Oklahoma City vs New Orleans Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Nov 17)

Updated: 2025-11-15T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Oklahoma City Thunder travel to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on November 17, 2025 in a matchup that pits OKC’s established championship-contender identity and pace-driven offence against New Orleans’ young roster, rebound vulnerability and home-court challenge. With the Thunder aiming to dominate through pace and efficiency, and the Pelicans needing to bootstrap consistency via rebounding, defence and energy at home, the game will likely pivot on which team controls the glass and dictates tempo.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Nov 17, 2025

Start Time: 9:00 PM EST​

Venue: Smoothie King Center​

Pelicans Record: (2-11)

Thunder Record: (13-1)

OPENING ODDS

OKC Moneyline: -2000

NO Moneyline: +1000

OKC Spread: -17.5

NO Spread: +17.5

Over/Under: 226.5

OKC
Betting Trends

  • The Thunder were 65-38-2 against the spread in 2024-25.

NO
Betting Trends

  • The Pelicans were about 19-25 against the spread in the 2024-25 season.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • OKC’s strong ATS performance in recent seasons suggests they’re a reliable cover candidate, especially on the road when playing up to their identity. Conversely, New Orleans’ sub-.500 ATS mark indicates risk as the home side unless they reverse course. From a totals perspective: if OKC pushes pace and forces a higher-tempo game, the over may have value; if New Orleans imposes physical battles, controls rebounds, and slows the game, the under could be worth consideration.

OKC vs. NO
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Queen under 24.5 PTS+REB+AST.

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Oklahoma City vs New Orleans Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 11/17/25

The upcoming matchup between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the New Orleans Pelicans on November 17, 2025 carries the feel of a stylistic collision between a fully formed contender with a pace-driven, efficiency-first identity and a young, physically talented Pelicans team still searching for consistency but capable of disrupting opponents through sheer energy, effort, and home-court momentum. Oklahoma City enters this game with a clear blueprint built around defensive rebounding, rapid outlet initiation, floor spacing, dynamic pick-and-roll actions, and star-driven scoring that can stretch defenses thin in early-clock scenarios; their success hinges on turning misses into immediate pressure, avoiding long half-court sequences, and forcing New Orleans’ young defenders into constant rotation. New Orleans, conversely, must slow the game to a methodical tempo by winning the glass, limiting OKC’s transition opportunities, generating second-chance points, and applying physicality in the interior to drag the Thunder into longer, more taxing possessions where athleticism alone cannot dictate flow. The rebounding battle forms the central hinge of this game—if the Pelicans control offensive boards, they not only extend possessions but also blunt OKC’s pace by forcing defensive resets and increasing physical toll; if the Thunder dominate the glass, they will unleash their transition efficiency and place New Orleans in recovery mode from the opening minutes. Turnover margin presents another decisive layer, as Oklahoma City thrives on live-ball turnovers that create high-value transition attacks, while New Orleans must avoid rushed entry passes, off-balance drives, or misreads that can ignite immediate OKC scoring bursts. In the half court, the Thunder will aim to weaponize their spacing, forcing New Orleans to defend wide angles and avoid over-helping on drives, while the Pelicans must rely on patient attacking sets that test OKC’s discipline through multiple actions and physical finishes inside.

Matchups will matter: New Orleans must find balance between protecting the paint and contesting shooters without sacrificing rebounding position, while Oklahoma City must absorb the Pelicans’ physical challenges at the rim without committing fouls that hand New Orleans control of possession tempo. Bench performance adds another axis of importance, as OKC’s second unit must sustain pace, defensive pressure, and scoring bursts, and the Pelicans’ reserves must provide rebounding energy, defensive cohesion, and mistake-free possessions to prevent immediate momentum swings. Emotionally, the Pelicans will look to amplify home-court energy into physical play that disrupts OKC’s smooth rhythm, while the Thunder must remain poised, stick to their identity, and treat hostile sequences as opportunities to reinforce their experience and composure. The opening stages of the game will likely reveal who shapes the tempo—if the Thunder run early, force cross-matches, and hit rhythm shots, they can tilt the flow decisively; if New Orleans slows the pace, crashes the boards, and forces OKC into prolonged half-court engagements, they can drag the contest into a style that favors their physicality and youthful tenacity. Ultimately, the outcome will hinge on which team imposes its identity most consistently: the Thunder through pace, precision, and transition efficiency, or the Pelicans through rebounding control, interior pressure, and methodical, possession-driven basketball in front of a demanding home crowd.

Get live NBA odds and precise AI NBA picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.

Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder enter this road matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans with a clear, well-defined identity built around pace, spacing, disciplined execution, and a transition attack that depends almost entirely on controlling the defensive glass and maintaining possession security. Their path to success begins with rebounding—if the Thunder secure defensive boards cleanly, they can immediately ignite their transition game through rapid outlets, early push from their ball-handlers, and floor spacing that forces New Orleans’ defense into constant backpedaling. The Thunder must avoid extended half-court possessions where tempo slows and the Pelicans’ physicality becomes more influential; instead, they need to keep the pace high, move the ball decisively, and strike before New Orleans can set its defensive shell. Oklahoma City’s guards must make crisp reads in pick-and-roll actions, turning corners with force, hitting shooters in rhythm, and avoiding unnecessary dribbling that compresses spacing. Turnovers represent a major threat—any live-ball mistakes risk allowing New Orleans to impose physical pressure and shift the game toward the slower, grinding style the Pelicans prefer. Defensively, OKC must remain disciplined, closing out under control on shooters, rotating early to absorb New Orleans’ drives, and contesting interior attempts without gifting free throws. Their ability to defend the paint without sacrificing rebounding position will be critical, as the Pelicans often rely on second-chance looks and physical finishes to stabilize their offense.

The Thunder’s bench must carry meaningful responsibility in this environment, sustaining pace, providing scoring bursts, and protecting the lead or keeping the game stable during star rotations; their reserves must also rebound with force, defend without fouling, and maintain offensive structure rather than devolving into stagnant possessions. Emotionally, OKC must approach this road test with poise—crowd momentum, physical challenges, and occasional scoring droughts cannot push them into rushed or isolation-heavy possessions that undermine their system. The early minutes will reveal their readiness: if they secure rebounds, hit open threes, and force New Orleans to defend in transition, they can set the game firmly on their terms. But if they allow the Pelicans to control the glass, drag them into longer possessions, or disrupt spacing with physical defense, the Thunder may find their tempo disrupted. Ultimately, Oklahoma City’s success in New Orleans depends on fully committing to the identity that makes them elite—dominating the defensive boards, pushing pace with precision, generating early-clock efficiency, defending intelligently without fouling, and maintaining composure throughout a physical, emotionally charged road environment.

The Oklahoma City Thunder travel to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on November 17, 2025 in a matchup that pits OKC’s established championship-contender identity and pace-driven offence against New Orleans’ young roster, rebound vulnerability and home-court challenge. With the Thunder aiming to dominate through pace and efficiency, and the Pelicans needing to bootstrap consistency via rebounding, defence and energy at home, the game will likely pivot on which team controls the glass and dictates tempo. Oklahoma City vs New Orleans AI Prediction: Free NBA Betting Insights for Nov 17. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New Orleans Pelicans NBA Preview

The New Orleans Pelicans enter this home matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder with a clear mandate to lean into their physicality, rebounding strength, and possession-control approach to disrupt OKC’s pace-heavy identity and turn the game into the slower, more methodical contest that suits their strengths. Their blueprint begins with dominating the glass—on both ends. Defensive rebounding is essential to prevent Oklahoma City from igniting its lethal transition game, as every secured board denies the Thunder the early-clock runway they rely on to generate efficient shots. Offensive rebounds, meanwhile, give New Orleans the ability to extend possessions, impose physical wear on OKC’s interior defenders, and slowly tilt the tempo toward the grind-heavy rhythm the Pelicans prefer. Their bigs and wings must win the battle for positioning early, secure rebounds through contact, and force the Thunder into repeated defensive stands that sap their explosiveness. Offensively, New Orleans must resist the temptation to match OKC’s pace; instead, they should run structured sets built on strong screens, purposeful drives, and interior touches that collapse the Thunder’s defense and open kick-out opportunities. The Pelicans must value possessions, avoid risky skip passes, and force OKC into a more reactive defensive mode by using physical drives and deliberate ball movement. Defensively, New Orleans’ focus must be on eliminating straight-line drives, keeping OKC’s stars out of rhythm, and maintaining discipline in closeouts to avoid giving up rhythm threes.

Their rotations must be sharp—early help on drives, quick recoveries to shooters, and forceful contests without fouling. Rebounding position must never be sacrificed for over-aggressive challenges, as OKC thrives when long misses turn into transition bursts. Depth will play a meaningful role, with the Pelicans’ second unit needing to provide rebounding energy, physical defense, and steady offensive execution to prevent the Thunder from seizing control during rotations. Emotionally, New Orleans must channel its home-court energy into disciplined and intentional play rather than rushed shots or forced transition attempts; the crowd should elevate their physical commitment, not push them into abandoning structure. The opening minutes are likely to set the tone—if the Pelicans control rebounds, slow OKC’s early actions, and generate efficient half-court possessions, they can assert themselves and challenge the Thunder to win in an uncomfortable style. But if they allow early runouts, lose focus on the glass, or fall into hurried possessions, Oklahoma City’s pace can quickly overwhelm them. Ultimately, New Orleans’ success hinges on reinforcing their identity with precision: dominate the glass, control the tempo, protect possessions, defend with physical structure, use their depth wisely, and turn home-court energy into a steady, punishing style of basketball that forces the Thunder to fight on terms that favor the Pelicans rather than the visitors.

Oklahoma City vs New Orleans Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Thunder and Pelicans play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Smoothie King Center in Nov almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Queen under 24.5 PTS+REB+AST.

Oklahoma City vs New Orleans Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Thunder and Pelicans and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned weight emotional bettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Thunder team going up against a possibly rested Pelicans team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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Below is our current AI Oklahoma City vs New Orleans picks, computer picks Thunder vs Pelicans, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
NBA 11/25 LAC@LAL UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
NBA 11/25 ORL@PHI UNLOCK THIS PICK 3 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.

Oklahoma City Betting Trends

The Thunder were 65-38-2 against the spread in 2024-25.

New Orleans Betting Trends

The Pelicans were about 19-25 against the spread in the 2024-25 season.

Thunder vs. Pelicans Matchup Trends

OKC’s strong ATS performance in recent seasons suggests they’re a reliable cover candidate, especially on the road when playing up to their identity. Conversely, New Orleans’ sub-.500 ATS mark indicates risk as the home side unless they reverse course. From a totals perspective: if OKC pushes pace and forces a higher-tempo game, the over may have value; if New Orleans imposes physical battles, controls rebounds, and slows the game, the under could be worth consideration.

Oklahoma City vs. New Orleans Game Info

November 17, 2025 • 9:00 PM EST • Smoothie King Center

Oklahoma City vs. New Orleans Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Oklahoma City vs New Orleans trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Oklahoma City vs New Orleans

Oklahoma City vs New Orleans Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 26, 2025 5:10PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Boston Celtics
11/26/25 5:10PM
Pistons
Celtics
-144
+127
-2.5 (-106)
+2.5 (-106)
O 230.5 (-107)
U 230.5 (-107)
Nov 26, 2025 7:10PM EST
New York Knicks
Charlotte Hornets
11/26/25 7:10PM
Knicks
Hornets
-248
+210
-6.5 (-106)
+6.5 (-106)
O 238.5 (-107)
U 238.5 (-107)
Nov 26, 2025 7:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Toronto Raptors
11/26/25 7:40PM
Pacers
Raptors
+350
-435
+10 (-101)
-10 (-111)
O 234.5 (-107)
U 234.5 (-107)
Nov 26, 2025 7:40PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Oklahoma City Thunder
11/26/25 7:40PM
Timberwolves
Thunder
+285
-345
+8.5 (-106)
-8.5 (-106)
O 227 (-107)
U 227 (-107)
Nov 26, 2025 7:40PM EST
Milwaukee Bucks
Miami Heat
11/26/25 7:40PM
Bucks
Heat
+248
-297
+8 (-106)
-8 (-106)
O 237 (-107)
U 237 (-107)
Nov 26, 2025 8:10PM EST
Memphis Grizzlies
New Orleans Pelicans
11/26/25 8:10PM
Grizzlies
Pelicans
-128
+112
-2 (-106)
+2 (-106)
O 234.5 (-113)
U 234.5 (-102)
Nov 26, 2025 10:10PM EST
Phoenix Suns
Sacramento Kings
11/26/25 10:10PM
Suns
Kings
-180
+158
-4.5 (-101)
+4.5 (-111)
O 233.5 (-107)
U 233.5 (-107)
Nov 26, 2025 10:10PM EST
San Antonio Spurs
Portland Trail Blazers
11/26/25 10:10PM
Spurs
Trail Blazers
+107
-123
+1.5 (-106)
-1.5 (-106)
O 239.5 (-107)
U 239.5 (-107)
Nov 26, 2025 10:10PM EST
Houston Rockets
Golden State Warriors
11/26/25 10:10PM
Rockets
Warriors
+124
-141
+2.5 (-101)
-2.5 (-111)
O 225.5 (-107)
U 225.5 (-107)

NBA Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Oklahoma City Thunder vs. New Orleans Pelicans on November 17, 2025 at Smoothie King Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

LEAN %WIN UNITS RESULT
DET@ATL DET +1.5 54.3% 4 WIN
GS@ORL ORL +3.5 57.4% 7 WIN
DET@ATL JALEN DUREN UNDER 22.5 PTS + ASSTS 55.1% 5 LOSS
BOS@BKN MICHAEL PORTER JR UNDER 26.5 PTS + ASSTS 54.4% 4 LOSS
IND@DET DET -10.5 55.3% 5 WIN
NY@MIA NY +2.5 51.8% 1 WIN
LAC@PHI LAC +5.5 55.3% 5 WIN
LAC@PHI IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 STEALS & BLOCKS 54.4% 4 LOSS
ORL@HOU HOU -7.5 54.0% 4 LOSS
POR@DAL DAL +4.5 56.8% 6 WIN
LAL@MIL LAL -115 55.7% 4 WIN
CHA@MIL MIL -9 54.4% 4 WIN
POR@HOU POR +8 54.4% 4 LOSS
POR@HOU TARI EASON OVER 4.5 FG MADE 53.7% 3 LOSS
ATL@UTA UTA +2.5 55.0% 5 LOSS
ATL@UTA KYLE FILIPOWSKI OVER 7.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 55.5% 5 WIN
NJ@CHI JACK HUGHES UNDER 0.5 ASST 54.4% 4 WIN
WAS@HOU KEVIN DURANT OVER 4.5 REBOUNDS 56.1% 6 WIN
GS@SA GS +4 52.5% 2 WIN
MEM@BOS MEM +7.5 56.0% 6 LOSS
BOS@PHI PHI +1.5 54.5% 4 WIN
IND@UTA UTA +3 56.8% 6 WIN
GS@OKC CHET HOLMGREN UNDER 18.5 POINTS + ASSTS 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@UTA MIN -7.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
MIL@DAL DAL +3 54.3% 4 WIN
POR@MIA POR -3.5 57.7% 7 LOSS
LAL@ATL DYSON DANIELS OVER 2.5 STEALS 56.8% 6 LOSS
CHI@MIL CHI +4.5 55.1% 6 LOSS
DAL@MEM MEM -4 56.3% 6 WIN
TOR@ATL TOR +118 48.0% 3 WIN
CHA@MIA OVER 235.5 54.3% 3 LOSS
LAC@PHX PHX -135 58.9% 7 WIN
PHI@CLE PHI +10.5 53.3% 3 LOSS
MIA@DEN MIA +9.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
OKC@POR POR +4.5 52.9% 3 WIN
HOU@MEM MEM +8.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
UTA@DET UTA +10 56.8% 6 LOSS
NO@DAL TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB 55.5% 5 LOSS
ORL@ATL ORL -3.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MIL@TOR MIL +3.5 56.5% 4 LOSS
PHX@GS STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE 53.3% 3 LOSS
OKC@LAC JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAL@POR POR -2.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
SA@PHX SA -5.5 56.6% 6 LOSS
ORL@WAS WAS +9 54.2% 4 LOSS
DAL@DET DAL +8 58.7% 8 LOSS
NY@CHI NY -4.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
BOS@PHI BOS +1.5 54.6% 4 WIN
TOR@CLE TOR +6 56.2% 6 WIN
DEN@POR JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS 56.6% 6 WIN
WAS@OKC WAS +15.5 54.9% 4 LOSS