Bills vs. Dolphins
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 12 | NFL AI Picks
Updated: 2024-09-05T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins will face off on September 12, 2024, in a pivotal AFC East matchup. Both teams secured victories in Week 1 and will look to establish early division dominance. With high-powered offenses led by Josh Allen and Tua Tagovailoa, this game promises to be a thrilling, high-scoring affair.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Sep 12, 2024
Start Time: 8:15 PM EST
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
Dolphins Record: (1-0)
Bills Record: (1-0)
OPENING ODDS
BUF Moneyline: +115
MIA Moneyline: -136
BUF Spread: +2.5
MIA Spread: -2.5
Over/Under: 48.5
BUF
Betting Trends
- The Buffalo Bills have performed well against the spread (ATS) against the Miami Dolphins, with coach Sean McDermott holding an 8-5-1 ATS record versus Miami. Under quarterback Josh Allen, the Bills are 10-2 against Miami, indicating consistent success against their divisional rival.
MIA
Betting Trends
- The Miami Dolphins are favored by 1.5 points in this matchup. While the Dolphins have struggled against the Bills in recent seasons, they have been strong at home in early-season games. However, Miami’s defense has regressed in the offseason, which may impact their ability to cover the spread.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Josh Allen’s career performance against Miami is notable; he has a quarterback rating of 110.3 when facing the Dolphins. However, if Allen is not fully recovered from a hand injury sustained in Week 1, the Dolphins could exploit this and cover the spread.
BUF vs. MIA
Best Prop Bet
- Remi searched hard and crunched the numbers and found a prop bet for the Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins matchup. Prop Bet: Tua Tagovailoa Over 262.5 Total Passing Yards
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Buffalo vs Miami Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/12/24
Tua’s performance will be crucial, especially given Miami’s weakened defense following offseason changes. The Dolphins will rely heavily on their dynamic receiving duo, Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, to stretch the field and keep the Bills’ defense on their heels. The key to this game will be whether Miami’s rushing attack can effectively complement Tua’s aerial assault. For Buffalo, maintaining offensive balance and keeping Josh Allen protected and healthy will be paramount. The game’s outcome will likely hinge on which team can best exploit the other’s defensive weaknesses. With both teams aiming for a 2-0 start, expect an exciting, closely contested battle.
HOME OPENER BILLS WIN!!!!#AZvsBUF | #BillsMafia pic.twitter.com/YcTGd1x0vq
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) September 8, 2024
Buffalo Bills NFL Preview
The Buffalo Bills come into their Week 2 game against the Miami Dolphins with confidence, having rallied to defeat the Arizona Cardinals in their opener. The Bills’ offense, led by quarterback Josh Allen, is once again proving to be among the NFL’s most dynamic. Allen’s performance against Miami has been dominant; he is 10-2 against the Dolphins with a quarterback rating of 110.3. His ability to extend plays and deliver in clutch moments is unparalleled. However, his health is a question mark after sustaining a hand injury in Week 1. The Bills’ coaching staff will need to monitor Allen closely and possibly adjust their game plan to protect him. Defensively, the Bills have not looked as strong as in past seasons. Their secondary and linebacker play, in particular, will need to improve against Miami’s explosive passing attack. The Bills’ defense will be tasked with containing Tua Tagovailoa and his star receivers, Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, who can turn any catch into a big gain. For Buffalo to win, they must find a way to generate pressure and force Tua into making mistakes. Additionally, the Bills need to be wary of Miami’s ground game, which could serve to balance the Dolphins’ offensive attack. Special teams could also play a pivotal role in what is expected to be a close, high-scoring affair.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Miami Dolphins NFL Preview
The Miami Dolphins enter their Week 2 matchup against the Buffalo Bills on the back of a dramatic Week 1 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars, secured by a last-second field goal. Led by quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, who threw for 336 yards, the Dolphins are poised to continue their offensive momentum. Tua’s ability to move the ball through the air will be crucial against a Buffalo defense that showed vulnerabilities in Week 1. The Dolphins’ offensive strategy will likely center around utilizing star receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle to stretch the field and create mismatches against a Bills secondary that could struggle to keep pace. However, the Dolphins’ defense is a significant concern. The offseason saw the departure of key players and defensive coordinator Vic Fangio, which has left Miami’s defense looking less formidable. In Week 1, they managed to hold off the Jaguars, but the challenge will be much greater against Buffalo’s dynamic offense. The Dolphins must focus on their pass rush and coverage to limit Josh Allen’s ability to make plays both through the air and on the ground. Miami’s success will also depend on establishing a strong rushing attack to control the tempo and keep Buffalo’s potent offense off the field. This game will test whether Miami can make up for its defensive deficiencies with offensive firepower.
Retro wallpapers for your 📲 pic.twitter.com/89DMjEPao9
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) September 11, 2024
Buffalo vs. Miami Prop Picks (AI)
Buffalo vs. Miami Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Bills and Dolphins and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the growing weight knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Buffalo’s strength factors between a Bills team going up against a possibly unhealthy Dolphins team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Buffalo vs Miami picks, computer picks Bills vs Dolphins, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.
Bills Betting Trends
The Buffalo Bills have performed well against the spread (ATS) against the Miami Dolphins, with coach Sean McDermott holding an 8-5-1 ATS record versus Miami. Under quarterback Josh Allen, the Bills are 10-2 against Miami, indicating consistent success against their divisional rival.
Dolphins Betting Trends
The Miami Dolphins are favored by 1.5 points in this matchup. While the Dolphins have struggled against the Bills in recent seasons, they have been strong at home in early-season games. However, Miami’s defense has regressed in the offseason, which may impact their ability to cover the spread.
Bills vs. Dolphins Matchup Trends
Josh Allen’s career performance against Miami is notable; he has a quarterback rating of 110.3 when facing the Dolphins. However, if Allen is not fully recovered from a hand injury sustained in Week 1, the Dolphins could exploit this and cover the spread.
Buffalo vs. Miami Game Info
What time does Buffalo vs Miami start on September 12, 2024?
Buffalo vs Miami starts on September 12, 2024 at 8:15 PM EST.
Where is Buffalo vs Miami being played?
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Buffalo vs Miami?
Spread: Miami -2.5
Moneyline: Buffalo +115, Miami -136
Over/Under: 48.5
What are the records for Buffalo vs Miami?
Buffalo: (1-0) | Miami: (1-0)
What is the AI best bet for Buffalo vs Miami?
Remi searched hard and crunched the numbers and found a prop bet for the Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins matchup. Prop Bet: Tua Tagovailoa Over 262.5 Total Passing Yards . Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Buffalo vs Miami trending bets?
Josh Allen’s career performance against Miami is notable; he has a quarterback rating of 110.3 when facing the Dolphins. However, if Allen is not fully recovered from a hand injury sustained in Week 1, the Dolphins could exploit this and cover the spread.
What are Buffalo trending bets?
BUF trend: The Buffalo Bills have performed well against the spread (ATS) against the Miami Dolphins, with coach Sean McDermott holding an 8-5-1 ATS record versus Miami. Under quarterback Josh Allen, the Bills are 10-2 against Miami, indicating consistent success against their divisional rival.
What are Miami trending bets?
MIA trend: The Miami Dolphins are favored by 1.5 points in this matchup. While the Dolphins have struggled against the Bills in recent seasons, they have been strong at home in early-season games. However, Miami’s defense has regressed in the offseason, which may impact their ability to cover the spread.
Where can I find AI Picks for Buffalo vs Miami?
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
Buffalo vs. Miami Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Buffalo vs Miami trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Buffalo vs Miami Opening Odds
BUF Moneyline:
+115 MIA Moneyline: -136
BUF Spread: +2.5
MIA Spread: -2.5
Over/Under: 48.5
Buffalo vs Miami Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sep 28, 2025 9:31AM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Pittsburgh Steelers
9/28/25 9:31AM
Vikings
Steelers
|
–
–
|
-140
+115
|
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
|
O 41 (-110)
U 41 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
Detroit Lions
9/28/25 1PM
Browns
Lions
|
–
–
|
+400
-550
|
+10 (-110)
-10 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Chargers
New York Giants
9/28/25 1PM
Chargers
Giants
|
–
–
|
-285
+230
|
-6.5 (-105)
+6.5 (-115)
|
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
9/28/25 1:01PM
Titans
Texans
|
–
–
|
+300
-375
|
+7 (-105)
-7 (-115)
|
O 39 (-110)
U 39 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Philadelphia Eagles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9/28/25 1:01PM
Eagles
Buccaneers
|
–
–
|
-190
+160
|
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
|
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Atlanta Falcons
9/28/25 1:01PM
Commanders
Falcons
|
–
–
|
+105
-125
|
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
|
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
New Orleans Saints
Buffalo Bills
9/28/25 1:01PM
Saints
Bills
|
–
–
|
+800
-1300
|
+15 (-110)
-15 (-110)
|
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 1:01PM EDT
Carolina Panthers
New England Patriots
9/28/25 1:01PM
Panthers
Patriots
|
–
–
|
+200
-250
|
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
|
O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Jacksonville Jaguars
San Francisco 49ers
9/28/25 4:06PM
Jaguars
49ers
|
–
–
|
+150
-180
|
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
|
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Indianapolis Colts
Los Angeles Rams
9/28/25 4:06PM
Colts
Rams
|
–
–
|
+160
-190
|
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
|
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Baltimore Ravens
Kansas City Chiefs
9/28/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Chiefs
|
–
–
|
-150
+125
|
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (+100)
|
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 4:26PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Las Vegas Raiders
9/28/25 4:26PM
Bears
Raiders
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
|
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 8:21PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Dallas Cowboys
9/28/25 8:21PM
Packers
Cowboys
|
–
–
|
-325
+250
|
-7 (-105)
+7 (-115)
|
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
|
|
|
Sep 29, 2025 7:15PM EDT
New York Jets
Miami Dolphins
9/29/25 7:15PM
Jets
Dolphins
|
–
–
|
+125
-150
|
+3 (-115)
-3 (-105)
|
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Sep 29, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
9/29/25 8:15PM
Bengals
Broncos
|
–
–
|
+310
-400
|
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
|
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 2, 2025 8:16PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
10/2/25 8:16PM
49ers
Rams
|
–
–
|
+134
-158
|
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
|
O 47.5 (-105)
U 47.5 (-115)
|
NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins on September 12, 2024 at Hard Rock Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| NFL |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@ARI | SEA -125 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SEA@ARI | KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DET@BAL | JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| DAL@CHI | DAL -120 | 58.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| PIT@NE | PIT -116 | 60.1% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@CAR | ATL -4.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| LV@WAS | LV +3 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| GB@CLE | GB -7 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| ARI@SF | ARI +3 | 57.7% | 6 | WIN |
| KC@NYG | PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 230.5 PASS YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| GB@CLE | JOE FLACCO OVER 37.5 PASS ATT | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIA@BUF | TYREEK HILL OVER 5.5 TOTAL RECEPTIONS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@LV | LAC -3 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TB@HOU | BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| CHI@DET | DET -6.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| DEN@IND | DEN -118 | 60.1% | 10 | LOSS |
| PHI@KC | PHI -115 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| SF@NO | SF -3 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
| SEA@PIT | OVER 40 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@ARI | BRYCE YOUNG INTERCEPTIONS UNDER 0.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| DEN@IND | JOSH DOWNS RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| ATL@MIN | BIJAN ROBINSON RUSH + REC YDS OVER 94.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
| WAS@GB | WAS +3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| WAS@GB | JORDAN LOVE OVER 5.5 RUSH YDS | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@CHI | CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 219.5 PASS YDS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| TEN@DEN | DEN -8.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| SF@SEA | SF -115 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@SEA | KENNETH WALKER III UNDER 79.5 RUSH+REC YDS | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@JAC | TANK BIGSBY OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| KC@LAC | JUSTIN HERBERT UNDER 0.5 INT | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
| DAL@PHI | GEORGE PICKENS LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 22.5 YDS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| KC@PHI | JUJU SMITH-SCHUSTER UNDER 16.5 RECV YDS | 53.90% | 5 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH LONGEST RECEPTION OVER 20.5 YDS | 54.40% | 6 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 68.3% PASS COMP | 55.00% | 8 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | JALEN HURTS LONGEST RUSH OVER 12.5 YDS | 55.60% | 8 | WIN |
| BUF@KC | DALTON KINCAID OVER 29.5 RECV YDS | 55.10% | 8 | LOSS |
| WAS@PHI | DEVONTA SMITH OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS | 55.80% | 8 | WIN |
| BUF@KC | JAMES COOK ANYTIME TD | 53.00% | 5 | WIN |
| LAR@PHI | SAQUON BARKLEY UNDER 128 RUSH + REC YDS | 53.20% | 5 | LOSS |
| BAL@BUF | LAMAR JACKSON OVER 54.5 RUSH YDS | 54.50% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@KC | C.J. STROUD RUSH YDS UNDER 14.5 | 53.10% | 5 | LOSS |
| WAS@DET | JAMESON WILLIAMS RUSH YDS OVER 1.5 | 53.30% | 5 | WIN |
| WAS@DET | JARED GOFF PASS COMP % UNDER 72.3 | 54.30% | 6 | WIN |
| MIN@LAR | COOPER KUPP ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN | 52.60% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@LAR | MATTHEW STAFFORD OVER 21.5 PASS COMP | 54.10% | 6 | LOSS |
| WAS@TB | BRIAN ROBINSON JR OVER 1.5 REC TARGETS | 53.50% | 5 | WIN |
| WAS@TB | BAKER MAYFIELD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT | 54.90% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@PHI | JALEN HURTS OVER 67.1 PASS COMP PERCENTAGE | 54.60% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAC@HOU | J.K. DOBBINS ANYTIME TD | 52.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@HOU | LAC -2.5 | 53.40% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@HOU | JUSTIN HERBERT OVER 19.5 RUSH YDS | 53.40% | 5 | LOSS |