Dallas vs Memphis Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Nov 7)
Updated: 2025-11-05T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Dallas Mavericks travel to face the Memphis Grizzlies on November 7, 2025, in a Western Conference matchup pitting veteran poise against youthful aggression. Dallas is seeking rhythm after a rough start, while Memphis at home aims to capitalize on size and defensive versatility to reassert itself early.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 7, 2025
Start Time: 9:00 PM EST
Venue: FedExForum
Grizzlies Record: (3-6)
Mavericks Record: (2-6)
OPENING ODDS
DAL Moneyline: +145
MEM Moneyline: -161
DAL Spread: +4.5
MEM Spread: -4.5
Over/Under: 229.5
DAL
Betting Trends
- The Mavericks are 2-3 against the spread in their last five games, reflecting inconsistent value in recent road performances.
MEM
Betting Trends
- Memphis had a 23-21 record against the spread at home last season, showing they cover more often than not when playing on their home floor.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Matchups between Dallas and Memphis often hinge on rebounding margin and pace: the team that dominates the offensive glass and wins the turnover battle tends to cover the spread in the final minutes.
DAL vs. MEM
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Jackson over 19.5 PTS+AST.
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Dallas vs Memphis Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 11/7/25
The November 7, 2025 matchup between the Dallas Mavericks and Memphis Grizzlies promises to be one of the more intriguing Western Conference battles of the early season, blending two contrasting basketball philosophies. Dallas comes in trying to find balance between pace and precision, relying heavily on Luka Dončić’s all-around brilliance and his ability to control tempo and dissect defenses. The Mavericks’ offensive strength has been clear through early games — efficient pick-and-roll sets, elite floor spacing, and secondary scoring from players like Kyrie Irving and P.J. Washington. However, their inconsistency on the defensive glass and occasional lapses in transition defense have left them vulnerable, especially against teams that can pressure the rim and play with speed. Memphis, meanwhile, enters this game looking to reestablish its defensive identity and regain the physical edge that made it a perennial playoff team in recent years. The Grizzlies’ formula remains centered around ball pressure, second-chance scoring, and attacking in transition, led by the aggressive play of Ja Morant and the toughness of Jaren Jackson Jr. With Desmond Bane’s improved perimeter shooting and the continued growth of young depth pieces like Vince Williams Jr. and GG Jackson, Memphis can stretch defenses while still punishing opponents inside. The battle between Dončić and Morant could define the game’s rhythm — Dallas will want to slow the tempo and execute through half-court sets, while Memphis will push pace, trap high, and create chaos to keep Dallas uncomfortable.
A key factor will be rebounding: Memphis ranks among the league’s better teams in offensive boards per game, while Dallas tends to struggle when forced into second-chance defense. For the Mavericks, the bench contributions of Dereck Lively II and Tim Hardaway Jr. could make or break their shooting consistency, as they’ve been the spark plugs capable of igniting scoring runs on the road. Memphis will look to exploit its athleticism, with Jackson drawing mismatches in pick-and-pop situations and Morant attacking seams off dribble penetration. The Mavericks’ ability to stay disciplined defensively without fouling will be critical, as Memphis thrives on free throws and fast-break opportunities. If Dallas can hit from beyond the arc and maintain its assist-to-turnover ratio near the top of the league average, they’ll have a chance to pull away late. But if Memphis dictates physicality and keeps Dallas off rhythm with ball pressure, the Grizzlies could force a grind-it-out win at home. Ultimately, this matchup highlights two teams heading in different developmental directions — the Mavericks seeking consistency behind star power and the Grizzlies trying to prove that their young core can reassert dominance in the West.
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Final.@Chime // #MFFL pic.twitter.com/MiPOo8sJL5
— Dallas Mavericks (@dallasmavs) November 6, 2025
Dallas Mavericks NBA Preview
The Dallas Mavericks enter their November 7, 2025 road matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies with a blend of offensive firepower and strategic depth but remain a work in progress when it comes to defensive consistency. Led by Luka Dončić, who continues to be one of the league’s premier playmakers and most reliable clutch performers, Dallas’s offensive identity revolves around his ability to manipulate defenses and create efficient scoring opportunities from all three levels. Dončić’s chemistry with Kyrie Irving has evolved significantly since their pairing began, and together they form one of the most dynamic backcourts in the NBA — one that can oscillate between isolation-heavy sets and fluid, read-based motion. Against Memphis, the Mavericks’ focus will be on maintaining offensive composure against one of the league’s more aggressive defensive units, particularly with the Grizzlies’ tendency to trap the ball handler and rotate quickly. The Mavericks will lean heavily on spacing, using shooters like P.J. Washington, Tim Hardaway Jr., and Dante Exum to stretch the floor and force Memphis’s defenders to make tough decisions. In the paint, Dereck Lively II has emerged as a vital rim protector and lob threat, giving Dallas a vertical dimension it lacked in prior seasons. However, the Mavs’ biggest concern remains rebounding and interior defense, areas that Memphis is likely to attack relentlessly through Jaren Jackson Jr. and Ja Morant’s drives.
Defensively, Dallas will look to mix coverages — using drop coverage to protect the rim while relying on Dončić and Washington to hedge and recover against the pick-and-roll. The Mavericks have struggled when opponents control the offensive glass, and containing Memphis’s second-chance scoring will be a key factor. From a pace standpoint, Dallas will want to slow the game down, minimizing transition opportunities for the Grizzlies and forcing them to operate in half-court sets where Memphis can be less efficient. Expect Dallas to run more half-court actions through Dončić early to set rhythm and dictate tempo, with Irving attacking off ball screens to exploit mismatches. The Mavericks’ bench will also play a crucial role — players like Jaden Hardy and Maxi Kleber need to provide defensive energy and three-point support to offset Memphis’s physical style. In betting terms, Dallas has shown value as a road underdog when their three-point shooting exceeds 38 percent and their assist-to-turnover ratio stays positive, reflecting their dependency on efficiency rather than volume. Ultimately, for the Mavericks to steal a win on the road, they’ll need near-flawless execution: maintaining spacing, converting second-chance points, and keeping turnovers minimal while trusting Dončić to control the flow of the game.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Memphis Grizzlies NBA Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies return home on November 7, 2025, looking to reassert themselves as one of the Western Conference’s toughest defensive teams and reclaim their edge in a matchup that will test their physicality and tempo control against the skilled Dallas Mavericks. The Grizzlies’ game plan will once again center around Ja Morant’s explosiveness and leadership, as he sets the tone offensively through relentless penetration, transition speed, and the ability to collapse defenses to create open looks for teammates. His partnership with Desmond Bane on the perimeter gives Memphis a balanced inside-out attack, with Bane’s improved midrange and three-point shooting complementing Morant’s aggressive drives. Defensively, Memphis remains anchored by Jaren Jackson Jr., whose rim protection and mobility allow them to switch fluidly across multiple positions, a key advantage against a Dallas team that thrives on spacing and isolation mismatches. The Grizzlies will emphasize controlling the boards — particularly on the offensive end, where their second-chance scoring has been among the best in the league — and will use their size advantage to attack Dallas’s relatively thin frontcourt. On the wings, Memphis’s athletic defenders like Vince Williams Jr. and Ziaire Williams will be tasked with shadowing Kyrie Irving and forcing turnovers, something the Grizzlies have excelled at when their half-court pressure is active.
Expect head coach Taylor Jenkins to rely on a deep rotation, incorporating bench spark plugs such as Luke Kennard for shooting and Santi Aldama for spacing and rebounding versatility. The key for Memphis will be pace control: pushing the ball after defensive stops while keeping composure in half-court sets to avoid playing into Dallas’s slower rhythm. When the Grizzlies have succeeded this season, it’s been due to their ability to force opponents into mistakes — they’ve consistently ranked near the top of the league in points off turnovers, which will be vital against a Dallas team that can punish lapses with quick scoring runs. Another advantage for Memphis lies in free-throw creation, as their physical drives often put them at the line more frequently than their opponents, a detail that could swing the spread in tight games. At home, the Grizzlies also benefit from the energy of FedExForum, where their defensive intensity and bench play tend to elevate. If Memphis can keep Dallas under 45 percent shooting from the field and dominate second-chance opportunities, they should not only cover the spread but control the pace from start to finish. This game will be a battle of contrasting tempos — Memphis’s chaos and athleticism versus Dallas’s calculated precision — and if the Grizzlies stay disciplined while leveraging their physical edge, they have every chance to deliver a statement win in front of their home crowd.
Celebrate the special bond between fathers & daughters on Grizzlies Girl Dad Night 🐻💙
— Memphis Grizzlies (@memgrizz) November 6, 2025
11.9 🎟️ https://t.co/4Vv6MaQ8h5 pic.twitter.com/eWKJdckuPZ
Dallas vs Memphis Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Mavericks and Grizzlies play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at FedExForum in Nov almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Dallas vs Memphis Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Mavericks and Grizzlies and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the trending factor human bettors tend to put on Dallas’s strength factors between a Mavericks team going up against a possibly deflated Grizzlies team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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Below is our current AI Dallas vs Memphis picks, computer picks Mavericks vs Grizzlies, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 11/25 | LAC@LAL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v3
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| NBA | 11/25 | ORL@PHI | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
EXECUTIVE
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Dallas Betting Trends
The Mavericks are 2-3 against the spread in their last five games, reflecting inconsistent value in recent road performances.
Memphis Betting Trends
Memphis had a 23-21 record against the spread at home last season, showing they cover more often than not when playing on their home floor.
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Matchup Trends
Matchups between Dallas and Memphis often hinge on rebounding margin and pace: the team that dominates the offensive glass and wins the turnover battle tends to cover the spread in the final minutes.
Dallas vs. Memphis Game Info
Dallas vs Memphis starts on November 7, 2025 at 9:00 PM EST.
Venue: FedExForum.
Spread: Memphis -4.5
Moneyline: Dallas +145, Memphis -161
Over/Under: 229.5
Dallas: (2-6) | Memphis: (3-6)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Jackson over 19.5 PTS+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Matchups between Dallas and Memphis often hinge on rebounding margin and pace: the team that dominates the offensive glass and wins the turnover battle tends to cover the spread in the final minutes.
DAL trend: The Mavericks are 2-3 against the spread in their last five games, reflecting inconsistent value in recent road performances.
MEM trend: Memphis had a 23-21 record against the spread at home last season, showing they cover more often than not when playing on their home floor.
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Dallas vs. Memphis Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Dallas vs Memphis trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| DAL Moneyline | +145 |
|---|---|
| MEM Moneyline | -161 |
| DAL Spread | +4.5 |
| MEM Spread | -4.5 |
| Over / Under | 229.5 |
Dallas vs Memphis Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Nov 26, 2025 5:10PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Boston Celtics
11/26/25 5:10PM
Pistons
Celtics
|
–
–
|
-155
+130
|
-3 (-105)
+3 (-115)
|
O 231 (-110)
U 231 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 7:10PM EST
New York Knicks
Charlotte Hornets
11/26/25 7:10PM
Knicks
Hornets
|
–
–
|
-278
+222
|
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
|
O 238.5 (-110)
U 238.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 7:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Toronto Raptors
11/26/25 7:40PM
Pacers
Raptors
|
–
–
|
+345
-455
|
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
|
O 234.5 (-110)
U 234.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 7:40PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Oklahoma City Thunder
11/26/25 7:40PM
Timberwolves
Thunder
|
–
–
|
+278
-355
|
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
|
O 227 (-110)
U 227 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 7:40PM EST
Milwaukee Bucks
Miami Heat
11/26/25 7:40PM
Bucks
Heat
|
–
–
|
+250
-320
|
+8 (-110)
-8 (-110)
|
O 237 (-110)
U 237 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 8:10PM EST
Memphis Grizzlies
New Orleans Pelicans
11/26/25 8:10PM
Grizzlies
Pelicans
|
–
–
|
-140
+118
|
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
|
O 235.5 (-110)
U 235.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 10:10PM EST
Phoenix Suns
Sacramento Kings
11/26/25 10:10PM
Suns
Kings
|
–
–
|
-180
+152
|
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
|
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 10:10PM EST
San Antonio Spurs
Portland Trail Blazers
11/26/25 10:10PM
Spurs
Trail Blazers
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 239.5 (-110)
U 239.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 10:10PM EST
Houston Rockets
Golden State Warriors
11/26/25 10:10PM
Rockets
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+118
-140
|
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
|
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
|
NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Dallas Mavericks vs. Memphis Grizzlies on November 7, 2025 at FedExForum.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET@ATL | DET +1.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@ORL | ORL +3.5 | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@ATL | JALEN DUREN UNDER 22.5 PTS + ASSTS | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| BOS@BKN | MICHAEL PORTER JR UNDER 26.5 PTS + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@DET | DET -10.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| NY@MIA | NY +2.5 | 51.8% | 1 | WIN |
| LAC@PHI | LAC +5.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@PHI | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 STEALS & BLOCKS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| ORL@HOU | HOU -7.5 | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| POR@DAL | DAL +4.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| LAL@MIL | LAL -115 | 55.7% | 4 | WIN |
| CHA@MIL | MIL -9 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| POR@HOU | POR +8 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| POR@HOU | TARI EASON OVER 4.5 FG MADE | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| ATL@UTA | UTA +2.5 | 55.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| ATL@UTA | KYLE FILIPOWSKI OVER 7.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| NJ@CHI | JACK HUGHES UNDER 0.5 ASST | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@HOU | KEVIN DURANT OVER 4.5 REBOUNDS | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| GS@SA | GS +4 | 52.5% | 2 | WIN |
| MEM@BOS | MEM +7.5 | 56.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| BOS@PHI | PHI +1.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| IND@UTA | UTA +3 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| GS@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN UNDER 18.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@UTA | MIN -7.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIL@DAL | DAL +3 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| POR@MIA | POR -3.5 | 57.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| LAL@ATL | DYSON DANIELS OVER 2.5 STEALS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@MIL | CHI +4.5 | 55.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| DAL@MEM | MEM -4 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@ATL | TOR +118 | 48.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@MIA | OVER 235.5 | 54.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@PHX | PHX -135 | 58.9% | 7 | WIN |
| PHI@CLE | PHI +10.5 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIA@DEN | MIA +9.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@POR | POR +4.5 | 52.9% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@MEM | MEM +8.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@DET | UTA +10 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| NO@DAL | TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| ORL@ATL | ORL -3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIL@TOR | MIL +3.5 | 56.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@GS | STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@LAC | JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAL@POR | POR -2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@PHX | SA -5.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ORL@WAS | WAS +9 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@DET | DAL +8 | 58.7% | 8 | LOSS |
| NY@CHI | NY -4.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@PHI | BOS +1.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@CLE | TOR +6 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@POR | JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| WAS@OKC | WAS +15.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |