Commanders vs Bengals Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Sep 23)
Updated: 2024-09-16T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Washington Commanders will visit the Cincinnati Bengals on September 23, 2024, for a Monday Night Football showdown at Paycor Stadium. Both teams are looking for improvement, with the Commanders standing at 1-1, while the Bengals are still seeking their first win of the season after starting 0-2.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 23, 2024
Start Time: 8:15 PM EST
Venue: Paycor Stadium
Bengals Record: (0-2)
Commanders Record: (1-1)
OPENING ODDS
WAS Moneyline: +300
CIN Moneyline: -380
WAS Spread: +7.5
CIN Spread: -7.5
Over/Under: 48.5
WAS
Betting Trends
- The Commanders have gone 1-1 against the spread (ATS) this season. However, they have struggled on the road, having lost five consecutive away games, which impacts their chances of covering the spread against Cincinnati.
CIN
Betting Trends
- The Bengals are 0-2 ATS in 2024 but have performed well against NFC opponents, winning their last nine such games. The Bengals are 1-1 ATS overall this season and historically tend to perform better at home.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Washington has failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games following a division matchup, making them less favorable in this spot. Meanwhile, Cincinnati has been strong in Week 3 games, scoring the first touchdown in 11 of their last 12 such appearances, which could give them an edge in the early part of the game.
WAS vs. CIN
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: QB Jayden Daniels Over 49.5 Rushing Yards
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Washington vs Cincinnati Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/23/24
If the Commanders hope to upset Cincinnati, they will need to control the clock and establish their running game early. Defensively, the Commanders have struggled, allowing 27.5 points per game, and will face a tough challenge in slowing down Burrow and his connection with top targets like Ja’Marr Chase. The Bengals’ defense, while giving up 21 points per game, has been effective in limiting explosive plays. Cincinnati’s pass rush, led by Trey Hendrickson, will be crucial in putting pressure on Daniels and forcing turnovers. Overall, this game will likely be decided by which team can better control the tempo and avoid mistakes. The Bengals have the advantage of playing at home and boast a more dynamic passing game, which gives them a slight edge heading into the matchup.
On lock 🔒@Benj_Juice | #RaiseHail pic.twitter.com/6YanyujAnS
— Washington Commanders (@Commanders) September 17, 2024
Washington Commanders NFL Preview
The Washington Commanders come into this Week 3 matchup with a 1-1 record but face challenges as they look to secure a win on the road. Jayden Daniels has been accurate through the first two games, completing 75.5% of his passes, but the lack of passing touchdowns has hampered Washington’s offensive output. Instead, the Commanders have leaned heavily on their rushing attack, led by Brian Robinson Jr., who has rushed for 173 yards and one touchdown so far this season. Defensively, the Commanders have allowed 27.5 points per game, a troubling figure as they prepare to face Cincinnati’s potent offense. Bobby Wagner has led the defense with 19 tackles, but the unit as a whole has struggled to get stops at key moments. If Washington wants to stay competitive, they will need a stronger performance from their pass rush, as well as tighter coverage in the secondary. For the Commanders, the key to success will be controlling the clock with their run game and limiting mistakes. If they can prevent Burrow from getting into a rhythm and force the Bengals to settle for field goals, Washington has a chance to pull off the upset. However, they must address their defensive weaknesses and improve red zone efficiency to come away with a win.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Cincinnati Bengals NFL Preview
The Cincinnati Bengals enter Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season desperate for a win after starting the season 0-2. Despite the losses, the Bengals have shown progress, particularly in their close Week 2 game against the Kansas City Chiefs. Joe Burrow has been steady, completing 67.7% of his passes for 422 yards and two touchdowns, though the Bengals’ offense has struggled to generate much on the ground. Running back Zack Moss has rushed for just 78 yards through two games, and Cincinnati will need more production from the running game to avoid becoming one-dimensional. The Bengals’ passing attack remains their biggest strength, with Mike Gesicki and Ja’Marr Chase combining for over 200 receiving yards this season. Burrow’s ability to spread the ball around has kept Cincinnati competitive, but the team must finish drives more effectively. Defensively, the Bengals have been solid, allowing 21 points per game. The defensive front, led by Trey Hendrickson, has generated consistent pressure, and the secondary has been effective in limiting big plays. For Cincinnati to secure its first win of the season, the defense will need to contain Washington’s running game and force Daniels into difficult situations. The Bengals’ offense must find more balance, using the run game to control the clock and set up opportunities for Burrow to take shots downfield.
We have signed free agent DT Lawrence Guy and made the following roster moves: https://t.co/mfsRmvP9aD pic.twitter.com/aJNhphBs7g
— Cincinnati Bengals (@Bengals) September 17, 2024
Washington vs. Cincinnati Prop Picks (AI)
Washington vs. Cincinnati Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every facet between the Commanders and Bengals and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of weight emotional bettors tend to put on Washington’s strength factors between a Commanders team going up against a possibly deflated Bengals team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Washington vs Cincinnati picks, computer picks Commanders vs Bengals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Commanders Betting Trends
The Commanders have gone 1-1 against the spread (ATS) this season. However, they have struggled on the road, having lost five consecutive away games, which impacts their chances of covering the spread against Cincinnati.
Bengals Betting Trends
The Bengals are 0-2 ATS in 2024 but have performed well against NFC opponents, winning their last nine such games. The Bengals are 1-1 ATS overall this season and historically tend to perform better at home.
Commanders vs. Bengals Matchup Trends
Washington has failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games following a division matchup, making them less favorable in this spot. Meanwhile, Cincinnati has been strong in Week 3 games, scoring the first touchdown in 11 of their last 12 such appearances, which could give them an edge in the early part of the game.
Washington vs. Cincinnati Game Info
What time does Washington vs Cincinnati start on September 23, 2024?
Washington vs Cincinnati starts on September 23, 2024 at 8:15 PM EST.
Where is Washington vs Cincinnati being played?
Venue: Paycor Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Washington vs Cincinnati?
Spread: Cincinnati -7.5
Moneyline: Washington +300, Cincinnati -380
Over/Under: 48.5
What are the records for Washington vs Cincinnati?
Washington: (1-1) | Cincinnati: (0-2)
What is the AI best bet for Washington vs Cincinnati?
Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: QB Jayden Daniels Over 49.5 Rushing Yards. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Washington vs Cincinnati trending bets?
Washington has failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games following a division matchup, making them less favorable in this spot. Meanwhile, Cincinnati has been strong in Week 3 games, scoring the first touchdown in 11 of their last 12 such appearances, which could give them an edge in the early part of the game.
What are Washington trending bets?
WAS trend: The Commanders have gone 1-1 against the spread (ATS) this season. However, they have struggled on the road, having lost five consecutive away games, which impacts their chances of covering the spread against Cincinnati.
What are Cincinnati trending bets?
CIN trend: The Bengals are 0-2 ATS in 2024 but have performed well against NFC opponents, winning their last nine such games. The Bengals are 1-1 ATS overall this season and historically tend to perform better at home.
Where can I find AI Picks for Washington vs Cincinnati?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
Washington vs. Cincinnati Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Washington vs Cincinnati trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Washington vs Cincinnati Opening Odds
WAS Moneyline:
+300 CIN Moneyline: -380
WAS Spread: +7.5
CIN Spread: -7.5
Over/Under: 48.5
Washington vs Cincinnati Live Odds
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Oct 23, 2025 8:15PM EDT
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–
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+136
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U 44.5 (-108)
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U 40.5 (-115)
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O 46.5 (-105)
U 46.5 (-115)
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–
–
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+245
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+6.5 (-110)
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O 43.5 (-115)
U 43.5 (-105)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens
10/26/25 1PM
Bears
Ravens
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–
–
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+265
-330
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+6.5 (-106)
-6.5 (-114)
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O 50.5 (-105)
U 50.5 (-115)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
10/26/25 1PM
Giants
Eagles
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–
–
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+265
-330
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+7 (-112)
-7 (-108)
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O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Houston Texans
10/26/25 1PM
49ers
Texans
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–
–
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-106
-110
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+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (-102)
|
O 41.5 (-105)
U 41.5 (-115)
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Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
10/26/25 1PM
Dolphins
Falcons
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–
–
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+285
-355
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+7.5 (-122)
-7.5 (+100)
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O 44.5 (-114)
U 44.5 (-106)
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Oct 26, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
10/26/25 4:05PM
Buccaneers
Saints
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–
–
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-235
+194
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-4.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-108)
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O 46.5 (-114)
U 46.5 (-106)
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Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
10/26/25 4:25PM
Cowboys
Broncos
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–
–
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+146
-174
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+3.5 (-118)
-3.5 (-104)
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O 49.5 (-120)
U 49.5 (-102)
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Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
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Titans
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–
–
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+730
-1150
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+14.5 (-118)
-14.5 (-104)
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O 46.5 (-114)
U 46.5 (-106)
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Oct 26, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
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Packers
Steelers
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–
–
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-168
+142
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-3.5 (-104)
+3.5 (-118)
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O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
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Oct 27, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Kansas City Chiefs
10/27/25 8:15PM
Commanders
Chiefs
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–
–
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+440
-590
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+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
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O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Washington Commanders vs. Cincinnati Bengals on September 23, 2024 at Paycor Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
NE@TEN | NE -6.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
CAR@NYJ | CAR -110 | 57.4 | 4 | WIN |
PHI@MIN | PHI -130 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
GB@ARI | ARI +7 | 54.8% | 5 | WIN |
NO@CHI | NO +4.5 | 57.4% | 7 | LOSS |
WAS@DAL | JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
GB@ARI | JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
PIT@CIN | JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
BUF@ATL | BUF -3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
CHI@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TEN@LV | UNDER 42 | 54.8% | 3 | WIN |
DET@KC | DET +2.5 | 55.7% | 7 | LOSS |
SEA@JAC | SEA -112 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
LAC@MIA | LAC -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
ARI@IND | IND -8.5 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
TEN@LV | TEN +4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
LAR@BAL | LAR -7 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
SF@TB | SF +3.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
CLE@PIT | JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@NYJ | BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@JAC | UNDER 45.5 | 54.9% | 3 | LOSS |
KC@JAC | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
HOU@BAL | HOU -125 | 58.5% | 7 | WIN |
DET@CIN | DET -10 | 55.6% | 5 | WIN |
DAL@NYJ | NYJ +1.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@SEA | TB +3.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TEN@ARI | ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
DEN@PHI | DEN +4.5 | 57.5% | 7 | WIN |
MIA@CAR | TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
LV@IND | ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
SF@LAR | DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
NYJ@MIA | NYJ +3 | 53.8 | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@DEN | DEN -7.5 | 54.8 | 4 | WIN |
NYJ@MIA | OVER 44 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
CIN@DEN | UNDER 44.5 | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
NYJ@MIA | GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@DEN | TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
WAS@ATL | ATL -2.5 | 54.3 | 4 | WIN |
BAL@KC | BAL -2.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
TEN@HOU | TEN +7.5 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
LAC@NYG | LAC -6 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
NO@BUF | UNDER 48.5 | 55.1% | 3 | LOSS |
GB@DAL | JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
CAR@NE | DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |