Texans vs Vikings Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Sep 22)

Updated: 2024-09-15T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Houston Texans will face the Minnesota Vikings on September 22, 2024, at U.S. Bank Stadium in what is expected to be a closely contested NFL Week 3 game. Both teams enter the matchup undefeated, with the Texans holding a slight edge as the favorites.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 22, 2024

Start Time: 1:00 PM EST​

Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium​

Vikings Record: (2-0)

Texans Record: (2-0)

OPENING ODDS

HOU Moneyline: -142

MIN Moneyline: +120

HOU Spread: -2.5

MIN Spread: +2.5

Over/Under: 46

HOU
Betting Trends

  • The Texans are 2-0 against the spread (ATS) this season and have won three of their last four games against teams with a winning record. They have also been strong as road favorites, covering the spread in four of their last five games against NFC opponents.

MIN
Betting Trends

  • The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 15 games as underdogs following a home win. However, they have been strong in September, with five of their last six home games going under the total points line.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Vikings have lost 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs following a home win, which highlights their struggle in maintaining momentum. On the other hand, five of the Texans’ last six September games as road favorites have gone over the total points line, suggesting their ability to score points in these scenarios.

HOU vs. MIN
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: Aaron Jones Under 54.5 Total Rushing Yards

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Houston vs Minnesota Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/22/24

The Houston Texans and Minnesota Vikings are set to clash in a highly anticipated Week 3 NFL matchup at U.S. Bank Stadium on September 22, 2024. Both teams are riding high with 2-0 records, and each is looking to extend its winning streak. The Texans come into this game after hard-fought victories over the Indianapolis Colts and Chicago Bears. Houston’s offense, led by rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud, has shown balance, with Stroud throwing for 494 yards and three touchdowns so far. However, their running game, spearheaded by Joe Mixon, has been inconsistent. The Texans’ defense has been effective, particularly in the second halves of games, which could be crucial against a Vikings offense that has been explosive in the early going. The Vikings, under quarterback Sam Darnold, have exceeded expectations with impressive wins against the New York Giants and San Francisco 49ers.

Darnold has thrown for 268 yards with two touchdowns and one interception in their last game, connecting well with star receiver Justin Jefferson, who is currently tied for first in the NFL for receiving touchdowns. Minnesota’s defense, however, has been a revelation, recording 11 sacks over the first two games and consistently pressuring opposing quarterbacks. The key to this game will likely be which defense can apply more pressure and force mistakes, as both offenses have shown the ability to score quickly. This game could go either way, but the Texans’ ability to win tight games and their slightly more balanced attack give them a slight edge. The Vikings will rely heavily on their defensive front and Darnold’s continued efficiency to pull off an upset at home.

Houston Texans NFL Preview

The Houston Texans enter Week 3 undefeated and looking to solidify their standing as one of the surprising early-season contenders in the AFC South. Led by rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud, who has thrown for 494 yards and three touchdowns, the Texans’ offense has demonstrated both explosiveness and the ability to grind out close victories. Stroud’s favorite target, Nico Collins, has been a standout with 135 receiving yards and a touchdown in their last game. The Texans’ ground game has been a bit inconsistent; Joe Mixon had a slower outing against the Bears but remains a threat on any given Sunday. On defense, the Texans have been relatively stout, allowing just 20 points per game so far this season. The defense has shown a knack for making timely plays, as evidenced by their ability to win the turnover battle against both the Colts and Bears. The front seven, led by Jonathan Greenard and Jerry Hughes, must get to Sam Darnold early and often to disrupt his rhythm. The Texans also need to focus on shutting down Justin Jefferson, who is one of the league’s premier receivers. The key to a Texans win will be maintaining offensive balance and continuing to capitalize on defensive stops. Houston’s ability to sustain drives and avoid turnovers will be crucial as they aim to keep Minnesota’s high-powered offense off the field and control the game’s tempo.

The Houston Texans will face the Minnesota Vikings on September 22, 2024, at U.S. Bank Stadium in what is expected to be a closely contested NFL Week 3 game. Both teams enter the matchup undefeated, with the Texans holding a slight edge as the favorites. Houston vs Minnesota AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Sep 22. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Minnesota Vikings NFL Preview

The Minnesota Vikings have started the 2024 season in impressive fashion, winning their first two games and establishing themselves as a force in the NFC North. Quarterback Sam Darnold has been solid, completing 17 of 26 passes for 268 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception in their latest victory over the 49ers. The Vikings’ offensive success has been driven by their ability to mix the pass and run effectively. Justin Jefferson remains the key target, having already scored multiple touchdowns this season, while the backfield combination of Ty Chandler and Aaron Jones provides a reliable 1-2 punch on the ground. Defensively, the Vikings have been outstanding, with 11 sacks across the first two games. The defensive line, led by Danielle Hunter and Harrison Phillips, has consistently put pressure on opposing quarterbacks, which has allowed the secondary, led by Byron Murphy Jr., to capitalize on mistakes. The Vikings’ defense will need to continue this form against a Texans offense that has been potent but also prone to second-half lulls. For the Vikings to secure a victory, they must limit big plays from Houston’s wideouts and keep pressure on Stroud to force turnovers.

Houston vs. Minnesota Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Texans and Vikings play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at U.S. Bank Stadium in Sep almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: Aaron Jones Under 54.5 Total Rushing Yards

Houston vs. Minnesota Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every facet between the Texans and Vikings and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most fixated on the linear correlation of weight emotional bettors often put on Minnesota’s strength factors between a Texans team going up against a possibly tired Vikings team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Houston vs Minnesota picks, computer picks Texans vs Vikings, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 11/10 PHI@GB UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Texans Betting Trends

The Texans are 2-0 against the spread (ATS) this season and have won three of their last four games against teams with a winning record. They have also been strong as road favorites, covering the spread in four of their last five games against NFC opponents.

Vikings Betting Trends

The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 15 games as underdogs following a home win. However, they have been strong in September, with five of their last six home games going under the total points line.

Texans vs. Vikings Matchup Trends

The Vikings have lost 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs following a home win, which highlights their struggle in maintaining momentum. On the other hand, five of the Texans’ last six September games as road favorites have gone over the total points line, suggesting their ability to score points in these scenarios.

Houston vs. Minnesota Game Info

Houston vs Minnesota starts on September 22, 2024 at 1:00 PM EST.

Spread: Minnesota +2.5
Moneyline: Houston -142, Minnesota +120
Over/Under: 46

Houston: (2-0)  |  Minnesota: (2-0)

Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: Aaron Jones Under 54.5 Total Rushing Yards. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Vikings have lost 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs following a home win, which highlights their struggle in maintaining momentum. On the other hand, five of the Texans’ last six September games as road favorites have gone over the total points line, suggesting their ability to score points in these scenarios.

HOU trend: The Texans are 2-0 against the spread (ATS) this season and have won three of their last four games against teams with a winning record. They have also been strong as road favorites, covering the spread in four of their last five games against NFC opponents.

MIN trend: The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 15 games as underdogs following a home win. However, they have been strong in September, with five of their last six home games going under the total points line.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.

Houston vs. Minnesota Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Houston vs Minnesota trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Houston vs Minnesota Opening Odds

HOU Moneyline: -142
MIN Moneyline: +120
HOU Spread: -2.5
MIN Spread: +2.5
Over/Under: 46

Houston vs Minnesota Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 13, 2025 8:15PM EST
New York Jets
New England Patriots
11/13/25 8:15PM
Jets
Patriots
+520
-720
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-110)
O 43.5 (-102)
U 43.5 (-120)
Nov 16, 2025 9:30AM EST
Washington Commanders
Miami Dolphins
11/16/25 9:30AM
Commanders
Dolphins
+128
-152
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
O 47.5 (-104)
U 47.5 (-118)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
11/16/25 1PM
Panthers
Falcons
+168
-200
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 42.5 (-118)
U 42.5 (-104)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
11/16/25 1PM
Bears
Vikings
+136
-162
+3 (-118)
-3 (-104)
O 47.5 (-120)
U 47.5 (-102)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Los Angeles Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars
11/16/25 1PM
Chargers
Jaguars
-146
+126
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (-102)
O 43.5 (-115)
U 43.5 (-105)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Green Bay Packers
New York Giants
11/16/25 1PM
Packers
Giants
-450
+350
-7.5 (-114)
+7.5 (-106)
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
11/16/25 1PM
Bengals
Steelers
+190
-230
+5.5 (-118)
-5.5 (-104)
O 49.5 (-102)
U 49.5 (-120)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buffalo Bills
11/16/25 1PM
Buccaneers
Bills
+215
-260
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
11/16/25 1PM
Texans
Titans
-400
+315
-7.5 (-106)
+7.5 (-114)
O 39.5 (-105)
U 39.5 (-115)
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
11/16/25 4:05PM
49ers
Cardinals
-156
+132
-3 (-104)
+3 (-118)
O 48.5 (-115)
U 48.5 (-105)
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
11/16/25 4:05PM
Seahawks
Rams
+124
-146
+2.5 (-102)
-2.5 (-120)
O 48.5 (-112)
U 48.5 (-108)
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
11/16/25 4:25PM
Chiefs
Broncos
-188
+158
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
11/16/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Browns
-450
+350
-8.5 (-105)
+8.5 (-115)
O 41.5 (-115)
U 41.5 (-105)
Nov 16, 2025 8:20PM EST
Detroit Lions
Philadelphia Eagles
11/16/25 8:20PM
Lions
Eagles
+106
-124
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 48.5 (-105)
U 48.5 (-115)
Nov 17, 2025 8:15PM EST
Dallas Cowboys
Las Vegas Raiders
11/17/25 8:15PM
Cowboys
Raiders
-196
+164
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Houston Texans vs. Minnesota Vikings on September 22, 2024 at U.S. Bank Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
LV@DEN RILEY MOSS OVER 4.5 TACKLE + ASST 54.8% 4 WIN
LV@DEN UNDER 43 53.4% 2 WIN
ARI@DAL BUDDA BAKER OVER 7.5 TACKLES + ASSTS 54.4% 4 WIN
ARI@DAL GEORGE PICKENS OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS 56.6% 6 WIN
DEN@HOU WIL LUTZ OVER 1.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 54.2% 3 LOSS
SEA@WAS SEA -3 56.7% 6 WIN
IND@PIT IND -3 56.8% 6 LOSS
LAC@TEN LAC -9.5 56.2% 6 LOSS
CHI@CIN CHI -2.5 52.6% 2 WIN
SEA@WAS OVER 48 52.9% 2 WIN
SEA@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 20.5 PASS COMP 56.7% 6 LOSS
JAC@LV JAC -140 64.2% 7 WIN
NO@LAR LAR -14 55.0% 4 WIN
DEN@HOU HOU -1.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
CAR@GB GB -12.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
SF@NYG NYG +2.5 56.1% 5 LOSS
BAL@MIA TUA TAGOVAILOA UNDER 0.5 INT 55.3% 5 LOSS
TB@NO TB -3.5 52.3% 1 WIN
GB@PIT GB -2.5 52.3% 1 WIN
SF@HOU SF +2.5 56.0% 6 LOSS
NYG@PHI NYG +7.5 53.9% 3 LOSS
BUF@CAR CAR +7.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
DAL@DEN DAL +3.5 55.0% 4 LOSS
MIA@ATL MIA +7 54.3% 4 WIN
CLE@NE CLE +7 56.8% 6 LOSS
TB@NO BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 15.5 RUSH YDS 56.6% 6 LOSS
MIN@LAC JUSTIN HERBERT PASS ATT UNDER 35.5 55.5% 5 WIN
TB@DET TB +6.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
TB@DET RACHAAD WHITE UNDER 14.5 RUSH ATT 54.4% 4 WIN
NE@TEN NE -6.5 55.2% 5 WIN
CAR@NYJ CAR -110 57.4 4 WIN
PHI@MIN PHI -130 58.0% 6 WIN
GB@ARI ARI +7 54.8% 5 WIN
NO@CHI NO +4.5 57.4% 7 LOSS
WAS@DAL JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 56.1% 5 WIN
GB@ARI JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 56.6% 6 WIN
PIT@CIN JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
BUF@ATL BUF -3.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
CHI@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 56.6% 6 WIN
TEN@LV UNDER 42 54.8% 3 WIN
DET@KC DET +2.5 55.7% 7 LOSS
SEA@JAC SEA -112 55.7% 5 WIN
LAC@MIA LAC -3.5 54.0% 3 LOSS
ARI@IND IND -8.5 55.6% 5 LOSS
TEN@LV TEN +4.5 56.7% 6 LOSS
LAR@BAL LAR -7 56.2% 6 WIN
SF@TB SF +3.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
CLE@PIT JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 LOSS
DEN@NYJ BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS 55.0% 4 LOSS
KC@JAC UNDER 45.5 54.9% 3 LOSS
KC@JAC PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP 56.6% 6 LOSS