Bills vs Dolphins Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Sep 12)
Updated: 2024-09-05T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins will face off on September 12, 2024, in a pivotal AFC East matchup. Both teams secured victories in Week 1 and will look to establish early division dominance. With high-powered offenses led by Josh Allen and Tua Tagovailoa, this game promises to be a thrilling, high-scoring affair.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Sep 12, 2024
Start Time: 8:15 PM EST
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
Dolphins Record: (1-0)
Bills Record: (1-0)
OPENING ODDS
BUF Moneyline: +115
MIA Moneyline: -136
BUF Spread: +2.5
MIA Spread: -2.5
Over/Under: 48.5
BUF
Betting Trends
- The Buffalo Bills have performed well against the spread (ATS) against the Miami Dolphins, with coach Sean McDermott holding an 8-5-1 ATS record versus Miami. Under quarterback Josh Allen, the Bills are 10-2 against Miami, indicating consistent success against their divisional rival.
MIA
Betting Trends
- The Miami Dolphins are favored by 1.5 points in this matchup. While the Dolphins have struggled against the Bills in recent seasons, they have been strong at home in early-season games. However, Miami’s defense has regressed in the offseason, which may impact their ability to cover the spread.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Josh Allen’s career performance against Miami is notable; he has a quarterback rating of 110.3 when facing the Dolphins. However, if Allen is not fully recovered from a hand injury sustained in Week 1, the Dolphins could exploit this and cover the spread.
BUF vs. MIA
Best Prop Bet
- Remi searched hard and crunched the numbers and found a prop bet for the Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins matchup. Prop Bet: Tua Tagovailoa Over 262.5 Total Passing Yards
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Buffalo vs Miami Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/12/24
Tua’s performance will be crucial, especially given Miami’s weakened defense following offseason changes. The Dolphins will rely heavily on their dynamic receiving duo, Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, to stretch the field and keep the Bills’ defense on their heels. The key to this game will be whether Miami’s rushing attack can effectively complement Tua’s aerial assault. For Buffalo, maintaining offensive balance and keeping Josh Allen protected and healthy will be paramount. The game’s outcome will likely hinge on which team can best exploit the other’s defensive weaknesses. With both teams aiming for a 2-0 start, expect an exciting, closely contested battle.
HOME OPENER BILLS WIN!!!!#AZvsBUF | #BillsMafia pic.twitter.com/YcTGd1x0vq
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) September 8, 2024
Buffalo Bills NFL Preview
The Buffalo Bills come into their Week 2 game against the Miami Dolphins with confidence, having rallied to defeat the Arizona Cardinals in their opener. The Bills’ offense, led by quarterback Josh Allen, is once again proving to be among the NFL’s most dynamic. Allen’s performance against Miami has been dominant; he is 10-2 against the Dolphins with a quarterback rating of 110.3. His ability to extend plays and deliver in clutch moments is unparalleled. However, his health is a question mark after sustaining a hand injury in Week 1. The Bills’ coaching staff will need to monitor Allen closely and possibly adjust their game plan to protect him. Defensively, the Bills have not looked as strong as in past seasons. Their secondary and linebacker play, in particular, will need to improve against Miami’s explosive passing attack. The Bills’ defense will be tasked with containing Tua Tagovailoa and his star receivers, Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, who can turn any catch into a big gain. For Buffalo to win, they must find a way to generate pressure and force Tua into making mistakes. Additionally, the Bills need to be wary of Miami’s ground game, which could serve to balance the Dolphins’ offensive attack. Special teams could also play a pivotal role in what is expected to be a close, high-scoring affair.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Miami Dolphins NFL Preview
The Miami Dolphins enter their Week 2 matchup against the Buffalo Bills on the back of a dramatic Week 1 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars, secured by a last-second field goal. Led by quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, who threw for 336 yards, the Dolphins are poised to continue their offensive momentum. Tua’s ability to move the ball through the air will be crucial against a Buffalo defense that showed vulnerabilities in Week 1. The Dolphins’ offensive strategy will likely center around utilizing star receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle to stretch the field and create mismatches against a Bills secondary that could struggle to keep pace. However, the Dolphins’ defense is a significant concern. The offseason saw the departure of key players and defensive coordinator Vic Fangio, which has left Miami’s defense looking less formidable. In Week 1, they managed to hold off the Jaguars, but the challenge will be much greater against Buffalo’s dynamic offense. The Dolphins must focus on their pass rush and coverage to limit Josh Allen’s ability to make plays both through the air and on the ground. Miami’s success will also depend on establishing a strong rushing attack to control the tempo and keep Buffalo’s potent offense off the field. This game will test whether Miami can make up for its defensive deficiencies with offensive firepower.
Retro wallpapers for your 📲 pic.twitter.com/89DMjEPao9
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) September 11, 2024
Buffalo vs. Miami Prop Picks (AI)
Buffalo vs. Miami Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Bills and Dolphins and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of weight emotional bettors often put on player performance factors between a Bills team going up against a possibly healthy Dolphins team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Buffalo vs Miami picks, computer picks Bills vs Dolphins, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 11/10 | PHI@GB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Bills Betting Trends
The Buffalo Bills have performed well against the spread (ATS) against the Miami Dolphins, with coach Sean McDermott holding an 8-5-1 ATS record versus Miami. Under quarterback Josh Allen, the Bills are 10-2 against Miami, indicating consistent success against their divisional rival.
Dolphins Betting Trends
The Miami Dolphins are favored by 1.5 points in this matchup. While the Dolphins have struggled against the Bills in recent seasons, they have been strong at home in early-season games. However, Miami’s defense has regressed in the offseason, which may impact their ability to cover the spread.
Bills vs. Dolphins Matchup Trends
Josh Allen’s career performance against Miami is notable; he has a quarterback rating of 110.3 when facing the Dolphins. However, if Allen is not fully recovered from a hand injury sustained in Week 1, the Dolphins could exploit this and cover the spread.
Buffalo vs. Miami Game Info
What time does Buffalo vs Miami start on September 12, 2024?
Buffalo vs Miami starts on September 12, 2024 at 8:15 PM EST.
Where is Buffalo vs Miami being played?
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Buffalo vs Miami?
Spread: Miami -2.5
Moneyline: Buffalo +115, Miami -136
Over/Under: 48.5
What are the records for Buffalo vs Miami?
Buffalo: (1-0) | Miami: (1-0)
What is the AI best bet for Buffalo vs Miami?
Remi searched hard and crunched the numbers and found a prop bet for the Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins matchup. Prop Bet: Tua Tagovailoa Over 262.5 Total Passing Yards . Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Buffalo vs Miami trending bets?
Josh Allen’s career performance against Miami is notable; he has a quarterback rating of 110.3 when facing the Dolphins. However, if Allen is not fully recovered from a hand injury sustained in Week 1, the Dolphins could exploit this and cover the spread.
What are Buffalo trending bets?
BUF trend: The Buffalo Bills have performed well against the spread (ATS) against the Miami Dolphins, with coach Sean McDermott holding an 8-5-1 ATS record versus Miami. Under quarterback Josh Allen, the Bills are 10-2 against Miami, indicating consistent success against their divisional rival.
What are Miami trending bets?
MIA trend: The Miami Dolphins are favored by 1.5 points in this matchup. While the Dolphins have struggled against the Bills in recent seasons, they have been strong at home in early-season games. However, Miami’s defense has regressed in the offseason, which may impact their ability to cover the spread.
Where can I find AI Picks for Buffalo vs Miami?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
Buffalo vs. Miami Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Buffalo vs Miami trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Buffalo vs Miami Opening Odds
BUF Moneyline:
+115 MIA Moneyline: -136
BUF Spread: +2.5
MIA Spread: -2.5
Over/Under: 48.5
Buffalo vs Miami Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Nov 10, 2025 8:15PM EST
Philadelphia Eagles
Green Bay Packers
11/10/25 8:15PM
Eagles
Packers
|
–
–
|
-105
-115
|
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (-102)
|
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Nov 13, 2025 8:15PM EST
New York Jets
New England Patriots
11/13/25 8:15PM
Jets
Patriots
|
–
–
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+500
-700
|
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-110)
|
O 43.5 (-102)
U 43.5 (-120)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 9:30AM EST
Washington Commanders
Miami Dolphins
11/16/25 9:30AM
Commanders
Dolphins
|
–
–
|
+128
-152
|
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
|
O 47.5 (-104)
U 47.5 (-118)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
11/16/25 1PM
Panthers
Falcons
|
–
–
|
+176
-210
|
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-115)
|
O 42.5 (-118)
U 42.5 (-104)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
11/16/25 1PM
Bears
Vikings
|
–
–
|
+136
-162
|
+3 (-118)
-3 (-104)
|
O 47.5 (-120)
U 47.5 (-102)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Los Angeles Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars
11/16/25 1PM
Chargers
Jaguars
|
–
–
|
-146
+126
|
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (-102)
|
O 43.5 (-115)
U 43.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Green Bay Packers
New York Giants
11/16/25 1PM
Packers
Giants
|
–
–
|
-460
+360
|
-7.5 (-120)
+7.5 (-102)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
11/16/25 1PM
Bengals
Steelers
|
–
–
|
+198
-240
|
+5.5 (-118)
-5.5 (-104)
|
O 50.5 (-105)
U 50.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buffalo Bills
11/16/25 1PM
Buccaneers
Bills
|
–
–
|
+215
-260
|
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
|
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
11/16/25 1PM
Texans
Titans
|
–
–
|
-400
+315
|
-7.5 (-106)
+7.5 (-114)
|
O 39.5 (-105)
U 39.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
11/16/25 4:05PM
49ers
Cardinals
|
–
–
|
-156
+132
|
-3 (-104)
+3 (-118)
|
O 48.5 (-115)
U 48.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
11/16/25 4:05PM
Seahawks
Rams
|
–
–
|
+124
-146
|
+2.5 (-102)
-2.5 (-120)
|
O 48.5 (-112)
U 48.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
11/16/25 4:25PM
Chiefs
Broncos
|
–
–
|
-188
+158
|
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
11/16/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Browns
|
–
–
|
-510
+390
|
-8.5 (-115)
+8.5 (-105)
|
O 41.5 (-115)
U 41.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Nov 16, 2025 8:20PM EST
Detroit Lions
Philadelphia Eagles
11/16/25 8:20PM
Lions
Eagles
|
–
–
|
+104
-122
|
+1.5 (-112)
-1.5 (-108)
|
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 17, 2025 8:15PM EST
Dallas Cowboys
Las Vegas Raiders
11/17/25 8:15PM
Cowboys
Raiders
|
–
–
|
-196
+164
|
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
|
O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)
|
NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins on September 12, 2024 at Hard Rock Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| NFL |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LV@DEN | RILEY MOSS OVER 4.5 TACKLE + ASST | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| LV@DEN | UNDER 43 | 53.4% | 2 | WIN |
| ARI@DAL | BUDDA BAKER OVER 7.5 TACKLES + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| ARI@DAL | GEORGE PICKENS OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@HOU | WIL LUTZ OVER 1.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| SEA@WAS | SEA -3 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| IND@PIT | IND -3 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@TEN | LAC -9.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@CIN | CHI -2.5 | 52.6% | 2 | WIN |
| SEA@WAS | OVER 48 | 52.9% | 2 | WIN |
| SEA@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 20.5 PASS COMP | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| JAC@LV | JAC -140 | 64.2% | 7 | WIN |
| NO@LAR | LAR -14 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
| DEN@HOU | HOU -1.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@GB | GB -12.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| SF@NYG | NYG +2.5 | 56.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| BAL@MIA | TUA TAGOVAILOA UNDER 0.5 INT | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| TB@NO | TB -3.5 | 52.3% | 1 | WIN |
| GB@PIT | GB -2.5 | 52.3% | 1 | WIN |
| SF@HOU | SF +2.5 | 56.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| NYG@PHI | NYG +7.5 | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| BUF@CAR | CAR +7.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| DAL@DEN | DAL +3.5 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIA@ATL | MIA +7 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| CLE@NE | CLE +7 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| TB@NO | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 15.5 RUSH YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIN@LAC | JUSTIN HERBERT PASS ATT UNDER 35.5 | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| TB@DET | TB +6.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| TB@DET | RACHAAD WHITE UNDER 14.5 RUSH ATT | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NE@TEN | NE -6.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| CAR@NYJ | CAR -110 | 57.4 | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIN | PHI -130 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | ARI +7 | 54.8% | 5 | WIN |
| NO@CHI | NO +4.5 | 57.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| WAS@DAL | JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| GB@ARI | JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PIT@CIN | JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| BUF@ATL | BUF -3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@WAS | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TEN@LV | UNDER 42 | 54.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@KC | DET +2.5 | 55.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| SEA@JAC | SEA -112 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MIA | LAC -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| ARI@IND | IND -8.5 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| TEN@LV | TEN +4.5 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAR@BAL | LAR -7 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@TB | SF +3.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| CLE@PIT | JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@NYJ | BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | UNDER 45.5 | 54.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| KC@JAC | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |