Jaguars vs Bills Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Sep 23)

Updated: 2024-09-16T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Jacksonville Jaguars will face the Buffalo Bills on September 23, 2024, at Highmark Stadium for a primetime Monday Night Football showdown. The Bills, entering the game as 5.5-point favorites, will look to maintain their early momentum after starting 2-0, while the Jaguars will attempt to recover from a rocky 1-1 start.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 23, 2024

Start Time: 7:30 PM EST​

Venue: Highmark Stadium​

Bills Record: (2-0)

Jaguars Record: (0-2)

OPENING ODDS

JAC Moneyline: +199

BUF Moneyline: -244

JAC Spread: +5.5

BUF Spread: -5.5

Over/Under: 45.5

JAC
Betting Trends

  • The Jaguars are 1-1 against the spread (ATS) this season and have struggled with consistency. However, Jacksonville has historically performed better as underdogs, having covered in five of their last seven games when listed as underdogs of more than 4 points.

BUF
Betting Trends

  • The Bills are 1-0-1 ATS this season and are generally dominant at home. They’ve covered the spread in five of their last seven home games, particularly when facing non-division opponents.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Games involving the Jaguars have yet to go over the total points line in 2024, and the Bills have seen only one game hit the over so far this season. With the over/under set at 46.5 points, and given the Bills’ strong defense and Jacksonville’s offensive struggles, the under could be a trend to watch.

JAC vs. BUF
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: QB Trevor Lawrence Over 228.5 Passing Yards

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Jacksonville vs Buffalo Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/23/24

The Week 3 Monday Night Football matchup between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Buffalo Bills is set to be a thrilling contest, with the Bills favored to continue their strong start to the season. Buffalo, led by quarterback Josh Allen, has averaged 32.5 points per game across their first two outings, showcasing a potent passing attack bolstered by the addition of large targets like Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox. Allen has been particularly effective in spreading the ball around, taking advantage of mismatches against smaller defensive backs. On the other side, the Jaguars have been inconsistent. Trevor Lawrence, while showing moments of brilliance, has struggled to connect on deep passes, completing only 51% of his throws so far this season.

Jacksonville’s ground game, led by Travis Etienne, has shown flashes, but the team has yet to establish the consistent offensive rhythm needed to challenge an elite defense like Buffalo’s. Defensively, the Bills have been rock solid, particularly against the pass. Buffalo’s pass rush has been effective, forcing turnovers and putting pressure on opposing quarterbacks. For Jacksonville, their defense will need to step up, especially against Buffalo’s balanced offensive approach. If the Jaguars can’t control the line of scrimmage and slow down Buffalo’s offense, they will have difficulty keeping pace. This game could be decided by whether Jacksonville can limit their mistakes and capitalize on their red zone opportunities. The Bills, meanwhile, will look to dominate through their defense and maintain offensive efficiency to secure a 3-0 start to the season.

Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Preview

The Jacksonville Jaguars head into their Monday Night Football clash with the Buffalo Bills needing a rebound after a mixed start to the 2024 season. At 1-1, Jacksonville has shown promise at times but has been plagued by offensive inefficiency and inconsistent play from quarterback Trevor Lawrence. Lawrence has thrown for 436 yards and three touchdowns through two games, but his completion percentage has been subpar, and the Jaguars have struggled to finish drives, especially in the red zone. Travis Etienne has been a bright spot, averaging 5.9 yards per carry and providing a spark in the run game, but Jacksonville will need more balance if they hope to compete with Buffalo. The Jaguars’ defense has allowed 22.5 points per game, and while they have been solid against the run, their secondary has been vulnerable to big plays, which could be a problem against Buffalo’s tall, athletic receivers. For the Jaguars to pull off the upset, they will need a near-perfect performance from Lawrence, combined with a strong showing from their defense. Limiting Josh Allen’s ability to make big plays and controlling the tempo with their ground game will be crucial to Jacksonville’s success.

The Jacksonville Jaguars will face the Buffalo Bills on September 23, 2024, at Highmark Stadium for a primetime Monday Night Football showdown. The Bills, entering the game as 5.5-point favorites, will look to maintain their early momentum after starting 2-0, while the Jaguars will attempt to recover from a rocky 1-1 start. Jacksonville vs Buffalo AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Sep 23. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Buffalo Bills NFL Preview

The Buffalo Bills enter Week 3 with confidence after a dominant start to the 2024 season, sitting at 2-0 and looking like one of the top teams in the AFC. Quarterback Josh Allen has been in fine form, throwing for 518 yards and five touchdowns through two games, with minimal turnovers. The Bills’ revamped receiving corps, featuring taller targets such as Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox, has provided Allen with plenty of red zone options, making Buffalo’s offense especially difficult to stop near the goal line. On the defensive side of the ball, Buffalo has been equally impressive, allowing just 15.5 points per game and ranking near the top of the league in both takeaways and third-down defense. Their ability to pressure quarterbacks and cover receivers tightly has stifled opponents, which could spell trouble for a Jaguars team that has struggled to find offensive consistency. If the Bills’ defense can force Trevor Lawrence into uncomfortable situations and limit the impact of Jacksonville’s run game, they should be well-positioned to extend their winning streak. Buffalo’s path to victory will involve maintaining their aggressive play on both sides of the ball, and controlling the clock by sustaining long, methodical drives will be key to wearing down Jacksonville’s defense.

Jacksonville vs. Buffalo Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Jaguars and Bills play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Highmark Stadium in Sep seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: QB Trevor Lawrence Over 228.5 Passing Yards

Jacksonville vs. Buffalo Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Jaguars and Bills and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most keyed in on the trending factor knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on Buffalo’s strength factors between a Jaguars team going up against a possibly deflated Bills team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Jacksonville vs Buffalo picks, computer picks Jaguars vs Bills, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Jaguars Betting Trends

The Jaguars are 1-1 against the spread (ATS) this season and have struggled with consistency. However, Jacksonville has historically performed better as underdogs, having covered in five of their last seven games when listed as underdogs of more than 4 points.

Bills Betting Trends

The Bills are 1-0-1 ATS this season and are generally dominant at home. They’ve covered the spread in five of their last seven home games, particularly when facing non-division opponents.

Jaguars vs. Bills Matchup Trends

Games involving the Jaguars have yet to go over the total points line in 2024, and the Bills have seen only one game hit the over so far this season. With the over/under set at 46.5 points, and given the Bills’ strong defense and Jacksonville’s offensive struggles, the under could be a trend to watch.

Jacksonville vs. Buffalo Game Info

Jacksonville vs Buffalo starts on September 23, 2024 at 7:30 PM EST.

Spread: Buffalo -5.5
Moneyline: Jacksonville +199, Buffalo -244
Over/Under: 45.5

Jacksonville: (0-2)  |  Buffalo: (2-0)

Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: QB Trevor Lawrence Over 228.5 Passing Yards. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Games involving the Jaguars have yet to go over the total points line in 2024, and the Bills have seen only one game hit the over so far this season. With the over/under set at 46.5 points, and given the Bills’ strong defense and Jacksonville’s offensive struggles, the under could be a trend to watch.

JAC trend: The Jaguars are 1-1 against the spread (ATS) this season and have struggled with consistency. However, Jacksonville has historically performed better as underdogs, having covered in five of their last seven games when listed as underdogs of more than 4 points.

BUF trend: The Bills are 1-0-1 ATS this season and are generally dominant at home. They’ve covered the spread in five of their last seven home games, particularly when facing non-division opponents.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.

Jacksonville vs. Buffalo Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Jacksonville vs Buffalo trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Jacksonville vs Buffalo Opening Odds

JAC Moneyline: +199
BUF Moneyline: -244
JAC Spread: +5.5
BUF Spread: -5.5
Over/Under: 45.5

Jacksonville vs Buffalo Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 10, 2025 8:15PM EST
Philadelphia Eagles
Green Bay Packers
11/10/25 8:15PM
Eagles
Packers
-105
-115
-1 (-110)
+1 (-110)
O 45 (-110)
U 45 (-110)
Nov 13, 2025 8:15PM EST
New York Jets
New England Patriots
11/13/25 8:15PM
Jets
Patriots
+550
-850
+12 (-110)
-12 (-110)
O 43 (-115)
U 43 (-105)
Nov 16, 2025 9:30AM EST
Washington Commanders
Miami Dolphins
11/16/25 9:30AM
Commanders
Dolphins
+130
-150
+2.5 (+100)
-2.5 (-120)
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
11/16/25 1PM
Panthers
Falcons
+165
-195
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
O 42.5 (-110)
U 42.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
11/16/25 1PM
Bears
Vikings
+140
-165
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Los Angeles Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars
11/16/25 1PM
Chargers
Jaguars
-150
+130
-3 (+100)
+3 (-120)
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Green Bay Packers
New York Giants
11/16/25 1PM
Packers
Giants
-460
+360
-7.5 (-120)
+7.5 (-102)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
11/16/25 1PM
Bengals
Steelers
+205
-245
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buffalo Bills
11/16/25 1PM
Buccaneers
Bills
+225
-275
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
11/16/25 1PM
Texans
Titans
-370
+285
-7 (-110)
+7 (-110)
O 39.5 (-105)
U 39.5 (-115)
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
11/16/25 4:05PM
49ers
Cardinals
-150
+130
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (+100)
O 49 (-115)
U 49 (-105)
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
11/16/25 4:05PM
Seahawks
Rams
+130
-150
+2.5 (+100)
-2.5 (-120)
O 48 (-115)
U 48 (-105)
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
11/16/25 4:25PM
Chiefs
Broncos
-210
+175
-4 (-110)
+4 (-110)
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
11/16/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Browns
-470
+345
-8 (-110)
+8 (-110)
O 41.5 (-115)
U 41.5 (-105)
Nov 16, 2025 8:20PM EST
Detroit Lions
Philadelphia Eagles
11/16/25 8:20PM
Lions
Eagles
+104
-122
+1.5 (-112)
-1.5 (-108)
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
Nov 17, 2025 8:15PM EST
Dallas Cowboys
Las Vegas Raiders
11/17/25 8:15PM
Cowboys
Raiders
-185
+160
-3.5 (+100)
+3.5 (-120)
O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills on September 23, 2024 at Highmark Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
LV@DEN RILEY MOSS OVER 4.5 TACKLE + ASST 54.8% 4 WIN
LV@DEN UNDER 43 53.4% 2 WIN
ARI@DAL BUDDA BAKER OVER 7.5 TACKLES + ASSTS 54.4% 4 WIN
ARI@DAL GEORGE PICKENS OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS 56.6% 6 WIN
DEN@HOU WIL LUTZ OVER 1.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 54.2% 3 LOSS
SEA@WAS SEA -3 56.7% 6 WIN
IND@PIT IND -3 56.8% 6 LOSS
LAC@TEN LAC -9.5 56.2% 6 LOSS
CHI@CIN CHI -2.5 52.6% 2 WIN
SEA@WAS OVER 48 52.9% 2 WIN
SEA@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 20.5 PASS COMP 56.7% 6 LOSS
JAC@LV JAC -140 64.2% 7 WIN
NO@LAR LAR -14 55.0% 4 WIN
DEN@HOU HOU -1.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
CAR@GB GB -12.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
SF@NYG NYG +2.5 56.1% 5 LOSS
BAL@MIA TUA TAGOVAILOA UNDER 0.5 INT 55.3% 5 LOSS
TB@NO TB -3.5 52.3% 1 WIN
GB@PIT GB -2.5 52.3% 1 WIN
SF@HOU SF +2.5 56.0% 6 LOSS
NYG@PHI NYG +7.5 53.9% 3 LOSS
BUF@CAR CAR +7.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
DAL@DEN DAL +3.5 55.0% 4 LOSS
MIA@ATL MIA +7 54.3% 4 WIN
CLE@NE CLE +7 56.8% 6 LOSS
TB@NO BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 15.5 RUSH YDS 56.6% 6 LOSS
MIN@LAC JUSTIN HERBERT PASS ATT UNDER 35.5 55.5% 5 WIN
TB@DET TB +6.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
TB@DET RACHAAD WHITE UNDER 14.5 RUSH ATT 54.4% 4 WIN
NE@TEN NE -6.5 55.2% 5 WIN
CAR@NYJ CAR -110 57.4 4 WIN
PHI@MIN PHI -130 58.0% 6 WIN
GB@ARI ARI +7 54.8% 5 WIN
NO@CHI NO +4.5 57.4% 7 LOSS
WAS@DAL JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 56.1% 5 WIN
GB@ARI JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 56.6% 6 WIN
PIT@CIN JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
BUF@ATL BUF -3.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
CHI@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 56.6% 6 WIN
TEN@LV UNDER 42 54.8% 3 WIN
DET@KC DET +2.5 55.7% 7 LOSS
SEA@JAC SEA -112 55.7% 5 WIN
LAC@MIA LAC -3.5 54.0% 3 LOSS
ARI@IND IND -8.5 55.6% 5 LOSS
TEN@LV TEN +4.5 56.7% 6 LOSS
LAR@BAL LAR -7 56.2% 6 WIN
SF@TB SF +3.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
CLE@PIT JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 LOSS
DEN@NYJ BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS 55.0% 4 LOSS
KC@JAC UNDER 45.5 54.9% 3 LOSS
KC@JAC PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP 56.6% 6 LOSS