Commanders vs Bengals Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Sep 23)

Updated: 2024-09-16T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Washington Commanders will visit the Cincinnati Bengals on September 23, 2024, for a Monday Night Football showdown at Paycor Stadium. Both teams are looking for improvement, with the Commanders standing at 1-1, while the Bengals are still seeking their first win of the season after starting 0-2.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 23, 2024

Start Time: 8:15 PM EST​

Venue: Paycor Stadium​

Bengals Record: (0-2)

Commanders Record: (1-1)

OPENING ODDS

WAS Moneyline: +300

CIN Moneyline: -380

WAS Spread: +7.5

CIN Spread: -7.5

Over/Under: 48.5

WAS
Betting Trends

  • The Commanders have gone 1-1 against the spread (ATS) this season. However, they have struggled on the road, having lost five consecutive away games, which impacts their chances of covering the spread against Cincinnati.

CIN
Betting Trends

  • The Bengals are 0-2 ATS in 2024 but have performed well against NFC opponents, winning their last nine such games. The Bengals are 1-1 ATS overall this season and historically tend to perform better at home.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Washington has failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games following a division matchup, making them less favorable in this spot. Meanwhile, Cincinnati has been strong in Week 3 games, scoring the first touchdown in 11 of their last 12 such appearances, which could give them an edge in the early part of the game.

WAS vs. CIN
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: QB Jayden Daniels Over 49.5 Rushing Yards

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Washington vs Cincinnati Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/23/24

The Monday night matchup between the Washington Commanders and Cincinnati Bengals is set to be a key early-season test for both teams. The Bengals come into the game winless after two close losses, most recently a narrow 25-26 defeat to the Kansas City Chiefs. Despite their 0-2 record, Cincinnati has shown some promise, with quarterback Joe Burrow throwing for 422 yards and two touchdowns without any interceptions. The Bengals’ offense, which has been pass-heavy, will need to find a better balance if they want to control the pace of the game against Washington. Washington, at 1-1, also comes in looking to improve. The Commanders have been inconsistent, winning their Week 1 game but suffering a 37-20 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 2. Quarterback Jayden Daniels, while accurate, has yet to throw a touchdown pass this season. Instead, Washington has relied on its ground game, with Brian Robinson Jr. leading the team with 173 rushing yards.

If the Commanders hope to upset Cincinnati, they will need to control the clock and establish their running game early. Defensively, the Commanders have struggled, allowing 27.5 points per game, and will face a tough challenge in slowing down Burrow and his connection with top targets like Ja’Marr Chase. The Bengals’ defense, while giving up 21 points per game, has been effective in limiting explosive plays. Cincinnati’s pass rush, led by Trey Hendrickson, will be crucial in putting pressure on Daniels and forcing turnovers. Overall, this game will likely be decided by which team can better control the tempo and avoid mistakes. The Bengals have the advantage of playing at home and boast a more dynamic passing game, which gives them a slight edge heading into the matchup.

Washington Commanders NFL Preview

The Washington Commanders come into this Week 3 matchup with a 1-1 record but face challenges as they look to secure a win on the road. Jayden Daniels has been accurate through the first two games, completing 75.5% of his passes, but the lack of passing touchdowns has hampered Washington’s offensive output. Instead, the Commanders have leaned heavily on their rushing attack, led by Brian Robinson Jr., who has rushed for 173 yards and one touchdown so far this season. Defensively, the Commanders have allowed 27.5 points per game, a troubling figure as they prepare to face Cincinnati’s potent offense. Bobby Wagner has led the defense with 19 tackles, but the unit as a whole has struggled to get stops at key moments. If Washington wants to stay competitive, they will need a stronger performance from their pass rush, as well as tighter coverage in the secondary. For the Commanders, the key to success will be controlling the clock with their run game and limiting mistakes. If they can prevent Burrow from getting into a rhythm and force the Bengals to settle for field goals, Washington has a chance to pull off the upset. However, they must address their defensive weaknesses and improve red zone efficiency to come away with a win.

The Washington Commanders will visit the Cincinnati Bengals on September 23, 2024, for a Monday Night Football showdown at Paycor Stadium. Both teams are looking for improvement, with the Commanders standing at 1-1, while the Bengals are still seeking their first win of the season after starting 0-2. Washington vs Cincinnati AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Sep 23. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Cincinnati Bengals NFL Preview

The Cincinnati Bengals enter Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season desperate for a win after starting the season 0-2. Despite the losses, the Bengals have shown progress, particularly in their close Week 2 game against the Kansas City Chiefs. Joe Burrow has been steady, completing 67.7% of his passes for 422 yards and two touchdowns, though the Bengals’ offense has struggled to generate much on the ground. Running back Zack Moss has rushed for just 78 yards through two games, and Cincinnati will need more production from the running game to avoid becoming one-dimensional. The Bengals’ passing attack remains their biggest strength, with Mike Gesicki and Ja’Marr Chase combining for over 200 receiving yards this season. Burrow’s ability to spread the ball around has kept Cincinnati competitive, but the team must finish drives more effectively. Defensively, the Bengals have been solid, allowing 21 points per game. The defensive front, led by Trey Hendrickson, has generated consistent pressure, and the secondary has been effective in limiting big plays. For Cincinnati to secure its first win of the season, the defense will need to contain Washington’s running game and force Daniels into difficult situations. The Bengals’ offense must find more balance, using the run game to control the clock and set up opportunities for Burrow to take shots downfield.

Washington vs. Cincinnati Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Commanders and Bengals play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Paycor Stadium in Sep almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: QB Jayden Daniels Over 49.5 Rushing Yards

Washington vs. Cincinnati Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Commanders and Bengals and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most keyed in on the trending factor knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Commanders team going up against a possibly healthy Bengals team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Washington vs Cincinnati picks, computer picks Commanders vs Bengals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NFL 10/20 HOU@SEA UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 HOU@SEA UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Commanders Betting Trends

The Commanders have gone 1-1 against the spread (ATS) this season. However, they have struggled on the road, having lost five consecutive away games, which impacts their chances of covering the spread against Cincinnati.

Bengals Betting Trends

The Bengals are 0-2 ATS in 2024 but have performed well against NFC opponents, winning their last nine such games. The Bengals are 1-1 ATS overall this season and historically tend to perform better at home.

Commanders vs. Bengals Matchup Trends

Washington has failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games following a division matchup, making them less favorable in this spot. Meanwhile, Cincinnati has been strong in Week 3 games, scoring the first touchdown in 11 of their last 12 such appearances, which could give them an edge in the early part of the game.

Washington vs. Cincinnati Game Info

Washington vs Cincinnati starts on September 23, 2024 at 8:15 PM EST.

Spread: Cincinnati -7.5
Moneyline: Washington +300, Cincinnati -380
Over/Under: 48.5

Washington: (1-1)  |  Cincinnati: (0-2)

Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: QB Jayden Daniels Over 49.5 Rushing Yards. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Washington has failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games following a division matchup, making them less favorable in this spot. Meanwhile, Cincinnati has been strong in Week 3 games, scoring the first touchdown in 11 of their last 12 such appearances, which could give them an edge in the early part of the game.

WAS trend: The Commanders have gone 1-1 against the spread (ATS) this season. However, they have struggled on the road, having lost five consecutive away games, which impacts their chances of covering the spread against Cincinnati.

CIN trend: The Bengals are 0-2 ATS in 2024 but have performed well against NFC opponents, winning their last nine such games. The Bengals are 1-1 ATS overall this season and historically tend to perform better at home.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.

Washington vs. Cincinnati Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Washington vs Cincinnati trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Washington vs Cincinnati Opening Odds

WAS Moneyline: +300
CIN Moneyline: -380
WAS Spread: +7.5
CIN Spread: -7.5
Over/Under: 48.5

Washington vs Cincinnati Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 23, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Chargers
10/23/25 8:15PM
Vikings
Chargers
+135
-160
+3 (-115)
-3 (-105)
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
New England Patriots
10/26/25 1PM
Browns
Patriots
+290
-380
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
O 40.5 (-110)
U 40.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Carolina Panthers
10/26/25 1PM
Bills
Panthers
-430
+320
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 46 (-110)
U 46 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
10/26/25 1PM
Jets
Bengals
+270
-340
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens
10/26/25 1PM
Bears
Ravens
+270
-340
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-115)
O 49.5 (-115)
U 49.5 (-105)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
10/26/25 1PM
Giants
Eagles
+300
-400
+7 (-105)
-7 (-115)
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Houston Texans
10/26/25 1PM
49ers
Texans
-122
+104
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
O 41.5 (-115)
U 41.5 (-105)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
10/26/25 1PM
Dolphins
Falcons
+295
-390
+7 (-105)
-7 (-115)
O 45 (-105)
U 45 (-115)
Oct 26, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
10/26/25 4:05PM
Buccaneers
Saints
-245
+205
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
10/26/25 4:25PM
Cowboys
Broncos
+150
-175
+3.5 (-120)
-3.5 (+100)
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
10/26/25 4:25PM
Titans
Colts
+700
-1200
+14 (-110)
-14 (-110)
O 47 (-115)
U 47 (-105)
Oct 26, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/26/25 8:20PM
Packers
Steelers
-185
+160
-3.5 (+100)
+3.5 (-120)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Oct 27, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Kansas City Chiefs
10/27/25 8:15PM
Commanders
Chiefs
+460
-620
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Washington Commanders vs. Cincinnati Bengals on September 23, 2024 at Paycor Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NE@TEN NE -6.5 55.2% 5 WIN
CAR@NYJ CAR -110 57.4 4 WIN
PHI@MIN PHI -130 58.0% 6 WIN
GB@ARI ARI +7 54.8% 5 WIN
NO@CHI NO +4.5 57.4% 7 LOSS
WAS@DAL JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 56.1% 5 WIN
GB@ARI JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 56.6% 6 WIN
PIT@CIN JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
BUF@ATL BUF -3.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
CHI@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 56.6% 6 WIN
TEN@LV UNDER 42 54.8% 3 WIN
DET@KC DET +2.5 55.7% 7 LOSS
SEA@JAC SEA -112 55.7% 5 WIN
LAC@MIA LAC -3.5 54.0% 3 LOSS
ARI@IND IND -8.5 55.6% 5 LOSS
TEN@LV TEN +4.5 56.7% 6 LOSS
LAR@BAL LAR -7 56.2% 6 WIN
SF@TB SF +3.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
CLE@PIT JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 LOSS
DEN@NYJ BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS 55.0% 4 LOSS
KC@JAC UNDER 45.5 54.9% 3 LOSS
KC@JAC PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP 56.6% 6 LOSS
HOU@BAL HOU -125 58.5% 7 WIN
DET@CIN DET -10 55.6% 5 WIN
DAL@NYJ NYJ +1.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
TB@SEA TB +3.5 54.9% 4 WIN
TEN@ARI ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) 54.9% 4 LOSS
DEN@PHI DEN +4.5 57.5% 7 WIN
MIA@CAR TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS 54.5% 4 WIN
LV@IND ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 WIN
SF@LAR DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS 55.7% 5 WIN
NYJ@MIA NYJ +3 53.8 3 LOSS
CIN@DEN DEN -7.5 54.8 4 WIN
NYJ@MIA OVER 44 52.9% 2 WIN
CIN@DEN UNDER 44.5 53.7% 3 WIN
NYJ@MIA GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS 53.7% 3 WIN
CIN@DEN TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS 55.5% 5 LOSS
WAS@ATL ATL -2.5 54.3 4 WIN
BAL@KC BAL -2.5 56.3% 6 LOSS
TEN@HOU TEN +7.5 57.9% 7 LOSS
LAC@NYG LAC -6 57.3% 7 LOSS
NO@BUF UNDER 48.5 55.1% 3 LOSS
GB@DAL JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS 55.5% 5 LOSS
CAR@NE DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 LOSS
SEA@ARI SEA -125 57.7% 6 WIN
SEA@ARI KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 WIN
DET@BAL JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS 55.8% 5 WIN
DAL@CHI DAL -120 58.7% 6 LOSS
PIT@NE PIT -116 60.1% 6 WIN
ATL@CAR ATL -4.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
LV@WAS LV +3 54.3% 4 LOSS