Atlanta vs New Orleans Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Nov 22)

Updated: 2025-11-20T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Atlanta Hawks are set to visit the New Orleans Pelicans on November 22 , 2025 at 7:00 PM EST, a matchup that pairs a Hawks team in pursuit of identity and consistency with a Pelicans squad at home trying to regain traction. With Atlanta’s defense showing signs of improvement and New Orleans still searching for stability on both ends of the floor, this game presents a timely opportunity for either team to assert an early-season statement.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Nov 22, 2025

Start Time: 8:00 PM EST​

Venue: Smoothie King Center​

Pelicans Record: (2-14)

Hawks Record: (9-7)

OPENING ODDS

ATL Moneyline: -333

NO Moneyline: +280

ATL Spread: -8.5

NO Spread: +8.5

Over/Under: 230.5

ATL
Betting Trends

  • Atlanta comes into the game having a moderate record against the spread, reflecting an average cover rate that suggests they don’t win by large margins but rarely collapse outright.

NO
Betting Trends

  • New Orleans has been below-average in terms of covering as a home team, which points toward questions around their consistency, especially in games where they are expected to perform at home.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Given the Pelicans’ weaker ATS home performance and Atlanta’s manageable away cover rate, value may lean toward Atlanta covering or at least keeping the game closer than some expect. Additionally, because both teams show offensive upside but defensive inconsistencies, the total-points line might tilt toward the “over” if pace accelerates early and lead changes occur.

ATL vs. NO
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Queen under 27.5 PTS+REB+AST.

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Atlanta vs New Orleans Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 11/22/25

The November 22 matchup between the Atlanta Hawks and the New Orleans Pelicans arrives as an early-season checkpoint for two franchises searching for rhythm, identity, and consistency, with Atlanta aiming to translate flashes of defensive improvement into sustained performance and New Orleans looking to leverage home-court energy to stabilize a rocky start marked by uneven defensive stretches and unreliable margins. For Atlanta, the path begins with pace—using their ability to run off rebounds, push transition opportunities, create spacing with quick ball movement, and turn early offense into high-percentage looks that prevent New Orleans from setting its defense. Their offense works best when supported by strong rebounding, timely rotations, and interior pressure rather than relying solely on perimeter attempts, and they must approach this contest with intention, attacking the rim, generating second-chance opportunities, and avoiding the stagnant half-court sets that have hindered them in previous games. Defensively, the Hawks must commit fully to closing lanes, contesting drives, protecting the paint, and maintaining discipline through New Orleans’ spurts of momentum, especially given that the Pelicans thrive on energy plays created from offensive rebounds and quick-hit transition actions. New Orleans, meanwhile, approaches this matchup knowing that their margin patterns at home have been weak and their consistency hinges on the ability to defend with structure and urgency; the Pelicans must protect the paint, rebound aggressively, and contest Atlanta’s spacing-driven offense without breaking down on the interior. Their scoring potential is undeniable, but they must avoid rushed possessions, minimize turnovers, and attack the rim with purpose to force Atlanta into reactive defensive positions.

The glass battle becomes a defining hinge point—Atlanta tends to generate rhythm when they control rebounds and push pace, while New Orleans gains traction when they secure second-chance looks and extend possessions. Turnovers present another critical layer: the Hawks excel when they can convert opponent mistakes into effortless transition scoring, while the Pelicans must avoid careless passes that feed directly into Atlanta’s strengths. Special teams in NBA terms translate into lineup management and bench performance—Atlanta’s second unit must sustain defensive intensity and avoid surrendering momentum, while New Orleans relies heavily on their role players to maintain structure, provide hustle plays, and stabilize possessions that could otherwise swing wildly. Emotionally, New Orleans must transform home energy into composure, not overextension, using the crowd to fuel disciplined defensive stands and confident offensive sequences. Atlanta must absorb the road environment, maintain poise during Pelicans runs, and assert their own tempo rather than reacting to New Orleans’ pace. Ultimately, the battle comes down to identity execution: whether Atlanta can dictate the game through pace, rebounding, transition structure, and consistent defensive activity, or whether New Orleans can impose its will at home by controlling the glass, slowing Atlanta’s transition engine, attacking the paint, and sustaining cohesive team defense across all rotations.

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Atlanta Hawks NBA Preview

Atlanta enters its November 22 road matchup in New Orleans with the understanding that their success hinges on discipline, pace control, and a commitment to playing to their strengths without being pulled into the Pelicans’ unpredictable momentum swings, and the Hawks must approach this contest with sharp execution, resilient defense, and balanced offensive pressure. Their roadmap begins with transition—Atlanta operates at its best when it can rebound cleanly, push the ball up the floor with purpose, and generate early offense before the opponent settles into half-court structure, and they must lean into that identity against a New Orleans defense that struggles when forced to rotate quickly or protect the rim in semi-transition scenarios. The Hawks must support the ball-handler with proper spacing, drive the lane with intent, and make decisive reads that lead to high-percentage looks rather than relying on contested jumpers or stagnant isolations that allow the Pelicans to neutralize their pace advantage. Defensively, Atlanta must remain fully committed to protecting the paint, closing out on shooters under control, limiting dribble penetration, and securing defensive rebounds to prevent New Orleans from extending possessions or building crowd-driven momentum through second-chance scoring. Turnovers represent a major pressure point in this matchup—Atlanta must avoid careless passes, rushed decisions, or over-dribbling that gift New Orleans fast-break opportunities, as the Pelicans’ best runs often start with opponent mistakes rather than half-court creation.

Atlanta’s rotation pieces must play a disciplined role: the bench must defend with energy, rebound with urgency, maintain composure, and avoid letting New Orleans dictate tempo during the substitution windows that often swing games on the road. Their bigs must establish a presence on the interior by contesting shots, boxing out consistently, and communicating well in pick-and-roll situations to prevent breakdowns that allow the Pelicans to create mismatches or collapse the lane. Emotionally, the Hawks must stay even-keeled—absorbing New Orleans’ inevitable bursts of home energy, weathering scoring spurts without panic, and maintaining confidence in their system rather than deviating into rushed or improvisational play. Their success hinges on their ability to impose pace, maintain steady rebounding effort, avoid turnover-driven momentum shifts, and convert quality offensive looks through balanced scoring. If Atlanta executes with discipline, controls the glass, leverages transition advantages, and maintains defensive integrity across all rotations, they have a clear path to keeping the game tight or even seizing control despite the hostile environment. However, if they allow New Orleans to dominate second-chance opportunities, force them into turnover-heavy stretches, or dictate tempo through emotional surges and defensive pressure, the road challenge may magnify every lapse and make consistency far harder to maintain.

The Atlanta Hawks are set to visit the New Orleans Pelicans on November 22 , 2025 at 7:00 PM EST, a matchup that pairs a Hawks team in pursuit of identity and consistency with a Pelicans squad at home trying to regain traction. With Atlanta’s defense showing signs of improvement and New Orleans still searching for stability on both ends of the floor, this game presents a timely opportunity for either team to assert an early-season statement. Atlanta vs New Orleans AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Nov 22. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New Orleans Pelicans NBA Preview

New Orleans approaches its November 22 home matchup against Atlanta with the essential understanding that their path to a complete performance requires discipline, defensive cohesion, and a commitment to leveraging home-court energy without allowing it to spill into rushed decision-making or emotional overextensions, and the Pelicans must begin by asserting themselves physically and structurally to prevent Atlanta from dictating tempo. Their first priority is controlling the glass—winning rebounds on both ends, limiting Atlanta’s second-chance opportunities, and using strong box-outs and timely help to prevent the Hawks from generating easy transition looks off long misses. Offensively, New Orleans must push with purpose rather than speed alone, attacking the paint through driving lanes, using interior touches to collapse Atlanta’s defense, and creating clean kick-outs and high-percentage shots instead of settling for early, contested jumpers that feed into Atlanta’s transition game. Their half-court execution must remain sharp: purposeful ball movement, strong screening action, and clear decision-making to avoid turnovers that could turn into instant Hawks points. Defensively, the Pelicans must tighten their structure by protecting the rim with force, contesting mid-range attempts under control, and staying disciplined against Atlanta’s perimeter spacing; their rotations must be crisp, their close-outs must avoid overcommitting, and their defenders must communicate through every pick-and-roll coverage to prevent back-door cuts or mismatches.

Transition defense becomes a fulcrum point—New Orleans must sprint back, take away the middle lane, and force Atlanta to operate in the half court rather than allowing them to build momentum through easy runouts and early-clock attempts. Their bench must contribute meaningful minutes, particularly in a matchup where maintaining pace and defensive intensity matters across all rotations; role players must defend with energy, rebound aggressively, avoid mistakes, and provide supplementary scoring without disrupting offensive rhythm. Special emphasis must be placed on minimizing turnovers, as sloppy passes or forced drives will immediately fuel Atlanta’s strengths and potentially trigger the road team’s confidence. Emotionally, the Pelicans must harness the energy of their home crowd to fuel smart, structured play, using the momentum of defensive stops and interior scoring to build rhythm rather than letting the atmosphere push them into reckless possessions or rushed shots. If New Orleans wins rebounding battles, controls interior scoring, maintains strong defensive communication, avoids turnover-driven swings, and executes their half-court offense with poise, they can exert meaningful control and force Atlanta into reactive positions. But if they surrender transition opportunities, lose discipline on the glass, or let emotional swings override structure, the home-court advantage will diminish quickly, making composure, rebounding, and interior presence the essential pillars of New Orleans’ blueprint for success.

Atlanta vs New Orleans Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Hawks and Pelicans play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Smoothie King Center in Nov can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Queen under 27.5 PTS+REB+AST.

Atlanta vs New Orleans Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Hawks and Pelicans and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most fixated on the linear correlation of factor knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Hawks team going up against a possibly unhealthy Pelicans team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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Below is our current AI Atlanta vs New Orleans picks, computer picks Hawks vs Pelicans, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NBA 11/25 LAC@LAL UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NBA 11/25 ORL@PHI UNLOCK THIS PICK 3 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Atlanta Betting Trends

Atlanta comes into the game having a moderate record against the spread, reflecting an average cover rate that suggests they don’t win by large margins but rarely collapse outright.

New Orleans Betting Trends

New Orleans has been below-average in terms of covering as a home team, which points toward questions around their consistency, especially in games where they are expected to perform at home.

Hawks vs. Pelicans Matchup Trends

Given the Pelicans’ weaker ATS home performance and Atlanta’s manageable away cover rate, value may lean toward Atlanta covering or at least keeping the game closer than some expect. Additionally, because both teams show offensive upside but defensive inconsistencies, the total-points line might tilt toward the “over” if pace accelerates early and lead changes occur.

Atlanta vs. New Orleans Game Info

November 22, 2025 • 8:00 PM EST • Smoothie King Center

Atlanta vs. New Orleans Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Atlanta vs New Orleans trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Atlanta vs New Orleans

Atlanta vs New Orleans Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 26, 2025 5:10PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Boston Celtics
11/26/25 5:10PM
Pistons
Celtics
-130
+110
-1.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-105)
O 231 (-110)
U 231 (-110)
Nov 26, 2025 7:10PM EST
New York Knicks
Charlotte Hornets
11/26/25 7:10PM
Knicks
Hornets
-250
+210
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
O 238.5 (-115)
U 238.5 (-105)
Nov 26, 2025 7:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Toronto Raptors
11/26/25 7:40PM
Pacers
Raptors
+345
-470
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
O 234.5 (-110)
U 234.5 (-110)
Nov 26, 2025 7:40PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Oklahoma City Thunder
11/26/25 7:40PM
Timberwolves
Thunder
+265
-330
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
Nov 26, 2025 7:40PM EST
Milwaukee Bucks
Miami Heat
11/26/25 7:40PM
Bucks
Heat
+250
-300
+8 (-110)
-8 (-110)
O 237.5 (-115)
U 237.5 (-105)
Nov 26, 2025 8:10PM EST
Memphis Grizzlies
New Orleans Pelicans
11/26/25 8:10PM
Grizzlies
Pelicans
-130
+110
-2 (-115)
+2 (-105)
O 235.5 (-115)
U 235.5 (-105)
Nov 26, 2025 10:10PM EST
Phoenix Suns
Sacramento Kings
11/26/25 10:10PM
Suns
Kings
-180
+155
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
O 233.5 (-105)
U 233.5 (-115)
Nov 26, 2025 10:10PM EST
San Antonio Spurs
Portland Trail Blazers
11/26/25 10:10PM
Spurs
Trail Blazers
-105
-115
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
O 239.5 (-110)
U 239.5 (-110)
Nov 26, 2025 10:10PM EST
Houston Rockets
Golden State Warriors
11/26/25 10:10PM
Rockets
Warriors
+120
-140
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-105)
O 225 (-110)
U 225 (-110)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Atlanta Hawks vs. New Orleans Pelicans on November 22, 2025 at Smoothie King Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

LEAN %WIN UNITS RESULT
DET@ATL DET +1.5 54.3% 4 WIN
GS@ORL ORL +3.5 57.4% 7 WIN
DET@ATL JALEN DUREN UNDER 22.5 PTS + ASSTS 55.1% 5 LOSS
BOS@BKN MICHAEL PORTER JR UNDER 26.5 PTS + ASSTS 54.4% 4 LOSS
IND@DET DET -10.5 55.3% 5 WIN
NY@MIA NY +2.5 51.8% 1 WIN
LAC@PHI LAC +5.5 55.3% 5 WIN
LAC@PHI IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 STEALS & BLOCKS 54.4% 4 LOSS
ORL@HOU HOU -7.5 54.0% 4 LOSS
POR@DAL DAL +4.5 56.8% 6 WIN
LAL@MIL LAL -115 55.7% 4 WIN
CHA@MIL MIL -9 54.4% 4 WIN
POR@HOU POR +8 54.4% 4 LOSS
POR@HOU TARI EASON OVER 4.5 FG MADE 53.7% 3 LOSS
ATL@UTA UTA +2.5 55.0% 5 LOSS
ATL@UTA KYLE FILIPOWSKI OVER 7.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 55.5% 5 WIN
NJ@CHI JACK HUGHES UNDER 0.5 ASST 54.4% 4 WIN
WAS@HOU KEVIN DURANT OVER 4.5 REBOUNDS 56.1% 6 WIN
GS@SA GS +4 52.5% 2 WIN
MEM@BOS MEM +7.5 56.0% 6 LOSS
BOS@PHI PHI +1.5 54.5% 4 WIN
IND@UTA UTA +3 56.8% 6 WIN
GS@OKC CHET HOLMGREN UNDER 18.5 POINTS + ASSTS 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@UTA MIN -7.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
MIL@DAL DAL +3 54.3% 4 WIN
POR@MIA POR -3.5 57.7% 7 LOSS
LAL@ATL DYSON DANIELS OVER 2.5 STEALS 56.8% 6 LOSS
CHI@MIL CHI +4.5 55.1% 6 LOSS
DAL@MEM MEM -4 56.3% 6 WIN
TOR@ATL TOR +118 48.0% 3 WIN
CHA@MIA OVER 235.5 54.3% 3 LOSS
LAC@PHX PHX -135 58.9% 7 WIN
PHI@CLE PHI +10.5 53.3% 3 LOSS
MIA@DEN MIA +9.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
OKC@POR POR +4.5 52.9% 3 WIN
HOU@MEM MEM +8.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
UTA@DET UTA +10 56.8% 6 LOSS
NO@DAL TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB 55.5% 5 LOSS
ORL@ATL ORL -3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MIL@TOR MIL +3.5 56.5% 4 LOSS
PHX@GS STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE 53.3% 3 LOSS
OKC@LAC JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAL@POR POR -2.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
SA@PHX SA -5.5 56.6% 6 LOSS
ORL@WAS WAS +9 54.2% 4 LOSS
DAL@DET DAL +8 58.7% 8 LOSS
NY@CHI NY -4.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
BOS@PHI BOS +1.5 54.6% 4 WIN
TOR@CLE TOR +6 56.2% 6 WIN
DEN@POR JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 56.6% 6 WIN
WAS@OKC WAS +15.5 54.9% 4 LOSS