Nuggets vs Hawks Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Dec 5)
Updated: 2025-12-03T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Nuggets head to Atlanta looking to extend a strong season as they face a Hawks team that’s shown flashes of offense but remains inconsistent defensively. Despite the Hawks’ home‑court advantage, Denver’s offensive firepower and rhythm — especially after a recent big win — make them the betting favorite and a tough out on the road.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Dec 5, 2025
Start Time: 8:30 PM EST
Venue: State Farm Arena
Hawks Record: (13-10)
Nuggets Record: (15-6)
OPENING ODDS
DEN Moneyline: -227
ATL Moneyline: +210
DEN Spread: -6.5
ATL Spread: +6.5
Over/Under: 238.5
DEN
Betting Trends
- Denver enters the game with a 13‑8‑0 record against the spread this season.
ATL
Betting Trends
- Atlanta’s home ATS performance has been shaky: their home record shows a sub‑.500 trend recently in spread coverage at home.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The published spread shows Denver favored by about 6.5 points. The projected total (over/under) leans toward a high‑scoring affair, reflecting Denver’s league‑leading offense and Atlanta’s ability to score in bursts. When Denver scores more than about 115.7 points — roughly matching Atlanta’s average points allowed per game — they tend to cover ATS and win, underlining the correlation between their offensive output and betting outcomes.
DEN vs. ATL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Watson over 17.5 PTS+REB.
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Denver vs Atlanta Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 12/5/25
The Denver Nuggets travel to Atlanta to face the Hawks in a matchup that promises to be high-scoring and fast-paced, highlighting the contrast between Denver’s elite efficiency and Atlanta’s home-court potential. The Nuggets enter with one of the league’s most potent offenses, averaging over 125 points per game, shooting above 51 % from the field, and maintaining excellent ball movement that allows multiple players to contribute effectively on every possession. Their depth and balanced scoring make them difficult to defend, as opponents cannot focus solely on stopping one or two stars. Denver has also demonstrated the ability to thrive in transition, converting defensive rebounds and turnovers into fast-break points, which increases their scoring opportunities and keeps defenses on their heels. While the Nuggets have been more consistent overall, the Hawks’ ability to score in bursts at home means this game could swing with momentum shifts, and execution under pressure will be crucial. Atlanta, meanwhile, has shown flashes of offensive brilliance, particularly when their perimeter shooting is on target and the pace of the game accelerates. The Hawks’ transition game, combined with aggressive drives to the basket and a roster capable of hitting open threes, gives them the tools to put up points quickly and generate runs that can test even elite defenses. Their home environment provides a significant boost, offering crowd energy, familiarity with the court, and psychological advantages that can influence both tempo and decision-making. Defensively, however, Atlanta has been inconsistent this season, struggling at times to secure rebounds and rotate effectively, which could allow Denver to exploit mismatches and convert extra possessions into points. The Hawks must emphasize disciplined rotations, closeouts on shooters, and controlling the glass if they hope to compete with a Nuggets team built for efficiency and balanced execution.
Key factors that could determine the outcome include tempo control, transition scoring, and execution in critical stretches. Denver’s advantage lies in their ability to manage pace while maintaining offensive efficiency, limiting turnovers, and capitalizing on defensive rebounds to generate fast-break points. If the Nuggets play to form, they can impose their style on Atlanta, forcing contested shots and controlling possessions. Atlanta, on the other hand, must take advantage of their home court by pushing the pace, generating high-volume possessions, and converting open shots when they appear. Both teams have the potential to ignite scoring runs, making momentum swings a likely feature of the game and emphasizing the importance of maintaining composure and focus throughout. Psychological factors also play a role in this matchup. Denver arrives with confidence after recent big wins, and their experience in high-pressure situations gives them the ability to maintain composure during runs by Atlanta. Meanwhile, the Hawks may feel pressure to defend their home court and respond to recent inconsistencies, which could either fuel energy and intensity or lead to rushed decisions. Ultimately, this game represents a classic contrast: Denver’s balance, efficiency, and consistency against Atlanta’s home-court energy, bursts of scoring, and potential volatility. Execution, rebounding, transition play, and defensive discipline are likely to decide whether the Nuggets maintain their status as favorites or the Hawks exploit opportunities to keep the game close, potentially creating an entertaining, high-scoring affair for fans.
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The dub from above 📷 pic.twitter.com/Lgc97XjnbQ
— Denver Nuggets (@nuggets) December 4, 2025
Denver Nuggets NBA Preview
The Denver Nuggets head to Atlanta carrying one of the most efficient and high-powered offenses in the league, but also facing the challenge of performing on the road against a Hawks team that thrives in their home environment. With an overall record that reflects consistency and depth, Denver has averaged over 125 points per game, shooting above 51 % from the field and demonstrating balanced scoring across their roster. The Nuggets’ ability to convert defensive rebounds and turnovers into transition points has been a key factor in their offensive success, and it will be crucial for them to replicate that efficiency in Atlanta. Road games always bring added obstacles, including travel fatigue, unfamiliar court dynamics, and the energy of the home crowd, all of which Denver must navigate to maintain their performance standards. Offensively, Denver’s success relies on versatility and depth. The Nuggets can generate points through multiple avenues: three-point shooting, mid-range jumpers, post touches, and fast-break opportunities. Players across the roster contribute, making it difficult for opponents to focus defensive attention on just one or two stars. Ball movement and spacing are essential to create open shots and prevent stagnation, particularly in the half-court setting. Against Atlanta, Denver will need to execute efficiently in transition while maintaining discipline in set plays. Any lapse in decision-making or turnovers could be costly, as the Hawks have shown the ability to convert quick possessions into scoring runs. Defensively, the Nuggets face a Hawks team capable of explosive scoring bursts, particularly in transition. Containing Atlanta’s perimeter shooters, challenging shots effectively, and controlling defensive rebounds will be critical.
The Nuggets must minimize second-chance points and avoid fouling in high-leverage situations. Consistency in rotations and communication on the court will help mitigate Atlanta’s home-court energy and prevent momentum swings that could allow the Hawks to stay within reach. Execution on both ends — from preventing easy baskets to capitalizing on fast breaks — is vital for Denver to establish and maintain control of the game. Psychologically, this game presents both a challenge and an opportunity for Denver. Success on the road requires mental toughness, composure, and the ability to handle hostile environments without succumbing to pressure. The Nuggets’ recent performances suggest they are capable of doing just that, but maintaining focus for the full 48 minutes is essential. Leaders on the team must manage tempo, motivate younger players, and ensure composure during scoring runs by Atlanta. Controlled aggression on offense and disciplined defense are essential to prevent the Hawks from exploiting home-court advantages. In conclusion, Denver’s path to success in Atlanta hinges on execution, pace control, and balanced contributions from the roster. Efficient shooting, fast-break scoring, and defensive discipline will allow the Nuggets to neutralize Atlanta’s strengths and stay competitive. While road conditions always present challenges, Denver’s depth, experience, and offensive versatility give them a clear opportunity to dominate or at least maintain control throughout the contest. Success in this matchup could reinforce Denver’s confidence on the road and demonstrate their ability to perform against high-scoring, fast-paced teams in hostile environments.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Atlanta Hawks NBA Preview
The Atlanta Hawks enter this game at home with a chance to leverage both their court advantage and offensive potential against a Denver Nuggets team known for its high-powered, balanced scoring. While Atlanta has shown inconsistency this season, their ability to generate fast-paced offense, coupled with home-court familiarity and crowd energy, gives them the tools to keep even elite teams competitive. The Hawks’ home environment allows them to set the tempo, execute rotations with greater confidence, and capitalize on defensive rebounds and transition opportunities. To make the most of this matchup, Atlanta will need to combine disciplined defense with their natural offensive bursts, ensuring they can exploit any lapses from Denver while maintaining their composure under pressure. Offensively, the Hawks are at their best when they control pace and create scoring opportunities through multiple channels. They feature strong perimeter shooting, aggressive drives to the basket, and fast-break scoring that can quickly turn defensive stops into points. Ball movement and spacing are critical components of Atlanta’s attack, enabling players to find open looks and prevent defensive congestion. Against Denver, maintaining efficient shooting and minimizing wasted possessions is key. The Hawks’ roster has enough depth to rotate players without a significant drop in offensive output, which will be important in sustaining energy and intensity throughout the contest. When shots fall and passes connect, Atlanta is capable of igniting scoring runs that can pressure even elite defenses. Defensively, the Hawks face a formidable challenge in slowing Denver’s efficient offense. The Nuggets are skilled in both the half-court and transition game, with high field-goal and three-point percentages that demand disciplined rotations and closeouts.
Atlanta must focus on contesting shots, controlling defensive rebounds, and preventing second-chance opportunities that could fuel Denver’s scoring. Communication and coordination are essential to limit mismatches, protect the paint, and manage tempo. Minimizing turnovers is equally important; every fast-break opportunity Denver generates can result in high-value points, and Atlanta cannot afford to give away easy possessions. Maintaining defensive intensity over all four quarters will be vital to keep this matchup competitive. Psychologically, the Hawks benefit from playing in front of their home crowd, which can provide both momentum and confidence. Leadership from veteran players will be key to ensuring the younger roster remains composed, particularly during Denver scoring runs. The pressure to perform at home can be motivating, but it also requires disciplined execution to avoid rushed decisions or lapses in focus. If Atlanta can combine their energetic style with structured defensive effort, they have the potential to dictate the tempo and force Denver into uncomfortable possessions. Ultimately, the Hawks’ path to success hinges on balancing offensive bursts with defensive discipline. Efficient ball movement, perimeter shooting, and fast-break conversions will enable them to keep pace with Denver’s elite scoring. Defensively, controlling the glass, limiting easy baskets, and contesting shots will be essential. If Atlanta executes on both ends of the floor while leveraging home-court energy, they can make this contest competitive and possibly challenge the Nuggets despite the road team’s statistical advantages. This game will test Atlanta’s ability to combine talent, focus, and strategy in a high-stakes, fast-paced matchup.
.@KennethNugent is donating $3 to the Hawks Foundation for #ScoreForScholarships with every point we score this season!
— Atlanta Hawks (@ATLHawks) December 4, 2025
Here's the total after last night ⤵️ pic.twitter.com/60PHbIFFCh
Denver vs Atlanta Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Nuggets and Hawks play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at State Farm Arena in Dec can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Denver vs Atlanta Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Nuggets and Hawks and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned factor human bettors regularly put on Atlanta’s strength factors between a Nuggets team going up against a possibly unhealthy Hawks team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI Denver vs Atlanta picks, computer picks Nuggets vs Hawks, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 12/16 | SA@NY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Denver Betting Trends
Denver enters the game with a 13‑8‑0 record against the spread this season.
Atlanta Betting Trends
Atlanta’s home ATS performance has been shaky: their home record shows a sub‑.500 trend recently in spread coverage at home.
Nuggets vs. Hawks Matchup Trends
The published spread shows Denver favored by about 6.5 points. The projected total (over/under) leans toward a high‑scoring affair, reflecting Denver’s league‑leading offense and Atlanta’s ability to score in bursts. When Denver scores more than about 115.7 points — roughly matching Atlanta’s average points allowed per game — they tend to cover ATS and win, underlining the correlation between their offensive output and betting outcomes.
Denver vs. Atlanta Game Info
Denver vs Atlanta starts on December 5, 2025 at 8:30 PM EST.
Venue: State Farm Arena.
Spread: Atlanta +6.5
Moneyline: Denver -227, Atlanta +210
Over/Under: 238.5
Denver: (15-6) | Atlanta: (13-10)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Watson over 17.5 PTS+REB.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
The published spread shows Denver favored by about 6.5 points. The projected total (over/under) leans toward a high‑scoring affair, reflecting Denver’s league‑leading offense and Atlanta’s ability to score in bursts. When Denver scores more than about 115.7 points — roughly matching Atlanta’s average points allowed per game — they tend to cover ATS and win, underlining the correlation between their offensive output and betting outcomes.
DEN trend: Denver enters the game with a 13‑8‑0 record against the spread this season.
ATL trend: Atlanta’s home ATS performance has been shaky: their home record shows a sub‑.500 trend recently in spread coverage at home.
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Denver vs. Atlanta Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Denver vs Atlanta trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| DEN Moneyline | -227 |
|---|---|
| ATL Moneyline | +210 |
| DEN Spread | -6.5 |
| ATL Spread | +6.5 |
| Over / Under | 238.5 |
Denver vs Atlanta Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dec 17, 2025 8:10PM EST
Memphis Grizzlies
Minnesota Timberwolves
12/17/25 8:10PM
Grizzlies
Timberwolves
|
–
–
|
+240
-305
|
+7.5 (-115)
-7.5 (-105)
|
O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 17, 2025 8:10PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
Chicago Bulls
12/17/25 8:10PM
Cavaliers
Bulls
|
–
–
|
-190
+158
|
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
|
O 243 (-110)
U 243 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 7:40PM EST
Miami Heat
Brooklyn Nets
12/18/25 7:40PM
Heat
Nets
|
–
–
|
-300
+245
|
-7.5 (-114)
+7.5 (-106)
|
O 226.5 (-115)
U 226.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 8:10PM EST
Houston Rockets
New Orleans Pelicans
12/18/25 8:10PM
Rockets
Pelicans
|
–
–
|
-450
+350
|
-10.5 (-108)
+10.5 (-112)
|
O 235.5 (-110)
U 235.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 8:10PM EST
Los Angeles Clippers
Oklahoma City Thunder
12/18/25 8:10PM
Clippers
Thunder
|
–
–
|
+640
-950
|
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
|
O 223.5 (-112)
U 223.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 9:10PM EST
Orlando Magic
Denver Nuggets
12/18/25 9:10PM
Magic
Nuggets
|
–
–
|
+230
-280
|
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
|
O 232.5 (-112)
U 232.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 9:10PM EST
Golden State Warriors
Phoenix Suns
12/18/25 9:10PM
Warriors
Suns
|
–
–
|
-118
-102
|
-1 (-110)
+1 (-110)
|
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 9:10PM EST
Los Angeles Lakers
Utah Jazz
12/18/25 9:10PM
Lakers
Jazz
|
–
–
|
-235
+194
|
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
|
O 241.5 (-115)
U 241.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 10:10PM EST
Sacramento Kings
Portland Trail Blazers
12/18/25 10:10PM
Kings
Trail Blazers
|
–
–
|
+235
-290
|
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
|
O 236.5 (-112)
U 236.5 (-108)
|
NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Denver Nuggets vs. Atlanta Hawks on December 5, 2025 at State Farm Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS@POR | POR +4.5 | 53.6% | 2 | WIN |
| SAC@MIN | MIN -12.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@GS | GS -118 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@CHA | CHA +3 | 54.5% | 4 | PUSH |
| BKN@DAL | COOPER FLAGG OVER 9.5 REB + ASST | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| MIN@GS | JADEN MCDANIELS UNDER 19.5 PTS + REB | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@OKC | UNDER 224.5 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| SA@LAL | DEANDRE AYTON OVER 14.5 PTS + ASST | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@LAL | DEAARON FOX OVER 9.5 REB + ASST | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| NY@TOR | BRANDON INGRAM UNDER 9.5 REB + ASST | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@MIN | MIN -7.5 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| SAC@IND | ZACH LAVINE OVER 7.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| DEN@CHA | CHA +10.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| ORL@NY | NY -2 | 54.9% | 5 | WIN |
| SAC@MIA | ZACH LAVINE OVER 25.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MIL@DET | DET -11.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| LAL@BOS | LAL +8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIA@ORL | MIA +5.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| DAL@OKC | OKC -15 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@MIL | PHI -110 | 55.4% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MEM | LAC -124 | 56.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| DEN@ATL | DEN -4.5 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@NY | KEYONTE GEORGE UNDER 27.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 55.4% | 5 | WIN |
| UTA@BKN | UTA -5 | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| GS@PHI | UNDER 223.5 | 54.4% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@NY | KARL ANTHONY TOWNS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+ASST | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@NO | NO +12.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@BOS | NY +1.5 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@NO | JULIUS RANDLE OVER 27.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| MEM@SA | DEAARON FOX UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| HOU@UTA | ALPEREN SENGUN OVER 20.5 POINTS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| OKC@POR | POR +12 | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@NY | TOR +7.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| ORL@DET | DET -3 | 57.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| DET@BOS | BOS +3 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| ORL@PHI | PHI +4 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@LAL | LEBRON JAMES OVER 13.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIN@SAC | JULIUS RANDLE OVER 28.5 PTS + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@PHX | MIN -4.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| IND@CLE | CLE -13.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| POR@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@UTA | ISAIAH COLLIER OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIL | MIL +2.5 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| SAC@MEM | SAC +3.5 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@POR | JOSH GIDDEY OVER 1.5 STEALS + ASSTS | 53.2% | 3 | WIN |
| CHI@POR | MATAS BUZELIS OVER 20.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| HOU@CLE | HOU -116 | 55.4% | 5 | WIN |
| CHA@IND | CHA -116 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| DET@ATL | DET +1.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@ORL | ORL +3.5 | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@ATL | JALEN DUREN UNDER 22.5 PTS + ASSTS | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |