Grizzlies vs Spurs Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Dec 2)
Updated: 2025-11-30T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Grizzlies travel to San Antonio to face the Spurs in a key Western Conference matchup that pits a surging Memphis frontcourt against a Spurs team still trying to solidify its identity at home. Both clubs have shown flashes of potential — Memphis rallying around its big men, San Antonio leaning on perimeter scoring and transition — making this matchup unpredictable despite the home team being favored.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Dec 2, 2025
Start Time: 9:00 PM EST
Venue: Frost Bank Center
Spurs Record: (13-6)
Grizzlies Record: (9-12)
OPENING ODDS
MEM Moneyline: +175
SA Moneyline: -189
MEM Spread: +5.5
SA Spread: -5.5
Over/Under: 231.5
MEM
Betting Trends
- Memphis enters with a mixed record this season and has shown vulnerability on the road, which has diminished confidence among bettors backing them away from home.
SA
Betting Trends
- San Antonio has been more consistent at home this season, giving bettors who back them on their home court a comparatively stable record.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Given Memphis’s recent scoring outbursts and San Antonio’s willingness to play fast and shoot from outside, combined with questionable defense on both ends, the over/under (around 230–235 points) could present value — especially if the pace remains high and both teams trade runs rather than settle into slow, half-court sets.
MEM vs. SA
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: V. Williams under 7.5 Assists
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Memphis vs San Antonio Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 12/2/25
The upcoming matchup between the Memphis Grizzlies and the San Antonio Spurs on December 2, 2025 at Frost Bank Center arrives at a moment where both teams are still searching for consistency, identity, and stability in a Western Conference landscape that punishes hesitation and rewards execution, making this contest a compelling clash of contrasting strengths and shared vulnerabilities. Memphis enters the game with a roster built around size, interior presence, and transition speed, giving them the ability to overwhelm opponents in stretches when their tempo is right and their ball movement is clean. Their interior attack can be dominant—when fully engaged, they control the paint on both ends, generate second-chance points, and force opposing defenses to collapse, creating open looks for guards who thrive when shifting defensive attention is forced outward. Yet the Grizzlies’ issues on the road remain a persistent theme: defensive rotations can become slow, perimeter coverage inconsistent, and turnovers in transition have too often turned into immediate scoring bursts for opponents. Against a San Antonio team that thrives on perimeter shooting and rhythm offense, any lapse in ball security or defensive awareness could quickly become costly. The Spurs enter the contest with a steadier home profile and an offensive philosophy grounded in pace, spacing, and shot creation from the outside—when they hit rhythm from deep, they can stretch the floor and force even disciplined defenses to scramble. Their backcourt and wings have shown the ability to score in bunches, especially when San Antonio turns stops into fast-break opportunities, and this matchup will test Memphis’s perimeter discipline intensely.
However, San Antonio’s interior defense has been inconsistent, leaving openings for teams with strong post play and offensive rebounding, which Memphis can certainly exploit if they establish physicality early. The tactical chess match centers on who controls the pace: if Memphis pushes tempo, wins the rebounding battle, and forces San Antonio into uncomfortable defensive possessions, the Grizzlies can turn this into a paint-dominant affair; but if the Spurs slow the game, spread the floor, and knock down rhythm threes, they can tilt the contest toward perimeter execution rather than interior power. Rebounding, turnovers, and shot selection will be decisive levers—second-chance points for Memphis and transition threes for San Antonio could define the momentum swings in a game poised to feature multiple runs. Both benches will matter, as depth has been an inconsistent asset for both teams and could become the determining factor late if foul trouble or fatigue emerges. Ultimately, this matchup becomes a referendum on discipline: Memphis must avoid self-inflicted wounds that fuel Spurs scoring bursts, while San Antonio must withstand the Grizzlies’ physicality without letting the paint become a source of repeated breakdowns. In a game defined by contrasting strengths—Memphis’s power versus San Antonio’s pace—the team that better dictates tempo, protects possessions, and executes under pressure will likely seize control of a matchup that carries more significance than its early-season timing suggests.
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Our 🐻 Top Plays of the Month for November 🔥 presented by @autozone pic.twitter.com/dNitml1Jvu
— Memphis Grizzlies (@memgrizz) December 1, 2025
Memphis Grizzlies NBA Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies enter this road matchup against the San Antonio Spurs knowing that their chances of securing a win hinge on staying disciplined, playing through their interior strengths, and avoiding the lapses that have repeatedly undermined their road performances this season. Memphis has shown flashes of a highly effective identity built around physicality, size, and the ability to dominate the paint on both ends of the floor, especially when their big men establish position early, rebound with force, and control second-chance opportunities. That interior advantage is their clearest path to flipping this matchup, as San Antonio has struggled at times to contain strong post play and box out consistently against aggressive frontcourts. For the Grizzlies to capitalize, they must prioritize getting the ball inside early, running purposeful pick-and-roll actions, and forcing the Spurs to collapse defensively, which can open kick-out shots and driving lanes for their guards. Transition will also be key — when Memphis pushes the pace after rebounds or turnovers and converts quickly before San Antonio’s defense is set, they become significantly harder to guard. However, the Grizzlies’ own transition decision-making has to be sharper than it has been on the road; careless passes, rushed drives, or forced early-shot-clock attempts can fuel Spurs runs and give life to San Antonio’s perimeter shooting.
Defensively, Memphis must tighten their closeouts and maintain more disciplined perimeter coverage, as San Antonio thrives when allowed clean looks from three or easy secondary creation actions from their guards and wings. Communication on switches and defensive rotations is essential, especially when the Spurs space the floor effectively and attempt to pull Memphis’ bigs out of the paint. Rebounding will be another major determinant — the Grizzlies’ ability to control the glass can limit San Antonio’s transition opportunities and give Memphis the type of slow-down, grind-oriented possessions that benefit their physical style. Special situations, including late-clock defense and minimizing fouls on jump shooters, will matter immensely because the Spurs have shown an ability to score in bunches when opposing defenses lose discipline. Ultimately, the Grizzlies need poise on the road: they must withstand San Antonio’s inevitable scoring runs, avoid letting the crowd influence their pace, and continue executing through the paint even if early jump shots don’t fall. If they control the interior, protect the ball, and strike smartly in transition, Memphis has a clear path to imposing its identity and securing a road win. But if turnovers pile up, defensive rotations lag, or perimeter breakdowns occur, the Spurs’ shooting and pace could seize momentum quickly in a game where swings can be dramatic.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
San Antonio Spurs NBA Preview
The San Antonio Spurs return to Frost Bank Center for this matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies fully aware that their success hinges on pace, perimeter execution, and disciplined defensive rotations, especially against a Memphis team that thrives on interior dominance and physicality. At home, the Spurs often benefit from sharper ball movement, better spacing, and a more confident shooting rhythm, all of which they must leverage early to prevent the Grizzlies from dictating the style of play. San Antonio’s offense runs best when the ball touches multiple hands—quick swing passes, drive-and-kick creation, and strong off-ball movement that opens up high-percentage perimeter looks. Against a Memphis defense prone to late closeouts and occasional lapses in transition coverage, the Spurs’ guards and wings should find opportunities to generate clean catch-and-shoot threes or attack mismatches created by defensive over-rotations. However, San Antonio must stay disciplined and avoid settling too easily for contested early-shot-clock jumpers, as misses of that nature feed directly into Memphis’s transition game and allow the Grizzlies to impose their preferred up-tempo, paint-driven style. Defensively, the Spurs must focus on protecting the rim, closing off driving angles, and maintaining strong help-side awareness to prevent Memphis’s big men from establishing deep position. Their ability to communicate on switches, fight through screens, and minimize second-chance points will likely determine whether they can keep the Grizzlies from turning the paint into a nightly advantage.
Rebounding becomes critical, as Memphis thrives on offensive boards and extended possessions; San Antonio must show collective rebounding responsibility from guards, wings, and bigs alike to prevent those backbreaking sequences. Transition defense will also be a priority—stopping the ball early, preventing Memphis from running downhill, and forcing them into half-court sets where San Antonio’s defensive structure has a better chance of holding firm. Special situations such as foul management, rotation stability, and maintaining composure during inevitable Grizzlies scoring bursts will all shape the outcome, especially for a Spurs team that can sometimes unravel when defensive pressure mounts. Ultimately, San Antonio’s path to victory lies in controlling tempo, maximizing shooting efficiency, and applying sustained focus throughout defensive possessions. If they space the floor effectively, limit turnovers, and use their perimeter advantages to stretch Memphis beyond its comfort zone, they can tilt the matchup in their favor. But if they allow the Grizzlies to dictate physicality, dominate the paint, and turn missed shots into transition opportunities, the game could slip quickly. The Spurs must play smart, connected basketball and let home-court rhythm carry their execution if they hope to secure a win.
What a night for the rook! 😮💨 pic.twitter.com/04ceStgGXl
— San Antonio Spurs (@spurs) December 1, 2025
Memphis vs San Antonio Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Grizzlies and Spurs play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Frost Bank Center in Dec can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Memphis vs San Antonio Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Grizzlies and Spurs and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the trending weight emotional bettors tend to put on San Antonio’s strength factors between a Grizzlies team going up against a possibly rested Spurs team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI Memphis vs San Antonio picks, computer picks Grizzlies vs Spurs, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 12/16 | SA@NY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Memphis Betting Trends
Memphis enters with a mixed record this season and has shown vulnerability on the road, which has diminished confidence among bettors backing them away from home.
San Antonio Betting Trends
San Antonio has been more consistent at home this season, giving bettors who back them on their home court a comparatively stable record.
Grizzlies vs. Spurs Matchup Trends
Given Memphis’s recent scoring outbursts and San Antonio’s willingness to play fast and shoot from outside, combined with questionable defense on both ends, the over/under (around 230–235 points) could present value — especially if the pace remains high and both teams trade runs rather than settle into slow, half-court sets.
Memphis vs. San Antonio Game Info
Memphis vs San Antonio starts on December 2, 2025 at 9:00 PM EST.
Venue: Frost Bank Center.
Spread: San Antonio -5.5
Moneyline: Memphis +175, San Antonio -189
Over/Under: 231.5
Memphis: (9-12) | San Antonio: (13-6)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: V. Williams under 7.5 Assists. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Given Memphis’s recent scoring outbursts and San Antonio’s willingness to play fast and shoot from outside, combined with questionable defense on both ends, the over/under (around 230–235 points) could present value — especially if the pace remains high and both teams trade runs rather than settle into slow, half-court sets.
MEM trend: Memphis enters with a mixed record this season and has shown vulnerability on the road, which has diminished confidence among bettors backing them away from home.
SA trend: San Antonio has been more consistent at home this season, giving bettors who back them on their home court a comparatively stable record.
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Memphis vs. San Antonio Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Memphis vs San Antonio trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
| MEM Moneyline | +175 |
|---|---|
| SA Moneyline | -189 |
| MEM Spread | +5.5 |
| SA Spread | -5.5 |
| Over / Under | 231.5 |
Memphis vs San Antonio Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dec 17, 2025 8:10PM EST
Memphis Grizzlies
Minnesota Timberwolves
12/17/25 8:10PM
Grizzlies
Timberwolves
|
–
–
|
+245
-300
|
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
|
O 232.5 (-112)
U 232.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Dec 17, 2025 8:10PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
Chicago Bulls
12/17/25 8:10PM
Cavaliers
Bulls
|
–
–
|
-205
+172
|
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
|
O 243.5 (-105)
U 243.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 7:10PM EST
Atlanta Hawks
Charlotte Hornets
12/18/25 7:10PM
Hawks
Hornets
|
–
–
|
-186
+156
|
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
|
O 231.5 (-108)
U 231.5 (-112)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 7:40PM EST
Miami Heat
Brooklyn Nets
12/18/25 7:40PM
Heat
Nets
|
–
–
|
-300
+245
|
-7.5 (-114)
+7.5 (-106)
|
O 226.5 (-115)
U 226.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 8:10PM EST
Toronto Raptors
Milwaukee Bucks
12/18/25 8:10PM
Raptors
Bucks
|
–
–
|
-194
+162
|
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
|
O 219.5 (-106)
U 219.5 (-114)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 8:10PM EST
Houston Rockets
New Orleans Pelicans
12/18/25 8:10PM
Rockets
Pelicans
|
–
–
|
-450
+350
|
-10.5 (-108)
+10.5 (-112)
|
O 235.5 (-110)
U 235.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 8:10PM EST
Los Angeles Clippers
Oklahoma City Thunder
12/18/25 8:10PM
Clippers
Thunder
|
–
–
|
+640
-950
|
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
|
O 223.5 (-112)
U 223.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 8:40PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Dallas Mavericks
12/18/25 8:40PM
Pistons
Mavericks
|
–
–
|
-225
+190
|
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-108)
|
O 231.5 (-110)
U 231.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 9:10PM EST
Orlando Magic
Denver Nuggets
12/18/25 9:10PM
Magic
Nuggets
|
–
–
|
+230
-280
|
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
|
O 232.5 (-112)
U 232.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 9:10PM EST
Golden State Warriors
Phoenix Suns
12/18/25 9:10PM
Warriors
Suns
|
–
–
|
-122
+104
|
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
|
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 9:10PM EST
Los Angeles Lakers
Utah Jazz
12/18/25 9:10PM
Lakers
Jazz
|
–
–
|
-245
+200
|
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
|
O 242.5 (-114)
U 242.5 (-106)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 10:10PM EST
Sacramento Kings
Portland Trail Blazers
12/18/25 10:10PM
Kings
Trail Blazers
|
–
–
|
+235
-290
|
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
|
O 236.5 (-112)
U 236.5 (-108)
|
NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Memphis Grizzlies vs. San Antonio Spurs on December 2, 2025 at Frost Bank Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS@POR | POR +4.5 | 53.6% | 2 | WIN |
| SAC@MIN | MIN -12.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@GS | GS -118 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@CHA | CHA +3 | 54.5% | 4 | PUSH |
| BKN@DAL | COOPER FLAGG OVER 9.5 REB + ASST | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| MIN@GS | JADEN MCDANIELS UNDER 19.5 PTS + REB | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@OKC | UNDER 224.5 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| SA@LAL | DEANDRE AYTON OVER 14.5 PTS + ASST | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@LAL | DEAARON FOX OVER 9.5 REB + ASST | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| NY@TOR | BRANDON INGRAM UNDER 9.5 REB + ASST | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@MIN | MIN -7.5 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| SAC@IND | ZACH LAVINE OVER 7.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| DEN@CHA | CHA +10.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| ORL@NY | NY -2 | 54.9% | 5 | WIN |
| SAC@MIA | ZACH LAVINE OVER 25.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MIL@DET | DET -11.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| LAL@BOS | LAL +8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIA@ORL | MIA +5.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| DAL@OKC | OKC -15 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@MIL | PHI -110 | 55.4% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MEM | LAC -124 | 56.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| DEN@ATL | DEN -4.5 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@NY | KEYONTE GEORGE UNDER 27.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 55.4% | 5 | WIN |
| UTA@BKN | UTA -5 | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| GS@PHI | UNDER 223.5 | 54.4% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@NY | KARL ANTHONY TOWNS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+ASST | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@NO | NO +12.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@BOS | NY +1.5 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@NO | JULIUS RANDLE OVER 27.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| MEM@SA | DEAARON FOX UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| HOU@UTA | ALPEREN SENGUN OVER 20.5 POINTS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| OKC@POR | POR +12 | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@NY | TOR +7.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| ORL@DET | DET -3 | 57.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| DET@BOS | BOS +3 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| ORL@PHI | PHI +4 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@LAL | LEBRON JAMES OVER 13.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIN@SAC | JULIUS RANDLE OVER 28.5 PTS + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@PHX | MIN -4.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| IND@CLE | CLE -13.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| POR@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@UTA | ISAIAH COLLIER OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIL | MIL +2.5 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| SAC@MEM | SAC +3.5 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@POR | JOSH GIDDEY OVER 1.5 STEALS + ASSTS | 53.2% | 3 | WIN |
| CHI@POR | MATAS BUZELIS OVER 20.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| HOU@CLE | HOU -116 | 55.4% | 5 | WIN |
| CHA@IND | CHA -116 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| DET@ATL | DET +1.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@ORL | ORL +3.5 | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@ATL | JALEN DUREN UNDER 22.5 PTS + ASSTS | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |