Texans vs Vikings Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Sep 22)

Updated: 2024-09-15T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Houston Texans will face the Minnesota Vikings on September 22, 2024, at U.S. Bank Stadium in what is expected to be a closely contested NFL Week 3 game. Both teams enter the matchup undefeated, with the Texans holding a slight edge as the favorites.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 22, 2024

Start Time: 1:00 PM EST​

Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium​

Vikings Record: (2-0)

Texans Record: (2-0)

OPENING ODDS

HOU Moneyline: -142

MIN Moneyline: +120

HOU Spread: -2.5

MIN Spread: +2.5

Over/Under: 46

HOU
Betting Trends

  • The Texans are 2-0 against the spread (ATS) this season and have won three of their last four games against teams with a winning record. They have also been strong as road favorites, covering the spread in four of their last five games against NFC opponents.

MIN
Betting Trends

  • The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 15 games as underdogs following a home win. However, they have been strong in September, with five of their last six home games going under the total points line.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Vikings have lost 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs following a home win, which highlights their struggle in maintaining momentum. On the other hand, five of the Texans’ last six September games as road favorites have gone over the total points line, suggesting their ability to score points in these scenarios.

HOU vs. MIN
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: Aaron Jones Under 54.5 Total Rushing Yards

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Houston vs Minnesota Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/22/24

The Houston Texans and Minnesota Vikings are set to clash in a highly anticipated Week 3 NFL matchup at U.S. Bank Stadium on September 22, 2024. Both teams are riding high with 2-0 records, and each is looking to extend its winning streak. The Texans come into this game after hard-fought victories over the Indianapolis Colts and Chicago Bears. Houston’s offense, led by rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud, has shown balance, with Stroud throwing for 494 yards and three touchdowns so far. However, their running game, spearheaded by Joe Mixon, has been inconsistent. The Texans’ defense has been effective, particularly in the second halves of games, which could be crucial against a Vikings offense that has been explosive in the early going. The Vikings, under quarterback Sam Darnold, have exceeded expectations with impressive wins against the New York Giants and San Francisco 49ers.

Darnold has thrown for 268 yards with two touchdowns and one interception in their last game, connecting well with star receiver Justin Jefferson, who is currently tied for first in the NFL for receiving touchdowns. Minnesota’s defense, however, has been a revelation, recording 11 sacks over the first two games and consistently pressuring opposing quarterbacks. The key to this game will likely be which defense can apply more pressure and force mistakes, as both offenses have shown the ability to score quickly. This game could go either way, but the Texans’ ability to win tight games and their slightly more balanced attack give them a slight edge. The Vikings will rely heavily on their defensive front and Darnold’s continued efficiency to pull off an upset at home.

Houston Texans NFL Preview

The Houston Texans enter Week 3 undefeated and looking to solidify their standing as one of the surprising early-season contenders in the AFC South. Led by rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud, who has thrown for 494 yards and three touchdowns, the Texans’ offense has demonstrated both explosiveness and the ability to grind out close victories. Stroud’s favorite target, Nico Collins, has been a standout with 135 receiving yards and a touchdown in their last game. The Texans’ ground game has been a bit inconsistent; Joe Mixon had a slower outing against the Bears but remains a threat on any given Sunday. On defense, the Texans have been relatively stout, allowing just 20 points per game so far this season. The defense has shown a knack for making timely plays, as evidenced by their ability to win the turnover battle against both the Colts and Bears. The front seven, led by Jonathan Greenard and Jerry Hughes, must get to Sam Darnold early and often to disrupt his rhythm. The Texans also need to focus on shutting down Justin Jefferson, who is one of the league’s premier receivers. The key to a Texans win will be maintaining offensive balance and continuing to capitalize on defensive stops. Houston’s ability to sustain drives and avoid turnovers will be crucial as they aim to keep Minnesota’s high-powered offense off the field and control the game’s tempo.

The Houston Texans will face the Minnesota Vikings on September 22, 2024, at U.S. Bank Stadium in what is expected to be a closely contested NFL Week 3 game. Both teams enter the matchup undefeated, with the Texans holding a slight edge as the favorites. Houston vs Minnesota AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Sep 22. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Minnesota Vikings NFL Preview

The Minnesota Vikings have started the 2024 season in impressive fashion, winning their first two games and establishing themselves as a force in the NFC North. Quarterback Sam Darnold has been solid, completing 17 of 26 passes for 268 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception in their latest victory over the 49ers. The Vikings’ offensive success has been driven by their ability to mix the pass and run effectively. Justin Jefferson remains the key target, having already scored multiple touchdowns this season, while the backfield combination of Ty Chandler and Aaron Jones provides a reliable 1-2 punch on the ground. Defensively, the Vikings have been outstanding, with 11 sacks across the first two games. The defensive line, led by Danielle Hunter and Harrison Phillips, has consistently put pressure on opposing quarterbacks, which has allowed the secondary, led by Byron Murphy Jr., to capitalize on mistakes. The Vikings’ defense will need to continue this form against a Texans offense that has been potent but also prone to second-half lulls. For the Vikings to secure a victory, they must limit big plays from Houston’s wideouts and keep pressure on Stroud to force turnovers.

Houston vs. Minnesota Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Texans and Vikings play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at U.S. Bank Stadium in Sep almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: Aaron Jones Under 54.5 Total Rushing Yards

Houston vs. Minnesota Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Texans and Vikings and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most keyed in on the trending emphasis human bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Texans team going up against a possibly healthy Vikings team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Houston vs Minnesota picks, computer picks Texans vs Vikings, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NFL 10/20 HOU@SEA UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 HOU@SEA UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Texans Betting Trends

The Texans are 2-0 against the spread (ATS) this season and have won three of their last four games against teams with a winning record. They have also been strong as road favorites, covering the spread in four of their last five games against NFC opponents.

Vikings Betting Trends

The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 15 games as underdogs following a home win. However, they have been strong in September, with five of their last six home games going under the total points line.

Texans vs. Vikings Matchup Trends

The Vikings have lost 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs following a home win, which highlights their struggle in maintaining momentum. On the other hand, five of the Texans’ last six September games as road favorites have gone over the total points line, suggesting their ability to score points in these scenarios.

Houston vs. Minnesota Game Info

Houston vs Minnesota starts on September 22, 2024 at 1:00 PM EST.

Spread: Minnesota +2.5
Moneyline: Houston -142, Minnesota +120
Over/Under: 46

Houston: (2-0)  |  Minnesota: (2-0)

Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: Aaron Jones Under 54.5 Total Rushing Yards. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Vikings have lost 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs following a home win, which highlights their struggle in maintaining momentum. On the other hand, five of the Texans’ last six September games as road favorites have gone over the total points line, suggesting their ability to score points in these scenarios.

HOU trend: The Texans are 2-0 against the spread (ATS) this season and have won three of their last four games against teams with a winning record. They have also been strong as road favorites, covering the spread in four of their last five games against NFC opponents.

MIN trend: The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 15 games as underdogs following a home win. However, they have been strong in September, with five of their last six home games going under the total points line.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.

Houston vs. Minnesota Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Houston vs Minnesota trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Houston vs Minnesota Opening Odds

HOU Moneyline: -142
MIN Moneyline: +120
HOU Spread: -2.5
MIN Spread: +2.5
Over/Under: 46

Houston vs Minnesota Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 23, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Chargers
10/23/25 8:15PM
Vikings
Chargers
+160
-185
+3.5 (-120)
-3.5 (+100)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
New England Patriots
10/26/25 1PM
Browns
Patriots
+290
-380
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
O 40.5 (-110)
U 40.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Carolina Panthers
10/26/25 1PM
Bills
Panthers
-410
+305
-7 (-115)
+7 (-105)
O 46 (-110)
U 46 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
10/26/25 1PM
Jets
Bengals
+265
-330
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens
10/26/25 1PM
Bears
Ravens
+250
-300
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-115)
O 50 (-105)
U 50 (-115)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
10/26/25 1PM
Giants
Eagles
+300
-400
+7 (-105)
-7 (-115)
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Houston Texans
10/26/25 1PM
49ers
Texans
+100
-120
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
O 41 (-110)
U 41 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
10/26/25 1PM
Dolphins
Falcons
+295
-390
+7 (-105)
-7 (-115)
O 45 (-105)
U 45 (-115)
Oct 26, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
10/26/25 4:05PM
Buccaneers
Saints
-225
+185
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
10/26/25 4:25PM
Cowboys
Broncos
+150
-175
+3.5 (-120)
-3.5 (+100)
O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
10/26/25 4:25PM
Titans
Colts
+700
-1200
+14 (-110)
-14 (-110)
O 47 (-115)
U 47 (-105)
Oct 26, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/26/25 8:20PM
Packers
Steelers
-175
+150
-3 (-120)
+3 (+100)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Oct 27, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Kansas City Chiefs
10/27/25 8:15PM
Commanders
Chiefs
+425
-600
+10 (-115)
-10 (-105)
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Houston Texans vs. Minnesota Vikings on September 22, 2024 at U.S. Bank Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NE@TEN NE -6.5 55.2% 5 WIN
CAR@NYJ CAR -110 57.4 4 WIN
PHI@MIN PHI -130 58.0% 6 WIN
GB@ARI ARI +7 54.8% 5 WIN
NO@CHI NO +4.5 57.4% 7 LOSS
WAS@DAL JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 56.1% 5 WIN
GB@ARI JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 56.6% 6 WIN
PIT@CIN JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
BUF@ATL BUF -3.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
CHI@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 56.6% 6 WIN
TEN@LV UNDER 42 54.8% 3 WIN
DET@KC DET +2.5 55.7% 7 LOSS
SEA@JAC SEA -112 55.7% 5 WIN
LAC@MIA LAC -3.5 54.0% 3 LOSS
ARI@IND IND -8.5 55.6% 5 LOSS
TEN@LV TEN +4.5 56.7% 6 LOSS
LAR@BAL LAR -7 56.2% 6 WIN
SF@TB SF +3.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
CLE@PIT JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 LOSS
DEN@NYJ BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS 55.0% 4 LOSS
KC@JAC UNDER 45.5 54.9% 3 LOSS
KC@JAC PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP 56.6% 6 LOSS
HOU@BAL HOU -125 58.5% 7 WIN
DET@CIN DET -10 55.6% 5 WIN
DAL@NYJ NYJ +1.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
TB@SEA TB +3.5 54.9% 4 WIN
TEN@ARI ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) 54.9% 4 LOSS
DEN@PHI DEN +4.5 57.5% 7 WIN
MIA@CAR TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS 54.5% 4 WIN
LV@IND ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 WIN
SF@LAR DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS 55.7% 5 WIN
NYJ@MIA NYJ +3 53.8 3 LOSS
CIN@DEN DEN -7.5 54.8 4 WIN
NYJ@MIA OVER 44 52.9% 2 WIN
CIN@DEN UNDER 44.5 53.7% 3 WIN
NYJ@MIA GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS 53.7% 3 WIN
CIN@DEN TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS 55.5% 5 LOSS
WAS@ATL ATL -2.5 54.3 4 WIN
BAL@KC BAL -2.5 56.3% 6 LOSS
TEN@HOU TEN +7.5 57.9% 7 LOSS
LAC@NYG LAC -6 57.3% 7 LOSS
NO@BUF UNDER 48.5 55.1% 3 LOSS
GB@DAL JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS 55.5% 5 LOSS
CAR@NE DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 LOSS
SEA@ARI SEA -125 57.7% 6 WIN
SEA@ARI KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 WIN
DET@BAL JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS 55.8% 5 WIN
DAL@CHI DAL -120 58.7% 6 LOSS
PIT@NE PIT -116 60.1% 6 WIN
ATL@CAR ATL -4.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
LV@WAS LV +3 54.3% 4 LOSS