Texans vs Vikings Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Sep 22)
Updated: 2024-09-15T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Houston Texans will face the Minnesota Vikings on September 22, 2024, at U.S. Bank Stadium in what is expected to be a closely contested NFL Week 3 game. Both teams enter the matchup undefeated, with the Texans holding a slight edge as the favorites.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Sep 22, 2024
Start Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
Vikings Record: (2-0)
Texans Record: (2-0)
OPENING ODDS
HOU Moneyline: -142
MIN Moneyline: +120
HOU Spread: -2.5
MIN Spread: +2.5
Over/Under: 46
HOU
Betting Trends
- The Texans are 2-0 against the spread (ATS) this season and have won three of their last four games against teams with a winning record. They have also been strong as road favorites, covering the spread in four of their last five games against NFC opponents.
MIN
Betting Trends
- The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 15 games as underdogs following a home win. However, they have been strong in September, with five of their last six home games going under the total points line.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Vikings have lost 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs following a home win, which highlights their struggle in maintaining momentum. On the other hand, five of the Texans’ last six September games as road favorites have gone over the total points line, suggesting their ability to score points in these scenarios.
HOU vs. MIN
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: Aaron Jones Under 54.5 Total Rushing Yards
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Houston vs Minnesota Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/22/24
Darnold has thrown for 268 yards with two touchdowns and one interception in their last game, connecting well with star receiver Justin Jefferson, who is currently tied for first in the NFL for receiving touchdowns. Minnesota’s defense, however, has been a revelation, recording 11 sacks over the first two games and consistently pressuring opposing quarterbacks. The key to this game will likely be which defense can apply more pressure and force mistakes, as both offenses have shown the ability to score quickly. This game could go either way, but the Texans’ ability to win tight games and their slightly more balanced attack give them a slight edge. The Vikings will rely heavily on their defensive front and Darnold’s continued efficiency to pull off an upset at home.
7️⃣ doing 7️⃣ things ‼️
— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) September 17, 2024
On SNF, @CJ7STROUD set the new NFL record for most passing yard through a player’s first 10 career home games, including the playoffs, with 3,016 yards pic.twitter.com/tlEKDT7PZp
Houston Texans NFL Preview
The Houston Texans enter Week 3 undefeated and looking to solidify their standing as one of the surprising early-season contenders in the AFC South. Led by rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud, who has thrown for 494 yards and three touchdowns, the Texans’ offense has demonstrated both explosiveness and the ability to grind out close victories. Stroud’s favorite target, Nico Collins, has been a standout with 135 receiving yards and a touchdown in their last game. The Texans’ ground game has been a bit inconsistent; Joe Mixon had a slower outing against the Bears but remains a threat on any given Sunday. On defense, the Texans have been relatively stout, allowing just 20 points per game so far this season. The defense has shown a knack for making timely plays, as evidenced by their ability to win the turnover battle against both the Colts and Bears. The front seven, led by Jonathan Greenard and Jerry Hughes, must get to Sam Darnold early and often to disrupt his rhythm. The Texans also need to focus on shutting down Justin Jefferson, who is one of the league’s premier receivers. The key to a Texans win will be maintaining offensive balance and continuing to capitalize on defensive stops. Houston’s ability to sustain drives and avoid turnovers will be crucial as they aim to keep Minnesota’s high-powered offense off the field and control the game’s tempo.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Minnesota Vikings NFL Preview
The Minnesota Vikings have started the 2024 season in impressive fashion, winning their first two games and establishing themselves as a force in the NFC North. Quarterback Sam Darnold has been solid, completing 17 of 26 passes for 268 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception in their latest victory over the 49ers. The Vikings’ offensive success has been driven by their ability to mix the pass and run effectively. Justin Jefferson remains the key target, having already scored multiple touchdowns this season, while the backfield combination of Ty Chandler and Aaron Jones provides a reliable 1-2 punch on the ground. Defensively, the Vikings have been outstanding, with 11 sacks across the first two games. The defensive line, led by Danielle Hunter and Harrison Phillips, has consistently put pressure on opposing quarterbacks, which has allowed the secondary, led by Byron Murphy Jr., to capitalize on mistakes. The Vikings’ defense will need to continue this form against a Texans offense that has been potent but also prone to second-half lulls. For the Vikings to secure a victory, they must limit big plays from Houston’s wideouts and keep pressure on Stroud to force turnovers.
Our fallen heroes 💔
— Minnesota Vikings (@Vikings) September 18, 2024
The #Vikings honored Mpls. Police Officer Jamal Mitchell, Burnsville Police Officers Paul Elmstrand and Matthew Ruge, and Burnsville Firefighter Adam Finseth Sunday as hometown heroes. The trio all tragically lost their lives while serving our community. pic.twitter.com/wbaH2Ij41i
Houston vs. Minnesota Prop Picks (AI)
Houston vs. Minnesota Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Texans and Vikings and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most keyed in on the trending emphasis human bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Texans team going up against a possibly healthy Vikings team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Houston vs Minnesota picks, computer picks Texans vs Vikings, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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| NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Texans Betting Trends
The Texans are 2-0 against the spread (ATS) this season and have won three of their last four games against teams with a winning record. They have also been strong as road favorites, covering the spread in four of their last five games against NFC opponents.
Vikings Betting Trends
The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 15 games as underdogs following a home win. However, they have been strong in September, with five of their last six home games going under the total points line.
Texans vs. Vikings Matchup Trends
The Vikings have lost 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs following a home win, which highlights their struggle in maintaining momentum. On the other hand, five of the Texans’ last six September games as road favorites have gone over the total points line, suggesting their ability to score points in these scenarios.
Houston vs. Minnesota Game Info
What time does Houston vs Minnesota start on September 22, 2024?
Houston vs Minnesota starts on September 22, 2024 at 1:00 PM EST.
Where is Houston vs Minnesota being played?
Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Houston vs Minnesota?
Spread: Minnesota +2.5
Moneyline: Houston -142, Minnesota +120
Over/Under: 46
What are the records for Houston vs Minnesota?
Houston: (2-0) | Minnesota: (2-0)
What is the AI best bet for Houston vs Minnesota?
Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: Aaron Jones Under 54.5 Total Rushing Yards. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Houston vs Minnesota trending bets?
The Vikings have lost 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs following a home win, which highlights their struggle in maintaining momentum. On the other hand, five of the Texans’ last six September games as road favorites have gone over the total points line, suggesting their ability to score points in these scenarios.
What are Houston trending bets?
HOU trend: The Texans are 2-0 against the spread (ATS) this season and have won three of their last four games against teams with a winning record. They have also been strong as road favorites, covering the spread in four of their last five games against NFC opponents.
What are Minnesota trending bets?
MIN trend: The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 15 games as underdogs following a home win. However, they have been strong in September, with five of their last six home games going under the total points line.
Where can I find AI Picks for Houston vs Minnesota?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
Houston vs. Minnesota Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Houston vs Minnesota trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Houston vs Minnesota Opening Odds
HOU Moneyline:
-142 MIN Moneyline: +120
HOU Spread: -2.5
MIN Spread: +2.5
Over/Under: 46
Houston vs Minnesota Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Oct 23, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Chargers
10/23/25 8:15PM
Vikings
Chargers
|
–
–
|
+160
-185
|
+3.5 (-120)
-3.5 (+100)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
New England Patriots
10/26/25 1PM
Browns
Patriots
|
–
–
|
+290
-380
|
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
|
O 40.5 (-110)
U 40.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Carolina Panthers
10/26/25 1PM
Bills
Panthers
|
–
–
|
-410
+305
|
-7 (-115)
+7 (-105)
|
O 46 (-110)
U 46 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
10/26/25 1PM
Jets
Bengals
|
–
–
|
+265
-330
|
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
|
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens
10/26/25 1PM
Bears
Ravens
|
–
–
|
+250
-300
|
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-115)
|
O 50 (-105)
U 50 (-115)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
10/26/25 1PM
Giants
Eagles
|
–
–
|
+300
-400
|
+7 (-105)
-7 (-115)
|
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Houston Texans
10/26/25 1PM
49ers
Texans
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
|
O 41 (-110)
U 41 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
10/26/25 1PM
Dolphins
Falcons
|
–
–
|
+295
-390
|
+7 (-105)
-7 (-115)
|
O 45 (-105)
U 45 (-115)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
10/26/25 4:05PM
Buccaneers
Saints
|
–
–
|
-225
+185
|
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
|
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
10/26/25 4:25PM
Cowboys
Broncos
|
–
–
|
+150
-175
|
+3.5 (-120)
-3.5 (+100)
|
O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
10/26/25 4:25PM
Titans
Colts
|
–
–
|
+700
-1200
|
+14 (-110)
-14 (-110)
|
O 47 (-115)
U 47 (-105)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/26/25 8:20PM
Packers
Steelers
|
–
–
|
-175
+150
|
-3 (-120)
+3 (+100)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 27, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Kansas City Chiefs
10/27/25 8:15PM
Commanders
Chiefs
|
–
–
|
+425
-600
|
+10 (-115)
-10 (-105)
|
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
|
NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Houston Texans vs. Minnesota Vikings on September 22, 2024 at U.S. Bank Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| NFL |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE@TEN | NE -6.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| CAR@NYJ | CAR -110 | 57.4 | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIN | PHI -130 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | ARI +7 | 54.8% | 5 | WIN |
| NO@CHI | NO +4.5 | 57.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| WAS@DAL | JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PIT@CIN | JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| BUF@ATL | BUF -3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TEN@LV | UNDER 42 | 54.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@KC | DET +2.5 | 55.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| SEA@JAC | SEA -112 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MIA | LAC -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| ARI@IND | IND -8.5 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| TEN@LV | TEN +4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAR@BAL | LAR -7 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@TB | SF +3.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| CLE@PIT | JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@NYJ | BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | UNDER 45.5 | 54.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@BAL | HOU -125 | 58.5% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@CIN | DET -10 | 55.6% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@NYJ | NYJ +1.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| TB@SEA | TB +3.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TEN@ARI | ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@PHI | DEN +4.5 | 57.5% | 7 | WIN |
| MIA@CAR | TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| LV@IND | ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@LAR | DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | NYJ +3 | 53.8 | 3 | LOSS |
| CIN@DEN | DEN -7.5 | 54.8 | 4 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | OVER 44 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
| CIN@DEN | UNDER 44.5 | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| CIN@DEN | TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| WAS@ATL | ATL -2.5 | 54.3 | 4 | WIN |
| BAL@KC | BAL -2.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
| TEN@HOU | TEN +7.5 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
| LAC@NYG | LAC -6 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| NO@BUF | UNDER 48.5 | 55.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| GB@DAL | JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| CAR@NE | DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |