Thunder vs Warriors Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Dec 3)
Updated: 2025-12-01T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit the Golden State Warriors on December 3, 2025 — Oklahoma City riding a league-best record and offensive-defensive balance, while Golden State aims to stabilize its season at home after a shaky start and renewed struggles with consistency.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Dec 3, 2025
Start Time: 7:00 PM EST
Venue: Chase Center
Warriors Record: (11-11)
Thunder Record: (21-1)
OPENING ODDS
OKC Moneyline: ODDS COMING SOON
GSW Moneyline: ODDS COMING SOON
OKC Spread: ODDS COMING SOON
GSW Spread: ODDS COMING SOON
Over/Under: ODDS COMING SOON
OKC
Betting Trends
- The Thunder have been dominant this season and frequently outperform expectations, making them a reliable side against the spread when playing on the road — a trend supported by their efficient two-way play, depth, and ability to control both ends of the court.
GSW
Betting Trends
- The Warriors enter with an uneven home-court profile this season; while their offensive potential remains high, defensive lapses and roster turnover have made covering the spread at home unpredictable.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- This matchup historically features high scoring and momentum shifts, and recent contests between these teams have seen shifts late in games — the betting line may favor the Thunder slightly, but data suggests that over/under totals often trend higher, reflecting potential for a fast-paced, high-scoring affair.
OKC vs. GSW
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: REMI'S STILL ANALYZING MARKETS
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Oklahoma City vs Golden State Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 12/3/25
This matchup between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Golden State Warriors on December 3, 2025 showcases a compelling contrast between a Thunder team operating with elite structure, balance, and confidence and a Warriors squad still searching for stability, rhythm, and defensive identity, making this a fascinating test of tempo, execution, and poise. The Thunder enter as one of the league’s most complete teams, thriving on disciplined ball movement, purposeful spacing, and versatile scoring options that can adapt to any defensive scheme, giving them the ability to generate efficient looks from all three levels even against teams with veteran experience like Golden State. Their pick-and-roll actions, off-ball motion, and strong perimeter shooting force opponents into constant rotations, and any defensive lapse is quickly punished with a clean three or a backdoor cut. Golden State, meanwhile, arrives battling inconsistencies — their offense still capable of explosive runs but often hampered by stagnant possessions, rushed shots, or limited interior pressure, while their defense has struggled with late switches, slow closeouts, and periods of miscommunication that opponents have exploited throughout the season. For the Warriors to compete, controlling tempo will be essential: slowing Oklahoma City’s transition game, preventing early shot-clock threes, and forcing the Thunder into tougher, late-clock half-court possessions. Rebounding looms large as well, as second-chance points can swing momentum and the Thunder thrive when defensive boards allow them to flow immediately into transition.
Conversely, Warriors offensive rebounds could disrupt OKC’s rhythm and generate the extra possessions needed to keep pace with a more efficient opponent. Defensively, Golden State must be disciplined, staying attached to shooters, contesting without fouling, and protecting the paint against drives and cuts that the Thunder generate through constant movement. Oklahoma City’s challenge lies in maintaining composure in a hostile, high-energy environment, especially if Golden State gets hot from deep or strings together crowd-igniting runs. The Thunder must value possessions, limit turnovers that could fuel fast-breaks, and continue applying pressure through depth — rotating in bench players who sustain defensive intensity and avoid drop-offs in execution. Ultimately, this game becomes a battle of structure versus volatility: OKC’s methodical, efficient approach against Golden State’s unpredictable but potentially dangerous blend of experience and shot-making. If the Thunder dictate pace, win the rebounding battle, and execute defensively with their usual cohesion, they hold the clear advantage; but if the Warriors can muddy the game, control tempo, hit contested perimeter shots, and force OKC into uncomfortable situations, they may transform this matchup into the kind of chaotic, high-variance contest that historically plays to their strengths.
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10/10 dime 🤝
— OKC THUNDER (@okcthunder) December 3, 2025
10/10 finish 🪣
Your @OGandE Power Play of the Game pic.twitter.com/M6NeA0RfhH
Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder enter this matchup against the Golden State Warriors as one of the league’s most structurally sound, disciplined, and balanced teams, bringing with them a level of consistency, cohesion, and execution that has defined their early-season dominance and positioned them as a legitimate powerhouse capable of winning in any environment, including one as emotionally charged and historically difficult as the Chase Center. Their offensive identity is rooted in efficient decision-making: purposeful pick-and-roll creation, seamless secondary actions, off-ball screens that free shooters, and a spacing philosophy that forces defenses to stretch horizontally, inevitably creating the driving lanes and skip-pass opportunities that allow Oklahoma City to generate clean perimeter looks. They do not rely on a single star to shoulder the offensive burden but instead thrive on diversified scoring, where multiple players can initiate sets, collapse the defense, or knock down timely jumpers. That balance makes them difficult to game plan for and even harder to slow down; if a primary option is pressured, they simply shift usage to another capable creator or scorer. Against the Warriors, the Thunder will aim to push pace selectively — not recklessly, but strategically — capitalizing on long rebounds, defensive stops, or turnovers to create early-offense advantages before Golden State’s defense can anchor itself. Defensively, Oklahoma City’s communication, mobility, and commitment to contesting shots without fouling have become defining strengths, allowing them to navigate complex screening actions, switch intelligently, and protect the rim with timely rotations rather than overcommitting. Their ability to close out under control while still deterring drives is essential in a matchup against Golden State’s perimeter shooting presence, and maintaining discipline on dribble handoffs, flare screens, and misdirection sets will be key to limiting the Warriors’ explosive scoring bursts.
Rebounding is another area of emphasis, particularly on the defensive end, as securing the glass not only denies Golden State crucial second-chance points but also fuels the transition game that Oklahoma City leverages so effectively to establish control. Bench depth is a major advantage for the Thunder, as their reserve unit consistently provides defensive toughness, energy, and situational scoring without sacrificing execution or tempo, allowing them to sustain momentum through lineup changes that often disrupt opponents. Mentally, the Thunder must remain poised in what will likely be an emotionally charged environment; the Warriors are still capable of producing crowd-fueled runs, and Oklahoma City must avoid reacting impulsively or deviating from their structure if Golden State connects on tough shots or momentarily shifts momentum. Their formula for success — valuing possessions, taking high-quality shots, maintaining defensive integrity, and trusting their depth — is designed to travel well, and if they stay true to that identity, they place themselves in a strong position to control both the pace and the flow of the game. However, even with their superior consistency, Oklahoma City must respect Golden State’s unpredictability; minimizing turnovers, dictating matchups, and maintaining composure in late-clock situations will determine whether their strengths translate into another impressive road performance.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Golden State Warriors NBA Preview
The Golden State Warriors enter this matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder with a pressing need to reclaim stability, identity, and defensive sharpness on their home floor, knowing that facing the league’s most balanced and disciplined team demands precision, patience, and a return to the fundamentals that once defined their success. Offensively, Golden State must avoid the stagnation and rushed decision-making that have plagued them in recent games; instead, they need to reestablish a deliberate, flowing half-court attack built on ball movement, cutting, and smart shot selection rather than relying too heavily on contested threes or isolation plays that feed directly into Oklahoma City’s defensive strengths. Interior involvement must be emphasized early, with purposeful drives, post touches, and screening actions that force the Thunder to collapse and open kick-out opportunities. High-quality shots must replace hurried pull-ups, and every possession should reflect discipline and composure, preventing the live-ball turnovers that ignite Oklahoma City’s transition game. Defensively, the Warriors face a major test: containing the Thunder’s efficient spacing, multiple ball handlers, and relentless off-ball activity will require sharp communication, clean switching, and a commitment to protecting the paint while still closing out effectively on shooters. Golden State cannot afford the breakdowns that have allowed opponents to string together quick scoring runs, and they must execute with the kind of attention to detail that limits OKC’s backdoor cuts, punishes overhelping, and denies open corner threes.
Rebounding is another critical battleground — defensive rebounds prevent the Thunder from generating second-chance points or extending possessions, while offensive boards can disrupt OKC’s rhythm and create valuable extra looks for Golden State’s shooters. The bench must also deliver meaningful contributions, providing defensive energy, secondary playmaking, and timely scoring to prevent the momentum swings that have too often buried the Warriors in middle stretches of games. Emotionally, playing at Chase Center is both a gift and a burden: the crowd can elevate Golden State during surges, but it can also tighten the atmosphere when mistakes accumulate. Maintaining composure when Oklahoma City inevitably executes crisp possessions or hits difficult shots will be vital; the Warriors must resist the urge to play hero ball or rush into low-percentage attempts. If they can slow the game, value possessions, protect the ball, and force OKC into extended defensive sequences, they stand a chance to turn this test into a competitive home stand. But if defensive lapses reappear, if rebounding effort wavers, or if Golden State fails to control tempo, the Thunder’s structure and discipline could take over quickly. Golden State’s path forward is narrow but real — and it demands their sharpest focus, strongest physical effort, and most disciplined identity of the season.
14 PTS | 6-7 FGM-A
— Golden State Warriors (@warriors) December 3, 2025
Seth Curry shined in his Dubs' debut 📽️ pic.twitter.com/mYiIey4qox
Oklahoma City vs Golden State Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Thunder and Warriors play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Chase Center in Dec almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Oklahoma City vs Golden State Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Thunder and Warriors and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the linear correlation of factor emotional bettors tend to put on Oklahoma City’s strength factors between a Thunder team going up against a possibly improved Warriors team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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Below is our current AI Oklahoma City vs Golden State picks, computer picks Thunder vs Warriors, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 12/15 | DAL@UTA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v3
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| NBA | 12/15 | MEM@LAC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NBA | 12/15 | DET@BOS | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NBA | 12/15 | MEM@LAC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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| NBA | 12/15 | TOR@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Oklahoma City Betting Trends
The Thunder have been dominant this season and frequently outperform expectations, making them a reliable side against the spread when playing on the road — a trend supported by their efficient two-way play, depth, and ability to control both ends of the court.
Golden State Betting Trends
The Warriors enter with an uneven home-court profile this season; while their offensive potential remains high, defensive lapses and roster turnover have made covering the spread at home unpredictable.
Thunder vs. Warriors Matchup Trends
This matchup historically features high scoring and momentum shifts, and recent contests between these teams have seen shifts late in games — the betting line may favor the Thunder slightly, but data suggests that over/under totals often trend higher, reflecting potential for a fast-paced, high-scoring affair.
Oklahoma City vs. Golden State Game Info
Oklahoma City vs Golden State starts on December 3, 2025 at 7:00 PM EST.
Venue: Chase Center.
Spread: Golden State ODDS COMING SOON
Moneyline: Oklahoma City ODDS COMING SOON, Golden State ODDS COMING SOON
Over/Under: ODDS COMING SOON
Oklahoma City: (21-1) | Golden State: (11-11)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: REMI'S STILL ANALYZING MARKETS. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
This matchup historically features high scoring and momentum shifts, and recent contests between these teams have seen shifts late in games — the betting line may favor the Thunder slightly, but data suggests that over/under totals often trend higher, reflecting potential for a fast-paced, high-scoring affair.
OKC trend: The Thunder have been dominant this season and frequently outperform expectations, making them a reliable side against the spread when playing on the road — a trend supported by their efficient two-way play, depth, and ability to control both ends of the court.
GSW trend: The Warriors enter with an uneven home-court profile this season; while their offensive potential remains high, defensive lapses and roster turnover have made covering the spread at home unpredictable.
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Oklahoma City vs. Golden State Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Oklahoma City vs Golden State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| OKC Moneyline | ODDS COMING SOON |
|---|---|
| GSW Moneyline | ODDS COMING SOON |
| OKC Spread | ODDS COMING SOON |
| GSW Spread | ODDS COMING SOON |
| Over / Under | ODDS COMING SOON |
Oklahoma City vs Golden State Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Dec 16, 2025 8:40PM EST
San Antonio Spurs
New York Knicks
12/16/25 8:40PM
Spurs
Knicks
|
–
–
|
+114
-141
|
+2.5 (-109)
-2.5 (-115)
|
O 234 (-110)
U 234 (-114)
|
|
|
Dec 17, 2025 8:10PM EST
Memphis Grizzlies
Minnesota Timberwolves
12/17/25 8:10PM
Grizzlies
Timberwolves
|
–
–
|
+245
-315
|
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-115)
|
O 234 (-112)
U 234 (-114)
|
|
|
Dec 17, 2025 8:10PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
Chicago Bulls
12/17/25 8:10PM
Cavaliers
Bulls
|
–
–
|
-195
+155
|
-5 (-109)
+5 (-117)
|
O 243 (-113)
U 243 (-113)
|
NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors on December 3, 2025 at Chase Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS@POR | POR +4.5 | 53.6% | 2 | WIN |
| SAC@MIN | MIN -12.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@GS | GS -118 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@CHA | CHA +3 | 54.5% | 4 | PUSH |
| BKN@DAL | COOPER FLAGG OVER 9.5 REB + ASST | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| MIN@GS | JADEN MCDANIELS UNDER 19.5 PTS + REB | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@OKC | UNDER 224.5 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| SA@LAL | DEANDRE AYTON OVER 14.5 PTS + ASST | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@LAL | DEAARON FOX OVER 9.5 REB + ASST | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| NY@TOR | BRANDON INGRAM UNDER 9.5 REB + ASST | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@MIN | MIN -7.5 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| SAC@IND | ZACH LAVINE OVER 7.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| DEN@CHA | CHA +10.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| ORL@NY | NY -2 | 54.9% | 5 | WIN |
| SAC@MIA | ZACH LAVINE OVER 25.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MIL@DET | DET -11.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| LAL@BOS | LAL +8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIA@ORL | MIA +5.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| DAL@OKC | OKC -15 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@MIL | PHI -110 | 55.4% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MEM | LAC -124 | 56.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| DEN@ATL | DEN -4.5 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@NY | KEYONTE GEORGE UNDER 27.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 55.4% | 5 | WIN |
| UTA@BKN | UTA -5 | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| GS@PHI | UNDER 223.5 | 54.4% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@NY | KARL ANTHONY TOWNS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+ASST | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@NO | NO +12.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@BOS | NY +1.5 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@NO | JULIUS RANDLE OVER 27.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| MEM@SA | DEAARON FOX UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| HOU@UTA | ALPEREN SENGUN OVER 20.5 POINTS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| OKC@POR | POR +12 | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@NY | TOR +7.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| ORL@DET | DET -3 | 57.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| DET@BOS | BOS +3 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| ORL@PHI | PHI +4 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@LAL | LEBRON JAMES OVER 13.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIN@SAC | JULIUS RANDLE OVER 28.5 PTS + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@PHX | MIN -4.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| IND@CLE | CLE -13.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| POR@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@UTA | ISAIAH COLLIER OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIL | MIL +2.5 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| SAC@MEM | SAC +3.5 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@POR | JOSH GIDDEY OVER 1.5 STEALS + ASSTS | 53.2% | 3 | WIN |
| CHI@POR | MATAS BUZELIS OVER 20.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| HOU@CLE | HOU -116 | 55.4% | 5 | WIN |
| CHA@IND | CHA -116 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| DET@ATL | DET +1.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@ORL | ORL +3.5 | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@ATL | JALEN DUREN UNDER 22.5 PTS + ASSTS | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |