Denver vs Memphis Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Nov 24)
Updated: 2025-11-22T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Denver Nuggets travel to face the Memphis Grizzlies on November 24, 2025, in a clash between Denver’s efficient veteran core and Memphis’s youthful, energetic home crowd advantage. Denver enters the matchup with strong overall performance but mixed ATS consistency, while Memphis seeks to capitalize on home-court momentum and turn intensity into structured wins.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 24, 2025
Start Time: 9:00 PM EST
Venue: FedExForum
Grizzlies Record: (6-11)
Nuggets Record: (12-4)
OPENING ODDS
DEN Moneyline: -294
MEM Moneyline: +260
DEN Spread: -7.5
MEM Spread: +7.5
Over/Under: 233.5
DEN
Betting Trends
- Denver is 6-3 against the spread this season, recording a 66.7 % cover rate.
MEM
Betting Trends
- Memphis has gone 6-4 against the spread in their last 10 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Denver’s strong covering rate combined with their road reputation make them a tempting ATS choice, especially against a Memphis team that covers only 60 % of home games. However, Memphis’s home-court energy and tendency to outperform expectations at home suggest potential value in spotting them with the spread if they can harness that momentum early.
DEN vs. MEM
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: V. Williams under 18.5 PTS+AST.
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Denver vs Memphis Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 11/24/25
The November 24 meeting between the Denver Nuggets and the Memphis Grizzlies shapes up as a compelling test of pace, maturity, and identity, with Denver arriving as the more structurally polished and veteran-driven team while Memphis enters with youthful intensity, home-court energy, and enough unpredictability to make this matchup far more volatile than the records alone suggest. Denver’s blueprint for success is rooted in controlling the tempo—slowing the game into a half-court contest where their deliberate ball movement, efficient interior play, and disciplined spacing can dictate possessions rather than allowing Memphis to unleash the transition bursts and momentum swings that their home crowd feeds upon. A major key for the Nuggets will be winning the rebounding battle on both ends; securing defensive boards eliminates second-chance points and fast-break triggers for the Grizzlies, while offensive rebounds allow Denver to extend possessions and drain tempo out of the game. Denver must also avoid turnovers at all costs, as every mistake becomes a runway for Memphis to push pace and attack before the Nuggets can set their defense. On the other side, Memphis’s path to competing lies in making the game as fast, physical, and chaotic as possible—using their youth, quickness, and crowd energy to disrupt Denver’s rhythm, force mistakes, and generate early offense through fast breaks, cuts, and transition threes.
The Grizzlies must aggressively crash the glass to create second-chance opportunities and momentum swings, and while their pace-first approach gives them explosive upside, they must balance it with defensive responsibility, ensuring they sprint back, protect the paint, and avoid giving Denver easy looks inside. Bench production could swing the outcome: Memphis’s depth must bring energy without sacrificing structure, while Denver’s second unit must stabilize the floor, maintain composure, and prevent momentum leaks. Emotionally, this game demands opposite but equally important approaches—Denver must remain calm, patient, and insulated from crowd surges, while Memphis must channel home-court electricity into focused aggression rather than panicked or hurried decisions. Ultimately, the matchup likely turns on which team dictates rhythm and possessions; if the Nuggets control pace, dominate boards, and minimize turnovers, they should enforce their system and handle the road environment, but if the Grizzlies succeed in speeding Denver up, create chaos, convert transition chances, and sustain energy runs, the home crowd could turn this into a far more competitive matchup with genuine upset potential.
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Injury Update: Aaron Gordon sustained a right hamstring strain on Friday night against the Houston Rockets. He will be re-evaluated in four to six weeks. pic.twitter.com/X3ZrsLtZgt
— Denver Nuggets (@nuggets) November 23, 2025
Denver Nuggets NBA Preview
Denver enters this November 24 road matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies with the profile of a veteran contender that understands exactly what it takes to win—and cover—away from home: control the pace, protect possessions, dominate the boards, and quiet the crowd before Memphis can turn energy into tempo. For the Nuggets, everything begins with slowing the game down and refusing to get dragged into the Grizzlies’ preferred pace, which thrives on quick scoring bursts, early-clock attacks, and chaotic possessions that energize the home environment. Denver must execute with precision in the half court, using disciplined ball movement, well-timed cuts, and interior touches to generate efficient looks while simultaneously draining tempo and limiting Memphis’s transition windows. Protecting the ball is one of their highest priorities—turnovers in Memphis’s building often convert into instant momentum swings the Nuggets cannot afford. Denver’s guards must maintain poise against pressure, make deliberate reads, and avoid the rushed decisions that lead to runouts. Rebounding, particularly defensive rebounding, becomes another decisive element; Memphis feeds off second-chance opportunities and broken plays, so the Nuggets must finish possessions cleanly, box out with commitment, and force the Grizzlies to work through set defenses rather than benefiting from scramble situations.
Defensively, Denver must pack the paint, rotate with intention, and force Memphis into contested perimeter attempts, denying the downhill drives and transition threes that typically ignite the home crowd. Their bench must deliver stabilizing minutes—road matchups often hinge on whether the second unit maintains structure or surrenders momentum, and Denver cannot afford to let Memphis’s youthful depth gain rhythm in rotation minutes. Emotionally, the Nuggets must bring a veteran’s composure: ignoring noise, rejecting panic during Grizzlies scoring bursts, and sticking to their process rather than reacting impulsively. If Denver executes—dictating pace, securing rebounds, protecting possessions, and imposing their half-court identity—they can quiet the environment, control the game, and extend their strong ATS performance. But if they allow Memphis to speed them up, turn rebounds into transitions, or feed off turnovers and loose balls, the Nuggets risk being pulled into a style of game that neutralizes their experience and hands the Grizzlies the chaos advantage. Denver’s pathway is clear: stay steady, stay structured, and force Memphis to adapt rather than allowing the reverse.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Memphis Grizzlies NBA Preview
Memphis approaches this November 24 home matchup against the Denver Nuggets with a clear mission: transform their youthful energy, home-court momentum, and pace-driven identity into a disruptive force capable of unsettling Denver’s veteran structure and creating the kind of chaotic, high-tempo environment that pulls the Nuggets out of their comfort zone. For the Grizzlies, everything begins with pace—they must push the ball off every rebound, every deflection, and every dead-ball reset, forcing Denver into uncomfortable transition defense and denying them the ability to settle into the half-court game where the Nuggets excel. That means securing rebounds aggressively, sending multiple players to crash the glass, and converting defensive stops into instant acceleration, creating early-clock looks before Denver’s rotations can form. Memphis must commit to attacking downhill, leveraging their athleticism to collapse the Nuggets’ interior and generate kick-outs to shooters, rhythm layups, or second-chance putbacks that feed crowd energy and extend momentum. Defensively, the Grizzlies must balance aggression with discipline—closing off driving lanes, rotating quickly to shooters, and avoiding the types of fouls that gift Denver free points. Most importantly, Memphis must prevent Denver from turning the game into a slow, methodical possession battle; the Grizzlies must continually assert pressure in the passing lanes, crowd the ball, and challenge the Nuggets’ spacing without overextending into breakdowns.
Rebounding remains a vital battleground—if Memphis wins the offensive glass and creates second-chance possessions, they tilt control in their favor; if they fail to finish defensive stands, Denver will methodically wear them down. The Grizzlies’ bench must also deliver meaningful minutes, bringing relentless energy, attacking mismatches, and sustaining pace through rotations to ensure Denver cannot exploit fatigue or mismatches. Emotionally, Memphis must harness its home-court advantage with intelligence—feeding off crowd surges while maintaining enough composure to avoid rushed possessions or defensive lapses that experienced teams like Denver capitalize on. If the Grizzlies succeed in pushing tempo, winning the rebounding battle, forcing turnovers, and converting early opportunities, they can pull Denver into a style of game that negates their experience and gives Memphis a legitimate edge. But if they allow Denver to slow pace, dominate the boards, and impose their half-court precision, the Grizzlies risk losing control of the matchup in a building that thrives only when tempo and energy stay firmly on their side.
Back2️⃣Back Dubs 😤
— Memphis Grizzlies (@memgrizz) November 23, 2025
Back Ho〽️e on Monday 🎟️ https://t.co/svnym2iGhZ pic.twitter.com/ddVAFbXnJU
Denver vs Memphis Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Nuggets and Grizzlies play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at FedExForum in Nov almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Denver vs Memphis Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Nuggets and Grizzlies and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the linear correlation of factor emotional bettors often put on player performance factors between a Nuggets team going up against a possibly improved Grizzlies team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Denver vs Memphis picks, computer picks Nuggets vs Grizzlies, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 11/25 | LAC@LAL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v3
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| NBA | 11/25 | ORL@PHI | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
EXECUTIVE
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Denver Betting Trends
Denver is 6-3 against the spread this season, recording a 66.7 % cover rate.
Memphis Betting Trends
Memphis has gone 6-4 against the spread in their last 10 home games.
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Matchup Trends
Denver’s strong covering rate combined with their road reputation make them a tempting ATS choice, especially against a Memphis team that covers only 60 % of home games. However, Memphis’s home-court energy and tendency to outperform expectations at home suggest potential value in spotting them with the spread if they can harness that momentum early.
Denver vs. Memphis Game Info
Denver vs Memphis starts on November 24, 2025 at 9:00 PM EST.
Venue: FedExForum.
Spread: Memphis +7.5
Moneyline: Denver -294, Memphis +260
Over/Under: 233.5
Denver: (12-4) | Memphis: (6-11)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: V. Williams under 18.5 PTS+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Denver’s strong covering rate combined with their road reputation make them a tempting ATS choice, especially against a Memphis team that covers only 60 % of home games. However, Memphis’s home-court energy and tendency to outperform expectations at home suggest potential value in spotting them with the spread if they can harness that momentum early.
DEN trend: Denver is 6-3 against the spread this season, recording a 66.7 % cover rate.
MEM trend: Memphis has gone 6-4 against the spread in their last 10 home games.
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Denver vs. Memphis Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Denver vs Memphis trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
| DEN Moneyline | -294 |
|---|---|
| MEM Moneyline | +260 |
| DEN Spread | -7.5 |
| MEM Spread | +7.5 |
| Over / Under | 233.5 |
Denver vs Memphis Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Nov 26, 2025 5:10PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Boston Celtics
11/26/25 5:10PM
Pistons
Celtics
|
–
–
|
-130
+110
|
-1.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-105)
|
O 231 (-110)
U 231 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 7:10PM EST
New York Knicks
Charlotte Hornets
11/26/25 7:10PM
Knicks
Hornets
|
–
–
|
-250
+210
|
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
|
O 238.5 (-115)
U 238.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 7:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Toronto Raptors
11/26/25 7:40PM
Pacers
Raptors
|
–
–
|
+345
-470
|
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
|
O 234.5 (-110)
U 234.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 7:40PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Oklahoma City Thunder
11/26/25 7:40PM
Timberwolves
Thunder
|
–
–
|
+265
-330
|
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
|
O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 7:40PM EST
Milwaukee Bucks
Miami Heat
11/26/25 7:40PM
Bucks
Heat
|
–
–
|
+250
-300
|
+8 (-110)
-8 (-110)
|
O 237.5 (-115)
U 237.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 8:10PM EST
Memphis Grizzlies
New Orleans Pelicans
11/26/25 8:10PM
Grizzlies
Pelicans
|
–
–
|
-130
+110
|
-2 (-115)
+2 (-105)
|
O 235.5 (-115)
U 235.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 10:10PM EST
Phoenix Suns
Sacramento Kings
11/26/25 10:10PM
Suns
Kings
|
–
–
|
-180
+155
|
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
|
O 233.5 (-105)
U 233.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 10:10PM EST
San Antonio Spurs
Portland Trail Blazers
11/26/25 10:10PM
Spurs
Trail Blazers
|
–
–
|
-105
-115
|
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
|
O 239.5 (-110)
U 239.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 10:10PM EST
Houston Rockets
Golden State Warriors
11/26/25 10:10PM
Rockets
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+120
-140
|
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-105)
|
O 225 (-110)
U 225 (-110)
|
NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Denver Nuggets vs. Memphis Grizzlies on November 24, 2025 at FedExForum.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET@ATL | DET +1.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@ORL | ORL +3.5 | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@ATL | JALEN DUREN UNDER 22.5 PTS + ASSTS | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| BOS@BKN | MICHAEL PORTER JR UNDER 26.5 PTS + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@DET | DET -10.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| NY@MIA | NY +2.5 | 51.8% | 1 | WIN |
| LAC@PHI | LAC +5.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@PHI | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 STEALS & BLOCKS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| ORL@HOU | HOU -7.5 | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| POR@DAL | DAL +4.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| LAL@MIL | LAL -115 | 55.7% | 4 | WIN |
| CHA@MIL | MIL -9 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| POR@HOU | POR +8 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| POR@HOU | TARI EASON OVER 4.5 FG MADE | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| ATL@UTA | UTA +2.5 | 55.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| ATL@UTA | KYLE FILIPOWSKI OVER 7.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| NJ@CHI | JACK HUGHES UNDER 0.5 ASST | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@HOU | KEVIN DURANT OVER 4.5 REBOUNDS | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| GS@SA | GS +4 | 52.5% | 2 | WIN |
| MEM@BOS | MEM +7.5 | 56.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| BOS@PHI | PHI +1.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| IND@UTA | UTA +3 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| GS@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN UNDER 18.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@UTA | MIN -7.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIL@DAL | DAL +3 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| POR@MIA | POR -3.5 | 57.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| LAL@ATL | DYSON DANIELS OVER 2.5 STEALS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@MIL | CHI +4.5 | 55.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| DAL@MEM | MEM -4 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@ATL | TOR +118 | 48.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@MIA | OVER 235.5 | 54.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@PHX | PHX -135 | 58.9% | 7 | WIN |
| PHI@CLE | PHI +10.5 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIA@DEN | MIA +9.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@POR | POR +4.5 | 52.9% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@MEM | MEM +8.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@DET | UTA +10 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| NO@DAL | TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| ORL@ATL | ORL -3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIL@TOR | MIL +3.5 | 56.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@GS | STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@LAC | JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAL@POR | POR -2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@PHX | SA -5.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ORL@WAS | WAS +9 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@DET | DAL +8 | 58.7% | 8 | LOSS |
| NY@CHI | NY -4.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@PHI | BOS +1.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@CLE | TOR +6 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@POR | JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| WAS@OKC | WAS +15.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |