Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Nov 9)
Updated: 2025-11-07T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Oklahoma City Thunder travel to Memphis to face the Grizzlies on November 9, 2025, in what should be a hard-fought Western Conference battle between two teams built on athleticism and youth. With Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Ja Morant leading their respective squads, this matchup promises high tempo, highlight plays, and plenty of scoring runs.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 9, 2025
Start Time: 7:00 PM
Venue: FedExForum
Grizzlies Record: (4-6)
Thunder Record: (9-1)
OPENING ODDS
OKC Moneyline: -549
MEM Moneyline: +438
OKC Spread: -10.5
MEM Spread: +10.5
Over/Under: 233.5
OKC
Betting Trends
- The Thunder have been one of the league’s most consistent teams against the spread, covering in 7 of their last 10 games, largely thanks to their efficient offense and top-five defensive rating.
MEM
Betting Trends
- The Grizzlies, while battling injuries, have struggled ATS recently, going just 3-7 in their last 10 home contests, though they’ve shown improvement defensively in their past few outings.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In the last six meetings between these teams, the road team has covered four times, and the under has cashed in five of those contests due to both sides’ strong perimeter defense and half-court execution.
OKC vs. MEM
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Jackson over 16.5 Points.
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Oklahoma City vs Memphis Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 11/9/25
The November 9, 2025 matchup between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Memphis Grizzlies at FedExForum features two Western Conference teams with distinctly different narratives but similar competitive fire. The Thunder enter this contest looking like one of the NBA’s most cohesive and well-balanced teams, having elevated their play under Mark Daigneault’s innovative coaching and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s leadership. Gilgeous-Alexander continues to play at an MVP-caliber level, averaging over 30 points per game while maintaining elite efficiency, poise, and defensive excellence. Alongside him, Chet Holmgren’s evolution as both a rim protector and floor-spacer has reshaped Oklahoma City’s interior presence, giving them a two-way anchor that elevates their defensive rating to among the top five in the league. Complementary pieces like Jalen Williams and Josh Giddey have flourished in their hybrid playmaking roles, making the Thunder one of the most unpredictable offenses to defend. The team’s ability to switch seamlessly on defense, create turnovers, and push the pace in transition makes them especially dangerous against opponents that thrive on isolation or slower half-court sets. The Grizzlies, meanwhile, enter this game with resilience as their defining trait. Despite a string of early-season injuries and roster adjustments, Memphis continues to compete behind Ja Morant’s explosiveness and Desmond Bane’s sharpshooting.
Jaren Jackson Jr. remains the defensive backbone, though his foul trouble and rebounding limitations have at times hurt Memphis in late-game scenarios. Head coach Taylor Jenkins has emphasized physicality and tempo, knowing that the Grizzlies’ best chance lies in pushing Oklahoma City off their rhythm by controlling the glass and creating second-chance points. With Steven Adams and Brandon Clarke still working their way back into full health, Memphis’s ability to contain Holmgren and Williams around the rim will be tested. The Grizzlies’ perimeter defense, led by Bane and Marcus Smart, must also rise to the challenge of slowing down Oklahoma City’s dribble penetration and ball movement. Statistically, both teams rank in the upper half of the league in fast-break points, suggesting this could be a high-tempo affair. However, Oklahoma City’s efficiency in half-court sets and superior three-point accuracy give them an edge in sustained scoring stretches. The key matchup will undoubtedly be Gilgeous-Alexander versus Morant—a battle between two elite point guards capable of dominating games in different ways. If SGA can control pace and avoid turnovers, Oklahoma City’s depth and defensive structure could overwhelm Memphis over four quarters. Expect the Thunder to exploit mismatches through spacing and smart rotations, while Memphis leans on energy and home-court intensity to stay in contention. Ultimately, this game shapes up as a measuring stick for both squads—the Thunder aiming to reinforce their status as Western Conference contenders, and the Grizzlies fighting to prove they can still stand toe-to-toe with the league’s elite.
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NBA Cup Game 1️⃣: ✔️ pic.twitter.com/8FtWnag153
— OKC THUNDER (@okcthunder) November 8, 2025
Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder head into Memphis on November 9, 2025, riding a wave of confidence as one of the most complete and dynamic young teams in the NBA. Their success has been anchored by the continued brilliance of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, whose calm leadership, elite scoring touch, and defensive consistency have turned Oklahoma City into a legitimate contender in the Western Conference. Under head coach Mark Daigneault, the Thunder’s offensive structure thrives on pace, spacing, and fluid ball movement, ranking near the top of the league in assists and fast-break efficiency. Gilgeous-Alexander’s ability to control tempo and manipulate defenses has opened opportunities for secondary scorers like Jalen Williams, whose versatility on both ends has made him a critical two-way piece. Chet Holmgren continues to be a transformative figure, stretching the floor with his shooting while protecting the rim at an elite level, giving Oklahoma City a unique blend of inside-out balance rarely seen in such a young team. Josh Giddey’s court vision complements this system perfectly, as he frequently initiates transition opportunities off rebounds and defensive stops. The Thunder’s biggest strength remains their defensive flexibility, with players like Luguentz Dort and Holmgren capable of guarding multiple positions, switching seamlessly, and closing out shooters without sacrificing rebounding presence.
Their ability to generate turnovers and turn them into easy buckets has become a hallmark of their identity. Against Memphis, Oklahoma City’s challenge will be handling Ja Morant’s explosiveness and the Grizzlies’ physical brand of basketball. The Thunder have shown poise in similar matchups, often relying on patience and precision rather than matching brute force. Expect Holmgren to play a central role in neutralizing Morant’s drives, while Dort and Williams work collectively to contain Desmond Bane’s perimeter shooting. Oklahoma City’s offensive efficiency—especially from deep—could dictate the flow of the game, as they’ll look to stretch Memphis’s defense and exploit spacing mismatches. The bench unit, led by Isaiah Joe and Aaron Wiggins, has been crucial in maintaining scoring momentum when the starters rest, giving Daigneault the flexibility to keep pressure on opponents. In tight contests, Oklahoma City’s late-game composure has become a difference-maker, with Gilgeous-Alexander excelling in isolation sets and clutch situations. While the Thunder are favored to win this matchup on paper, their discipline and defensive rotations will determine how effectively they can handle the Grizzlies’ aggressive style. If they can control pace, limit turnovers, and continue their efficient shooting from midrange and beyond the arc, the Thunder should have a strong chance to extend their winning form and make another statement as one of the Western Conference’s emerging powerhouses.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Memphis Grizzlies NBA Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies enter their November 9, 2025 home matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder with determination to reassert their dominance at FedExForum after a roller-coaster start to the season. Under head coach Taylor Jenkins, Memphis remains a high-energy team built on relentless effort, transition pace, and defensive intensity, but injuries and lineup adjustments have challenged their early-season rhythm. The return of Ja Morant has reignited their offense, as his trademark explosiveness and creativity in the open court continue to fuel Memphis’s identity as one of the league’s fastest-paced teams. Morant’s chemistry with Desmond Bane remains crucial, with Bane providing elite shooting from deep to stretch defenses and open driving lanes. Jaren Jackson Jr. anchors the frontcourt, offering a mix of rim protection and perimeter versatility, though his tendency to get into foul trouble often dictates how aggressively the Grizzlies can defend inside. Despite their struggles on the glass without Steven Adams and Brandon Clarke, Memphis has compensated through improved ball movement and an increased emphasis on forcing turnovers to create transition chances.
Marcus Smart’s leadership and defensive tenacity have provided stability in the backcourt, helping contain opposing guards and setting the tone for Memphis’s defensive schemes. Against the Thunder, the Grizzlies’ biggest task will be controlling the tempo and limiting Oklahoma City’s transition game, which thrives on quick ball movement and spacing. Jenkins will likely emphasize half-court execution and physicality, looking to attack Holmgren and the Thunder’s interior defense early while relying on Morant’s dribble penetration to collapse their defensive structure. If Memphis can draw fouls and get to the free-throw line consistently, they can offset Oklahoma City’s perimeter efficiency. Bench production from players like Luke Kennard and Santi Aldama will be vital, especially in sustaining scoring when the starters rest. The Grizzlies will also aim to leverage home-court energy, as FedExForum has historically been one of the toughest arenas for visiting teams. Memphis’s defense must be disciplined, particularly in closing out on shooters like Jalen Williams and Isaiah Joe, who can swing momentum with timely three-pointers. A key storyline to watch will be how effectively Jackson and Morant can counter the Thunder’s length and spacing without allowing easy transition points. If the Grizzlies can dominate the rebounding battle and turn this into a gritty, physical contest, their chances of pulling off a home victory improve dramatically. Ultimately, this game serves as a test of Memphis’s ability to reestablish their defensive identity and find offensive cohesion against one of the Western Conference’s most fluid and efficient teams.
Going Platinum is nothing new for the 〽️
— Memphis Grizzlies (@memgrizz) November 9, 2025
🎟️ https://t.co/G8iht98QJy | @RobinhoodApp pic.twitter.com/O8UAYzmIMr
Oklahoma City vs Memphis Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Thunder and Grizzlies play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at FedExForum in Nov seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Oklahoma City vs Memphis Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Thunder and Grizzlies and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the trending factor human bettors tend to put on Oklahoma City’s strength factors between a Thunder team going up against a possibly strong Grizzlies team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI Oklahoma City vs Memphis picks, computer picks Thunder vs Grizzlies, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 12/15 | DAL@UTA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v3
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| NBA | 12/15 | MEM@LAC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NBA | 12/15 | DET@BOS | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NBA | 12/15 | MEM@LAC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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| NBA | 12/15 | TOR@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Oklahoma City Betting Trends
The Thunder have been one of the league’s most consistent teams against the spread, covering in 7 of their last 10 games, largely thanks to their efficient offense and top-five defensive rating.
Memphis Betting Trends
The Grizzlies, while battling injuries, have struggled ATS recently, going just 3-7 in their last 10 home contests, though they’ve shown improvement defensively in their past few outings.
Thunder vs. Grizzlies Matchup Trends
In the last six meetings between these teams, the road team has covered four times, and the under has cashed in five of those contests due to both sides’ strong perimeter defense and half-court execution.
Oklahoma City vs. Memphis Game Info
Oklahoma City vs Memphis starts on November 9, 2025 at 7:00 PM.
Venue: FedExForum.
Spread: Memphis +10.5
Moneyline: Oklahoma City -549, Memphis +438
Over/Under: 233.5
Oklahoma City: (9-1) | Memphis: (4-6)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Jackson over 16.5 Points.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
In the last six meetings between these teams, the road team has covered four times, and the under has cashed in five of those contests due to both sides’ strong perimeter defense and half-court execution.
OKC trend: The Thunder have been one of the league’s most consistent teams against the spread, covering in 7 of their last 10 games, largely thanks to their efficient offense and top-five defensive rating.
MEM trend: The Grizzlies, while battling injuries, have struggled ATS recently, going just 3-7 in their last 10 home contests, though they’ve shown improvement defensively in their past few outings.
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Oklahoma City vs. Memphis Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Oklahoma City vs Memphis trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
| OKC Moneyline | -549 |
|---|---|
| MEM Moneyline | +438 |
| OKC Spread | -10.5 |
| MEM Spread | +10.5 |
| Over / Under | 233.5 |
Oklahoma City vs Memphis Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Dec 16, 2025 8:40PM EST
San Antonio Spurs
New York Knicks
12/16/25 8:40PM
Spurs
Knicks
|
–
–
|
+114
-135
|
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
|
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 17, 2025 8:10PM EST
Memphis Grizzlies
Minnesota Timberwolves
12/17/25 8:10PM
Grizzlies
Timberwolves
|
–
–
|
+240
-298
|
+8.5 (-105)
-8.5 (-115)
|
O 234.5 (-110)
U 234.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 17, 2025 8:10PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
Chicago Bulls
12/17/25 8:10PM
Cavaliers
Bulls
|
–
–
|
-185
+154
|
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
|
O 241.5 (-115)
U 241.5 (-105)
|
NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies on November 9, 2025 at FedExForum.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
|
NBA |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS@POR | POR +4.5 | 53.6% | 2 | WIN |
| SAC@MIN | MIN -12.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@GS | GS -118 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@CHA | CHA +3 | 54.5% | 4 | PUSH |
| BKN@DAL | COOPER FLAGG OVER 9.5 REB + ASST | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| MIN@GS | JADEN MCDANIELS UNDER 19.5 PTS + REB | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@OKC | UNDER 224.5 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| SA@LAL | DEANDRE AYTON OVER 14.5 PTS + ASST | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@LAL | DEAARON FOX OVER 9.5 REB + ASST | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| NY@TOR | BRANDON INGRAM UNDER 9.5 REB + ASST | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@MIN | MIN -7.5 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| SAC@IND | ZACH LAVINE OVER 7.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| DEN@CHA | CHA +10.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| ORL@NY | NY -2 | 54.9% | 5 | WIN |
| SAC@MIA | ZACH LAVINE OVER 25.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MIL@DET | DET -11.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| LAL@BOS | LAL +8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIA@ORL | MIA +5.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| DAL@OKC | OKC -15 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@MIL | PHI -110 | 55.4% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MEM | LAC -124 | 56.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| DEN@ATL | DEN -4.5 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@NY | KEYONTE GEORGE UNDER 27.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 55.4% | 5 | WIN |
| UTA@BKN | UTA -5 | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| GS@PHI | UNDER 223.5 | 54.4% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@NY | KARL ANTHONY TOWNS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+ASST | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@NO | NO +12.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@BOS | NY +1.5 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@NO | JULIUS RANDLE OVER 27.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| MEM@SA | DEAARON FOX UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| HOU@UTA | ALPEREN SENGUN OVER 20.5 POINTS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| OKC@POR | POR +12 | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@NY | TOR +7.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| ORL@DET | DET -3 | 57.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| DET@BOS | BOS +3 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| ORL@PHI | PHI +4 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@LAL | LEBRON JAMES OVER 13.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIN@SAC | JULIUS RANDLE OVER 28.5 PTS + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@PHX | MIN -4.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| IND@CLE | CLE -13.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| POR@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@UTA | ISAIAH COLLIER OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIL | MIL +2.5 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| SAC@MEM | SAC +3.5 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@POR | JOSH GIDDEY OVER 1.5 STEALS + ASSTS | 53.2% | 3 | WIN |
| CHI@POR | MATAS BUZELIS OVER 20.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| HOU@CLE | HOU -116 | 55.4% | 5 | WIN |
| CHA@IND | CHA -116 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| DET@ATL | DET +1.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@ORL | ORL +3.5 | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@ATL | JALEN DUREN UNDER 22.5 PTS + ASSTS | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |