Nuggets vs Pelicans Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Nov 19)
Updated: 2025-11-17T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Denver Nuggets head to New Orleans on November 19, 2025 to face the New Orleans Pelicans, with Denver carrying one of the best records in the league and looking to exploit a home squad that has yet to find consistent footing this season. With Denver’s offensive firepower and elite playmaking matched against New Orleans’ home-court challenges and roster turnover, this game likely hinges on tempo control, rebound battles, and which team executes more reliably across 48 minutes.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 19, 2025
Start Time: 9:00 PM EST
Venue: Smoothie King Center
Pelicans Record: (21-2)
Nuggets Record: (10-3)
OPENING ODDS
DEN Moneyline: -833
NO Moneyline: +572
DEN Spread: -13.5
NO Spread: +13.5
Over/Under: 232.5
DEN
Betting Trends
- Denver has covered the spread in approximately 66.7% of its games this season, placing them among the league’s best ATS performers to date.
NO
Betting Trends
- New Orleans is covering the spread at home at a notably lower rate this year, with home-court advantage failing to translate into consistent ATS success.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- This matchup presents an attractive ATS angle: Denver’s strong road cover rate contrasts sharply with New Orleans’ subpar home ATS numbers, suggesting possible value on the visitor despite a healthy favorite tag. Moreover, Denver’s offensive dominance and New Orleans’ defensive instability set up a scenario where pace and efficiency could tilt the outcome more than typical home-court bias.
DEN vs. NO
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Z. Williamson over 18.5 Points.
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Denver vs New Orleans Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 11/19/25
The upcoming matchup between the Denver Nuggets and the New Orleans Pelicans on November 19, 2025 brings together two Western Conference teams traveling along very different early-season trajectories, creating a compelling clash shaped by identity, consistency, and the pressure to impose style across all four quarters. Denver arrives with the confidence and rhythm of a polished contender, carrying one of the best records in the league and leaning on an offensive system built around precision, spacing, and elite execution that forces opponents into uncomfortable defensive decisions. Their blend of star power, disciplined shooting, and improved defensive commitment allows them to thrive in both structured half-court environments and high-tempo sequences, giving them versatility that few teams can match. The Pelicans, by contrast, enter the contest wrestling with inconsistency, roster adjustments, and a home floor that has not produced the edge they expected, making this game as much a proving ground as a scheduled date. For New Orleans, this matchup becomes a test of resolve: can they generate enough early energy at home to challenge Denver’s rhythm, maintain composure during Denver’s inevitable scoring runs, and sustain defensive focus across long possessions without surrendering second-chance points that shift emotional control? Strategically, the game hinges on pace, rebounding, and turnover management. Denver will attempt to dictate tempo immediately by pushing off misses, creating early-clock advantages, and leveraging their spacing to produce clean looks before the Pelicans settle into defensive sets.
They will also rely heavily on interior touches and purposeful ball movement, seeking to force rotations that open up perimeter rhythm shots. New Orleans, meanwhile, must slow pace, remain disciplined in shot selection, and attack the glass collectively to avoid allowing Denver’s transition engine to ignite. Their offensive success will depend on drawing contact, finishing through physicality, and using dribble penetration to collapse Denver’s defense, which has improved but can be stretched when forced into repeated rotations. Defensively, the Pelicans must execute with urgency by closing out cleanly, limiting back-cut opportunities, and staying attached to Denver’s shooters, knowing that even minor lapses can lead to extended scoring bursts. Emotionally, the game becomes a battle between a visiting team that plays freely with expectation of excellence and a home team attempting to stabilize its narrative amid scrutiny from fans and analysts. Denver’s veteran experience provides composure during tight stretches, while New Orleans must rely on home energy without allowing frustration to seep into poor decisions or rushed possessions. Ultimately, the matchup will be decided by which team enforces its identity with greater consistency: if Denver controls the glass, limits turnovers, and executes with its usual precision, the Nuggets can methodically wear down the Pelicans; but if New Orleans turns the game into a physical, slower battle, uses its athletic wings to disrupt passing lanes, and feeds off home-court surges, the Pelicans can create a path to an upset.
Get live NBA odds and precise AI NBA picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
Chasing the top spot pic.twitter.com/KB7xGC4HPo
— Denver Nuggets (@nuggets) November 18, 2025
Denver Nuggets NBA Preview
The Denver Nuggets enter their November 19, 2025 road matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans with the confidence of a battle-tested contender and the composure of a team whose identity is firmly established, giving them a clear blueprint for success even in challenging environments. As defending Western elites, the Nuggets understand that road games are often won through discipline, physicality, and execution under pressure rather than pure talent, and they arrive equipped with a roster built to exploit mismatches, punish defensive lapses, and dictate tempo regardless of venue. Offensively, Denver remains one of the most efficient units in the league, powered by elite spacing, crisp ball movement, and the versatility of their star center, whose ability to pass, score, and anchor the offense creates constant strain on opposing defenses. Their perimeter threats thrive off inside-out actions, generating rhythm threes and attacking closeouts in ways that stretch defenses horizontally and vertically. On the road, the Nuggets will look to strike early by pushing in transition, seeking quick advantages before New Orleans sets its defensive structure, and relying on controlled half-court possessions that force the Pelicans into long sequences of movement and decision-making. Defensively, Denver has embraced a higher standard this season, pairing their offensive excellence with improved communication, sharper rotations, and a commitment to defensive rebounding that prevents opponents from gaining momentum through second-chance opportunities. Against New Orleans, this focus becomes non-negotiable; the Pelicans remain a dangerous team when they get downhill, create transition lanes, or generate put-backs that lift their home crowd.
Denver must stay disciplined at the point of attack, keep the ball in front, avoid unnecessary fouls, and force the Pelicans into contested jumpers rather than providing opportunities for rhythm-building drives. Their bench also plays a significant role in road stability; maintaining energy, scoring, and defensive pressure during non-starter minutes helps Denver avoid the lulls that often swing momentum toward home teams. Emotionally, the Nuggets benefit from their experience and composure, showing little tendency to panic under crowd noise or officiating swings, instead leaning on structured execution to weather opposing runs. This poise becomes essential on the road, where rushed shots or careless turnovers can quickly feed into an opponent’s surge. Denver’s key lies in controlling the pace of the game—slowing it when needed, speeding it up when advantageous, and constantly keeping New Orleans off-balance. Their ability to generate quality shots possession after possession, combined with their resilience in late-clock situations, gives them a reliable offensive floor that travels well in any building. If the Nuggets maintain their shot selection, execute defensive game plans without shortcuts, rebound with force, and continue to play with the chemistry and trust that have defined their rise, they will hold a significant edge even on the road. Ultimately, Denver approaches this matchup not just as another game, but as another opportunity to reinforce their standing as one of the league’s most complete and consistently dangerous teams in any arena.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
New Orleans Pelicans NBA Preview
The New Orleans Pelicans enter their home matchup against the Denver Nuggets on November 19, 2025 with a mixture of urgency, opportunity, and pressure, knowing that protecting their home floor has become essential for stabilizing their season and restoring confidence in a roster that has struggled to build consistency. Playing in front of their home crowd should provide the emotional lift they need, but the challenge lies in translating that energy into disciplined execution against one of the league’s most fundamentally sound teams. For the Pelicans, success begins with setting the tone early on both ends of the floor, using their athleticism, length, and downhill ability to attack Denver before the visitors can establish their half-court structure. Offensively, New Orleans must be deliberate and aggressive, utilizing actions that force Denver’s defense to collapse and rotate, creating driving lanes, interior touches, and kick-out opportunities. They must capitalize on their physicality by getting to the rim, drawing contact, and generating second-chance points that energize the arena and disrupt Denver’s rhythm. Shot selection will be paramount; rushed threes or contested mid-range attempts will ignite Denver’s transition game, something New Orleans cannot afford. Defensively, the Pelicans face the tall task of limiting Denver’s elite spacing and playmaking, requiring sharp communication, early help, and controlled closeouts that avoid fouling while still contesting shots. Their bigs must remain disciplined in pick-and-roll coverage, preventing easy slips to the basket and limiting the passing windows that Denver thrives upon.
Rebounding becomes a defining battleground, as failing to finish possessions will create momentum swings that often break home teams emotionally. The Pelicans must attack the glass collectively, refusing to rely on one or two players to solve Denver’s size and positioning. Tempo control also factors heavily into New Orleans’ formula; they cannot allow Denver to push pace freely, especially after long rebounds or turnovers. Their transition defense must be precise, sprinting back with organization rather than scrambling into mismatches that lead to easy points. The bench unit carries added weight in this matchup, as home rotations must provide energy, defensive pressure, and composure to prevent the drop-offs that have plagued the Pelicans in previous games. Emotionally, New Orleans must strike the right balance between urgency and poise, using the home crowd as fuel without letting frustration take over when Denver inevitably goes on runs. Maintaining patience, trusting the offensive structure, and avoiding isolation-heavy possessions will keep their rhythm intact. With the Western Conference tightening and expectations rising around their young core, the Pelicans must use this game to prove that they can execute with maturity and resilience against elite opponents. If they can control the glass, limit turnovers, attack the paint consistently, and match Denver’s physicality with disciplined energy, New Orleans has a legitimate chance to turn a challenging matchup into a statement win that reasserts their home-court identity and helps solidify a more stable direction for the season.
. @mjpv5 with a career high of 16 pts last night ✔️ pic.twitter.com/ns5JdVGvIP
— New Orleans Pelicans (@PelicansNBA) November 18, 2025
Denver vs New Orleans Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Nuggets and Pelicans play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Smoothie King Center in Nov rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Denver vs New Orleans Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Nuggets and Pelicans and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors often put on player performance factors between a Nuggets team going up against a possibly rested Pelicans team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI Denver vs New Orleans picks, computer picks Nuggets vs Pelicans, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 12/16 | SA@NY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Denver Betting Trends
Denver has covered the spread in approximately 66.7% of its games this season, placing them among the league’s best ATS performers to date.
New Orleans Betting Trends
New Orleans is covering the spread at home at a notably lower rate this year, with home-court advantage failing to translate into consistent ATS success.
Nuggets vs. Pelicans Matchup Trends
This matchup presents an attractive ATS angle: Denver’s strong road cover rate contrasts sharply with New Orleans’ subpar home ATS numbers, suggesting possible value on the visitor despite a healthy favorite tag. Moreover, Denver’s offensive dominance and New Orleans’ defensive instability set up a scenario where pace and efficiency could tilt the outcome more than typical home-court bias.
Denver vs. New Orleans Game Info
Denver vs New Orleans starts on November 19, 2025 at 9:00 PM EST.
Venue: Smoothie King Center.
Spread: New Orleans +13.5
Moneyline: Denver -833, New Orleans +572
Over/Under: 232.5
Denver: (10-3) | New Orleans: (21-2)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Z. Williamson over 18.5 Points.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
This matchup presents an attractive ATS angle: Denver’s strong road cover rate contrasts sharply with New Orleans’ subpar home ATS numbers, suggesting possible value on the visitor despite a healthy favorite tag. Moreover, Denver’s offensive dominance and New Orleans’ defensive instability set up a scenario where pace and efficiency could tilt the outcome more than typical home-court bias.
DEN trend: Denver has covered the spread in approximately 66.7% of its games this season, placing them among the league’s best ATS performers to date.
NO trend: New Orleans is covering the spread at home at a notably lower rate this year, with home-court advantage failing to translate into consistent ATS success.
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Denver vs. New Orleans Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Denver vs New Orleans trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
| DEN Moneyline | -833 |
|---|---|
| NO Moneyline | +572 |
| DEN Spread | -13.5 |
| NO Spread | +13.5 |
| Over / Under | 232.5 |
Denver vs New Orleans Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dec 16, 2025 8:40PM EST
San Antonio Spurs
New York Knicks
12/16/25 8:40PM
Spurs
Knicks
|
–
–
|
+120
-140
|
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
|
O 233.5 (-115)
U 233.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 17, 2025 8:10PM EST
Memphis Grizzlies
Minnesota Timberwolves
12/17/25 8:10PM
Grizzlies
Timberwolves
|
–
–
|
+240
-290
|
+8 (-110)
-8 (-110)
|
O 233 (-110)
U 233 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 17, 2025 8:10PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
Chicago Bulls
12/17/25 8:10PM
Cavaliers
Bulls
|
–
–
|
-200
+170
|
-5 (-110)
+5 (-110)
|
O 242.5 (-110)
U 242.5 (-110)
|
NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Denver Nuggets vs. New Orleans Pelicans on November 19, 2025 at Smoothie King Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS@POR | POR +4.5 | 53.6% | 2 | WIN |
| SAC@MIN | MIN -12.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@GS | GS -118 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@CHA | CHA +3 | 54.5% | 4 | PUSH |
| BKN@DAL | COOPER FLAGG OVER 9.5 REB + ASST | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| MIN@GS | JADEN MCDANIELS UNDER 19.5 PTS + REB | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@OKC | UNDER 224.5 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| SA@LAL | DEANDRE AYTON OVER 14.5 PTS + ASST | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@LAL | DEAARON FOX OVER 9.5 REB + ASST | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| NY@TOR | BRANDON INGRAM UNDER 9.5 REB + ASST | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@MIN | MIN -7.5 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| SAC@IND | ZACH LAVINE OVER 7.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| DEN@CHA | CHA +10.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| ORL@NY | NY -2 | 54.9% | 5 | WIN |
| SAC@MIA | ZACH LAVINE OVER 25.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MIL@DET | DET -11.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| LAL@BOS | LAL +8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIA@ORL | MIA +5.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| DAL@OKC | OKC -15 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@MIL | PHI -110 | 55.4% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@MEM | LAC -124 | 56.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| DEN@ATL | DEN -4.5 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@NY | KEYONTE GEORGE UNDER 27.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 55.4% | 5 | WIN |
| UTA@BKN | UTA -5 | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| GS@PHI | UNDER 223.5 | 54.4% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@NY | KARL ANTHONY TOWNS UNDER 40.5 PTS+REB+ASST | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@NO | NO +12.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@BOS | NY +1.5 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@NO | JULIUS RANDLE OVER 27.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| MEM@SA | DEAARON FOX UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| HOU@UTA | ALPEREN SENGUN OVER 20.5 POINTS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| OKC@POR | POR +12 | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@NY | TOR +7.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| ORL@DET | DET -3 | 57.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| DET@BOS | BOS +3 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| ORL@PHI | PHI +4 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@LAL | LEBRON JAMES OVER 13.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIN@SAC | JULIUS RANDLE OVER 28.5 PTS + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@PHX | MIN -4.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| IND@CLE | CLE -13.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| POR@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@UTA | ISAIAH COLLIER OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIL | MIL +2.5 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| SAC@MEM | SAC +3.5 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@POR | JOSH GIDDEY OVER 1.5 STEALS + ASSTS | 53.2% | 3 | WIN |
| CHI@POR | MATAS BUZELIS OVER 20.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| HOU@CLE | HOU -116 | 55.4% | 5 | WIN |
| CHA@IND | CHA -116 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| DET@ATL | DET +1.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@ORL | ORL +3.5 | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@ATL | JALEN DUREN UNDER 22.5 PTS + ASSTS | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |