Pistons vs Heat Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Nov 29)
Updated: 2025-11-27T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Detroit Pistons travel to face the Miami Heat on November 29, 2025 at the Kaseya Center in Miami — a test for Detroit’s hot start under pressure and a chance for Miami to assert control at home. The Heat, benefiting from home-court leverage and improved defensive cohesion, are modest favorites, while the Pistons, flying high after a strong start to the season, come in as an underdog with plenty of momentum.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 29, 2025
Start Time: 9:00 PM EST
Venue: Kaseya Center
Heat Record: (13-6)
Pistons Record: (15-4)
OPENING ODDS
DET Moneyline: +130
MIA Moneyline: -133
DET Spread: +2.5
MIA Spread: -2.5
Over/Under: 236.5
DET
Betting Trends
- Detroit is 7–2 on the road this season, showing solid resilience away from home despite some recent turnover issues, making them a fairly reliable team against the spread when traveling.
MIA
Betting Trends
- The Heat are 9–1 at home this season — a mark of consistency and comfort at Kaseya Center that boosts their confidence and increases expectations when defending home court.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Both teams have shown offensive potential this season — Detroit with a fast-paced, high-variance scoring style, and Miami with balanced offense and improving defense; given that, the projected over/under looks fair, but the game carries upside for scoring runs and momentum swings if either side hits a hot streak or forces transition opportunities.
DET vs. MIA
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Duren under 29.5 PTS+REB.
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Detroit vs Miami Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 11/29/25
The matchup between the Detroit Pistons and the Miami Heat on November 29, 2025 stands as an intriguing test of identity, discipline, and momentum between two teams enjoying early-season success but reaching it through very different paths, with Detroit leaning into speed, spacing, and youthful explosiveness while Miami thrives through structure, physicality, and methodical execution on both ends of the floor. Detroit’s road résumé has been one of their greatest strengths, entering this contest at 7–2 away from home, a mark defined by pace-driven scoring bursts, balanced contributions across the roster, and an aggressive mentality that has allowed them to capitalize on open-floor opportunities and pressure defenses early in possessions. Yet the Pistons’ weaknesses remain visible beneath the progress — turnover issues, occasional defensive lapses, and rebounding inconsistencies that can derail momentum and fuel opponent runs, especially in hostile environments like Miami’s Kaseya Center. Miami, meanwhile, brings one of the league’s strongest home profiles at 9–1, a testament to their renewed defensive chemistry, improved rebounding focus, and disciplined approach to ball control and shot creation. The Heat’s style is built to test Detroit’s patience: slowing tempo, contesting drives with length, forcing jump shots late in the clock, and turning defensive stops into structured, efficient half-court possessions. This contrast in tempo will serve as the central tension of the matchup — if Detroit is allowed to run, hit rhythm threes, and use pace to dictate flow, they can force Miami into uncomfortable sequences; but if the Heat can clamp down defensively, dominate the glass, and turn the game into a grind, their experience and discipline may smother the Pistons’ transition-heavy blueprint.
For Detroit, preventing Miami’s bigs and wings from controlling rebounds becomes essential, as second-chance points or missed box-outs could drain momentum and limit the Pistons’ ability to launch quick counters. Miami must remain sharp in defensive rotations, closing out without overcommitting and using their physicality to disrupt Detroit’s drive-and-kick game. Bench units will add another layer of intrigue — Detroit’s depth can produce scoring bursts, but Miami’s defensive-oriented bench can slow pace, apply pressure, and maintain rhythm even as starters rest. The game will likely hinge on three swing factors: turnover margin, rebounding differential, and free-throw discipline. Detroit must avoid the live-ball mistakes that Miami can convert into points, while Miami must avoid foul trouble that gives the Pistons easy scoring opportunities and tempo spikes. Ultimately, this matchup presents a compelling push-and-pull dynamic: Detroit’s youth and pace against Miami’s structure and control. If the Pistons can impose their speed, protect possessions, and rebound collectively, their high-energy offense can threaten Miami’s home-court dominance; but if the Heat dictate tempo, win the physical battles, and execute through their half-court sets, they can grind out another disciplined win that reinforces their emerging identity as one of the most reliable home teams in the league.
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HIM. https://t.co/HbV0wHHyuH pic.twitter.com/ckDmNwQsFQ
— Detroit Pistons (@DetroitPistons) November 29, 2025
Detroit Pistons NBA Preview
The Detroit Pistons enter this matchup against the Miami Heat with confidence earned from an impressive 7–2 road record and a style built on pace, spacing, and collective offensive rhythm, but they also understand that this contest requires their most disciplined version, as Miami’s physicality, structure, and home-court dominance will punish every lapse. Detroit’s offensive identity revolves around early-clock pressure: push the tempo off rebounds, attack before defenses set, and use their athleticism on the wings to generate paint touches that open up kick-outs and catch-and-shoot threes. When the Pistons play fast and freely, their scoring can come in waves, overwhelming opponents with quick turnovers, transition buckets, and decisive off-ball movement that keeps defenders chasing. But against a Heat team that thrives on slowing games down, contesting drives, and forcing opponents to rely on jumpers deep into the shot clock, Detroit must remain patient without losing its aggressiveness. Turnovers loom large — the Pistons have shown tendencies toward careless passes and rushed reads, issues that could feed Miami’s transition offense and swing momentum sharply in front of a loud home crowd. To counter that, Detroit needs to value possessions, avoid over-dribbling, and keep the ball moving with intention to prevent Miami from dictating the half-court pace. Rebounding becomes a critical battleground, as the Heat have recently tightened their interior presence and improved their rebounding discipline; if Detroit fails to secure defensive boards, they cannot run, and if they fail to grab offensive rebounds, they will lose opportunities to create the extra possessions that fuel their scoring rhythm.
On defense, the Pistons must maintain connectedness — staying locked in on closeouts, communicating through Miami’s screening actions, and avoiding the breakdowns that lead to high-percentage looks inside or wide-open threes. Miami’s offense, while not always explosive, is methodical and punishes missteps with patient ball movement and inside-out play, meaning Detroit’s defense must sustain energy and focus on every possession. Bench contributions will also matter deeply; Detroit leans on its depth to sustain pace and generate scoring bursts, and the second unit must bring defensive intensity and rebounding commitment to avoid losing ground during rotation minutes. Ultimately, the Pistons’ path to victory requires a blend of pace and discipline: push whenever possible, keep the ball hopping, get downhill early, and hit timely threes, while simultaneously protecting the glass, minimizing turnovers, and playing with controlled aggression against Miami’s structure. If Detroit balances those elements and avoids the mental lapses that can unravel high-tempo teams on the road, their style gives them a legitimate chance to challenge Miami’s elite home record and make this matchup a showcase of their evolving resilience and growing competitive legitimacy.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Miami Heat NBA Preview
The Miami Heat enter this matchup against the Detroit Pistons with a firm grasp of their identity and a clear understanding of how to leverage their strengths to protect one of the best home records in the league, using discipline, physicality, and controlled tempo to neutralize Detroit’s pace-driven attack. At 9–1 at home, Miami has built its success on a foundation of defensive cohesion, rebounding commitment, and a half-court approach that forces opponents to execute mistake-free basketball for full possessions — a style that directly targets the Pistons’ vulnerabilities. The Heat’s defensive blueprint is particularly well-suited for this challenge: take away early penetration, clog driving lanes with length, and rotate with precision to contest Detroit’s three-point looks, ensuring the Pistons cannot settle into the rhythm that fuels their scoring bursts. Miami’s improved interior presence will be central to the matchup, as winning the rebounding battle not only limits Detroit’s transition but also generates second-chance opportunities that allow Miami to control pace and impose their preferred methodical style. On offense, the Heat rely on structure, ball movement, and exploiting mismatches; they will likely emphasize attacking the paint early to collapse Detroit’s defense, then swing the ball to their shooters for clean perimeter looks or use short-roll action to punish overhelping.
Miami’s guards must remain patient, avoiding rushed possessions and instead forcing the Pistons to defend multiple actions within a single sequence, wearing down their energy and discipline. The bench units will play an important role as well — Miami’s reserves must bring defensive toughness, rebound with force, and maintain offensive organization to prevent Detroit’s second unit from shifting momentum through pace or shot-making. Turnover discipline is also paramount; by protecting the ball and limiting live-ball giveaways, Miami can prevent Detroit from igniting the transition game that has carried them to their strong road record. Foul control will be equally essential, as unnecessary fouls could send Detroit to the line and create the tempo spikes Miami wants to avoid. Ultimately, the Heat’s path to victory lies in suffocating Detroit’s pace, owning the glass, and controlling the flow through deliberate, intelligent possessions. If Miami executes with composure, uses its physicality to disrupt rhythm, and makes Detroit work for every point, the Heat’s structural advantages, home-court confidence, and defensive discipline give them every opportunity to secure another assertive win and continue reinforcing their position as one of the league’s most reliable and dangerous home teams.
Tyler lobs for Bam... a sight we missed seeing 🥹
— Miami HEAT (@MiamiHEAT) November 28, 2025
Ultimate Assist // @RobinhoodApp pic.twitter.com/pyGb0FIGA3
Detroit vs Miami Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Pistons and Heat play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Kaseya Center in Nov rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Detroit vs Miami Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Pistons and Heat and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most fixated on the growing factor knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Detroit’s strength factors between a Pistons team going up against a possibly rested Heat team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI Detroit vs Miami picks, computer picks Pistons vs Heat, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 12/16 | SA@NY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Detroit Betting Trends
Detroit is 7–2 on the road this season, showing solid resilience away from home despite some recent turnover issues, making them a fairly reliable team against the spread when traveling.
Miami Betting Trends
The Heat are 9–1 at home this season — a mark of consistency and comfort at Kaseya Center that boosts their confidence and increases expectations when defending home court.
Pistons vs. Heat Matchup Trends
Both teams have shown offensive potential this season — Detroit with a fast-paced, high-variance scoring style, and Miami with balanced offense and improving defense; given that, the projected over/under looks fair, but the game carries upside for scoring runs and momentum swings if either side hits a hot streak or forces transition opportunities.
Detroit vs. Miami Game Info
Detroit vs Miami starts on November 29, 2025 at 9:00 PM EST.
Venue: Kaseya Center.
Spread: Miami -2.5
Moneyline: Detroit +130, Miami -133
Over/Under: 236.5
Detroit: (15-4) | Miami: (13-6)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Duren under 29.5 PTS+REB.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Both teams have shown offensive potential this season — Detroit with a fast-paced, high-variance scoring style, and Miami with balanced offense and improving defense; given that, the projected over/under looks fair, but the game carries upside for scoring runs and momentum swings if either side hits a hot streak or forces transition opportunities.
DET trend: Detroit is 7–2 on the road this season, showing solid resilience away from home despite some recent turnover issues, making them a fairly reliable team against the spread when traveling.
MIA trend: The Heat are 9–1 at home this season — a mark of consistency and comfort at Kaseya Center that boosts their confidence and increases expectations when defending home court.
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Detroit vs. Miami Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Detroit vs Miami trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| DET Moneyline | +130 |
|---|---|
| MIA Moneyline | -133 |
| DET Spread | +2.5 |
| MIA Spread | -2.5 |
| Over / Under | 236.5 |
Detroit vs Miami Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dec 17, 2025 8:10PM EST
Memphis Grizzlies
Minnesota Timberwolves
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–
–
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+245
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+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
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O 232.5 (-112)
U 232.5 (-108)
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–
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-205
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-5.5 (-110)
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O 243.5 (-105)
U 243.5 (-115)
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Dec 18, 2025 7:10PM EST
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–
–
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-186
+156
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-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
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O 231.5 (-108)
U 231.5 (-112)
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Dec 18, 2025 7:40PM EST
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Brooklyn Nets
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Heat
Nets
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–
–
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-300
+245
|
-7.5 (-114)
+7.5 (-106)
|
O 226.5 (-115)
U 226.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 8:10PM EST
