Memphis vs Dallas Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Nov 22)
Updated: 2025-11-20T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Memphis Grizzlies visit the Dallas Mavericks on November 22, 2025, in what promises to be a compelling Western Conference matchup as Memphis looks to build on offensive fluency and Dallas tries to regain its footing early in the season. With Memphis having upset Dallas in recent matchups and Dallas dealing with inconsistency, the stage is set for a battle of tempo, transition execution, and structural adjustments from both sides.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 22, 2025
Start Time: 9:30 PM EST
Venue: American Airlines Center
Mavericks Record: (5-12)
Grizzlies Record: (5-11)
OPENING ODDS
MEM Moneyline: +120
DAL Moneyline: -128
MEM Spread: +2.5
DAL Spread: -2.5
Over/Under: 226.5
MEM
Betting Trends
- Against Dallas, the Grizzlies’ recent head-to-head record shows them earning wins but not reliably covering the spread; one data set lists them at a 20 % cover rate in the last five games versus Dallas.
DAL
Betting Trends
- Historically, the Mavericks have a dominant head-to-head win record against Memphis, with some sources showing a moderate ATS win rate of about 46% in those matchups.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Given the Grizzlies’ recent success over the Mavericks but low cover rate, and Dallas’s moderate ATS history despite overall dominance, value may exist in Memphis covering a moderate spread rather than winning outright—or in Dallas winning but not covering. Additionally, recent games between these teams have gone under the total-points line more often than expected, suggesting the total might lean toward the “under” for this matchup.
MEM vs. DAL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Landale over 8.5 Points.
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Memphis vs Dallas Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 11/22/25
The November 22 matchup between the Memphis Grizzlies and the Dallas Mavericks brings together two Western Conference teams seeking definition, momentum, and consistency as the early-season landscape continues to settle, creating a compelling contrast in pacing, offensive identity, and structural discipline. Memphis enters this contest with a renewed sense of rhythm, having leaned heavily into improved ball movement, sharper spacing, and pace-driven attacks that have allowed their young core to generate more efficient scoring opportunities while reducing the predictability that plagued prior stretches. Their ability to push in transition, crash the offensive glass, and convert second-chance opportunities has become a defining factor in their recent success, and they arrive in Dallas determined to weaponize that blend of speed and physicality. Dallas, meanwhile, approaches the matchup with the weight of expectation after uneven outings that have raised questions about interior defense, rebounding discipline, and the cohesiveness of their half-court offense. While their roster remains talented, the Mavericks must reinforce defensive structure, limit straight-line drives, and execute more consistently in late-clock scenarios to avoid letting Memphis dictate tempo. Strategically, this game hinges on the battles of pace control, transition defense, and paint pressure. Memphis thrives when they can force Dallas into a reactive state—running off defensive rebounds, attacking gaps early, and pulling Dallas out of their structured sets through quick scoring bursts.
Dallas must counter by slowing possessions, protecting the ball, and turning the game into a half-court duel where their offensive precision and experience can shape the flow. Rebounding becomes pivotal, as Memphis has relied heavily on second-chance creation, and Dallas cannot afford lapses on the defensive glass that gift the Grizzlies extra scoring opportunities. Both teams must be disciplined in turnover management: Memphis needs to avoid giving Dallas easy transition buckets, while Dallas must prevent giveaways that fuel Memphis’s strength in the open court. Bench production further complicates the equation—Memphis’s supporting cast must continue providing defensive energy and scoring stability, while Dallas’s second unit must hold leads, avoid stagnant possessions, and maintain defensive integrity during staggered rotations. Emotionally, the Mavericks must use home-court energy to reinforce composure rather than allowing pressure to breed rushed shots or breakdowns, while the Grizzlies must maintain poise through runs, staying committed to their identity and not letting the road environment disrupt their rhythm. Ultimately, this matchup may be decided not by star power alone but by which team better executes its foundational principles: Memphis by imposing pace, winning the rebounding battle, applying downhill pressure, and generating turnovers; Dallas by controlling tempo, defending the paint, converting efficient half-court possessions, and leveraging home-court steadiness to neutralize Memphis’s bursts.
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Platinum night for @Vincentwiliams 🐻 💿
— Memphis Grizzlies (@memgrizz) November 21, 2025
Vince set a new career-high with 15 assists in last night’s win over the Kings 🔥 pic.twitter.com/kVEY2xHjnj
Memphis Grizzlies NBA Preview
Memphis enters its November 22 road matchup in Dallas with the momentum of a team discovering its offensive rhythm and the understanding that success away from home demands discipline, pace-conscious execution, and a commitment to the physical, attacking style that has fueled their recent improvements. Their game plan must begin with intentional tempo—pushing the ball in transition off defensive rebounds, capitalizing on early offense before Dallas can set its half-court schemes, and using quick-hitting actions to exploit gaps in the Mavericks’ defense. The Grizzlies thrive when they force opponents to defend on the move, creating lanes for downhill drives, secondary cuts, and paint attacks that collapse defensive spacing and open perimeter opportunities. Central to this strategy is Memphis’s ability to dominate the offensive glass; their second-chance creation not only extends possessions but also frustrates structured defenses and increases the pressure on Dallas’s bigs to stay disciplined and secure the boards. Defensively, the Grizzlies must commit to protecting the interior, communicating through switches, and avoiding overhelping, which could leave Dallas’s shooters with open looks. Their transition defense must be sharp, sprinting back to cut off middle penetration and forcing Dallas into slower half-court execution where Memphis can apply physical on-ball pressure.
Limiting turnovers becomes essential, as careless possessions will fuel the Mavericks’ transition game and energize their home crowd. Memphis’s bench must deliver high-energy minutes—maintaining pace, defending without fouling, rebounding aggressively, and sustaining offensive flow so that the starters are not overburdened. Emotionally, the Grizzlies must play with poise, absorbing Dallas’s inevitable runs without losing structure, maintaining confidence through challenging stretches, and trusting their identity even when the environment gets loud. If Memphis can push tempo thoughtfully, dominate the rebounding battle, apply consistent rim pressure, minimize turnovers, and maintain defensive discipline, they have a clear path to keeping the pressure on Dallas and potentially controlling long stretches of the game. However, if they allow the Mavericks to dictate pace, force Memphis into stagnant half-court sets, or exploit defensive lapses created by missed rotations or overaggressive help, the road challenge may magnify every error and shift momentum quickly.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Dallas Mavericks NBA Preview
Dallas enters its November 22 home matchup against Memphis with the awareness that defending their floor will require a return to structural discipline, sharper rebounding habits, and more consistent half-court execution to counter a Grizzlies team that thrives on pace, offensive rebounding, and downhill pressure. The Mavericks must begin by establishing control of the tempo—slowing the game into their preferred rhythm, using deliberate offensive sets, and refusing to allow Memphis to turn rebounds or long misses into transition bursts. Their offense must emphasize purposeful ball movement, strong screening actions, and decisive drives that collapse the defense and create clean kick-outs, rather than leaning too heavily on isolation possessions that can stagnate when Memphis ramps up on-ball pressure. Inside, Dallas’s bigs must impose a physical presence by boxing out assertively, contesting every shot at the rim, and securing defensive rebounds to deny the Grizzlies the second-chance opportunities that often fuel their momentum. Defensively, the Mavericks need to stay connected and communicate through Memphis’s pick-and-roll actions, ensuring that switches are intentional, gaps are minimized, and closeouts are controlled to prevent open perimeter looks.
Their transition defense must be crisp—sprinting back, protecting the middle of the floor, and cutting off Memphis’s tendency to attack early in the shot clock. Bench contributions will play a significant role in maintaining stability; Dallas’s second unit must avoid defensive lapses, secure rebounds, and contribute scoring that keeps Memphis from building confidence during starter rest periods. Emotionally, the Mavericks must channel home-court energy into steady execution rather than rushed decisions, trusting their structure to withstand Memphis’s inevitable scoring runs and maintaining composure through the ebbs and flows of the game. If Dallas can control the glass, dictate the pace, execute clean offensive possessions, defend the paint with commitment, and avoid turnover-driven momentum swings, they can leverage their home environment to impose their identity and contain Memphis’s transition-oriented attack. But if they allow the Grizzlies to speed the game up, generate offensive rebounds, or exploit defensive miscommunications, the home-court advantage may diminish quickly, making discipline and structural sharpness the foundation of Dallas’s path to success.
P.J. got the squad HYPED🤯 pic.twitter.com/qTwiil9VtG
— Dallas Mavericks (@dallasmavs) November 22, 2025
Memphis vs Dallas Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Grizzlies and Mavericks play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at American Airlines Center in Nov almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Memphis vs Dallas Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Grizzlies and Mavericks and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the growing emphasis emotional bettors tend to put on Memphis’s strength factors between a Grizzlies team going up against a possibly unhealthy Mavericks team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI Memphis vs Dallas picks, computer picks Grizzlies vs Mavericks, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NBA | 11/25 | LAC@LAL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v3
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| NBA | 11/25 | ORL@PHI | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
EXECUTIVE
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Memphis Betting Trends
Against Dallas, the Grizzlies’ recent head-to-head record shows them earning wins but not reliably covering the spread; one data set lists them at a 20 % cover rate in the last five games versus Dallas.
Dallas Betting Trends
Historically, the Mavericks have a dominant head-to-head win record against Memphis, with some sources showing a moderate ATS win rate of about 46% in those matchups.
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks Matchup Trends
Given the Grizzlies’ recent success over the Mavericks but low cover rate, and Dallas’s moderate ATS history despite overall dominance, value may exist in Memphis covering a moderate spread rather than winning outright—or in Dallas winning but not covering. Additionally, recent games between these teams have gone under the total-points line more often than expected, suggesting the total might lean toward the “under” for this matchup.
Memphis vs. Dallas Game Info
Memphis vs Dallas starts on November 22, 2025 at 9:30 PM EST.
Venue: American Airlines Center.
Spread: Dallas -2.5
Moneyline: Memphis +120, Dallas -128
Over/Under: 226.5
Memphis: (5-11) | Dallas: (5-12)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Landale over 8.5 Points.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Given the Grizzlies’ recent success over the Mavericks but low cover rate, and Dallas’s moderate ATS history despite overall dominance, value may exist in Memphis covering a moderate spread rather than winning outright—or in Dallas winning but not covering. Additionally, recent games between these teams have gone under the total-points line more often than expected, suggesting the total might lean toward the “under” for this matchup.
MEM trend: Against Dallas, the Grizzlies’ recent head-to-head record shows them earning wins but not reliably covering the spread; one data set lists them at a 20 % cover rate in the last five games versus Dallas.
DAL trend: Historically, the Mavericks have a dominant head-to-head win record against Memphis, with some sources showing a moderate ATS win rate of about 46% in those matchups.
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Memphis vs. Dallas Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Memphis vs Dallas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
| MEM Moneyline | +120 |
|---|---|
| DAL Moneyline | -128 |
| MEM Spread | +2.5 |
| DAL Spread | -2.5 |
| Over / Under | 226.5 |
Memphis vs Dallas Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Nov 26, 2025 5:10PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Boston Celtics
11/26/25 5:10PM
Pistons
Celtics
|
–
–
|
-150
+130
|
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
|
O 231 (-110)
U 231 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 7:10PM EST
New York Knicks
Charlotte Hornets
11/26/25 7:10PM
Knicks
Hornets
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–
–
|
-260
+215
|
-6.5 (-112)
+6.5 (-108)
|
O 241 (-110)
U 241 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 7:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Toronto Raptors
11/26/25 7:40PM
Pacers
Raptors
|
–
–
|
+355
-490
|
+10.5 (-105)
-10.5 (-115)
|
O 235 (-110)
U 235 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 7:40PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Oklahoma City Thunder
11/26/25 7:40PM
Timberwolves
Thunder
|
–
–
|
+280
-350
|
+8.5 (-108)
-8.5 (-112)
|
O 227 (-110)
U 227 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 7:40PM EST
Milwaukee Bucks
Miami Heat
11/26/25 7:40PM
Bucks
Heat
|
–
–
|
+267
-330
|
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
|
O 237.5 (-110)
U 237.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 8:10PM EST
Memphis Grizzlies
New Orleans Pelicans
11/26/25 8:10PM
Grizzlies
Pelicans
|
–
–
|
-155
+135
|
-4 (-105)
+4 (-115)
|
O 235 (-110)
U 235 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 10:10PM EST
Phoenix Suns
Sacramento Kings
11/26/25 10:10PM
Suns
Kings
|
–
–
|
-180
+157
|
-4.5 (-107)
+4.5 (-113)
|
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 10:10PM EST
San Antonio Spurs
Portland Trail Blazers
11/26/25 10:10PM
Spurs
Trail Blazers
|
–
–
|
-105
-115
|
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
|
O 239.5 (-110)
U 239.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 10:10PM EST
Houston Rockets
Golden State Warriors
11/26/25 10:10PM
Rockets
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+120
-140
|
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
|
O 223.5 (-110)
U 223.5 (-110)
|
NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks on November 22, 2025 at American Airlines Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET@ATL | DET +1.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@ORL | ORL +3.5 | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@ATL | JALEN DUREN UNDER 22.5 PTS + ASSTS | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| BOS@BKN | MICHAEL PORTER JR UNDER 26.5 PTS + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@DET | DET -10.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| NY@MIA | NY +2.5 | 51.8% | 1 | WIN |
| LAC@PHI | LAC +5.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@PHI | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 STEALS & BLOCKS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| ORL@HOU | HOU -7.5 | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| POR@DAL | DAL +4.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| LAL@MIL | LAL -115 | 55.7% | 4 | WIN |
| CHA@MIL | MIL -9 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| POR@HOU | POR +8 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| POR@HOU | TARI EASON OVER 4.5 FG MADE | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| ATL@UTA | UTA +2.5 | 55.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| ATL@UTA | KYLE FILIPOWSKI OVER 7.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| NJ@CHI | JACK HUGHES UNDER 0.5 ASST | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@HOU | KEVIN DURANT OVER 4.5 REBOUNDS | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| GS@SA | GS +4 | 52.5% | 2 | WIN |
| MEM@BOS | MEM +7.5 | 56.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| BOS@PHI | PHI +1.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| IND@UTA | UTA +3 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| GS@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN UNDER 18.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@UTA | MIN -7.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIL@DAL | DAL +3 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| POR@MIA | POR -3.5 | 57.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| LAL@ATL | DYSON DANIELS OVER 2.5 STEALS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@MIL | CHI +4.5 | 55.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| DAL@MEM | MEM -4 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@ATL | TOR +118 | 48.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@MIA | OVER 235.5 | 54.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@PHX | PHX -135 | 58.9% | 7 | WIN |
| PHI@CLE | PHI +10.5 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIA@DEN | MIA +9.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@POR | POR +4.5 | 52.9% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@MEM | MEM +8.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@DET | UTA +10 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| NO@DAL | TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| ORL@ATL | ORL -3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIL@TOR | MIL +3.5 | 56.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@GS | STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@LAC | JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAL@POR | POR -2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@PHX | SA -5.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ORL@WAS | WAS +9 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@DET | DAL +8 | 58.7% | 8 | LOSS |
| NY@CHI | NY -4.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@PHI | BOS +1.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@CLE | TOR +6 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@POR | JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| WAS@OKC | WAS +15.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |