Memphis vs San Antonio Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Nov 18)
Updated: 2025-11-16T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Memphis Grizzlies travel to San Antonio to face the Spurs on November 18, 2025, in what promises to be a critical Western Conference battle between a struggling Grizzlies squad seeking stability and a resurgent Spurs team riding early momentum at home. With Memphis needing to shore up its identity on the road and San Antonio looking to capitalize on its dynamic duo and home advantage, the key becomes tempo control, execution under pressure, and limiting opponent second-chance opportunities.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 18, 2025
Start Time: 9:00 PM EST
Venue: Frost Bank Center
Spurs Record: (9-4)
Grizzlies Record: (4-10)
OPENING ODDS
MEM Moneyline: +200
SA Moneyline: -222
MEM Spread: +6
SA Spread: -6.0
Over/Under: 232.5
MEM
Betting Trends
- The Grizzlies were 41-41 against the spread during the 2024-25 season, showing exact parity in outcomes relative to expectations.
SA
Betting Trends
- The Spurs held a 7-4 ATS record at home during the 2024-25 season, showing a stronger cover rate on their own floor, though sample size and opponent quality vary.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Memphis holds a dominant recent head-to-head against San Antonio, winning 9 of the last 10 regular-season meetings, which suggests matchup favorability, but current form and situational factors complicate the picture. The Spurs’ early-season surge and improving roster depth give them situational edge while Memphis’ road struggles weaken their betting appeal. The market may lean toward San Antonio covering at home, yet Memphis’ familiarity with beating the Spurs introduces a value angle for the visitor in the spread market.
MEM vs. SA
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Fox under 26.5 Points.
LIVE NBA ODDS
NBA ODDS COMPARISON
WANT MORE AI PICKS?
VS. SPREAD
367-276
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG & EXEC)
+839.6
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG & EXEC)
$100/UNIT
$83,956
VS. SPREAD
1651-1395
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+429.8
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$42,983
AI SPORTS PICK PRODUCTS
Create a Free Account
‘Create an Account’ to Get Remi’s Picks Today. Remi Finds New Picks
Remi calculates the probability a team will cover the line. Remi Works 24/7
Remi uses this probability to assign units to each pick.
Get Remi's AI Picks
Get Remi’s Top AI Sports Picks sent direct to your inbox.
Hedge Meaning in Betting | 4 Obvious Times to Hedge
Learn about hedge betting to manage risk and secure profits. Understand...
What is a Push in Betting? | 3 Ways To Use To Your Advantage
Understand what a push in betting means, how it happens in...
What Does the + and – Mean in Sports Betting? | 5 Easy Tips
Learn the basics of sports betting odds, what the plus (+)...
Memphis vs San Antonio Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 11/18/25
The upcoming matchup between the Memphis Grizzlies and the San Antonio Spurs on November 18, 2025 is a fascinating collision between a Memphis team searching desperately for stability and rhythm and a San Antonio squad riding a wave of new-era momentum, improved roster composition, and a home environment that has begun to feel legitimately intimidating again, making this one of the more intriguing Western Conference showdowns of the early season. Memphis enters the game trying to rediscover the identity that once made them one of the league’s toughest, most physical, and most transition-dangerous teams, but injuries, rotational instability, and inconsistent defensive execution have left them struggling to sustain long stretches of polished basketball; their success now hinges on whether their veteran guards can manage pace, whether their wings can rebound with authority, and whether their defense can contain modern spacing without collapsing into fouls or breakdowns. The Spurs, meanwhile, have embraced a fully transformed identity built around Victor Wembanyama’s unmatched defensive presence, De’Aaron Fox’s ability to control games through tempo changes and rim pressure, and Stephon Castle’s seamless development as a two-way wing capable of making high-leverage plays on both sides of the floor. For the Spurs, the game revolves around controlling the glass, defending without fouling, and forcing Memphis into half-court possessions where San Antonio’s defensive scheme excels; when the Spurs dictate tempo, they turn games into precision battles rather than the chaotic, transition-heavy contests Memphis prefers. The strategic heart of the matchup lies in transition efficiency, turnover avoidance, and rebounding discipline.
If Memphis secures offensive rebounds, forces long misses, and pushes the ball before San Antonio can set its defense, they can impose their athleticism and revive their trademark pace. If San Antonio holds firm on the glass, communicates through ball-screen actions, and contains Memphis’ dribble penetration, the matchup tilts firmly toward the Spurs’ methodical structure. Bench performance becomes a major X-factor; Memphis requires consistent scoring, defensive effort, and tempo maintenance from its reserves to avoid the massive quiet stretches that have plagued their road performances, while San Antonio’s bench must contribute enough energy and discipline to maintain their team’s defensive identity and avoid conceding momentum swings. Emotionally, Memphis needs to reclaim confidence, and their strong historical results against the Spurs may provide psychological lift, but San Antonio’s new roster, improved chemistry, and home-court environment give them an entirely different edge than in matchups of the past. Ultimately, the game will be decided not by star flashes alone but by which team controls the terms of engagement—Memphis must speed the game up, play physically without fouling, crash the boards, and create chaos, while the Spurs must defend long possessions, close out under control, rebound decisively, and use their home energy to turn stops into efficient offense. The Grizzlies can win only if they reestablish pace and protect the ball; the Spurs can win by slowing the game, owning the paint, and leveraging their newfound cohesion to grind Memphis into late-clock situations.
Get live NBA odds and precise AI NBA picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
Official ✅ @JahmaiM pic.twitter.com/Q8SwOfIxNm
— Memphis Grizzlies (@memgrizz) November 16, 2025
Memphis Grizzlies NBA Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies enter this road matchup against the San Antonio Spurs needing to reestablish a true identity built on pace, physicality, and defensive cohesion, making this game a pivotal test of whether they can translate their athletic advantages into consistent execution in a hostile setting. For Memphis, everything begins with tempo, as their best basketball comes when they push in transition, attack before the defense is set, and generate early-clock opportunities that prevent opponents from organizing their half-court schemes; to accomplish this on the road, they must rebound aggressively, win 50–50 balls, and limit the live-ball turnovers that have repeatedly sabotaged their momentum in recent outings. Their guards must take command by maintaining pace without rushing, making efficient reads, and ensuring that the offense doesn’t devolve into stagnant isolations that San Antonio’s length can easily smother. Memphis must also maximize their paint scoring by attacking mismatches, collapsing defenders, and kicking out to maintain spacing, as this keeps the Spurs scrambling rather than allowing them to settle into their elite half-court structure anchored by Victor Wembanyama. Defensively, the Grizzlies must be fully locked in—staying disciplined through ball screens, contesting perimeter shots without fouling, and rotating quickly to avoid giving the Spurs free points at the rim or clean catch-and-shoot looks. Their defenders must force San Antonio into tougher angles and longer possessions, reducing the rhythm that players like De’Aaron Fox thrive in, while also staying alert to backdoor cuts and drive-and-kicks that have become staples of the Spurs’ evolving offensive identity.
Rebounding becomes essential, as every missed box-out leads to extended Spurs possessions and demoralizing second-chance points, especially with Wembanyama’s ability to impact plays above the rim; securing the glass allows Memphis to ignite transition and regain control of tempo. Bench consistency becomes a major factor as well, with the Grizzlies needing quality minutes from their reserves to sustain energy, maintain defensive principles, and avoid the long scoring droughts that have plagued their road performances. Emotionally, Memphis must approach this game with the mindset of a team reclaiming its edge—playing connected defense, communicating through mismatches, and staying composed through the inevitable crowd-driven runs that San Antonio will generate. The Grizzlies’ success hinges entirely on their willingness to play with controlled aggression, minimize mistakes, dominate the hustle categories, and dictate tempo rather than reacting to the Spurs’ structure. If Memphis can impose their pace, rebound decisively, protect the ball, and maintain defensive focus, they put themselves in position to challenge a Spurs team that thrives on rhythm and discipline; if they fail in those areas, San Antonio’s length, cohesion, and home-court momentum will dictate the night.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
San Antonio Spurs NBA Preview
The San Antonio Spurs enter this home matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies with a renewed identity, strengthened chemistry, and a rising confidence built around the elite defensive impact of Victor Wembanyama, the tempo-shifting presence of De’Aaron Fox, and the emerging two-way versatility of Stephon Castle, and they must translate that evolution into a complete, disciplined performance to neutralize a desperate Memphis squad seeking to rediscover its own rhythm. Playing at home gives the Spurs a crucial advantage, and they must use that energy to dictate the terms of engagement from the opening tip by controlling tempo, defending with structure, and eliminating the transition windows that Memphis relies upon to generate flow. San Antonio’s defense will be the foundation of their success, anchored by Wembanyama’s ability to erase mistakes, close shooting angles, and disrupt drives without fouling, which allows the Spurs’ guards and wings to apply pressure on the perimeter, chase shooters through screens, and contest confidently knowing they have protection behind them. Offensively, the Spurs must lean on Fox’s ability to manipulate pace, collapse defenders, and create paint touches that open up clean looks for shooters and cutters, while Castle’s off-ball activity, timely drives, and defensive anticipation help stretch Memphis’ rotations thin. The Spurs must play with patience in the half court—avoiding rushed possessions, drawing defenders into actions that create mismatches, and trusting their spacing to generate high-efficiency shots rather than getting caught in Memphis’ preferred pace-war. Rebounding becomes an essential piece of San Antonio’s formula, as controlling the glass not only denies Memphis second-chance points and transition lanes but also allows the Spurs to settle into their offensive structure and quietly wear down the Grizzlies’ defensive focus across long stretches.
Their bench must also rise to the occasion—providing sustained defensive effort, scoring stability, and tempo control without allowing Memphis to exploit rotation minutes, because road opponents often rely on bench surges to shift momentum. Emotionally, the Spurs must harness the building excitement around their home environment as a catalyst for disciplined, connected basketball rather than leaning into risky plays or hurried sequences that feed Memphis’ athletic strengths; San Antonio thrives most when their energy is channeled into sharp rotations, physical box-outs, and patient execution rather than pure speed. Turnover prevention is equally critical, as Memphis remains dangerous when they can run, and San Antonio must ensure that Fox initiates sets with purpose, the wings avoid unnecessary gambles, and the team collectively protects possessions to avoid giving the Grizzlies free points that could ignite one of their signature bursts. Ultimately, the Spurs’ path to victory lies in imposing their identity—defensive control, rebounding discipline, half-court structure, and emotional composure—while forcing the Grizzlies to play a slower, more methodical game that limits their ability to leverage athleticism and transition scoring. If San Antonio owns the paint, protects the ball, communicates defensively, and maximizes their home-court advantage through disciplined execution, they position themselves to secure a statement win and continue solidifying their rise in the Western Conference hierarchy.
It's time to show off those pet pics! 🐶🐱📸
— San Antonio Spurs (@spurs) November 17, 2025
This month we're looking for our MVP - Most Valuable Pet! Share your photos using #SpursPetoftheMonth for the chance to win a custom pet prize pack provided by PetMeds! #ad pic.twitter.com/cmb7YgyTvD
Memphis vs San Antonio Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Grizzlies and Spurs play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Frost Bank Center in Nov rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Memphis vs San Antonio Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Grizzlies and Spurs and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned weight human bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Grizzlies team going up against a possibly rested Spurs team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Memphis vs San Antonio picks, computer picks Grizzlies vs Spurs, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 11/25 | LAC@LAL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v3
|
|
| NBA | 11/25 | ORL@PHI | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
EXECUTIVE
|
|
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Memphis Betting Trends
The Grizzlies were 41-41 against the spread during the 2024-25 season, showing exact parity in outcomes relative to expectations.
San Antonio Betting Trends
The Spurs held a 7-4 ATS record at home during the 2024-25 season, showing a stronger cover rate on their own floor, though sample size and opponent quality vary.
Grizzlies vs. Spurs Matchup Trends
Memphis holds a dominant recent head-to-head against San Antonio, winning 9 of the last 10 regular-season meetings, which suggests matchup favorability, but current form and situational factors complicate the picture. The Spurs’ early-season surge and improving roster depth give them situational edge while Memphis’ road struggles weaken their betting appeal. The market may lean toward San Antonio covering at home, yet Memphis’ familiarity with beating the Spurs introduces a value angle for the visitor in the spread market.
Memphis vs. San Antonio Game Info
Memphis vs San Antonio starts on November 18, 2025 at 9:00 PM EST.
Venue: Frost Bank Center.
Spread: San Antonio -6.0
Moneyline: Memphis +200, San Antonio -222
Over/Under: 232.5
Memphis: (4-10) | San Antonio: (9-4)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Fox under 26.5 Points.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Memphis holds a dominant recent head-to-head against San Antonio, winning 9 of the last 10 regular-season meetings, which suggests matchup favorability, but current form and situational factors complicate the picture. The Spurs’ early-season surge and improving roster depth give them situational edge while Memphis’ road struggles weaken their betting appeal. The market may lean toward San Antonio covering at home, yet Memphis’ familiarity with beating the Spurs introduces a value angle for the visitor in the spread market.
MEM trend: The Grizzlies were 41-41 against the spread during the 2024-25 season, showing exact parity in outcomes relative to expectations.
SA trend: The Spurs held a 7-4 ATS record at home during the 2024-25 season, showing a stronger cover rate on their own floor, though sample size and opponent quality vary.
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Memphis vs. San Antonio Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Memphis vs San Antonio trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
| MEM Moneyline | +200 |
|---|---|
| SA Moneyline | -222 |
| MEM Spread | +6 |
| SA Spread | -6.0 |
| Over / Under | 232.5 |
Memphis vs San Antonio Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Nov 26, 2025 5:10PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Boston Celtics
11/26/25 5:10PM
Pistons
Celtics
|
–
–
|
-155
+130
|
-3 (-105)
+3 (-115)
|
O 231 (-110)
U 231 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 7:10PM EST
New York Knicks
Charlotte Hornets
11/26/25 7:10PM
Knicks
Hornets
|
–
–
|
-278
+222
|
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
|
O 238.5 (-110)
U 238.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 7:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Toronto Raptors
11/26/25 7:40PM
Pacers
Raptors
|
–
–
|
+345
-455
|
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
|
O 234.5 (-110)
U 234.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 7:40PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Oklahoma City Thunder
11/26/25 7:40PM
Timberwolves
Thunder
|
–
–
|
+278
-355
|
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
|
O 227 (-110)
U 227 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 7:40PM EST
Milwaukee Bucks
Miami Heat
11/26/25 7:40PM
Bucks
Heat
|
–
–
|
+250
-320
|
+8 (-110)
-8 (-110)
|
O 237 (-110)
U 237 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 8:10PM EST
Memphis Grizzlies
New Orleans Pelicans
11/26/25 8:10PM
Grizzlies
Pelicans
|
–
–
|
-140
+118
|
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
|
O 235.5 (-110)
U 235.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 10:10PM EST
Phoenix Suns
Sacramento Kings
11/26/25 10:10PM
Suns
Kings
|
–
–
|
-180
+152
|
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
|
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 10:10PM EST
San Antonio Spurs
Portland Trail Blazers
11/26/25 10:10PM
Spurs
Trail Blazers
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 239.5 (-110)
U 239.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 10:10PM EST
Houston Rockets
Golden State Warriors
11/26/25 10:10PM
Rockets
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+118
-140
|
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
|
O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
|
NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Memphis Grizzlies vs. San Antonio Spurs on November 18, 2025 at Frost Bank Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET@ATL | DET +1.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@ORL | ORL +3.5 | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@ATL | JALEN DUREN UNDER 22.5 PTS + ASSTS | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| BOS@BKN | MICHAEL PORTER JR UNDER 26.5 PTS + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@DET | DET -10.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| NY@MIA | NY +2.5 | 51.8% | 1 | WIN |
| LAC@PHI | LAC +5.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@PHI | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 STEALS & BLOCKS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| ORL@HOU | HOU -7.5 | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| POR@DAL | DAL +4.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| LAL@MIL | LAL -115 | 55.7% | 4 | WIN |
| CHA@MIL | MIL -9 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| POR@HOU | POR +8 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| POR@HOU | TARI EASON OVER 4.5 FG MADE | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| ATL@UTA | UTA +2.5 | 55.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| ATL@UTA | KYLE FILIPOWSKI OVER 7.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| NJ@CHI | JACK HUGHES UNDER 0.5 ASST | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@HOU | KEVIN DURANT OVER 4.5 REBOUNDS | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| GS@SA | GS +4 | 52.5% | 2 | WIN |
| MEM@BOS | MEM +7.5 | 56.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| BOS@PHI | PHI +1.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| IND@UTA | UTA +3 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| GS@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN UNDER 18.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@UTA | MIN -7.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIL@DAL | DAL +3 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| POR@MIA | POR -3.5 | 57.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| LAL@ATL | DYSON DANIELS OVER 2.5 STEALS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@MIL | CHI +4.5 | 55.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| DAL@MEM | MEM -4 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@ATL | TOR +118 | 48.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@MIA | OVER 235.5 | 54.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@PHX | PHX -135 | 58.9% | 7 | WIN |
| PHI@CLE | PHI +10.5 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIA@DEN | MIA +9.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@POR | POR +4.5 | 52.9% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@MEM | MEM +8.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@DET | UTA +10 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| NO@DAL | TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| ORL@ATL | ORL -3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIL@TOR | MIL +3.5 | 56.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@GS | STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@LAC | JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAL@POR | POR -2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@PHX | SA -5.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ORL@WAS | WAS +9 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@DET | DAL +8 | 58.7% | 8 | LOSS |
| NY@CHI | NY -4.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@PHI | BOS +1.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@CLE | TOR +6 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@POR | JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| WAS@OKC | WAS +15.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |