Patriots vs Jets Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Sep 19)
Updated: 2024-09-12T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The New England Patriots will face off against the New York Jets on September 19, 2024, in a Week 3 NFL matchup at MetLife Stadium. Both teams enter the game with a 1-1 record and are looking to establish dominance in the AFC East division.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Sep 19, 2024
Start Time: 8:15 PM EST
Venue: MetLife Stadium
Jets Record: (1-1)
Patriots Record: (1-1)
OPENING ODDS
NE Moneyline: +224
NYJ Moneyline: -275
NE Spread: +6.5
NYJ Spread: -6.5
Over/Under: 38.5
NE
Betting Trends
- The Patriots have struggled to cover the spread recently, failing to cover in six of their last seven games in September as underdogs. They also have lost each of their last eight games played on the East Coast, which could be a factor against them.
NYJ
Betting Trends
- The Jets have covered the spread in each of their last four Week 3 games. Additionally, as favorites at MetLife Stadium, the Jets have historically performed well, winning each of the last eight games between these two teams at this venue.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The favorites have won and covered the spread in each of the last eight matchups between the Patriots and Jets at MetLife Stadium. This trend heavily favors the Jets, who are currently listed as the favorites.
NE vs. NYJ
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: Rhamondre Stevenson Over 17.5 Total Carries
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New England vs New York Jets Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/19/24
The Patriots’ defense has also been stout, allowing just 16.5 points per game. However, injuries could play a significant role; key players like David Andrews and Ja’Whaun Bentley are questionable, which may impact both their offensive line stability and defensive pressure. The Jets, led by veteran quarterback Aaron Rodgers, have shown flashes of offensive potential, particularly in their passing game. Rodgers has completed 60.8% of his passes for 343 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception so far. However, New York’s ground game has been less impressive, averaging only 84.5 yards per contest. Defensively, the Jets have allowed 24.5 points per game, and stopping the run has been a concern, which could be a critical matchup against the Patriots’ run-heavy approach. The Jets’ defense, led by players like Jamien Sherwood and Will McDonald IV, will need to step up to contain New England’s dynamic rushing attack.
Patriots release WR Jalen Reagor from the practice squad: https://t.co/8sJPXxyrwD pic.twitter.com/npJY7AcR3U
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) September 17, 2024
New England Patriots NFL Preview
The New England Patriots head into MetLife Stadium with a balanced attack and a defense that has been one of the strongest in the league. Under the leadership of quarterback Jacoby Brissett, who has been solid with 270 yards, one touchdown, and no interceptions, the Patriots’ offense has relied heavily on the ground game. Running back Rhamondre Stevenson has been a standout performer, amassing 201 yards and two touchdowns. Hunter Henry has also been a key contributor in the passing game, recording 109 yards in the last outing against Seattle. This balanced offensive approach has allowed the Patriots to control the clock and wear down defenses. Defensively, the Patriots have been formidable, allowing just 291 yards per game and holding opponents to only 16.5 points on average. The defensive line has been effective, with players like Keion White recording four sacks so far this season. However, injuries could pose a problem for the Patriots, with several key defensive players listed as questionable. If the Patriots can maintain their defensive intensity and continue to exploit the Jets’ weak run defense, they stand a strong chance of keeping the game close or even pulling off an upset on the road.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
New York Jets Jets NFL Preview
The New York Jets come into this Thursday Night Football matchup with both optimism and caution. Aaron Rodgers, despite coming off an injury-laden season, has demonstrated his ability to lead the team effectively. He has thrown for 343 yards, three touchdowns, and just one interception through two games. The Jets’ offense, however, has been inconsistent, struggling particularly on the ground where they have only managed 84.5 rushing yards per game. Breece Hall, their leading rusher, has just 116 yards and one touchdown. To improve, the Jets will need to establish a more effective rushing attack to complement Rodgers’ passing game. Defensively, the Jets have room for improvement. They have allowed 350.5 yards per game and struggled particularly against the run, giving up an average of 4.7 yards per carry. With key injuries like Jermaine Johnson II out for the season and other important defensive players like C.J. Mosley questionable, the Jets’ defense must focus on shoring up their run defense against the Patriots. The team’s ability to generate a pass rush has been a positive, as they have accumulated seven sacks through two games. However, facing a disciplined Patriots offensive line, maintaining pressure will be essential.
.@HouseofDragon come get your guy @AaronRodgers12 🐉 pic.twitter.com/U6sUdoAo4D
— New York Jets (@nyjets) September 18, 2024
New England vs. New York Jets Prop Picks (AI)
New England vs. New York Jets Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Patriots and Jets and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the growing weight knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Patriots team going up against a possibly improved Jets team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI New England vs New York Jets picks, computer picks Patriots vs Jets, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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| NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | HOU@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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| NFL | 10/20 | TB@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Patriots Betting Trends
The Patriots have struggled to cover the spread recently, failing to cover in six of their last seven games in September as underdogs. They also have lost each of their last eight games played on the East Coast, which could be a factor against them.
Jets Betting Trends
The Jets have covered the spread in each of their last four Week 3 games. Additionally, as favorites at MetLife Stadium, the Jets have historically performed well, winning each of the last eight games between these two teams at this venue.
Patriots vs. Jets Matchup Trends
The favorites have won and covered the spread in each of the last eight matchups between the Patriots and Jets at MetLife Stadium. This trend heavily favors the Jets, who are currently listed as the favorites.
New England vs. New York Jets Game Info
What time does New England vs New York Jets start on September 19, 2024?
New England vs New York Jets starts on September 19, 2024 at 8:15 PM EST.
Where is New England vs New York Jets being played?
Venue: MetLife Stadium.
What are the opening odds for New England vs New York Jets?
Spread: New York Jets -6.5
Moneyline: New England +224, New York Jets -275
Over/Under: 38.5
What are the records for New England vs New York Jets?
New England: (1-1) | New York Jets: (1-1)
What is the AI best bet for New England vs New York Jets?
Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: Rhamondre Stevenson Over 17.5 Total Carries. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are New England vs New York Jets trending bets?
The favorites have won and covered the spread in each of the last eight matchups between the Patriots and Jets at MetLife Stadium. This trend heavily favors the Jets, who are currently listed as the favorites.
What are New England trending bets?
NE trend: The Patriots have struggled to cover the spread recently, failing to cover in six of their last seven games in September as underdogs. They also have lost each of their last eight games played on the East Coast, which could be a factor against them.
What are New York Jets trending bets?
NYJ trend: The Jets have covered the spread in each of their last four Week 3 games. Additionally, as favorites at MetLife Stadium, the Jets have historically performed well, winning each of the last eight games between these two teams at this venue.
Where can I find AI Picks for New England vs New York Jets?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
New England vs. New York Jets Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the New England vs New York Jets trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
New England vs New York Jets Opening Odds
NE Moneyline:
+224 NYJ Moneyline: -275
NE Spread: +6.5
NYJ Spread: -6.5
Over/Under: 38.5
New England vs New York Jets Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Oct 23, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Chargers
10/23/25 8:15PM
Vikings
Chargers
|
–
–
|
+142
-165
|
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
|
O 45 (-110)
U 45 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
New England Patriots
10/26/25 1PM
Browns
Patriots
|
–
–
|
+290
-360
|
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
|
O 40.5 (-110)
U 40.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Carolina Panthers
10/26/25 1PM
Bills
Panthers
|
–
–
|
-400
+320
|
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
|
O 45.5 (-110)
U 45.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
10/26/25 1PM
Jets
Bengals
|
–
–
|
+250
-300
|
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-115)
|
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens
10/26/25 1PM
Bears
Ravens
|
–
–
|
+265
-325
|
+7 (-120)
-7 (+100)
|
O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
10/26/25 1PM
Giants
Eagles
|
–
–
|
+290
-360
|
+7 (-105)
-7 (-115)
|
O 43.5 (-115)
U 43.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Houston Texans
10/26/25 1PM
49ers
Texans
|
–
–
|
-110
-106
|
-1.5 (-104)
+1.5 (-118)
|
O 41.5 (-115)
U 41.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
10/26/25 1PM
Dolphins
Falcons
|
–
–
|
+280
-350
|
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
10/26/25 4:05PM
Buccaneers
Saints
|
–
–
|
-220
+184
|
-4.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-108)
|
O 47.5 (-105)
U 47.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
10/26/25 4:25PM
Cowboys
Broncos
|
–
–
|
+146
-170
|
+3 (+100)
-3 (-120)
|
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
10/26/25 4:25PM
Titans
Colts
|
–
–
|
+750
-1200
|
+14 (-110)
-14 (-110)
|
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 26, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/26/25 8:20PM
Packers
Steelers
|
–
–
|
-185
+159
|
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
|
O 45 (-113)
U 45 (-107)
|
|
|
Oct 27, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Kansas City Chiefs
10/27/25 8:15PM
Commanders
Chiefs
|
–
–
|
+465
-630
|
+10.5 (-115)
-10.5 (-105)
|
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
|
NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New England Patriots vs. New York Jets Jets on September 19, 2024 at MetLife Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| NFL |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE@TEN | NE -6.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| CAR@NYJ | CAR -110 | 57.4 | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIN | PHI -130 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | ARI +7 | 54.8% | 5 | WIN |
| NO@CHI | NO +4.5 | 57.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| WAS@DAL | JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PIT@CIN | JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| BUF@ATL | BUF -3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TEN@LV | UNDER 42 | 54.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@KC | DET +2.5 | 55.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| SEA@JAC | SEA -112 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MIA | LAC -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| ARI@IND | IND -8.5 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| TEN@LV | TEN +4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAR@BAL | LAR -7 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@TB | SF +3.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| CLE@PIT | JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@NYJ | BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | UNDER 45.5 | 54.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@BAL | HOU -125 | 58.5% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@CIN | DET -10 | 55.6% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@NYJ | NYJ +1.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| TB@SEA | TB +3.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TEN@ARI | ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@PHI | DEN +4.5 | 57.5% | 7 | WIN |
| MIA@CAR | TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| LV@IND | ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@LAR | DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | NYJ +3 | 53.8 | 3 | LOSS |
| CIN@DEN | DEN -7.5 | 54.8 | 4 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | OVER 44 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
| CIN@DEN | UNDER 44.5 | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NYJ@MIA | GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| CIN@DEN | TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| WAS@ATL | ATL -2.5 | 54.3 | 4 | WIN |
| BAL@KC | BAL -2.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
| TEN@HOU | TEN +7.5 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
| LAC@NYG | LAC -6 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| NO@BUF | UNDER 48.5 | 55.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| GB@DAL | JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| CAR@NE | DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |