Chiefs vs. Falcons
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 22 | NFL AI Picks
Updated: 2024-09-15T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Kansas City Chiefs will face the Atlanta Falcons on September 22, 2024, at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Chiefs enter the game as 3.5-point favorites, looking to improve to 3-0, while the Falcons are coming off a narrow road win and are 1-1 for the season.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Sep 22, 2024
Start Time: 8:20 PM EST
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Falcons Record: (1-1)
Chiefs Record: (2-0)
OPENING ODDS
KC Moneyline: -185
ATL Moneyline: +154
KC Spread: -3.5
ATL Spread: +3.5
Over/Under: 46.5
KC
Betting Trends
- The Chiefs are 1-1 against the spread (ATS) this season and have covered in four of their last six games when favored by fewer than five points. However, the Chiefs’ struggles against the run have been apparent, which may impact their performance.
ATL
Betting Trends
- The Falcons are 1-1 ATS this season, and they have been successful covering the spread in five of their last seven games as home underdogs. However, Atlanta’s inconsistency in their offense, led by Kirk Cousins, may pose a challenge against a strong Kansas City defense.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Falcons have gone under the total points line in five of their last seven games, especially in matchups where they focus on running the ball. Meanwhile, Kansas City has struggled to stop the run, allowing a league-high 58% success rate on rushing plays, which may lead to a more ground-based game and could influence the point total.
KC vs. ATL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: Rashee Rice Over 70.5 Total Receiving Yards
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Kansas City vs Atlanta Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/22/24
Kirk Cousins, who took over as the Falcons’ starting quarterback this season, will rely heavily on his running backs, Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier, to exploit Kansas City’s vulnerable run defense. Robinson has already tallied 221 rushing yards, and Atlanta will likely lean on him to control the clock and keep Mahomes off the field. Defensively, the Falcons will face the tough task of containing Mahomes, but their success will depend on their ability to generate pressure without sacrificing coverage. If Atlanta can force Mahomes into quick throws and limit big plays, they may keep the game within reach. However, Kansas City’s pass rush, led by Chris Jones, could cause problems for Cousins, especially if Atlanta is forced to pass more than they would prefer.
This touchdown. This angle. 🤯 pic.twitter.com/4UucsAo0tv
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) September 18, 2024
Kansas City Chiefs NFL Preview
The Kansas City Chiefs come into this Week 3 matchup looking to extend their winning streak to three games. Patrick Mahomes has been in excellent form, leading the league in passing touchdowns through two games. With running back Isiah Pacheco out due to injury, the Chiefs will lean on Carson Steele and Samaje Perine to carry the load in the ground game, but the offense will likely still revolve around Mahomes’ ability to create plays in the passing game. Kansas City’s defense has been aggressive, ranking among the top teams in terms of blitzing, and will look to disrupt Kirk Cousins’ rhythm. While their run defense has been a weak spot, allowing an average of 5.2 yards per carry, the Chiefs’ ability to generate pressure in passing situations could make the difference. If the Chiefs can jump out to an early lead, they can force Atlanta into a pass-heavy game plan, which would play into Kansas City’s defensive strengths. This game promises to be a battle of contrasting styles, with the Falcons trying to control the clock through their running game and the Chiefs looking to overwhelm Atlanta with their offensive firepower.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Atlanta Falcons NFL Preview
The Atlanta Falcons enter Week 3 with a 1-1 record and plenty to prove. After a sluggish start to the season, their comeback victory against the Eagles in Week 2 demonstrated resilience, but questions remain about their consistency. Kirk Cousins has been solid, throwing for 494 yards, but the real strength of the Falcons’ offense lies in their rushing attack. Bijan Robinson, the rookie standout, leads the team with 221 rushing yards, and he will be a central figure in their game plan against Kansas City’s defense, which ranks 29th in the league against the run. Atlanta’s game plan will focus on running the ball effectively to control the tempo and keep Mahomes off the field. The Falcons’ defense, while improved, will need to generate pressure on Mahomes without compromising their secondary, which struggled at times against Philadelphia’s passing attack. If the Falcons can limit big plays and force Kansas City to settle for field goals, they stand a good chance of pulling off the upset at home.
That’s our coach 👏 pic.twitter.com/fRkDUOlTej
— Atlanta Falcons (@AtlantaFalcons) September 17, 2024
Kansas City vs. Atlanta Prop Picks (AI)
Kansas City vs. Atlanta Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Chiefs and Falcons and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned emphasis human bettors tend to put on Atlanta’s strength factors between a Chiefs team going up against a possibly tired Falcons team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Kansas City vs Atlanta picks, computer picks Chiefs vs Falcons, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Chiefs Betting Trends
The Chiefs are 1-1 against the spread (ATS) this season and have covered in four of their last six games when favored by fewer than five points. However, the Chiefs’ struggles against the run have been apparent, which may impact their performance.
Falcons Betting Trends
The Falcons are 1-1 ATS this season, and they have been successful covering the spread in five of their last seven games as home underdogs. However, Atlanta’s inconsistency in their offense, led by Kirk Cousins, may pose a challenge against a strong Kansas City defense.
Chiefs vs. Falcons Matchup Trends
The Falcons have gone under the total points line in five of their last seven games, especially in matchups where they focus on running the ball. Meanwhile, Kansas City has struggled to stop the run, allowing a league-high 58% success rate on rushing plays, which may lead to a more ground-based game and could influence the point total.
Kansas City vs. Atlanta Game Info
What time does Kansas City vs Atlanta start on September 22, 2024?
Kansas City vs Atlanta starts on September 22, 2024 at 8:20 PM EST.
Where is Kansas City vs Atlanta being played?
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Kansas City vs Atlanta?
Spread: Atlanta +3.5
Moneyline: Kansas City -185, Atlanta +154
Over/Under: 46.5
What are the records for Kansas City vs Atlanta?
Kansas City: (2-0) | Atlanta: (1-1)
What is the AI best bet for Kansas City vs Atlanta?
Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: Rashee Rice Over 70.5 Total Receiving Yards . Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Kansas City vs Atlanta trending bets?
The Falcons have gone under the total points line in five of their last seven games, especially in matchups where they focus on running the ball. Meanwhile, Kansas City has struggled to stop the run, allowing a league-high 58% success rate on rushing plays, which may lead to a more ground-based game and could influence the point total.
What are Kansas City trending bets?
KC trend: The Chiefs are 1-1 against the spread (ATS) this season and have covered in four of their last six games when favored by fewer than five points. However, the Chiefs’ struggles against the run have been apparent, which may impact their performance.
What are Atlanta trending bets?
ATL trend: The Falcons are 1-1 ATS this season, and they have been successful covering the spread in five of their last seven games as home underdogs. However, Atlanta’s inconsistency in their offense, led by Kirk Cousins, may pose a challenge against a strong Kansas City defense.
Where can I find AI Picks for Kansas City vs Atlanta?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
Kansas City vs. Atlanta Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Kansas City vs Atlanta trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Kansas City vs Atlanta Opening Odds
KC Moneyline:
-185 ATL Moneyline: +154
KC Spread: -3.5
ATL Spread: +3.5
Over/Under: 46.5
Kansas City vs Atlanta Live Odds
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Pittsburgh Steelers
9/28/25 9:31AM
Vikings
Steelers
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–
–
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-140
+115
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-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
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O 41 (-110)
U 41 (-110)
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Detroit Lions
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Lions
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–
–
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+400
-550
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+10 (-110)
-10 (-110)
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O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
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–
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-285
+230
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-6.5 (-105)
+6.5 (-115)
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O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
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Houston Texans
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Titans
Texans
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–
–
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+300
-375
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+7 (-105)
-7 (-115)
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O 39 (-110)
U 39 (-110)
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9/28/25 1:01PM
Eagles
Buccaneers
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–
–
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-190
+160
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-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
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O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
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Washington Commanders
Atlanta Falcons
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Commanders
Falcons
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–
–
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+110
-130
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+2 (-110)
-2 (-110)
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O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
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Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
New Orleans Saints
Buffalo Bills
9/28/25 1:01PM
Saints
Bills
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–
–
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+800
-1300
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+15 (-110)
-15 (-110)
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O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
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Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Carolina Panthers
New England Patriots
9/28/25 1:01PM
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Patriots
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–
–
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+200
-250
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+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
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O 43 (-110)
U 43 (-110)
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Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
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San Francisco 49ers
9/28/25 4:06PM
Jaguars
49ers
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–
–
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+150
-180
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+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
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O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
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Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
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Los Angeles Rams
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Colts
Rams
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–
–
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+160
-190
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+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
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O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
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Sep 28, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Baltimore Ravens
Kansas City Chiefs
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Ravens
Chiefs
|
–
–
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-150
+125
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-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (+100)
|
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
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Sep 28, 2025 4:26PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Las Vegas Raiders
9/28/25 4:26PM
Bears
Raiders
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–
–
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+100
-120
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+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
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O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
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Sep 28, 2025 8:21PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Dallas Cowboys
9/28/25 8:21PM
Packers
Cowboys
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–
–
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-325
+250
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-7 (-105)
+7 (-115)
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O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
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Sep 29, 2025 7:15PM EDT
New York Jets
Miami Dolphins
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Jets
Dolphins
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–
–
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+125
-150
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+3 (-115)
-3 (-105)
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O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
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Sep 29, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
9/29/25 8:15PM
Bengals
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–
–
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+310
-400
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+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
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O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
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Oct 2, 2025 8:16PM EDT
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10/2/25 8:16PM
49ers
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–
–
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+134
-158
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+3 (-105)
-3 (-115)
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O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
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NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons on September 22, 2024 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| NFL |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| GB@CLE | GB -7 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| ARI@SF | ARI +3 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| KC@NYG | PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| GB@CLE | JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIA@BUF | TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@LV | LAC -3 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TB@HOU | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| CHI@DET | DET -6.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| DEN@IND | DEN -118 | 60.1% | 10 | LOSS |
| PHI@KC | PHI -115 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@NO | SF -3 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
| SEA@PIT | OVER 40 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@ARI | BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| DEN@IND | JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| ATL@MIN | BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
| WAS@GB | WAS +3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| WAS@GB | JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@CHI | CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| TEN@DEN | DEN -8.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| SF@SEA | SF -115 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@SEA | KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@JAC | TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| KC@LAC | JUSTIN HERBERT UNDER 0.5 INT | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
| DAL@PHI | GEORGE PICKENS LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 22.5 YDS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@PHI | JUJU SMITH-SCHUSTER UNDER 16.5 RECV YDS | 53.90% | 5 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 20.5 YDS | 54.40% | 6 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 68.3% PASS COMP | 55.00% | 8 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | JALEN HURTS LONGEST RUSH OVER 12.5 YDS | 55.60% | 8 | WIN |
| BUF@KC | DALTON KINCAID OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.10% | 8 | LOSS |
| WAS@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS | 55.80% | 8 | WIN |
| BUF@KC | JAMES COOK ANYTIME TD | 53.00% | 5 | WIN |
| LAR@PHI | SAQUON BARKLEY UNDER 128 RUSH + REC YDS | 53.20% | 5 | LOSS |
| BAL@BUF | LAMAR JACKSON OVER 54.5 RUSH YDS | 54.50% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@KC | C.J. STROUD RUSH YDS UNDER 14.5 | 53.10% | 5 | LOSS |
| WAS@DET | JAMESON WILLIAMS RUSH YDS OVER 1.5 | 53.30% | 5 | WIN |
| WAS@DET | JARED GOFF PASS COMP % UNDER 72.3 | 54.30% | 6 | WIN |
| MIN@LAR | COOPER KUPP ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN | 52.60% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@LAR | MATTHEW STAFFORD OVER 21.5 PASS COMP | 54.10% | 6 | LOSS |
| WAS@TB | BRIAN ROBINSON JR OVER 1.5 REC TARGETS | 53.50% | 5 | WIN |
| WAS@TB | BAKER MAYFIELD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT | 54.90% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@PHI | JALEN HURTS OVER 67.1 PASS COMP PERCENTAGE | 54.60% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@HOU | J.K. DOBBINS ANYTIME TD | 52.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@HOU | LAC -2.5 | 53.40% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@HOU | JUSTIN HERBERT OVER 19.5 RUSH YDS | 53.40% | 5 | LOSS |