Mavericks vs Nuggets Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Dec 1)
Updated: 2025-11-29T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Dallas Mavericks travel to face the Denver Nuggets on December 1, 2025 at Ball Arena in what pits a struggling Mavericks unit against one of the hotter teams in the West. Denver comes in riding solid form and considered a strong favorite, while Dallas will need a near-perfect performance just to stay competitive.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Dec 1, 2025
Start Time: 10:00 PM EST
Venue: Ball Arena
Nuggets Record: (14-5)
Mavericks Record: (6-15)
OPENING ODDS
DAL Moneyline: +375
DEN Moneyline: -476
DAL Spread: +10.5
DEN Spread: -10.5
Over/Under: 233.5
DAL
Betting Trends
- Dallas has struggled this season away from home, with their road record and recent injuries weakening their value as an underdog pick on the road.
DEN
Betting Trends
- Denver has covered the spread with consistency at home, especially when they enter the game healthy and shooting well, making them a relatively reliable favorite in front of the home crowd.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- With Denver’s recent surge in 3-point shooting and ability to pile up fast-break points, while Dallas remains near the bottom of the league in 3-point accuracy and is bogged by injuries, betting models have skewed toward a higher total — making over/under props or team-total overs a potential value angle if the pace heats up.
DAL vs. DEN
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Jokic under 30.5 Points.
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Dallas vs Denver Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 12/1/25
The December 1, 2025 matchup between the Denver Nuggets and the Dallas Mavericks presents a stark contrast in form, momentum, and overall team stability, setting the stage for a Western Conference meeting that heavily favors Denver on paper but still carries the intrigue of whether Dallas can elevate its play enough to challenge one of the league’s hottest teams. Denver enters this matchup in rhythm, playing cohesive, high-efficiency basketball driven by elite spacing, crisp ball movement, and a surge in three-point accuracy that has fueled multiple recent victories and restored their status as one of the most dangerous offensive teams in the NBA. Their offense flows with purpose: shooters run off screens into clean looks, ball-handlers navigate pick-and-roll actions with poise, cutters fill seams on drives, and transition opportunities emerge quickly from defensive rebounds or turnovers. Complementing that offense is a disciplined defensive identity marked by strong rotations, improved rim protection, and active closeouts that make it difficult for opponents to generate rhythm or create consistent clean looks. On the glass, Denver’s commitment to securing rebounds on both ends enables them to dictate pace and convert defensive stops into fast-break opportunities that apply constant pressure. In stark contrast, Dallas enters Ball Arena amid struggles rooted in injuries, roster instability, defensive lapses, and a persistent inability to score efficiently from three-point range. Their offense has been erratic, with long stretches of stagnation, forced isolations, and contested jumpers that short-circuit rhythm. Defensively, perimeter breakdowns and slow rotations have left them vulnerable to well-spaced offenses — a recipe for trouble against Denver’s current form.
Dallas’ weakened frontcourt has also affected their ability to defend the paint and secure rebounds, making second-chance points and transition leaks recurring issues. To stay competitive, the Mavericks must impose an almost flawless game plan: slow the pace, limit turnovers, attack mismatches deliberately, and generate higher-percentage looks through disciplined ball movement instead of early-clock threes. They must also rebound with urgency to deny Denver extra possessions and prevent momentum-building runouts. Even then, the margin for error is razor-thin. Denver’s home-court advantage, crowd involvement, depth, and shooting confidence combine to make Ball Arena one of the most challenging environments for a struggling opponent. If the Nuggets continue to execute their system — spacing the floor, hitting open shots, controlling the boards, rotating with discipline, and exploiting Dallas’ defensive flaws — they possess a clear path to controlling the game from start to finish. Dallas can still compete if they commit to structure, limit defensive breakdowns, and receive elevated performances from both starters and reserves, but the matchup heavily tilts toward Denver given form, health, and consistency. Ultimately, this meeting is best defined by contrasting arcs: a Denver team ascending with pace, precision, and fluidity, and a Dallas squad searching for answers, cohesion, and a spark that could help them avoid being overwhelmed in a difficult road environment.
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Top 🖐️ Plays of the Week ⤵️@att // #MFFL pic.twitter.com/tN6AvGZgI3
— Dallas Mavericks (@dallasmavs) December 1, 2025
Dallas Mavericks NBA Preview
Dallas enters this December 1, 2025 showdown against the Denver Nuggets facing one of the most difficult assignments in the Western Conference: a road game at Ball Arena against a fully locked-in Denver team that has been shooting the lights out, defending with purpose, and playing with the rhythm of a contender, all while the Mavericks continue wrestling with injuries, inconsistency, and a lack of cohesion that has repeatedly held them back from stringing together meaningful momentum. For Dallas, the challenge begins with re-establishing offensive flow, as their three-point shooting has been unreliable and often forces them into stretches of stalled half-court possessions where ball movement slows, shot quality drops, and their scoring becomes overly dependent on isolation or difficult pull-ups. Against Denver’s disciplined defensive rotations and aggressive closeouts, Dallas must prioritize purposeful actions—using screens to create separation, attacking mismatches with patience, and generating drive-and-kick sequences that collapse the defense before swinging to open shooters rather than settling early. The absence of consistent frontcourt production has further complicated their offense, leaving fewer interior scoring opportunities and reducing the threat of post touches that might otherwise loosen perimeter pressure. Defensively, Dallas faces an equally daunting task, as the Nuggets’ recent offensive run has been fueled by elite spacing, quick decision-making, and a level of shooting confidence that punishes even minor defensive breakdowns. The Mavericks must stay disciplined in pick-and-roll coverages, fight over screens, and contest jumpers with urgency while simultaneously preventing Denver from exploiting slips, backdoor cuts, and offensive rebounds.
Transition defense will be a point of constant stress; any turnover, long rebound, or rushed shot could ignite Denver’s fast-break machine, and Dallas must sprint back, communicate early, and avoid cross-matches that leave shooters unmarked. The Mavericks also need their bench to provide steadiness, energy, and scoring in order to survive non-starter minutes, especially in a building where Denver’s depth tends to thrive off crowd energy and capitalize on momentum swings. Mental resilience will matter as much as tactical execution: Dallas cannot afford the lapses that have cost them leads or widened deficits in recent games, whether through careless turnovers, frustration fouls, or long stretches of stagnant offense that leave their defense exposed. To compete, they must slow the game down, force Denver into more half-court possessions, and eliminate the easy transition points that fuel the Nuggets’ runs. They must rebound as a unit, communicate through switches, and maintain a level of discipline that has eluded them in difficult environments. Offensively, they must value each possession—drive with intent, move the ball side-to-side, and create the kind of deliberate pace that allows them to stay within striking distance. While the odds are against Dallas, the blueprint for a competitive performance is clear: control tempo, protect the ball, win the effort battles, and deliver their most cohesive two-way game of the season. If they do, they can keep the contest tight and put pressure on a Denver team that expects to dominate at home; if not, the altitude, crowd, and Nuggets’ firepower could quickly turn the night into another uphill struggle for a Mavericks squad still searching for its breakthrough.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Denver Nuggets NBA Preview
Denver enters this December 1, 2025 matchup against the Dallas Mavericks with momentum, confidence, and the unmistakable look of a team finally firing on all cylinders, using elite shooting, disciplined defense, and one of the league’s most cohesive offensive structures to impose their will on opponents — advantages that become even more potent at Ball Arena, where altitude, crowd energy, and rhythm often tilt games decisively in the Nuggets’ favor. Their recent performances have showcased a beautifully balanced offensive machine built on spacing, unselfish ball movement, and high-IQ execution: shooters sprint into open pockets off screens, ball-handlers manipulate defenses with patient pick-and-roll reads, and off-ball cutters slice into gaps created by opponents overplaying Denver’s perimeter threats. The result has been an uptick in three-point efficiency, sustained interior scoring, and an offensive flow that leaves defenses rotating late and scrambling to protect both the paint and the perimeter. Against a Dallas squad struggling with injuries, defensive breakdowns, and rebounding issues, Denver’s offense is positioned to generate clean looks repeatedly if they maintain their precision and pace. Defensively, the Nuggets have made notable strides as well — their closeouts have been sharper, their communication stronger, and their help rotations more disciplined, enabling them to contest jumpers without losing interior positioning. They’ve also tightened their rebounding fundamentals, limiting second-chance points and turning defensive stops into fast-break opportunities that ignite crowd surges and stretch opponents thin.
This is an area where Denver can separate: Dallas has struggled to defend in transition and to box out effectively, meaning the Nuggets’ emphasis on pushing off misses could yield easy points and create early separation. Denver’s depth further amplifies their edge at home; the bench has found groove and identity, contributing scoring bursts and defensive effort that allow starters to rest without surrendering momentum. In particular, their second unit’s ability to maintain spacing and defensive intensity poses problems for a Mavericks team whose reserves have lacked stability and struggled to sustain pressure. To secure the win, Denver must continue trusting its offensive system — moving the ball decisively, capitalizing on open shots, and attacking mismatches without rushing possessions. They must also maintain defensive poise, avoiding unnecessary fouls and staying disciplined against Dallas’s isolation actions, which can occasionally spark their offense even when the broader structure breaks down. Ultimately, the Nuggets’ pathway to victory lies in staying true to the attributes that have elevated them: pace, spacing, communication, and unrelenting effort on both ends. If they replicate their recent form — fast-break execution, constant pressure on the rim, strong rebounding, and confident shooting — Denver is well-positioned to control the game, overwhelm Dallas’s weakened rotations, and reinforce their status as one of the West’s most dangerous and polished teams.
https://t.co/fk9Pp8jnzv pic.twitter.com/3g35l0FaV6
— Denver Nuggets (@nuggets) November 30, 2025
Dallas vs Denver Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Mavericks and Nuggets play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Ball Arena in Dec can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Dallas vs Denver Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Mavericks and Nuggets and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the linear correlation of emphasis emotional bettors often put on coaching factors between a Mavericks team going up against a possibly rested Nuggets team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI Dallas vs Denver picks, computer picks Mavericks vs Nuggets, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 12/16 | SA@NY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Dallas Betting Trends
Dallas has struggled this season away from home, with their road record and recent injuries weakening their value as an underdog pick on the road.
Denver Betting Trends
Denver has covered the spread with consistency at home, especially when they enter the game healthy and shooting well, making them a relatively reliable favorite in front of the home crowd.
Mavericks vs. Nuggets Matchup Trends
With Denver’s recent surge in 3-point shooting and ability to pile up fast-break points, while Dallas remains near the bottom of the league in 3-point accuracy and is bogged by injuries, betting models have skewed toward a higher total — making over/under props or team-total overs a potential value angle if the pace heats up.
Dallas vs. Denver Game Info
Dallas vs Denver starts on December 1, 2025 at 10:00 PM EST.
Venue: Ball Arena.
Spread: Denver -10.5
Moneyline: Dallas +375, Denver -476
Over/Under: 233.5
Dallas: (6-15) | Denver: (14-5)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Jokic under 30.5 Points.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
With Denver’s recent surge in 3-point shooting and ability to pile up fast-break points, while Dallas remains near the bottom of the league in 3-point accuracy and is bogged by injuries, betting models have skewed toward a higher total — making over/under props or team-total overs a potential value angle if the pace heats up.
DAL trend: Dallas has struggled this season away from home, with their road record and recent injuries weakening their value as an underdog pick on the road.
DEN trend: Denver has covered the spread with consistency at home, especially when they enter the game healthy and shooting well, making them a relatively reliable favorite in front of the home crowd.
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Dallas vs. Denver Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Dallas vs Denver trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
| DAL Moneyline | +375 |
|---|---|
| DEN Moneyline | -476 |
| DAL Spread | +10.5 |
| DEN Spread | -10.5 |
| Over / Under | 233.5 |
Dallas vs Denver Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dec 17, 2025 8:10PM EST
Memphis Grizzlies
Minnesota Timberwolves
12/17/25 8:10PM
Grizzlies
Timberwolves
|
–
–
|
+240
-295
|
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
|
O 232.5 (-112)
U 232.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Dec 17, 2025 8:10PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
Chicago Bulls
12/17/25 8:10PM
Cavaliers
Bulls
|
–
–
|
-210
+176
|
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
|
O 243.5 (-105)
U 243.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 7:40PM EST
Miami Heat
Brooklyn Nets
12/18/25 7:40PM
Heat
Nets
|
–
–
|
-300
+245
|
-7.5 (-114)
+7.5 (-106)
|
O 226.5 (-115)
U 226.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 8:10PM EST
Houston Rockets
New Orleans Pelicans
12/18/25 8:10PM
Rockets
Pelicans
|
–
–
|
-450
+350
|
-10.5 (-108)
+10.5 (-112)
|
O 235.5 (-110)
U 235.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 8:10PM EST
Los Angeles Clippers
Oklahoma City Thunder
12/18/25 8:10PM
Clippers
Thunder
|
–
–
|
|
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
|
O 223.5 (-112)
U 223.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 9:10PM EST
Los Angeles Lakers
Utah Jazz
12/18/25 9:10PM
Lakers
Jazz
|
–
–
|
-235
+194
|
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
|
O 241.5 (-115)
U 241.5 (-105)
|
NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets on December 1, 2025 at Ball Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS@POR | POR +4.5 | 53.6% | 2 | WIN |
| SAC@MIN | MIN -12.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@GS | GS -118 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@CHA | CHA +3 | 54.5% | 4 | PUSH |
| BKN@DAL | COOPER FLAGG OVER 9.5 REB + ASST | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| MIN@GS | JADEN MCDANIELS UNDER 19.5 PTS + REB | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@OKC | UNDER 224.5 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| SA@LAL | DEANDRE AYTON OVER 14.5 PTS + ASST | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@LAL | DEAARON FOX OVER 9.5 REB + ASST | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| NY@TOR | BRANDON INGRAM UNDER 9.5 REB + ASST | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@MIN | MIN -7.5 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| SAC@IND | ZACH LAVINE OVER 7.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| DEN@CHA | CHA +10.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| ORL@NY | NY -2 | 54.9% | 5 | WIN |
| SAC@MIA | ZACH LAVINE OVER 25.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MIL@DET | DET -11.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| LAL@BOS | LAL +8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIA@ORL | MIA +5.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| DAL@OKC | OKC -15 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@MIL | PHI -110 | 55.4% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MEM | LAC -124 | 56.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| DEN@ATL | DEN -4.5 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@NY | KEYONTE GEORGE UNDER 27.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 55.4% | 5 | WIN |
| UTA@BKN | UTA -5 | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| GS@PHI | UNDER 223.5 | 54.4% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@NY | KARL ANTHONY TOWNS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+ASST | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@NO | NO +12.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@BOS | NY +1.5 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@NO | JULIUS RANDLE OVER 27.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| MEM@SA | DEAARON FOX UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| HOU@UTA | ALPEREN SENGUN OVER 20.5 POINTS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| OKC@POR | POR +12 | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@NY | TOR +7.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| ORL@DET | DET -3 | 57.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| DET@BOS | BOS +3 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| ORL@PHI | PHI +4 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@LAL | LEBRON JAMES OVER 13.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIN@SAC | JULIUS RANDLE OVER 28.5 PTS + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@PHX | MIN -4.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| IND@CLE | CLE -13.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| POR@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@UTA | ISAIAH COLLIER OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIL | MIL +2.5 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| SAC@MEM | SAC +3.5 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@POR | JOSH GIDDEY OVER 1.5 STEALS + ASSTS | 53.2% | 3 | WIN |
| CHI@POR | MATAS BUZELIS OVER 20.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| HOU@CLE | HOU -116 | 55.4% | 5 | WIN |
| CHA@IND | CHA -116 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| DET@ATL | DET +1.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@ORL | ORL +3.5 | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@ATL | JALEN DUREN UNDER 22.5 PTS + ASSTS | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |