Bears vs Colts Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Sep 22)

Updated: 2024-09-15T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Chicago Bears will face the Indianapolis Colts on September 22, 2024, at Lucas Oil Stadium. The Colts, still searching for their first win, are slightly favored against the Bears, who are looking to rebound from a loss in their previous game.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 22, 2024

Start Time: 1:00 PM EST​

Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium​

Colts Record: (0-2)

Bears Record: (1-1)

OPENING ODDS

CHI Moneyline: -100

IND Moneyline: -120

CHI Spread: +1

IND Spread: -1.0

Over/Under: 43.5

CHI
Betting Trends

  • The Bears have struggled as underdogs, failing to cover the spread in 12 of their last 14 games against teams with a losing record. Additionally, they have lost 18 of their last 19 Sunday road games.

IND
Betting Trends

  • The Colts have been more reliable in Week 3 matchups, covering the spread in seven of their last eight games in this scenario. They have also seen the favorites win the first half in five of their last six games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Eight of the Colts’ last nine Sunday home games have gone over the total points line, while each of the Bears’ last five games as underdogs has gone under the total points line. This contrast makes the over/under an intriguing aspect for bettors to consider.

CHI vs. IND
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: Punter Rigoberto Sanchez Over 1.5 Punts inside the 20 yard line

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Chicago vs Indianapolis Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/22/24

The upcoming matchup between the Chicago Bears and Indianapolis Colts in Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season is shaping up to be a close and competitive game. The Bears, currently at 1-1, are coming off a 19-13 loss to the Houston Texans. Their offense, led by quarterback Caleb Williams, has faced significant challenges, particularly in pass protection. Williams was sacked seven times in their last outing and managed only 174 passing yards with two interceptions. The offensive line’s struggles are a primary concern, as they need to provide better protection if the Bears are to have any chance of success against the Colts’ defensive front. On the other side, the Colts are 0-2 and looking for their first win of the season. Quarterback Anthony Richardson has had a rocky start, with four interceptions in his first two games, but he has shown flashes of potential. Richardson’s dual-threat ability is complemented by star running back Jonathan Taylor, who rushed for 103 yards against the Packers despite the team’s loss.

The Colts’ defense, however, has been inconsistent, particularly against the run. They allowed 261 rushing yards in their last game against the Packers, which is a vulnerability the Bears could exploit if they can get their ground game going. Both teams have shown they can play well in stretches but lack consistency. The Colts have been more reliable in Week 3 scenarios and tend to perform better at home, while the Bears have struggled significantly on the road. The key for the Colts will be limiting turnovers and maintaining control of the game with their running attack. The Bears will need a more balanced offensive approach and a stronger defensive showing to limit the Colts’ scoring opportunities. This game could come down to which team makes fewer mistakes and is more efficient on third downs.

Chicago Bears NFL Preview

The Chicago Bears are looking to bounce back after a disappointing 19-13 loss to the Houston Texans in Week 2. The Bears have struggled on offense, with quarterback Caleb Williams still finding his footing in the league. He managed only 174 yards with two interceptions against the Texans and was sacked seven times, highlighting significant issues along the offensive line. The Bears need to improve pass protection to give Williams the time necessary to make plays. On the ground, D’Andre Swift has shown some promise, but the running game has yet to become a consistent threat. Defensively, the Bears have had mixed results. They’ve been relatively strong against the pass, allowing just over 235 yards per game, but they have not been able to generate enough pressure on opposing quarterbacks consistently. Chicago’s defense allowed 300 yards of total offense in their loss to the Texans and will need to tighten up against the Colts’ balanced attack. The Bears’ success on Sunday will depend heavily on their ability to protect the quarterback and generate takeaways on defense. Improving their third-down efficiency and maintaining better discipline to avoid penalties will be key factors as they seek their second win of the season.

The Chicago Bears will face the Indianapolis Colts on September 22, 2024, at Lucas Oil Stadium. The Colts, still searching for their first win, are slightly favored against the Bears, who are looking to rebound from a loss in their previous game. Chicago vs Indianapolis AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Sep 22. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Indianapolis Colts NFL Preview

The Indianapolis Colts are entering Week 3 of the NFL season desperate for a win after starting 0-2. Their season opener against the Houston Texans resulted in a narrow 29-27 loss, and they followed that with a 16-10 defeat at the hands of the Green Bay Packers. In both games, the Colts showed potential but were hampered by costly mistakes, particularly from quarterback Anthony Richardson, who has thrown three touchdowns against four interceptions in his first two games. His performance needs to stabilize if the Colts hope to turn their season around. Jonathan Taylor remains the focal point of the Colts’ offense. In their last game, Taylor rushed for 103 yards on 12 carries, showcasing his ability to break long runs and create scoring opportunities. The Colts’ defense, however, has been porous, particularly against the run, as they allowed over 260 rushing yards to the Packers. Improving defensive efficiency, especially on third down and in the red zone, will be crucial for Indianapolis. Their secondary has been more effective, limiting opposing quarterbacks, but they must tighten up their run defense to prevent the Bears from controlling the game tempo. If the Colts can establish their ground game and limit turnovers, they should be in a good position to secure their first victory.

Chicago vs. Indianapolis Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Bears and Colts play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Lucas Oil Stadium in Sep seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: Punter Rigoberto Sanchez Over 1.5 Punts inside the 20 yard line

Chicago vs. Indianapolis Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Bears and Colts and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the linear correlation of emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors often put on Indianapolis’s strength factors between a Bears team going up against a possibly strong Colts team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Chicago vs Indianapolis picks, computer picks Bears vs Colts, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NFL 10/20 HOU@SEA UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 HOU@SEA UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
NFL 10/20 TB@DET UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Bears Betting Trends

The Bears have struggled as underdogs, failing to cover the spread in 12 of their last 14 games against teams with a losing record. Additionally, they have lost 18 of their last 19 Sunday road games.

Colts Betting Trends

The Colts have been more reliable in Week 3 matchups, covering the spread in seven of their last eight games in this scenario. They have also seen the favorites win the first half in five of their last six games.

Bears vs. Colts Matchup Trends

Eight of the Colts’ last nine Sunday home games have gone over the total points line, while each of the Bears’ last five games as underdogs has gone under the total points line. This contrast makes the over/under an intriguing aspect for bettors to consider.

Chicago vs. Indianapolis Game Info

Chicago vs Indianapolis starts on September 22, 2024 at 1:00 PM EST.

Spread: Indianapolis -1.0
Moneyline: Chicago -100, Indianapolis -120
Over/Under: 43.5

Chicago: (1-1)  |  Indianapolis: (0-2)

Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: Punter Rigoberto Sanchez Over 1.5 Punts inside the 20 yard line. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Eight of the Colts’ last nine Sunday home games have gone over the total points line, while each of the Bears’ last five games as underdogs has gone under the total points line. This contrast makes the over/under an intriguing aspect for bettors to consider.

CHI trend: The Bears have struggled as underdogs, failing to cover the spread in 12 of their last 14 games against teams with a losing record. Additionally, they have lost 18 of their last 19 Sunday road games.

IND trend: The Colts have been more reliable in Week 3 matchups, covering the spread in seven of their last eight games in this scenario. They have also seen the favorites win the first half in five of their last six games.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.

Chicago vs. Indianapolis Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Chicago vs Indianapolis trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Chicago vs Indianapolis Opening Odds

CHI Moneyline: -100
IND Moneyline: -120
CHI Spread: +1
IND Spread: -1.0
Over/Under: 43.5

Chicago vs Indianapolis Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 23, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Chargers
10/23/25 8:15PM
Vikings
Chargers
+148
-185
+3 (+100)
-3 (-120)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
New England Patriots
10/26/25 1PM
Browns
Patriots
+270
-374
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
O 40.5 (-110)
U 40.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Carolina Panthers
10/26/25 1PM
Bills
Panthers
-463
+321
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
O 46 (-110)
U 46 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
10/26/25 1PM
Jets
Bengals
+242
-330
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens
10/26/25 1PM
Bears
Ravens
+229
-315
+6.5 (+100)
-6.5 (-120)
O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
10/26/25 1PM
Giants
Eagles
+287
-407
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Houston Texans
10/26/25 1PM
49ers
Texans
-110
-116
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
10/26/25 1PM
Dolphins
Falcons
+257
-355
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
10/26/25 4:05PM
Buccaneers
Saints
-220
+169
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
10/26/25 4:25PM
Cowboys
Broncos
+141
-181
+3.5 (-120)
-3.5 (+100)
O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
10/26/25 4:25PM
Titans
Colts
+682
-1442
+14 (-110)
-14 (-110)
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/26/25 8:20PM
Packers
Steelers
-192
+148
-3.5 (+100)
+3.5 (-120)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Oct 27, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Kansas City Chiefs
10/27/25 8:15PM
Commanders
Chiefs
+390
-599
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Chicago Bears vs. Indianapolis Colts on September 22, 2024 at Lucas Oil Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NE@TEN NE -6.5 55.2% 5 WIN
CAR@NYJ CAR -110 57.4 4 WIN
PHI@MIN PHI -130 58.0% 6 WIN
GB@ARI ARI +7 54.8% 5 WIN
NO@CHI NO +4.5 57.4% 7 LOSS
WAS@DAL JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 56.1% 5 WIN
GB@ARI JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 56.6% 6 WIN
PIT@CIN JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
BUF@ATL BUF -3.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
CHI@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 56.6% 6 WIN
TEN@LV UNDER 42 54.8% 3 WIN
DET@KC DET +2.5 55.7% 7 LOSS
SEA@JAC SEA -112 55.7% 5 WIN
LAC@MIA LAC -3.5 54.0% 3 LOSS
ARI@IND IND -8.5 55.6% 5 LOSS
TEN@LV TEN +4.5 56.7% 6 LOSS
LAR@BAL LAR -7 56.2% 6 WIN
SF@TB SF +3.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
CLE@PIT JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 LOSS
DEN@NYJ BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS 55.0% 4 LOSS
KC@JAC UNDER 45.5 54.9% 3 LOSS
KC@JAC PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP 56.6% 6 LOSS
HOU@BAL HOU -125 58.5% 7 WIN
DET@CIN DET -10 55.6% 5 WIN
DAL@NYJ NYJ +1.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
TB@SEA TB +3.5 54.9% 4 WIN
TEN@ARI ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) 54.9% 4 LOSS
DEN@PHI DEN +4.5 57.5% 7 WIN
MIA@CAR TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS 54.5% 4 WIN
LV@IND ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 WIN
SF@LAR DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS 55.7% 5 WIN
NYJ@MIA NYJ +3 53.8 3 LOSS
CIN@DEN DEN -7.5 54.8 4 WIN
NYJ@MIA OVER 44 52.9% 2 WIN
CIN@DEN UNDER 44.5 53.7% 3 WIN
NYJ@MIA GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS 53.7% 3 WIN
CIN@DEN TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS 55.5% 5 LOSS
WAS@ATL ATL -2.5 54.3 4 WIN
BAL@KC BAL -2.5 56.3% 6 LOSS
TEN@HOU TEN +7.5 57.9% 7 LOSS
LAC@NYG LAC -6 57.3% 7 LOSS
NO@BUF UNDER 48.5 55.1% 3 LOSS
GB@DAL JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS 55.5% 5 LOSS
CAR@NE DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 LOSS
SEA@ARI SEA -125 57.7% 6 WIN
SEA@ARI KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 WIN
DET@BAL JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS 55.8% 5 WIN
DAL@CHI DAL -120 58.7% 6 LOSS
PIT@NE PIT -116 60.1% 6 WIN
ATL@CAR ATL -4.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
LV@WAS LV +3 54.3% 4 LOSS