the Commanders have leaned heavily on their rushing attack, led by Brian Robinson Jr., who has rushed for 173 yards and one touchdown so far this season. Defensively, the Commanders have allowed 27.5 points per game, a troubling figure as they prepare to face Cincinnati’s potent offense. Bobby Wagner has led the defense with 19 tackles, but the unit as a whole has struggled to get stops at key moments. If Washington wants to stay competitive, they will need a stronger performance from their pass rush, as well as tighter coverage in the secondary. For the Commanders, the key to success will be controlling the clock with their run game and limiting mistakes. If they can prevent Burrow from getting into a rhythm and force the Bengals to settle for field goals, Washington has a chance to pull off the upset. However, they must address their defensive weaknesses and improve red zone efficiency to come away with a win.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Cincinnati Bengals NFL Preview
The Cincinnati Bengals enter Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season desperate for a win after starting the season 0-2. Despite the losses, the Bengals have shown progress, particularly in their close Week 2 game against the Kansas City Chiefs. Joe Burrow has been steady, completing 67.7% of his passes for 422 yards and two touchdowns, though the Bengals’ offense has struggled to generate much on the ground. Running back Zack Moss has rushed for just 78 yards through two games, and Cincinnati will need more production from the running game to avoid becoming one-dimensional. The Bengals’ passing attack remains their biggest strength, with Mike Gesicki and Ja’Marr Chase combining for over 200 receiving yards this season. Burrow’s ability to spread the ball around has kept Cincinnati competitive, but the team must finish drives more effectively. Defensively, the Bengals have been solid, allowing 21 points per game. The defensive front, led by Trey Hendrickson, has generated consistent pressure, and the secondary has been effective in limiting big plays. For Cincinnati to secure its first win of the season, the defense will need to contain Washington’s running game and force Daniels into difficult situations. The Bengals’ offense must find more balance, using the run game to control the clock and set up opportunities for Burrow to take shots downfield.
We have signed free agent DT Lawrence Guy and made the following roster moves: https://t.co/mfsRmvP9aD pic.twitter.com/aJNhphBs7g
— Cincinnati Bengals (@Bengals) September 17, 2024
Washington vs. Cincinnati Prop Picks (AI)
Washington vs. Cincinnati Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Commanders and Bengals and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most keyed in on the growing weight human bettors regularly put on Washington’s strength factors between a Commanders team going up against a possibly healthy Bengals team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Washington vs Cincinnati picks, computer picks Commanders vs Bengals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Commanders Betting Trends
The Commanders have gone 1-1 against the spread (ATS) this season. However, they have struggled on the road, having lost five consecutive away games, which impacts their chances of covering the spread against Cincinnati.
Bengals Betting Trends
The Bengals are 0-2 ATS in 2024 but have performed well against NFC opponents, winning their last nine such games. The Bengals are 1-1 ATS overall this season and historically tend to perform better at home.
Commanders vs. Bengals Matchup Trends
Washington has failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games following a division matchup, making them less favorable in this spot. Meanwhile, Cincinnati has been strong in Week 3 games, scoring the first touchdown in 11 of their last 12 such appearances, which could give them an edge in the early part of the game.
Washington vs. Cincinnati Game Info
What time does Washington vs Cincinnati start on September 23, 2024?
Washington vs Cincinnati starts on September 23, 2024 at 8:15 PM EST.
Where is Washington vs Cincinnati being played?
Venue: Paycor Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Washington vs Cincinnati?
Spread: Cincinnati -7.5
Moneyline: Washington +300, Cincinnati -380
Over/Under: 48.5
What are the records for Washington vs Cincinnati?
Washington: (1-1) Â |Â Cincinnati: (0-2)
What is the AI best bet for Washington vs Cincinnati?
Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: QB Jayden Daniels Over 49.5 Rushing Yards. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Washington vs Cincinnati trending bets?
Washington has failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games following a division matchup, making them less favorable in this spot. Meanwhile, Cincinnati has been strong in Week 3 games, scoring the first touchdown in 11 of their last 12 such appearances, which could give them an edge in the early part of the game.
What are Washington trending bets?
WAS trend: The Commanders have gone 1-1 against the spread (ATS) this season. However, they have struggled on the road, having lost five consecutive away games, which impacts their chances of covering the spread against Cincinnati.
What are Cincinnati trending bets?
CIN trend: The Bengals are 0-2 ATS in 2024 but have performed well against NFC opponents, winning their last nine such games. The Bengals are 1-1 ATS overall this season and historically tend to perform better at home.
Where can I find AI Picks for Washington vs Cincinnati?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
Washington vs. Cincinnati Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Washington vs Cincinnati trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Washington vs Cincinnati Opening Odds
WAS Moneyline:
+300 CIN Moneyline: -380
WAS Spread: +7.5
CIN Spread: -7.5
Over/Under: 48.5
Washington vs Cincinnati Live Odds
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Vikings
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–
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-140
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O 41 (-110)
U 41 (-110)
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O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
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–
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+300
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+7 (-105)
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O 39 (-110)
U 39 (-110)
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Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
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–
–
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-190
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-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
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O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
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Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Atlanta Falcons
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Falcons
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–
–
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+105
-125
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+2.5 (-110)
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O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
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Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
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–
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+800
-1300
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+15 (-110)
-15 (-110)
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O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
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Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Carolina Panthers
New England Patriots
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Panthers
Patriots
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–
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+200
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+5.5 (-110)
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O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
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Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Jacksonville Jaguars
San Francisco 49ers
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49ers
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–
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+150
-180
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+3.5 (-115)
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O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
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Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
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Los Angeles Rams
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Colts
Rams
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–
–
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+160
-190
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+3.5 (-110)
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O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
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Sep 28, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Baltimore Ravens
Kansas City Chiefs
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Ravens
Chiefs
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–
–
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-150
+125
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-2.5 (-120)
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O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
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Sep 28, 2025 4:26PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Las Vegas Raiders
9/28/25 4:26PM
Bears
Raiders
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–
–
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+100
-120
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+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
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O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
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Sep 28, 2025 8:21PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Dallas Cowboys
9/28/25 8:21PM
Packers
Cowboys
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–
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-325
+250
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-7 (-105)
+7 (-115)
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O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
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Sep 29, 2025 7:15PM EDT
New York Jets
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Jets
Dolphins
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–
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+125
-150
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+3 (-115)
-3 (-105)
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O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
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Sep 29, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
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Bengals
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–
–
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+310
-400
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+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
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O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
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Oct 2, 2025 8:16PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
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+134
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+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
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O 47.5 (-105)
U 47.5 (-115)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Washington Commanders vs. Cincinnati Bengals on September 23, 2024 at Paycor Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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   LEAN |    %WIN |    UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
GB@CLE | GB -7 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SF | ARI +3 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
KC@NYG | PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
GB@CLE | JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
MIA@BUF | TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
LAC@LV | LAC -3 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TB@HOU | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
CHI@DET | DET -6.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
DEN@IND | DEN -118 | 60.1% | 10 | LOSS |
PHI@KC | PHI -115 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
SF@NO | SF -3 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
SEA@PIT | OVER 40 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
CAR@ARI | BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
DEN@IND | JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
ATL@MIN | BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@GB | WAS +3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
WAS@GB | JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIN@CHI | CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
TEN@DEN | DEN -8.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
SF@SEA | SF -115 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
SF@SEA | KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
CAR@JAC | TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
KC@LAC | JUSTIN HERBERT UNDER 0.5 INT | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
DAL@PHI | GEORGE PICKENS LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 22.5 YDS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@PHI | JUJU SMITH-SCHUSTER UNDER 16.5 RECV YDS | 53.90% | 5 | WIN |
KC@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 20.5 YDS | 54.40% | 6 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 68.3% PASS COMP | 55.00% | 8 | WIN |
KC@PHI | JALEN HURTS LONGEST RUSH OVER 12.5 YDS | 55.60% | 8 | WIN |
BUF@KC | DALTON KINCAID OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.10% | 8 | LOSS |
WAS@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS | 55.80% | 8 | WIN |
BUF@KC | JAMES COOK ANYTIME TD | 53.00% | 5 | WIN |
LAR@PHI | SAQUON BARKLEY UNDER 128 RUSH + REC YDS | 53.20% | 5 | LOSS |
BAL@BUF | LAMAR JACKSON OVER 54.5 RUSH YDS | 54.50% | 6 | LOSS |
HOU@KC | C.J. STROUD RUSH YDS UNDER 14.5 | 53.10% | 5 | LOSS |
WAS@DET | JAMESON WILLIAMS RUSH YDS OVER 1.5 | 53.30% | 5 | WIN |
WAS@DET | JARED GOFF PASS COMP % UNDER 72.3 | 54.30% | 6 | WIN |
MIN@LAR | COOPER KUPP ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN | 52.60% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@LAR | MATTHEW STAFFORD OVER 21.5 PASS COMP | 54.10% | 6 | LOSS |
WAS@TB | BRIAN ROBINSON JR OVER 1.5 REC TARGETS | 53.50% | 5 | WIN |
WAS@TB | BAKER MAYFIELD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT | 54.90% | 6 | WIN |
GB@PHI | JALEN HURTS OVER 67.1 PASS COMP PERCENTAGE | 54.60% | 6 | LOSS |
LAC@HOU | J.K. DOBBINS ANYTIME TD | 52.80% | 3 | LOSS |
LAC@HOU | LAC -2.5 | 53.40% | 3 | LOSS |
LAC@HOU | JUSTIN HERBERT OVER 19.5 RUSH YDS | 53.40% | 5 | LOSS |