Spurs vs Suns Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Nov 23)
Updated: 2025-11-21T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The San Antonio Spurs travel to face the Phoenix Suns on November 23, 2025 in a matchup that pits San Antonio’s youth and rebuilding process against Phoenix’s established core and home-court advantage. With the Spurs seeking to continue their development while the Suns aim to protect home floor from an opponent that can play fast and energetic, this game may hinge on rebound battles, transition execution, and how each team handles late-game execution.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 23, 2025
Start Time: 9:00 PM EST
Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center
Suns Record: (10-6)
Spurs Record: (11-4)
OPENING ODDS
SA Moneyline: +130
PHX Moneyline: -143
SA Spread: +3
PHX Spread: -3.0
Over/Under: 234.5
SA
Betting Trends
- According to recent data, the Spurs have been roughly 50% against the spread in their games so far this season (with a record around 4-4-2).
PHX
Betting Trends
- The Suns have struggled at home in ATS terms, posting a 4-11 record against the spread at home this season.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Given Phoenix’s poor ATS record at home and San Antonio’s roughly even rate of covering as an underdog, there may be value in the Spurs covering or limiting the margin of defeat. The Suns’ discrepancy between home performance and expectations suggests that despite being favoured, they may have vulnerability in ATS terms—and with San Antonio improving, this matchup may present upside for the visiting side in the spread market.
SA vs. PHX
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Booker under 34.5 PTS+REB.
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San Antonio vs Phoenix Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 11/23/25
The November 23 matchup between the San Antonio Spurs and the Phoenix Suns brings together two teams at different phases of their competitive life cycles, creating a contrast of youth-driven volatility versus veteran structure that should shape the game’s rhythm, physicality, and overall execution. Phoenix enters at home with the clear expectation of asserting control, using its established stars, half-court scoring balance, and more polished system to dictate pace, protect the paint, and prevent San Antonio from turning this into a transition-tilted contest where the Spurs’ young legs can thrive. The Suns must begin by establishing offensive structure early—using disciplined ball movement, interior touches, and high-value perimeter looks to keep the Spurs’ defense rotating, while limiting turnovers that could fuel San Antonio’s fast-break opportunities. Phoenix’s ability to control the defensive boards will matter greatly, not only to keep the Spurs out of second-chance scoring situations but also to dictate the tempo by limiting total possessions and forcing San Antonio into more half-court execution, an area where the Suns hold a notable tactical advantage. Defensively, Phoenix must stay sharp on its rotations, deny straight-line drives, and protect the rim without overhelping, as San Antonio’s young roster is capable of generating rhythm if defensive breakdowns appear. For the Spurs, the path to competitiveness lies in disruption—pushing pace whenever possible, attacking early in possessions before Phoenix can set its shape, and crashing the offensive glass with energy to extend possessions and create scoring opportunities that bypass half-court stagnation. San Antonio must match Phoenix’s physicality on the boards, fight for every loose ball, and maintain defensive discipline, especially against the Suns’ veteran scorers who thrive on identifying mismatches and exploiting defensive hesitations.
Transition execution becomes a vital lever for the Spurs; they need to convert mistakes, rebounds, and long misses into immediate scoring thrusts to keep Phoenix from fully gripping control. On defense, San Antonio must commit to competing every possession—contesting shots, limiting interior touches, and rotating with urgency to challenge Phoenix’s pace of play, especially in pick-and-roll actions where the Suns typically find comfortable scoring windows. Emotionally, Phoenix must avoid the complacency that has contributed to its poor ATS performance at home this season, focusing on sustained possession discipline rather than relying solely on superior talent. San Antonio, meanwhile, must embrace its role as an underdog—playing freely but with structure, taking calculated risks, and refusing to allow Phoenix’s home-court energy to dictate the pace. The bench battle becomes another key factor: Phoenix’s depth must maintain stability and scoring pressure, while San Antonio’s second unit must inject energy, rebounding effort, and defensive intensity to prevent momentum swings. Ultimately, the matchup hinges on which team controls possessions: if Phoenix wins the rebounding battle, limits turnovers, and forces San Antonio into half-court sequences, they are positioned to control the night. If the Spurs generate pace, attack the offensive glass, and protect the ball well enough to avoid Phoenix’s structured dominance, they can keep the game tighter than the narrative suggests.
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You could say he's...defying gravity 😏 pic.twitter.com/bRO3jnI52w
— San Antonio Spurs (@spurs) November 22, 2025
San Antonio Spurs NBA Preview
San Antonio enters its November 23 road matchup in Phoenix with a clear and demanding blueprint: use youth, pace, and relentless effort to disrupt a more experienced Suns team that thrives when allowed to dictate tempo and execute in structured half-court sequences. For the Spurs, everything begins with pace—pushing the ball off defensive rebounds, turning long misses into sprint opportunities, and attacking early in the shot clock before Phoenix has a chance to anchor its defense in the paint. Their young roster must lean into its strengths by moving without hesitation, finding driving lanes, and forcing the Suns to defend laterally rather than vertically. Offensive rebounding becomes an essential element of their strategy; the Spurs must crash the glass with energy to generate second-chance points and force Phoenix into prolonged defensive stands, which can disrupt rhythm and create opportunities for confidence-building scores. Their shot selection should emphasize decisive drives, high-percentage looks, and balanced spacing rather than settling for contested jumpers that feed Phoenix’s transition game. Defensively, San Antonio must bring discipline and communication—protecting the paint, contesting mid-range and perimeter shots, and rotating quickly in pick-and-roll coverages to avoid giving Phoenix’s ball-handlers comfortable reads. Sprinting back on defense becomes non-negotiable; the Spurs cannot afford to let the Suns capitalize on early offense or mismatches created by slow recoveries.
They must also close possessions with strong defensive rebounding, as every surrendered offensive board risks turning into a Phoenix scoring burst that energizes the home crowd. The Spurs’ bench will play a large role in this matchup as well; the second unit must supply intensity, rebounding effort, and defensive commitment, preventing the game from slipping during rotation minutes. On the road, composure is critical—San Antonio must remain steady through inevitable Phoenix runs, focusing on process rather than rushing shots or abandoning structure under pressure. Emotionally, the Spurs should approach this game with purpose rather than intimidation, using underdog freedom to play aggressively and confidently. If they can generate pace, manufacture second-chance opportunities, win stretches of the rebounding battle, and protect possessions, they can pull the game into the type of contest that maximizes their athleticism and minimizes Phoenix’s structural edge. However, if they allow the Suns to control tempo, dominate the glass, and force San Antonio into slow, half-court possessions, the road challenge becomes far more steep. The Spurs’ success lies in sustaining pressure, executing with clarity, and refusing to allow Phoenix to turn the matchup into a veteran-controlled rhythm game.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Phoenix Suns NBA Preview
Phoenix enters its November 23 home matchup against San Antonio with a clear mandate: impose structure, dictate tempo, and use veteran experience to neutralize the Spurs’ youthful pace before it becomes a factor. The Suns must begin by establishing control in the half court, using crisp ball movement, steady playmaking, and purposeful interior touches to force the Spurs to defend deep into the shot clock. This approach not only maximizes Phoenix’s offensive strengths but also minimizes San Antonio’s ability to run off long rebounds or rushed attempts. Rebounding becomes a foundational priority—Phoenix must secure defensive boards with discipline to deny the Spurs second-chance opportunities and transition openings. On offense, the Suns should look to generate high-percentage looks early by attacking mismatches, using ball screens to create leverage, and spacing the floor to open driving lanes for their primary creators. Their perimeter shooters must stay ready, as San Antonio’s rotating defense can leave gaps that Phoenix is well equipped to exploit. Defensively, Phoenix must maintain sharp rotations, protect the paint with layered coverage, and avoid overhelping in ways that give the Spurs rhythm threes or easy dump-offs. Their pick-and-roll defense must stay disciplined—big men must show enough to deter drives while recovering quickly, and guards must fight through screens to prevent clean pull-up opportunities. Transition defense is equally essential: the Suns cannot allow San Antonio to find early scoring windows, as that is where the Spurs’ youthful roster gains confidence.
By sprinting back, setting early walls, and forcing the Spurs into half-court possessions, Phoenix can leverage its experience to control the game’s flow. The Suns’ bench also plays a key role; their second unit must maintain defensive intensity, hold rebounding standards, and generate clean offense without the drop-off that has sometimes plagued them at home. Avoiding lapses during these stretches will be crucial to preventing momentum swings. Emotionally and strategically, Phoenix must treat this matchup as an opportunity to correct their underwhelming ATS performance at home by focusing on consistency rather than expectation. The home crowd can be a valuable asset, but only if Phoenix channels that energy into disciplined execution rather than rushed or impulsive decisions. If the Suns control the glass, protect the ball, avoid stagnant offensive possessions, and sustain defensive discipline for all four quarters, they can limit San Antonio’s pace, wear down their young roster, and assert comfortable control. However, if they allow the Spurs to run freely, collect offensive rebounds, or string together transition bursts, the game becomes more volatile and reduces Phoenix’s structural advantages. The Suns’ path is straightforward but demanding: stay composed, stay connected, and make San Antonio play a mature, half-court game they are not yet fully equipped to win.
For those keeping track at home...
— Phoenix Suns (@Suns) November 22, 2025
Collin Gillespie vs Minnesota:
☄️ 20 PTS - season high
☄️ 4 3PM - tied career high
☄️ 7 REB
☄️ 4 AST
☄️ 2 STL
☄️ Game winner pic.twitter.com/eimye456qC
San Antonio vs Phoenix Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Spurs and Suns play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Mortgage Matchup Center in Nov rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
San Antonio vs Phoenix Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Spurs and Suns and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the growing factor emotional bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Spurs team going up against a possibly rested Suns team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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Below is our current AI San Antonio vs Phoenix picks, computer picks Spurs vs Suns, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 12/16 | SA@NY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
San Antonio Betting Trends
According to recent data, the Spurs have been roughly 50% against the spread in their games so far this season (with a record around 4-4-2).
Phoenix Betting Trends
The Suns have struggled at home in ATS terms, posting a 4-11 record against the spread at home this season.
Spurs vs. Suns Matchup Trends
Given Phoenix’s poor ATS record at home and San Antonio’s roughly even rate of covering as an underdog, there may be value in the Spurs covering or limiting the margin of defeat. The Suns’ discrepancy between home performance and expectations suggests that despite being favoured, they may have vulnerability in ATS terms—and with San Antonio improving, this matchup may present upside for the visiting side in the spread market.
San Antonio vs. Phoenix Game Info
San Antonio vs Phoenix starts on November 23, 2025 at 9:00 PM EST.
Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center.
Spread: Phoenix -3.0
Moneyline: San Antonio +130, Phoenix -143
Over/Under: 234.5
San Antonio: (11-4) | Phoenix: (10-6)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Booker under 34.5 PTS+REB.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Given Phoenix’s poor ATS record at home and San Antonio’s roughly even rate of covering as an underdog, there may be value in the Spurs covering or limiting the margin of defeat. The Suns’ discrepancy between home performance and expectations suggests that despite being favoured, they may have vulnerability in ATS terms—and with San Antonio improving, this matchup may present upside for the visiting side in the spread market.
SA trend: According to recent data, the Spurs have been roughly 50% against the spread in their games so far this season (with a record around 4-4-2).
PHX trend: The Suns have struggled at home in ATS terms, posting a 4-11 record against the spread at home this season.
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
San Antonio vs. Phoenix Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the San Antonio vs Phoenix trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
| SA Moneyline | +130 |
|---|---|
| PHX Moneyline | -143 |
| SA Spread | +3 |
| PHX Spread | -3.0 |
| Over / Under | 234.5 |
San Antonio vs Phoenix Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dec 17, 2025 8:10PM EST
Memphis Grizzlies
Minnesota Timberwolves
12/17/25 8:10PM
Grizzlies
Timberwolves
|
–
–
|
+240
-290
|
+8 (-110)
-8 (-110)
|
O 233 (-110)
U 233 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 17, 2025 8:10PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
Chicago Bulls
12/17/25 8:10PM
Cavaliers
Bulls
|
–
–
|
-200
+170
|
-5 (-110)
+5 (-110)
|
O 242.5 (-110)
U 242.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 8:10PM EST
Houston Rockets
New Orleans Pelicans
12/18/25 8:10PM
Rockets
Pelicans
|
–
–
|
-450
+350
|
-10.5 (-108)
+10.5 (-112)
|
O 235.5 (-110)
U 235.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 18, 2025 9:10PM EST
Los Angeles Lakers
Utah Jazz
12/18/25 9:10PM
Lakers
Jazz
|
–
–
|
-240
+198
|
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
|
O 241.5 (-115)
U 241.5 (-105)
|
NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers San Antonio Spurs vs. Phoenix Suns on November 23, 2025 at Mortgage Matchup Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS@POR | POR +4.5 | 53.6% | 2 | WIN |
| SAC@MIN | MIN -12.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@GS | GS -118 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@CHA | CHA +3 | 54.5% | 4 | PUSH |
| BKN@DAL | COOPER FLAGG OVER 9.5 REB + ASST | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| MIN@GS | JADEN MCDANIELS UNDER 19.5 PTS + REB | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@OKC | UNDER 224.5 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| SA@LAL | DEANDRE AYTON OVER 14.5 PTS + ASST | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@LAL | DEAARON FOX OVER 9.5 REB + ASST | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| NY@TOR | BRANDON INGRAM UNDER 9.5 REB + ASST | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@MIN | MIN -7.5 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| SAC@IND | ZACH LAVINE OVER 7.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| DEN@CHA | CHA +10.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| ORL@NY | NY -2 | 54.9% | 5 | WIN |
| SAC@MIA | ZACH LAVINE OVER 25.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MIL@DET | DET -11.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| LAL@BOS | LAL +8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIA@ORL | MIA +5.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| DAL@OKC | OKC -15 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@MIL | PHI -110 | 55.4% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MEM | LAC -124 | 56.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| DEN@ATL | DEN -4.5 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@NY | KEYONTE GEORGE UNDER 27.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 55.4% | 5 | WIN |
| UTA@BKN | UTA -5 | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| GS@PHI | UNDER 223.5 | 54.4% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@NY | KARL ANTHONY TOWNS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+ASST | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@NO | NO +12.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@BOS | NY +1.5 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@NO | JULIUS RANDLE OVER 27.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| MEM@SA | DEAARON FOX UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| HOU@UTA | ALPEREN SENGUN OVER 20.5 POINTS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| OKC@POR | POR +12 | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@NY | TOR +7.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| ORL@DET | DET -3 | 57.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| DET@BOS | BOS +3 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| ORL@PHI | PHI +4 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@LAL | LEBRON JAMES OVER 13.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIN@SAC | JULIUS RANDLE OVER 28.5 PTS + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@PHX | MIN -4.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| IND@CLE | CLE -13.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| POR@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@UTA | ISAIAH COLLIER OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIL | MIL +2.5 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| SAC@MEM | SAC +3.5 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@POR | JOSH GIDDEY OVER 1.5 STEALS + ASSTS | 53.2% | 3 | WIN |
| CHI@POR | MATAS BUZELIS OVER 20.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| HOU@CLE | HOU -116 | 55.4% | 5 | WIN |
| CHA@IND | CHA -116 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| DET@ATL | DET +1.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@ORL | ORL +3.5 | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@ATL | JALEN DUREN UNDER 22.5 PTS + ASSTS | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |