Indiana vs Detroit Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Nov 17)
Updated: 2025-11-15T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Indiana Pacers travel to face the Detroit Pistons on November 17, 2025, in a renewed Central Division duel where Indiana’s need for consistency clashes with Detroit’s emerging depth and home-court momentum. With both teams still carving their identity early in the season, the outcome is likely to rest on tempo control, turnover margins, and which side can dominate the paint and rebounding battle.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 17, 2025
Start Time: 8:00 PM EST
Venue: Little Caesars Arena
Pistons Record: (11-2)
Pacers Record: (1-12)
OPENING ODDS
IND Moneyline: +350
DET Moneyline: -417
IND Spread: +9.5
DET Spread: -9.5
Over/Under: 229.5
IND
Betting Trends
- Indiana is 5-5 against the spread this season.
DET
Betting Trends
- Detroit is 7-4 against the spread this season.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Indiana’s .500 ATS mark suggests they’ve been neither reliable covers nor consistently failing, indicating room for volatility; Detroit’s stronger ATS record at home gives them a slight edge in this preview. From a totals perspective: if Indiana pushes pace and gets a high-scoring tempo going, the over could be attractive; if Detroit controls the interior, rebounds well and slows the pace, the under might be worthwhile.
IND vs. DET
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Nembhard under 19.5 Points.
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Indiana vs Detroit Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 11/17/25
The upcoming matchup between the Indiana Pacers and the Detroit Pistons on November 17, 2025 carries a blend of divisional familiarity, roster evolution, and contrasting stylistic ambitions that makes this meeting more nuanced than a straightforward early-season contest, as both teams are attempting to assert their identity while managing the volatility that comes with developing cores. Indiana enters with a perimeter-driven offense rooted in pace, ball movement, spacing, and quick-hitting actions that rely heavily on clean defensive rebounds and low-turnover possession flow to create rhythm, yet they remain vulnerable to stretches of defensive inconsistency, rebounding challenges, and cold shooting that can derail their momentum. Detroit, by contrast, approaches the matchup with growing physicality, interior strength, improved depth, and a surging home-court confidence that has allowed them to impose their style through rebounding control, paint pressure, and methodical half-court execution that tests opponents’ discipline. The strategic axis of the night revolves around tempo, paint control, and decision-making under pressure: Indiana wants to stretch the floor, attack early before Detroit can set its defense, and turn missed shots into transition chances, while Detroit wants to slow the pace, win board battles, convert offensive rebounds, and force the Pacers into longer possessions where their efficiency can waver. Rebounding sits at the heart of this clash; if Detroit dominates the glass, they not only generate second-chance scoring, but also starve Indiana of its primary fuel source—early-offense opportunities—while putting pressure on Indiana’s interior defense to absorb repeated drives and physical post touches. Turnovers form the second major hinge of the game, as Detroit’s young but improving backcourt can capitalize on Indiana’s occasional sloppy stretches, while the Pacers, when disciplined, are capable of generating the ball movement that keeps defenses rotating and creates high-quality perimeter looks.
Matchups will matter deeply: Indiana’s wings must handle Detroit’s growing physicality, while the Pistons’ guards must defend without overhelping and leaving shooters open. Both teams rely heavily on rhythm shooters, meaning early shot selection could sway long stretches of momentum, particularly in a road environment where Indiana’s confidence might swing quickly. Depth also shapes this meeting, with Detroit’s improving bench capable of sustaining defensive pressure and rebounding advantages, while Indiana’s second unit must provide stable scoring and protect the ball to prevent the Pistons’ reserves from generating separation. Emotionally and tactically, Detroit benefits from the familiar environment, crowd energy, and the ability to dictate terms physically, but they must remain disciplined enough not to turn possessions over or settle for jumpers that feed Indiana’s transition game. Indiana, meanwhile, must remain steady through Detroit’s inevitable bursts of physicality and crowd involvement, ensuring they do not abandon their spacing principles or force inefficient possessions early in the shot clock. Ultimately, the winner will be determined by which team reinforces its identity more consistently: whether Indiana can impose pace, movement, and perimeter efficiency without being derailed by rebounding deficits or physical pressure, or whether Detroit can convert their interior strength, home-court momentum, and emerging two-way cohesion into a performance that forces the Pacers into extended half-court sequences and tests the very aspects of their game where volatility most often appears.
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looking ahead at our 3 remaining Pacers Cup Nights presented by @Xfinity 👀 pic.twitter.com/7dUQXfvM7v
— Indiana Pacers (@Pacers) November 16, 2025
Indiana Pacers NBA Preview
The Indiana Pacers enter this road matchup against the Detroit Pistons knowing that their path to success depends on transforming their pace-driven, perimeter-oriented offense into a disciplined and resilient effort capable of withstanding Detroit’s growing interior strength, physicality, and home-court energy. Indiana’s identity hinges on tempo: pushing the ball in transition, spacing the floor, and generating rhythm through quick-hitting movement, but they can only accomplish this if they secure defensive rebounds and avoid the turnovers that so often fuel opponents’ momentum in hostile environments. Against a Detroit team committed to attacking the paint and dominating the glass, Indiana must rebound collectively—guards crashing down to support bigs, wings sealing out Detroit’s lengthy forwards, and the team as a whole preventing second-chance opportunities that would slow their pace and force them into half-court scenarios. Offensively, the Pacers need to lean into their spacing, using screens, cuts, and ball reversals to create open perimeter looks while mixing in purposeful drives to collapse Detroit’s defense. Shot selection becomes critical; rushed jumpers, early-clock threes without proper rebounding position, or forced drives into traffic will allow Detroit to control tempo and play from strength. Indiana’s ball-handlers must stay patient under pressure, value the ball, and avoid live-ball turnovers that convert directly into Detroit’s transition or interior scoring.
Defensively, the Pacers must rotate with precision, close out without fouling, and protect the rim despite Detroit’s size advantage. Their ability to navigate Detroit’s physical screens, defend drivers without overcommitting, and stay organized on late-possession actions will determine if they can disrupt Detroit’s rhythm. Depth plays an outsized role on the road; Indiana’s bench must provide competent scoring, energetic defense, and disciplined possessions to keep the game balanced when starters rest, particularly against a Pistons second unit that thrives on effort and rebounding. Emotionally, the Pacers must manage momentum swings and crowd surges, maintaining composure through Detroit’s physical runs rather than being pushed into rushed possessions that feed the Pistons’ style. The opening quarter will reveal Indiana’s readiness—whether they can secure rebounds, dictate pace, and find early offensive flow, or whether Detroit’s size and home energy draw them into slower, more physical basketball that disrupts their identity. Ultimately, Indiana’s success in this road contest rests on executing their strengths with maturity: controlling the defensive boards, pushing the pace intelligently, moving the ball with purpose, limiting turnovers, and using their perimeter shooting as a weapon without allowing Detroit’s physicality to force them out of character.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Detroit Pistons NBA Preview
The Detroit Pistons enter this home matchup against the Indiana Pacers with an opportunity to lean into their growing strengths—interior physicality, rebounding dominance, defensive energy, and emerging depth—to dictate a game script that forces Indiana away from its preferred pace-and-space identity. Detroit’s blueprint begins with controlling the paint on both ends: securing defensive rebounds to prevent Indiana’s transition game from igniting, and attacking the offensive glass to generate second-chance points, extended possessions, and the kind of physical tone that disrupts the Pacers’ rhythm. Their frontcourt must assert itself early with strong seals, purposeful rolls, and high-effort rebounding, challenging Indiana’s interior defense and making every Pacers miss costly. Offensively, Detroit must avoid falling into shot-selection traps—settling for early jumpers or low-efficiency attempts would play directly into Indiana’s strengths; instead, they should attack downhill, use dribble penetration to collapse Indiana’s defense, and feed their bigs in deep post or short-roll positions where efficiency increases and foul pressure can accumulate. Their ball movement needs to remain steady and confident, preventing the Pacers from generating turnovers that lead to momentum-shifting transition bursts. Defensively, the Pistons must control Indiana’s pace by limiting early offense, closing out under control on shooters, and forcing the Pacers into contested jumpers late in the shot clock.
They must also be disciplined in screen navigation and help-side rotations to avoid allowing Indiana’s off-ball actions to create clean perimeter looks. Detroit’s length and physicality should be directed toward making every Pacers possession a grind, minimizing backdoor cuts and preventing easy rhythm threes. Depth plays a significant role in Detroit’s home success; their bench must continue to provide high-energy defense, strong rebounding, and opportunistic scoring. This second unit can tilt momentum by dominating hustle plays and imposing physicality during Indiana’s rotation windows, where the Pacers can sometimes struggle to maintain offensive continuity. Emotionally, the Pistons must channel their home-court advantage with maturity—using crowd energy to fuel defensive intensity, rebounding effort, and disciplined possessions rather than rushing shots or losing structure. The early minutes will be telling: if Detroit sets the tone physically, wins the glass, and forces Indiana into half-court possessions, the Pistons can shape the game according to their strengths; if they allow the Pacers to run early, hit rhythm threes, or score in bunches, they risk losing grip of the tempo. Ultimately, Detroit’s blueprint for victory rests on executing their identity with consistency: dominate the boards, pressure the paint, defend with collective discipline, utilize their improved depth, and turn home-court energy into the steady advantages that often determine divisional matchups.
Putting trust in what we’re building pic.twitter.com/2pOcB5Dzhk
— Detroit Pistons (@DetroitPistons) November 15, 2025
Indiana vs Detroit Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Pacers and Pistons play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Little Caesars Arena in Nov almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Indiana vs Detroit Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Pacers and Pistons and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned emphasis emotional bettors tend to put on Detroit’s strength factors between a Pacers team going up against a possibly deflated Pistons team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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Below is our current AI Indiana vs Detroit picks, computer picks Pacers vs Pistons, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 11/25 | LAC@LAL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v3
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| NBA | 11/25 | ORL@PHI | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
EXECUTIVE
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Indiana Betting Trends
Indiana is 5-5 against the spread this season.
Detroit Betting Trends
Detroit is 7-4 against the spread this season.
Pacers vs. Pistons Matchup Trends
Indiana’s .500 ATS mark suggests they’ve been neither reliable covers nor consistently failing, indicating room for volatility; Detroit’s stronger ATS record at home gives them a slight edge in this preview. From a totals perspective: if Indiana pushes pace and gets a high-scoring tempo going, the over could be attractive; if Detroit controls the interior, rebounds well and slows the pace, the under might be worthwhile.
Indiana vs. Detroit Game Info
Indiana vs Detroit starts on November 17, 2025 at 8:00 PM EST.
Venue: Little Caesars Arena.
Spread: Detroit -9.5
Moneyline: Indiana +350, Detroit -417
Over/Under: 229.5
Indiana: (1-12) | Detroit: (11-2)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Nembhard under 19.5 Points.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Indiana’s .500 ATS mark suggests they’ve been neither reliable covers nor consistently failing, indicating room for volatility; Detroit’s stronger ATS record at home gives them a slight edge in this preview. From a totals perspective: if Indiana pushes pace and gets a high-scoring tempo going, the over could be attractive; if Detroit controls the interior, rebounds well and slows the pace, the under might be worthwhile.
IND trend: Indiana is 5-5 against the spread this season.
DET trend: Detroit is 7-4 against the spread this season.
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Indiana vs. Detroit Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Indiana vs Detroit trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
| IND Moneyline | +350 |
|---|---|
| DET Moneyline | -417 |
| IND Spread | +9.5 |
| DET Spread | -9.5 |
| Over / Under | 229.5 |
Indiana vs Detroit Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Nov 26, 2025 5:10PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Boston Celtics
11/26/25 5:10PM
Pistons
Celtics
|
–
–
|
-146
+124
|
-2.5 (-114)
+2.5 (-106)
|
O 230.5 (-114)
U 230.5 (-106)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 7:10PM EST
New York Knicks
Charlotte Hornets
11/26/25 7:10PM
Knicks
Hornets
|
–
–
|
-260
+215
|
-6.5 (-114)
+6.5 (-106)
|
O 241.5 (-108)
U 241.5 (-112)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 7:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Toronto Raptors
11/26/25 7:40PM
Pacers
Raptors
|
–
–
|
+400
-520
|
+10.5 (-106)
-10.5 (-114)
|
O 234.5 (-110)
U 234.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 7:40PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Oklahoma City Thunder
11/26/25 7:40PM
Timberwolves
Thunder
|
–
–
|
+295
-370
|
+8.5 (-106)
-8.5 (-114)
|
O 226.5 (-114)
U 226.5 (-106)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 7:40PM EST
Milwaukee Bucks
Miami Heat
11/26/25 7:40PM
Bucks
Heat
|
–
–
|
+275
-340
|
+8.5 (-106)
-8.5 (-114)
|
O 237.5 (-114)
U 237.5 (-106)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 8:10PM EST
Memphis Grizzlies
New Orleans Pelicans
11/26/25 8:10PM
Grizzlies
Pelicans
|
–
–
|
-164
+138
|
-4 (-106)
+4 (-114)
|
O 235.5 (-110)
U 235.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 10:10PM EST
Phoenix Suns
Sacramento Kings
11/26/25 10:10PM
Suns
Kings
|
–
–
|
-174
+148
|
-4.5 (-106)
+4.5 (-114)
|
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 10:10PM EST
San Antonio Spurs
Portland Trail Blazers
11/26/25 10:10PM
Spurs
Trail Blazers
|
–
–
|
+102
-120
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 239.5 (-110)
U 239.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 10:10PM EST
Houston Rockets
Golden State Warriors
11/26/25 10:10PM
Rockets
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+124
-146
|
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
|
O 224.5 (-108)
U 224.5 (-112)
|
NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Indiana Pacers vs. Detroit Pistons on November 17, 2025 at Little Caesars Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET@ATL | DET +1.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@ORL | ORL +3.5 | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@ATL | JALEN DUREN UNDER 22.5 PTS + ASSTS | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| BOS@BKN | MICHAEL PORTER JR UNDER 26.5 PTS + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@DET | DET -10.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| NY@MIA | NY +2.5 | 51.8% | 1 | WIN |
| LAC@PHI | LAC +5.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@PHI | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 STEALS & BLOCKS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| ORL@HOU | HOU -7.5 | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| POR@DAL | DAL +4.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| LAL@MIL | LAL -115 | 55.7% | 4 | WIN |
| CHA@MIL | MIL -9 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| POR@HOU | POR +8 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| POR@HOU | TARI EASON OVER 4.5 FG MADE | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| ATL@UTA | UTA +2.5 | 55.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| ATL@UTA | KYLE FILIPOWSKI OVER 7.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| NJ@CHI | JACK HUGHES UNDER 0.5 ASST | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@HOU | KEVIN DURANT OVER 4.5 REBOUNDS | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| GS@SA | GS +4 | 52.5% | 2 | WIN |
| MEM@BOS | MEM +7.5 | 56.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| BOS@PHI | PHI +1.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| IND@UTA | UTA +3 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| GS@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN UNDER 18.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@UTA | MIN -7.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIL@DAL | DAL +3 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| POR@MIA | POR -3.5 | 57.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| LAL@ATL | DYSON DANIELS OVER 2.5 STEALS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@MIL | CHI +4.5 | 55.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| DAL@MEM | MEM -4 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@ATL | TOR +118 | 48.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@MIA | OVER 235.5 | 54.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@PHX | PHX -135 | 58.9% | 7 | WIN |
| PHI@CLE | PHI +10.5 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIA@DEN | MIA +9.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@POR | POR +4.5 | 52.9% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@MEM | MEM +8.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@DET | UTA +10 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| NO@DAL | TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| ORL@ATL | ORL -3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIL@TOR | MIL +3.5 | 56.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@GS | STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@LAC | JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAL@POR | POR -2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@PHX | SA -5.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ORL@WAS | WAS +9 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@DET | DAL +8 | 58.7% | 8 | LOSS |
| NY@CHI | NY -4.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@PHI | BOS +1.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@CLE | TOR +6 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@POR | JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| WAS@OKC | WAS +15.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |