Wizards vs Hawks Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Feb 24)
Updated: 2026-02-22T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Washington Wizards (16‑40) travel to State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks (28‑31) on Tuesday, February 24, 2026, in an Eastern Conference matchup where Atlanta is expected to continue its push toward a mid‑tier playoff spot and Washington battles through a rebuilding season. The Hawks enter as sizable favorites — with the spread around Hawks ‑13.5 — while the Wizards hope to play spoiler despite missing key players and posting one of the league’s worst records.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Feb 24, 2026
Start Time: 8:30 PM EST
Venue: State Farm Arena
Hawks Record: (28-31)
Wizards Record: (16-40)
OPENING ODDS
WAS Moneyline: +500
ATL Moneyline: -833
WAS Spread: +13.5
ATL Spread: -13.5
Over/Under: 235.5
WAS
Betting Trends
- Washington has struggled against the spread recently, going 0‑6 ATS in its last six games as an underdog, illustrating challenges covering lines even when given points.
ATL
Betting Trends
- Atlanta has fared better ATS at home, going 5‑2 ATS in its last seven home games, a sign that its play on its own court tends to outperform expectations.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Over trends favor higher scoring: the Hawks have seen the over hit in 13 of their last 16 Tuesday games, and when playing teams with losing records — like Washington — the over has also been frequent.
WAS vs. ATL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Daniels under 23.5 PTS+REB+AST.
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Washington vs Atlanta Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 2/24/26
Tuesday night in Atlanta presents a classic “hope vs. climb” narrative as the Washington Wizards journey to face the Atlanta Hawks at State Farm Arena. The Hawks own a nearly .500 record and sit in a position to chase a play‑in or lower playoff seed, while the Wizards are mired in a disappointing rebuilding season with only 16 wins. While the records tell a story of disparate trajectories, this matchup also has historical context: the teams have split earlier season meetings — Washington won 132‑113 in late November, showcasing an ability to explode offensively, and Atlanta responded with a 131‑116 victory in early December. That 1‑1 season series reflects the occasional unpredictability these clubs exhibit despite the current standings gap. From a betting perspective, the Hawks are heavy favorites, with many sportsbooks positioning Atlanta well ahead on the spread and moneyline. The spread around Hawks ‑13.5 underscores expectations for an Atlanta route, yet Washington isn’t completely without trends that merit examination. The Wizards have covered in select situations and posted an even head‑to‑head record in recent history, suggesting that if they can slow the game and hit efficient shots early, they can at least keep early possessions close. The total in this game sits around the mid‑230s, and unique ATS trends — including frequent overs in Hawks Tuesday games — hint at the potential for a relatively high‑scoring affair if both teams shoot efficiently. On the court, the Hawks have been defined this season by a blend of emerging talent and veteran steadiness. Key contributors like Jalen Johnson and Nickeil Alexander‑Walker provide perimeter scoring and versatility, while others like Owen Okongwu offer interior defense and rebounding strength.
Atlanta’s offensive efficiency ranks solidly above league average, regularly pushing the pace and creating open three‑point opportunities through ball movement and quick read‑and‑react sets. Defensively, the Hawks apply pressure on penetration and contest shots, which limits opponents’ scoring in critical sequences. If Atlanta finds its half‑court rhythm early and pushes transition opportunities effectively, it can build commanding leads that force Washington into uncomfortable catch‑up scenarios. The Wizards’ story this season has been one of struggle counterbalanced by flashes of promise. New acquisitions and young pieces have had moments of production, but consistency has eluded them. Washington’s offense hovers in the lower tier of NBA efficiency, a product of both a lack of elite playmaking and defensive pressure that discounts easy possessions. Still, the Wizards have shown they can fire up quick scoring runs — especially when their three‑point look gets hot — and they can exploit defensive lapses by penetrating and kicking out to open shooters. Rebounding and hustle plays will be crucial; if Washington can secure extra possessions and convert second‑chance points, it could keep the game closer than expected deeper into the second half. Ultimately, this game could hinge on Atlanta’s ability to maintain its scoring tempo and limit mistakes, while Washington seeks to flip the pages on a difficult season by playing competitively and exploiting any sluggish stretches by the Hawks.
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Final.#ForTheDistrict | @Ticketmaster pic.twitter.com/9ViulGHzvZ
— Washington Wizards (@WashWizards) February 23, 2026
Washington Wizards NBA Preview
The Washington Wizards enter Tuesday’s road matchup at the Atlanta Hawks amid a challenging 2025‑26 campaign that has seen them struggle to find consistency and secure wins. Sitting with a 16‑40 record, Washington has experienced one of the tougher stretches in the league, and their struggles have been magnified on the road, where they are 5‑21 away from home. Offset against this adversity are flashes of competitive play and occasional offensive outbursts that demonstrate what this franchise can be when key players find rhythm. One such performance came in late November, when Washington exploded for a convincing 132‑113 victory at home over this same Hawks team — propelled by balanced scoring and hot shooting from deep that caught Atlanta off guard. That victory showed the Wizards can play at a high level, albeit inconsistently, and highlights the unpredictable nature of a rebuilding roster making sporadic offensive breakthroughs. A key storyline for the Wizards this season has been roster evolution and the integration of young talent alongside veterans. Players like Alex Sarr have taken on expanded roles, contributing scoring and rebounding while adjusting to rotations that have shifted throughout the year. Sarr’s ability to attack off the dribble and finish inside adds an interior dimension to Washington’s offense that opponents must respect. Similarly, Bilal Coulibaly — an athletic wing — has flashed scoring ability both off catch‑and‑shoot looks and aggressive drives to the rim. His defense also adds value, creating opportunities for steals and transition offense. The Wizards have sought balance by blending emerging contributors with veteran presences who provide stability and occasional scoring bursts; this mixture — while not consistent — creates the potential for surprising play‑by‑play competitiveness against seemingly superior teams.
On the glass, rebounding has been a focus, as securing extra possessions against a stronger opponent like Atlanta could keep games closer and generate scoring momentum swings that fuel comeback runs. Defensively, Washington has faced challenges containing opponents in half‑court sets and transition. Opposing teams often penetrate early in the clock and generate open looks from three, which Washington has struggled to contest effectively due to a lack of defensive continuity and rim‑protecting presence. Nevertheless, there have been moments where the Wizards have rotated well, contested perimeter shots, and forced turnovers that lead to easy fast‑break points. If Washington can limit opponent second‑chance opportunities and stay disciplined in help rotations, they increase their chances of hanging around longer in the game — a necessity when facing a heavy favorite like Atlanta. Rebounding and forced turnovers become critical; limiting easy buckets and capitalizing on opponent miscues will be key strategies for the Wizards as they attempt to defy spread expectations on the road. This matchup also hinges on Washington’s ability to limit sloppy play. Turnovers and careless possessions have plagued the Wizards at times, especially late in shot clocks or when facing pressure defense. Against a Hawks team that excels in transition scoring and capitalizing on miscues, reducing turnovers and securing defensive rebounds becomes essential. Flashy scoring runs can keep the Wizards competitive, but consistent execution — particularly late in quarters — can reignite offensive momentum and make Atlanta work for every point. Regardless of the final result, Washington’s focus will be on improvement and identifying building blocks that translate into future success, even in a difficult season.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Atlanta Hawks NBA Preview
The Atlanta Hawks come into Tuesday’s matchup against the Washington Wizards with the sense of a team still fighting for positioning in a competitive Eastern Conference. At 28‑31, Atlanta sits near the playoff bubble and isn’t safe from the play‑in picture, meaning each win has tangible implications for seeding and momentum. The Hawks’ overall talent mix blends rising young players with experienced contributors who can take control of games when momentum shifts. Jalen Johnson has emerged as a central figure, capable of exploding offensively and creating mismatches with his ability to finish at the rim, hit mid‑range jumpers, and defend multiple positions. Johnson’s improved consistency and ability to contribute across rebounding, scoring, and even facilitating has given the Hawks a dependable two‑way option. Alongside him, Nickeil Alexander‑Walker provides scoring punch and ball‑handling stability that keeps opponents’ defenses honest. His ability to knock down three‑point attempts and drive to the basket adds balance to Atlanta’s offensive sets. Interior presence from players like Owen Okongwu helps anchor the paint, providing protection at the rim and rebounds that spark transition opportunities. Offensively, the Hawks aim to push pace and maximize spacing. Atlanta’s penchant for moving the ball leads to open perimeter shots early in shot clocks and generally keeps defensive schemes on their heels. With several players capable of hitting from outside, defenses must respect pick‑and‑pop and kick‑out tendencies, which in turn opens driving lanes and increases the scoring floor. This versatility is crucial against a Washington squad that has struggled defensively this season, as it limits the Wizards’ ability to simply collapse on ball handlers. On the glass, Atlanta’s rebounding fundamentals help limit second‑chance points for opponents while generating extra possessions for themselves — a key advantage when games slow in the fourth quarter and every possession matters.
Atlanta’s scoring defense can be opportunistic, forcing turnovers and contesting jumpers to prevent easy buckets that allow teams like Washington to stay close. Recent betting trends highlight Atlanta’s relative strength at home; the Hawks are 5‑2 ATS in their last seven home games, suggesting they often outperform expected margins when playing in front of their crowd. This trend is particularly relevant against a struggling Wizards team that has a far lower winning percentage and deeper roster limitations. The State Farm Arena crowd also adds psychological momentum; electric runs and defensive stops often energize the home side, tilting close games in Atlanta’s favor. Additionally, the over has hit frequently in Hawks games with losing opponents, especially on Tuesdays, indicating that defensive lapses could lead to a higher‑scoring total if both teams find rhythm. Staying disciplined on defense while controlling early tempo will be crucial — limiting turnovers and pushing rebounding efforts early could build a cushion that stretches into the second half. However, Atlanta has had its share of inconsistency this season. Some losses have come from slow starts or defensive lapses where opposing teams converted easy buckets in transition. To mitigate this, coaching emphasis has centered on rotations that emphasize early contesting of shots, trimming turnovers, and executing well‑designed offensive sets that exploit matchups. If the Hawks can maintain their half‑court discipline and push the tempo at opportune moments, they’ll likely dominate possession counts and scoring runs. Ultimately, Atlanta’s home advantage, roster depth, and ability to cover the spread in recent games position them well to grind out a victory over Washington — provided they control the glass, limit mistakes, and stay aggressive from beyond the arc.
.@KennethNugent is donating $3 to the Hawks Foundation for #ScoreForScholarships with every point we score this season!
— Atlanta Hawks (@ATLHawks) February 23, 2026
Here's the total after last night ⤵️ pic.twitter.com/WQ2pZVdbX1
Washington vs Atlanta Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Wizards and Hawks play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at State Farm Arena in Feb almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Washington vs Atlanta Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every facet between the Wizards and Hawks and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the linear correlation of emphasis human bettors regularly put on Washington’s strength factors between a Wizards team going up against a possibly deflated Hawks team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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Below is our current AI Washington vs Atlanta picks, computer picks Wizards vs Hawks, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NBA | 3/12 | PHI@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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| NBA | 3/12 | BOS@OKC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NBA | 3/12 | BKN@ATL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NBA | 3/12 | CHI@LAL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NBA | 3/12 | DAL@MEM | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 10 |
INTEL
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| NBA | 3/12 | PHI@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Washington Betting Trends
Washington has struggled against the spread recently, going 0‑6 ATS in its last six games as an underdog, illustrating challenges covering lines even when given points.
Atlanta Betting Trends
Atlanta has fared better ATS at home, going 5‑2 ATS in its last seven home games, a sign that its play on its own court tends to outperform expectations.
Wizards vs. Hawks Matchup Trends
Over trends favor higher scoring: the Hawks have seen the over hit in 13 of their last 16 Tuesday games, and when playing teams with losing records — like Washington — the over has also been frequent.
Washington vs. Atlanta Game Info
Washington vs Atlanta starts on February 24, 2026 at 8:30 PM EST.
Venue: State Farm Arena.
Spread: Atlanta -13.5
Moneyline: Washington +500, Atlanta -833
Over/Under: 235.5
Washington: (16-40) | Atlanta: (28-31)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Daniels under 23.5 PTS+REB+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Over trends favor higher scoring: the Hawks have seen the over hit in 13 of their last 16 Tuesday games, and when playing teams with losing records — like Washington — the over has also been frequent.
WAS trend: Washington has struggled against the spread recently, going 0‑6 ATS in its last six games as an underdog, illustrating challenges covering lines even when given points.
ATL trend: Atlanta has fared better ATS at home, going 5‑2 ATS in its last seven home games, a sign that its play on its own court tends to outperform expectations.
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2026 to compare prices before you bet.
Washington vs. Atlanta Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Washington vs Atlanta trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
| WAS Moneyline | +500 |
|---|---|
| ATL Moneyline | -833 |
| WAS Spread | +13.5 |
| ATL Spread | -13.5 |
| Over / Under | 235.5 |
Washington vs Atlanta Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Mar 12, 2026 7:10PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Detroit Pistons
3/12/26 7:10PM
76ers
Pistons
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–
–
|
+650
-1000
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+14.5 (-110)
-14.5 (-110)
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O 222.5 (-110)
U 222.5 (-110)
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Mar 12, 2026 7:10PM EDT
Phoenix Suns
Indiana Pacers
3/12/26 7:10PM
Suns
Pacers
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–
–
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-365
+293
|
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
|
O 223 (-110)
U 223 (-110)
|
|
|
Mar 12, 2026 7:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Orlando Magic
3/12/26 7:10PM
Wizards
Magic
|
–
–
|
+630
-950
|
+14 (-110)
-14 (-110)
|
O 234 (-110)
U 234 (-110)
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|
|
Mar 12, 2026 7:40PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Atlanta Hawks
3/12/26 7:40PM
Nets
Hawks
|
–
–
|
+750
-1200
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+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
|
O 226 (-110)
U 226 (-110)
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|
|
Mar 12, 2026 7:40PM EDT
Milwaukee Bucks
Miami Heat
3/12/26 7:40PM
Bucks
Heat
|
–
–
|
+218
-260
|
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
|
O 235 (-110)
U 235 (-110)
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|
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Mar 12, 2026 8:10PM EDT
Dallas Mavericks
Memphis Grizzlies
3/12/26 8:10PM
Mavericks
Grizzlies
|
–
–
|
-205
+175
|
-5 (-110)
+5 (-110)
|
O 238 (-110)
U 238 (-110)
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|
|
Mar 12, 2026 9:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
San Antonio Spurs
3/12/26 9:10PM
Nuggets
Spurs
|
–
–
|
+163
-190
|
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
|
O 240 (-110)
U 240 (-110)
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Mar 12, 2026 9:40PM EDT
Boston Celtics
Oklahoma City Thunder
3/12/26 9:40PM
Celtics
Thunder
|
–
–
|
+238
-285
|
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
|
O 216 (-110)
U 216 (-110)
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Mar 12, 2026 10:40PM EDT
Chicago Bulls
Los Angeles Lakers
3/12/26 10:40PM
Bulls
Lakers
|
–
–
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+425
-550
|
+11.5 (-110)
-11.5 (-110)
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O 239 (-110)
U 239 (-110)
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NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Washington Wizards vs. Atlanta Hawks on February 24, 2026 at State Farm Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS@UTA | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI OVER 1.5 STEALS & BLOCKS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MEM@BKN | BKN +2 | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
| DEN@OKC | DEN +6.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CHI@SAC | SAC +2 | 54.0% | 4 | WIN |
| HOU@SA | HOU +5.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| NY@LAL | LAL +2.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DET@MIA | DUNCAN ROBINSON OVER 14.5 PTS + REB | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| ORL@MIL | RYAN ROLLINS UNDER 10.5 REB + ASST | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WAS@NO | ALEX SARR OVER 8.5 REB + ASST | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| ORL@MIN | PAOLO BANCHERO UNDER 7.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| UTA@MIL | KYLE KUZMA OVER 2.5 ASST | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| PHI@ATL | PHI +6.5 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| NO@PHX | NO +4.5 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@DEN | DEN +1.5 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| MIA@CHA | GRANT WILLIAMS OVER 3.5 REB | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| DAL@BOS | JAYSON TATUM OVER 6.5 REB + ASST | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@MIN | TOR +4.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| NO@SAC | SAC +6.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| DET@SA | DET +3.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@PHX | GRAYSON ALLEN OVER 5.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| LAL@DEN | LEBRON JAMES UNDER 5.5 REB | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| CHA@BOS | CHA +6.5 | 55.9% | 5 | WIN |
| POR@MEM | MEM +10 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| UTA@PHI | ACE BAILEY OVER 22.5 PTS + REB + ASST | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ATL@MIL | MYLES TURNER OVER 4.5 REB | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@CHI | CHI +9.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@TOR | TOR +2.5 | 57.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| PHX@SAC | SAC +9.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| NO@LAL | LEBRON JAMES OVER 7.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
| HOU@WAS | ALPEREN SENGUN OVER 5.5 ASST | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAC@GS | AL HORFORD OVER 1.5 STEALS + BLOCKS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| BOS@MIL | BOS -7.5 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MEM@IND | IND +1 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| OKC@DAL | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 12.5 REB + ASST | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| PHI@BOS | DERRICK WHITE OVER 5.5 ASST | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| POR@CHA | POR +7.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| DEN@OKC | DEN +7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| MEM@DAL | MAX CHRISTIE OVER 5.5 REB + ASST | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| DEN@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN UNDER 8.5 REB | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| SAC@DAL | SAC +7 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| HOU@ORL | JABARI SMITH JR. OVER 4.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SA@TOR | TOR +7.5 | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| BOS@DEN | BOS +3.5 | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| SAC@HOU | TARI EASON OVER 23.5 PTS + REB + ASST | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| SA@TOR | DEAARON FOX UNDER 19.5 PTS + REB | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@BKN | BKN +2.5 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| GS@NO | NO +1.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| ORL@LAL | ANTHONY BLACK OVER 3.5 ASST | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| SAC@MEM | SCOTTY PIPPEN JR. OVER 3.5 ASST | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| UTA@HOU | AMEN THOMPSON OVER 6.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| DEN@GS | DEN -6 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |