Grizzlies vs Mavericks Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Nov 22)

Updated: 2025-11-20T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Memphis Grizzlies visit the Dallas Mavericks on November 22, 2025, in what promises to be a compelling Western Conference matchup as Memphis looks to build on offensive fluency and Dallas tries to regain its footing early in the season. With Memphis having upset Dallas in recent matchups and Dallas dealing with inconsistency, the stage is set for a battle of tempo, transition execution, and structural adjustments from both sides.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Nov 22, 2025

Start Time: 9:30 PM EST​

Venue: American Airlines Center​

Mavericks Record: (5-12)

Grizzlies Record: (5-11)

OPENING ODDS

MEM Moneyline: +120

DAL Moneyline: -128

MEM Spread: +2.5

DAL Spread: -2.5

Over/Under: 226.5

MEM
Betting Trends

  • Against Dallas, the Grizzlies’ recent head-to-head record shows them earning wins but not reliably covering the spread; one data set lists them at a 20 % cover rate in the last five games versus Dallas.

DAL
Betting Trends

  • Historically, the Mavericks have a dominant head-to-head win record against Memphis, with some sources showing a moderate ATS win rate of about 46% in those matchups.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Given the Grizzlies’ recent success over the Mavericks but low cover rate, and Dallas’s moderate ATS history despite overall dominance, value may exist in Memphis covering a moderate spread rather than winning outright—or in Dallas winning but not covering. Additionally, recent games between these teams have gone under the total-points line more often than expected, suggesting the total might lean toward the “under” for this matchup.

MEM vs. DAL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Landale over 8.5 Points.

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Memphis vs Dallas Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 11/22/25

The November 22 matchup between the Memphis Grizzlies and the Dallas Mavericks brings together two Western Conference teams seeking definition, momentum, and consistency as the early-season landscape continues to settle, creating a compelling contrast in pacing, offensive identity, and structural discipline. Memphis enters this contest with a renewed sense of rhythm, having leaned heavily into improved ball movement, sharper spacing, and pace-driven attacks that have allowed their young core to generate more efficient scoring opportunities while reducing the predictability that plagued prior stretches. Their ability to push in transition, crash the offensive glass, and convert second-chance opportunities has become a defining factor in their recent success, and they arrive in Dallas determined to weaponize that blend of speed and physicality. Dallas, meanwhile, approaches the matchup with the weight of expectation after uneven outings that have raised questions about interior defense, rebounding discipline, and the cohesiveness of their half-court offense. While their roster remains talented, the Mavericks must reinforce defensive structure, limit straight-line drives, and execute more consistently in late-clock scenarios to avoid letting Memphis dictate tempo. Strategically, this game hinges on the battles of pace control, transition defense, and paint pressure. Memphis thrives when they can force Dallas into a reactive state—running off defensive rebounds, attacking gaps early, and pulling Dallas out of their structured sets through quick scoring bursts.

Dallas must counter by slowing possessions, protecting the ball, and turning the game into a half-court duel where their offensive precision and experience can shape the flow. Rebounding becomes pivotal, as Memphis has relied heavily on second-chance creation, and Dallas cannot afford lapses on the defensive glass that gift the Grizzlies extra scoring opportunities. Both teams must be disciplined in turnover management: Memphis needs to avoid giving Dallas easy transition buckets, while Dallas must prevent giveaways that fuel Memphis’s strength in the open court. Bench production further complicates the equation—Memphis’s supporting cast must continue providing defensive energy and scoring stability, while Dallas’s second unit must hold leads, avoid stagnant possessions, and maintain defensive integrity during staggered rotations. Emotionally, the Mavericks must use home-court energy to reinforce composure rather than allowing pressure to breed rushed shots or breakdowns, while the Grizzlies must maintain poise through runs, staying committed to their identity and not letting the road environment disrupt their rhythm. Ultimately, this matchup may be decided not by star power alone but by which team better executes its foundational principles: Memphis by imposing pace, winning the rebounding battle, applying downhill pressure, and generating turnovers; Dallas by controlling tempo, defending the paint, converting efficient half-court possessions, and leveraging home-court steadiness to neutralize Memphis’s bursts.

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Memphis Grizzlies NBA Preview

Memphis enters its November 22 road matchup in Dallas with the momentum of a team discovering its offensive rhythm and the understanding that success away from home demands discipline, pace-conscious execution, and a commitment to the physical, attacking style that has fueled their recent improvements. Their game plan must begin with intentional tempo—pushing the ball in transition off defensive rebounds, capitalizing on early offense before Dallas can set its half-court schemes, and using quick-hitting actions to exploit gaps in the Mavericks’ defense. The Grizzlies thrive when they force opponents to defend on the move, creating lanes for downhill drives, secondary cuts, and paint attacks that collapse defensive spacing and open perimeter opportunities. Central to this strategy is Memphis’s ability to dominate the offensive glass; their second-chance creation not only extends possessions but also frustrates structured defenses and increases the pressure on Dallas’s bigs to stay disciplined and secure the boards. Defensively, the Grizzlies must commit to protecting the interior, communicating through switches, and avoiding overhelping, which could leave Dallas’s shooters with open looks. Their transition defense must be sharp, sprinting back to cut off middle penetration and forcing Dallas into slower half-court execution where Memphis can apply physical on-ball pressure.

Limiting turnovers becomes essential, as careless possessions will fuel the Mavericks’ transition game and energize their home crowd. Memphis’s bench must deliver high-energy minutes—maintaining pace, defending without fouling, rebounding aggressively, and sustaining offensive flow so that the starters are not overburdened. Emotionally, the Grizzlies must play with poise, absorbing Dallas’s inevitable runs without losing structure, maintaining confidence through challenging stretches, and trusting their identity even when the environment gets loud. If Memphis can push tempo thoughtfully, dominate the rebounding battle, apply consistent rim pressure, minimize turnovers, and maintain defensive discipline, they have a clear path to keeping the pressure on Dallas and potentially controlling long stretches of the game. However, if they allow the Mavericks to dictate pace, force Memphis into stagnant half-court sets, or exploit defensive lapses created by missed rotations or overaggressive help, the road challenge may magnify every error and shift momentum quickly.

The Memphis Grizzlies visit the Dallas Mavericks on November 22, 2025, in what promises to be a compelling Western Conference matchup as Memphis looks to build on offensive fluency and Dallas tries to regain its footing early in the season. With Memphis having upset Dallas in recent matchups and Dallas dealing with inconsistency, the stage is set for a battle of tempo, transition execution, and structural adjustments from both sides. Memphis vs Dallas AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Nov 22. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Dallas Mavericks NBA Preview

Dallas enters its November 22 home matchup against Memphis with the awareness that defending their floor will require a return to structural discipline, sharper rebounding habits, and more consistent half-court execution to counter a Grizzlies team that thrives on pace, offensive rebounding, and downhill pressure. The Mavericks must begin by establishing control of the tempo—slowing the game into their preferred rhythm, using deliberate offensive sets, and refusing to allow Memphis to turn rebounds or long misses into transition bursts. Their offense must emphasize purposeful ball movement, strong screening actions, and decisive drives that collapse the defense and create clean kick-outs, rather than leaning too heavily on isolation possessions that can stagnate when Memphis ramps up on-ball pressure. Inside, Dallas’s bigs must impose a physical presence by boxing out assertively, contesting every shot at the rim, and securing defensive rebounds to deny the Grizzlies the second-chance opportunities that often fuel their momentum. Defensively, the Mavericks need to stay connected and communicate through Memphis’s pick-and-roll actions, ensuring that switches are intentional, gaps are minimized, and closeouts are controlled to prevent open perimeter looks.

Their transition defense must be crisp—sprinting back, protecting the middle of the floor, and cutting off Memphis’s tendency to attack early in the shot clock. Bench contributions will play a significant role in maintaining stability; Dallas’s second unit must avoid defensive lapses, secure rebounds, and contribute scoring that keeps Memphis from building confidence during starter rest periods. Emotionally, the Mavericks must channel home-court energy into steady execution rather than rushed decisions, trusting their structure to withstand Memphis’s inevitable scoring runs and maintaining composure through the ebbs and flows of the game. If Dallas can control the glass, dictate the pace, execute clean offensive possessions, defend the paint with commitment, and avoid turnover-driven momentum swings, they can leverage their home environment to impose their identity and contain Memphis’s transition-oriented attack. But if they allow the Grizzlies to speed the game up, generate offensive rebounds, or exploit defensive miscommunications, the home-court advantage may diminish quickly, making discipline and structural sharpness the foundation of Dallas’s path to success.

Memphis vs Dallas Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Grizzlies and Mavericks play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at American Airlines Center in Nov can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Landale over 8.5 Points.

Memphis vs Dallas Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Grizzlies and Mavericks and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most fixated on the growing factor human bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Grizzlies team going up against a possibly unhealthy Mavericks team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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Below is our current AI Memphis vs Dallas picks, computer picks Grizzlies vs Mavericks, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NBA 12/16 SA@NY UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Memphis Betting Trends

Against Dallas, the Grizzlies’ recent head-to-head record shows them earning wins but not reliably covering the spread; one data set lists them at a 20 % cover rate in the last five games versus Dallas.

Dallas Betting Trends

Historically, the Mavericks have a dominant head-to-head win record against Memphis, with some sources showing a moderate ATS win rate of about 46% in those matchups.

Grizzlies vs. Mavericks Matchup Trends

Given the Grizzlies’ recent success over the Mavericks but low cover rate, and Dallas’s moderate ATS history despite overall dominance, value may exist in Memphis covering a moderate spread rather than winning outright—or in Dallas winning but not covering. Additionally, recent games between these teams have gone under the total-points line more often than expected, suggesting the total might lean toward the “under” for this matchup.

Memphis vs. Dallas Game Info

November 22, 2025 • 9:30 PM EST • American Airlines Center

Memphis vs. Dallas Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Memphis vs Dallas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Memphis vs Dallas

Memphis vs Dallas Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Dec 17, 2025 8:10PM EST
Memphis Grizzlies
Minnesota Timberwolves
12/17/25 8:10PM
Grizzlies
Timberwolves
+230
-294
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
Dec 17, 2025 8:10PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
Chicago Bulls
12/17/25 8:10PM
Cavaliers
Bulls
-222
+178
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
O 243 (-110)
U 243 (-110)
Dec 18, 2025 9:10PM EST
Los Angeles Lakers
Utah Jazz
12/18/25 9:10PM
Lakers
Jazz
-240
+198
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
O 241.5 (-115)
U 241.5 (-105)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks on November 22, 2025 at American Airlines Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

LEAN %WIN UNITS RESULT
GS@POR POR +4.5 53.6% 2 WIN
SAC@MIN MIN -12.5 54.5% 4 WIN
MIN@GS GS -118 56.4% 6 LOSS
CHI@CHA CHA +3 54.5% 4 PUSH
BKN@DAL COOPER FLAGG OVER 9.5 REB + ASST 55.7% 5 WIN
MIN@GS JADEN MCDANIELS UNDER 19.5 PTS + REB 54.2% 4 LOSS
PHX@OKC UNDER 224.5 53.1% 3 LOSS
SA@LAL DEANDRE AYTON OVER 14.5 PTS + ASST 54.1% 4 LOSS
SA@LAL DEAARON FOX OVER 9.5 REB + ASST 55.3% 5 LOSS
NY@TOR BRANDON INGRAM UNDER 9.5 REB + ASST 54.1% 4 LOSS
PHX@MIN MIN -7.5 55.2% 4 LOSS
SAC@IND ZACH LAVINE OVER 7.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 55.1% 5 LOSS
DEN@CHA CHA +10.5 55.2% 5 WIN
ORL@NY NY -2 54.9% 5 WIN
SAC@MIA ZACH LAVINE OVER 25.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS + ASSTS 55.2% 5 WIN
MIL@DET DET -11.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAL@BOS LAL +8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
MIA@ORL MIA +5.5 56.8% 6 WIN
DAL@OKC OKC -15 56.6% 6 WIN
PHI@MIL PHI -110 55.4% 5 WIN
LAC@MEM LAC -124 56.9% 3 LOSS
DEN@ATL DEN -4.5 54.8% 4 LOSS
UTA@NY KEYONTE GEORGE UNDER 27.5 POINTS + ASSTS 55.4% 5 WIN
UTA@BKN UTA -5 53.5% 3 WIN
GS@PHI UNDER 223.5 54.4% 3 WIN
CHA@NY KARL ANTHONY TOWNS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+ASST 54.2% 4 LOSS
MIN@NO NO +12.5 54.6% 4 WIN
NY@BOS NY +1.5 55.0% 4 LOSS
MIN@NO JULIUS RANDLE OVER 27.5 POINTS + ASSTS 53.4% 3 LOSS
MEM@SA DEAARON FOX UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS 55.2% 5 WIN
HOU@UTA ALPEREN SENGUN OVER 20.5 POINTS 54.4% 4 WIN
OKC@POR POR +12 53.6% 3 WIN
TOR@NY TOR +7.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
ORL@DET DET -3 57.7% 7 LOSS
DET@BOS BOS +3 54.5% 4 WIN
ORL@PHI PHI +4 53.6% 3 LOSS
LAC@LAL LEBRON JAMES OVER 13.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 56.6% 6 LOSS
MIN@SAC JULIUS RANDLE OVER 28.5 PTS + ASSTS 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@PHX MIN -4.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
IND@CLE CLE -13.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
POR@GS BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE 55.2% 5 LOSS
OKC@UTA ISAIAH COLLIER OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS 54.4% 4 WIN
PHI@MIL MIL +2.5 53.6% 3 LOSS
SAC@MEM SAC +3.5 54.2% 4 LOSS
CHI@POR JOSH GIDDEY OVER 1.5 STEALS + ASSTS 53.2% 3 WIN
CHI@POR MATAS BUZELIS OVER 20.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS + ASSTS 54.1% 4 LOSS
HOU@CLE HOU -116 55.4% 5 WIN
CHA@IND CHA -116 56.8% 6 LOSS
DET@ATL DET +1.5 54.3% 4 WIN
GS@ORL ORL +3.5 57.4% 7 WIN
DET@ATL JALEN DUREN UNDER 22.5 PTS + ASSTS 55.1% 5 LOSS