Toronto Raptors
Milwaukee Bucks
12/18/25 8:10PM
Raptors
Bucks
|
–
–
|
-194
+162
|
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
|
O 219.5 (-106)
U 219.5 (-114)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 8:10PM EST
Houston Rockets
New Orleans Pelicans
12/18/25 8:10PM
Rockets
Pelicans
|
–
–
|
-450
+350
|
-10.5 (-108)
+10.5 (-112)
|
O 235.5 (-110)
U 235.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 8:10PM EST
Los Angeles Clippers
Oklahoma City Thunder
12/18/25 8:10PM
Clippers
Thunder
|
–
–
|
+640
-950
|
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
|
O 223.5 (-112)
U 223.5 (-108)
|
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Dec 18, 2025 8:40PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Dallas Mavericks
12/18/25 8:40PM
Pistons
Mavericks
|
–
–
|
-225
+190
|
-5.5 (-112)
+5.5 (-108)
|
O 231.5 (-110)
U 231.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 9:10PM EST
Orlando Magic
Denver Nuggets
12/18/25 9:10PM
Magic
Nuggets
|
–
–
|
+230
-280
|
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
|
O 232.5 (-112)
U 232.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 9:10PM EST
Golden State Warriors
Phoenix Suns
12/18/25 9:10PM
Warriors
Suns
|
–
–
|
-122
+104
|
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
|
O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 9:10PM EST
Los Angeles Lakers
Utah Jazz
12/18/25 9:10PM
Lakers
Jazz
|
–
–
|
-245
+200
|
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
|
O 242.5 (-114)
U 242.5 (-106)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 10:10PM EST
Sacramento Kings
Portland Trail Blazers
12/18/25 10:10PM
Kings
Trail Blazers
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–
–
|
+235
-290
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+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
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O 236.5 (-112)
U 236.5 (-108)
|
NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Detroit Pistons vs. Miami Heat on November 29, 2025 at Kaseya Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS@POR | POR +4.5 | 53.6% | 2 | WIN |
| SAC@MIN | MIN -12.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@GS | GS -118 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@CHA | CHA +3 | 54.5% | 4 | PUSH |
| BKN@DAL | COOPER FLAGG OVER 9.5 REB + ASST | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| MIN@GS | JADEN MCDANIELS UNDER 19.5 PTS + REB | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@OKC | UNDER 224.5 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| SA@LAL | DEANDRE AYTON OVER 14.5 PTS + ASST | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@LAL | DEAARON FOX OVER 9.5 REB + ASST | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| NY@TOR | BRANDON INGRAM UNDER 9.5 REB + ASST | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@MIN | MIN -7.5 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| SAC@IND | ZACH LAVINE OVER 7.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| DEN@CHA | CHA +10.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| ORL@NY | NY -2 | 54.9% | 5 | WIN |
| SAC@MIA | ZACH LAVINE OVER 25.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MIL@DET | DET -11.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| LAL@BOS | LAL +8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIA@ORL | MIA +5.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| DAL@OKC | OKC -15 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@MIL | PHI -110 | 55.4% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MEM | LAC -124 | 56.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| DEN@ATL | DEN -4.5 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@NY | KEYONTE GEORGE UNDER 27.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 55.4% | 5 | WIN |
| UTA@BKN | UTA -5 | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| GS@PHI | UNDER 223.5 | 54.4% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@NY | KARL ANTHONY TOWNS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+ASST | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@NO | NO +12.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@BOS | NY +1.5 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@NO | JULIUS RANDLE OVER 27.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| MEM@SA | DEAARON FOX UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| HOU@UTA | ALPEREN SENGUN OVER 20.5 POINTS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| OKC@POR | POR +12 | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@NY | TOR +7.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| ORL@DET | DET -3 | 57.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| DET@BOS | BOS +3 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| ORL@PHI | PHI +4 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@LAL | LEBRON JAMES OVER 13.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIN@SAC | JULIUS RANDLE OVER 28.5 PTS + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@PHX | MIN -4.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| IND@CLE | CLE -13.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| POR@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@UTA | ISAIAH COLLIER OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIL | MIL +2.5 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| SAC@MEM | SAC +3.5 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@POR | JOSH GIDDEY OVER 1.5 STEALS + ASSTS | 53.2% | 3 | WIN |
| CHI@POR | MATAS BUZELIS OVER 20.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| HOU@CLE | HOU -116 | 55.4% | 5 | WIN |
| CHA@IND | CHA -116 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| DET@ATL | DET +1.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@ORL | ORL +3.5 | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@ATL | JALEN DUREN UNDER 22.5 PTS + ASSTS | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |