Away Team
Record 8-3
Last 5 5-0 last five
ATS 8-3-0 ATS
Road 2-2 road
Standings
NBA Game Preview
Schedule
Tipoff Countdown
15:02:07
Start Time 9:40 PM EST
Date November 11, 2026
Venue Toyota Center
Where To Watch ESPN
Where To Stream ESPN Unlimited
Season Series First 2026-27 regular-season meeting; Houston won the 2025-26 regular-season series 2-1.

Both teams enter Houston at 8-3 and 8-3 against the spread, but the Warriors bring eight consecutive wins against a Rockets defense allowing just 106.4 points per game. The Houston home-court split and perimeter shooting contrast create the central betting question.

Home Team
Record 8-3
Last 5 3-2 last five
ATS 8-3-0 ATS
Home 5-1 home
Analysis Updated: 5:46 AM ET
Injuries Checked: 5:46 AM ET
Odds Updated: 6:34 AM ET

Betting Snapshot

Spread
HOU -6.5
Open: HOU -5.5
Market Widening

Spread Movement

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Odds Updated: 11/11 6:34 AM ET
Moneyline
HOU -237
Open: HOU -189
Favorite Taking Support

Moneyline Movement

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Odds Updated: 11/11 6:34 AM ET
Total
222.5
Open: 222.5
Total Steady

Total Movement

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Odds Updated: 11/11 6:34 AM ET

Best Free Prop Pick

FREE PROP
Alperen Sengun Under 27.5 PTS+AST
Stephen Curry averages 30.6 points and 4.7 made three-pointers through nine games. Alperen Sengun averages 21.3 points, 9.0 rebounds and 7.8 assists this season. Yaxel Lendeborg averages 21.4 points and 7.2 rebounds across eleven games.

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Odds Comparison Center

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Best Home Spread
BetRivers | HOU -5.5
Best Home Moneyline
BetRivers | HOU -215
Best Over Line
BetMGM | 221.5
Best Away Spread
FanDuel | GS +6.5
Best Away Moneyline
LowVig.ag | GS +199
Best Under Line
BetRivers | 223.5
Updated 6:34 AM ET
Sportsbook Spread Moneyline Total
FanDuelGS +6.5
HOU -6.5
GS +190
HOU -230
O 222.5
U 222.5
DraftKingsGS +6.5
HOU -6.5
GS +196
HOU -237
O 222.5
U 222.5
BetMGMGS +6.5
HOU -6.5
GS +190
HOU -235
O 221.5
U 221.5
BetRiversGS +5.5
HOU -5.5
GS +175
HOU -215
O 223.5
U 223.5
FanaticsGS +6
HOU -6
GS +190
HOU -235
O 222.5
U 222.5
BovadaGS +6
HOU -6
GS +190
HOU -230
O 222.5
U 222.5
BetOnline.agGS +6
HOU -6
GS +196
HOU -236
O 222
U 222
LowVig.agGS +6
HOU -6
GS +199
HOU -233
O 222
U 222
MyBookie.agGS +6
HOU -6
GS +183
HOU -230
O 222.5
U 222.5
BetUSGS +6
HOU -6
—O 222
U 222
CaesarsGS +6
HOU -6
GS +185
HOU -225
O 222.5
U 222.5

Injury Report

Golden State lists Jimmy Butler III and Moses Moody out with knee injuries, Gary Payton II out with knee inflammation, Brandon Williams out with a hamstring strain, and Kristaps Porzingis unavailable. Will Richard is questionable with a thumb injury in the NBA report checked. Houston lists centers Steven Adams out with a calf issue and Clint Capela out with an ankle injury. These absences could alter reserve backcourt minutes for the Warriors and frontcourt depth behind Alperen Sengun for the Rockets; statuses require another check near tipoff.

Key Players

Golden State
Stephen Curry
Curry averages 30.6 points and 4.7 made three-pointers per game.
Houston
Alperen Sengun
Sengun averages 21.3 points, 9.0 rebounds and 7.8 assists per game.

Key Matchup Edge

Golden State enters with the stronger scoring average, 120.4 points per game to Houston's 115.5, and leads the league with 16.5 made threes per contest. Houston counters by limiting opponents to 106.4 points per game compared with 111.2 allowed by Golden State. The Rockets' 5-1 home record must be weighed against the Warriors' eight-game winning streak.

3 Things to Watch

  • Golden State 16.5 made threes per game
  • Houston allows 106.4 points per game
  • Sengun averages 9.0 rebounds and 7.8 assists

Betting Breakdown

Golden State visits Houston with both clubs 8-3 and both 8-3 against the spread through their first eleven games. The Warriors have won eight straight, most recently defeating New Orleans 138-87 on November 9, and they average 120.4 points per game. Their 16.5 made three-pointers per game create a demanding perimeter assignment for a Rockets defense allowing 106.4 points per contest. Houston is 5-1 at Toyota Center and rebounded from consecutive losses to Minnesota and Phoenix by defeating Denver 110-100 on November 9. The Rockets also own a 5-1 home ATS record, while Golden State has covered three of four road games. Stephen Curry leads the visitors with 30.6 points per game; Alperen Sengun supplies Houston with 21.3 points, 9.0 rebounds and 7.8 assists. Houston won two of last season's three regular-season meetings, including a one-point April decision. The quoted consensus market has Houston favored by 6.5 points after opening at 5.5. With Warriors backcourt absences and Houston center injuries on the report, rotation adjustments and defensive rebounding deserve attention before any wager.

Golden State Betting Outlook

The Warriors recovered from an 0-3 start to win eight consecutive games and enter this matchup 8-3 overall. Their last five results were wins over the Clippers, Suns, Heat, Magic and Pelicans, capped by a 138-87 rout of New Orleans. Golden State is 8-3 ATS overall, 3-1 ATS away, and 4-1 ATS over those five contests. Stephen Curry is averaging 30.6 points and 4.7 made threes, while Yaxel Lendeborg adds 21.4 points and 7.2 rebounds per game. The team scores 120.4 points per outing and makes 16.5 threes. Depth concerns remain with several perimeter contributors unavailable or questionable.

Houston Betting Outlook

Houston enters at 8-3 after a 110-100 home win over Denver, which ended a two-game skid against Minnesota and Phoenix. The Rockets have gone 3-2 over their last five and own a 5-1 straight-up and 5-1 ATS record at Toyota Center. Overall they stand 8-3 ATS, including three covers in the last five. Alperen Sengun averages 21.3 points, 9.0 rebounds and 7.8 assists, while Kevin Durant contributes 21.0 points and 6.3 rebounds. Houston allows only 106.4 points per game, a central factor against Golden State's high-volume perimeter offense. Injuries to Steven Adams and Clint Capela reduce available center depth.

Latest Team Buzz

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets FAQ

What is the current spread for Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets?

The current home spread is HOU -6.5, while the away spread is GS +6.5.

How far has the spread moved for Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets?

The spread opened at HOU -5.5 and is now HOU -6.5.

What is the current moneyline for Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets?

The current moneyline is GS +196 / HOU -237.

How far has the moneyline moved for Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets?

The moneyline opened at GS +158 / HOU -189 and is now GS +196 / HOU -237.

What is the current total for Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets?

The current total is 222.5.

How far has the total moved for Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets?

The total opened at 222.5 and is now 222.5.

Is the market taking the underdog in Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets?

Current market signal: Market Widening.

Is the market taking the favorite in Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets?

Current market signal: Favorite Taking Support.

Is the total dropping for Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets?

Current totals signal: Total Steady.

Is the total rising for Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets?

Current totals signal: Total Steady.

Where to watch Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets?

You can watch this game on ESPN. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.

Where to stream Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets?

You can stream this game on ESPN Unlimited.

What is the best free prop bet for Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets?

Alperen Sengun Under 27.5 PTS+AST

What is the biggest matchup edge for Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets?

Golden State enters with the stronger scoring average, 120.4 points per game to Houston's 115.5, and leads the league with 16.5 made threes per contest. Houston counters by limiting opponents to 106.4 points per game compared with 111.2 allowed by Golden State. The Rockets' 5-1 home record must be weighed against the Warriors' eight-game winning streak.

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NBA Past Picks

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Matchup Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets
Game Date November 11, 2026
Venue Toyota Center
RECENT COMPLETED PICKS

AI NBA PAST PICKS

29-22 56.9% WIN
GAME
LEAN
WIN %
UNITS
RESULT
PHI@CLE
UNDER 231.5
56.4%
6
WIN
ORL@PHO
UNDER 223
56.9%
6
WIN
CLE@ATL
ATL -0.5
57.1%
7
WIN
POR@LAL
OVER 232.5
56.8%
6
WIN
NY@SA
DYLAN HARPER UNDER 1.5 STEALS & BLOCKS
54.4%
4
WIN
SA@NY
DYLAN HARPER UNDER 6.5 REBOUNDS
53.4%
3
WIN
SA@NY
JOSH HART UNDER 18.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS
53.4%
3
LOSS
NY@SA
VICTOR WEMBANYAMA UNDER 3.5 ASSTS
53.1%
3
WIN
NY@SA
VICTOR WEMBANYAMA OVER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE
53.4%
3
WIN
NY@SA
JOSH HART UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS
54.1%
4
LOSS
SA@OKC
JAYLIN WILLIAMS UNDER 4.5 REB
53.2%
3
LOSS
SA@OKC
ALEX CARUSO UNDER 14.5 REB + PTS
53.6%
3
LOSS
OKC@SA
KELDON JOHNSON OVER 0.5 THREE POINTERS MADE
54.1%
4
WIN
SA@OKC
SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 4.5 REBOUNDS
53.6%
3
WIN
NY@CLE
MITCHELL ROBINSON OVER 6.5 REB
53.7%
3
LOSS
OKC@SA
SA -1.5
54.0%
3
LOSS
OKC@SA
JULIAN CHAMPAGNIE OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS MADE
54.2%
4
LOSS
SA@OKC
SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER UNDER 4.5 REBOUNDS
54.6%
4
WIN
CLE@NY
EVAN MOBLEY UNDER 6.5 FIELD GOALS MADE
54.2%
4
WIN
SA@OKC
SA +6.5
56.8%
6
WIN
SA@OKC
KELDON JOHNSON OVER 0.5 THREE POINTERS MADE
53.5%
3
WIN
CLE@DET
CADE CUNNINGHAM OVER 4.5 TURNOVERS
54.1%
4
LOSS
DET@CLE
PAUL REED OVER 0.5 TURNOVERS
54.1%
4
WIN
SA@MIN
DEAARON FOX UNDER 9.5 REB + ASST
53.4%
3
LOSS
CLE@DET
CADE CUNNINGHAM UNDER 9.5 FIELD GOALS MADE
53.4%
3
LOSS
MIN@SA
KELDON JOHNSON OVER 0.5 TURNOVERS
54.2%
4
WIN
OKC@LAL
JAXSON HAYES OVER 3.5 REB
54.1%
4
WIN
SA@MIN
JULIUS RANDLE OVER 3.5 TURNOVERS
53.6%
3
LOSS
LAL@OKC
AJAY MITCHELL UNDER 3.5 REB
54.2%
4
WIN
PHI@NY
PAUL GEORGE OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS MADE
53.2%
3
WIN
CLE@DET
DONOVAN MITCHELL UNDER 4.5 ASST
54.2%
4
WIN
ORL@DET
DESMOND BANE UNDER 7.5 REB + ASST
54.4%
4
WIN
PHI@BOS
PHI +8.5
56.5%
6
WIN
PHI@BOS
TYRESE MAXEY OVER 2.5 THREE POINTERS MADE
53.2%
3
LOSS
CLE@TOR
COLLIN MURRAY-BOYLES OVER 17.5 PTS + REB
54.7%
4
WIN
BOS@PHI
BOS -6
53.7%
3
LOSS
NY@ATL
NICKEIL ALEXANDER-WALKER UNDER 24.5 PTS + REB + ASST
54.6%
4
WIN
ORL@DET
ORL +10.5
54.9%
3
WIN
ORL@DET
DESMOND BANE OVER 1.5 BLOCKS & STEALS
53.2%
3
WIN
PHI@BOS
JAYSON TATUM OVER 6.5 ASST
54.2%
4
LOSS
POR@SA
POR +12.5
53.9%
3
LOSS
MIN@DEN
NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 40.5 PTS + ASST
54.1%
4
LOSS
OKC@PHX
ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 2.5 ASST
53.5%
3
LOSS
BOS@PHI
PAUL GEORGE UNDER 23.5 PTS + REB
53.6%
3
WIN
SA@POR
KELDON JOHNSON OVER 0.5 TURNOVERS
55.2%
5
LOSS
DEN@MIN
NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 40.5 PTS + ASST
53.7%
3
WIN
DET@ORL
TOBIAS HARRIS OVER 0.5 BLOCKS
54.2%
4
LOSS
BOS@PHI
PAYTON PRITCHARD OVER 7.5 REB + ASST
55.5%
5
LOSS
SA@POR
JULIAN CHAMPAGNIE UNDER 2.5 THREE POINTERS MADE
53.5%
3
WIN
CLE@TOR
CLE -2.5
53.7%
3
LOSS
DEN@MIN
DEN -125
56.3%
6
LOSS
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Picks are displayed for informational purposes only.