Golden State vs New Orleans Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Nov 16)
Updated: 2025-11-14T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Golden State Warriors travel to face the New Orleans Pelicans on November 16, 2025 in a matchup that pits Golden State’s veteran-laden, scoring-heavy offense against New Orleans’s younger spine and home-court momentum. With both teams showing inconsistencies in covering the spread and in defensive execution, this game may hinge less on star names and more on how well each squad controls tempo, glass work, and transition opportunities.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 16, 2025
Start Time: 8:00 PM EST
Venue: Smoothie King Center
Pelicans Record: (2-10)
Warriors Record: (8-6)
OPENING ODDS
GSW Moneyline: -526
NO Moneyline: +438
GSW Spread: -11.5
NO Spread: +11.5
Over/Under: 227.5
GSW
Betting Trends
- The Warriors are 6-5 against the spread this season.
NO
Betting Trends
- The Pelicans are approximately 4-5-1 ATS this season.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Noteworthy angles include Golden State’s moderate cover rate—indicating while they win often, they don’t always dominate margins—and New Orleans’s weaker home cover consistency despite being the home team, which may point to value for the away side. Also relevant: when these two teams meet historically, the Warriors hold a strong winning record and games have varied in total-points outcomes, which adds complexity to betting on totals.
GSW vs. NO
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Z. Williamson over 23.5 PTS+REB.
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Golden State vs New Orleans Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 11/16/25
The upcoming matchup between the Golden State Warriors and the New Orleans Pelicans on November 16, 2025 presents a compelling collision of contrasting identities, competitive aspirations, and stylistic philosophies, with Golden State arriving as the more experienced, perimeter-driven, movement-oriented roster and New Orleans continuing its emergence as a young, physically assertive team looking to leverage home-court energy against a veteran opponent. For Golden State, the central storyline revolves around their ability to translate their offensive rhythm into sustained, four-quarter execution; their moderate ATS record suggests that while they remain dangerous and capable of explosive scoring runs, they have not consistently extended those bursts into full-game dominance. Their success in this matchup hinges on pushing pace selectively, establishing perimeter rhythm early, and ensuring that their spacing, screening, and ball movement produce the sort of defensive stress that prevents the Pelicans from collapsing the paint or dictating the terms of engagement. Conversely, the Pelicans must seek to disrupt that flow with physicality, rebounding intensity, and disciplined half-court defense, forcing Golden State into contested jumpers rather than clean off-ball actions or early-clock threes. The strategic heartbeat of this matchup lies in tempo: Golden State prefers to play with controlled pace that opens the floor for long-range shooting and secondary creation, while New Orleans aims to slow the game, secure defensive rebounds, and grind possessions into paint-driven opportunities.
Rebounding may be the single defining factor that tilts the game’s texture; the Pelicans must protect the glass aggressively to deny the Warriors second-chance looks and transition opportunities, and Golden State must avoid giving New Orleans multiple opportunities per possession, especially given the Pelicans’ ability to shift momentum quickly with crowd-backed energy plays. Both teams’ benches will play critical roles, as New Orleans relies on its depth to maintain physicality and defensive pressure, while Golden State depends on its second unit for spacing, ball security, and maintaining offensive rhythm when star players rest. Defensive discipline for the Warriors will be paramount, especially against a Pelicans team that thrives when it can attack downhill and collapse defensive layers, and New Orleans must avoid turnovers that transform into transition threes for Golden State, as such sequences can swing momentum dramatically. The opening minutes likely set the tone: if Golden State hits early shots and forces the Pelicans into uncomfortable defensive reactions, the matchup may shift heavily toward the Warriors’ preferred style; but if New Orleans asserts the glass, protects the paint, and forces Golden State into late-clock executions, the home team can draw the Warriors into a slower, more physical contest that increases their own chances. Ultimately, this matchup will hinge on detail more than star power—whichever team controls tempo, rebounds, minimizes turnovers, and imposes its identity with greater consistency across all four quarters will likely emerge with the advantage in what should be a high-intensity early-season test for both sides.
Get live NBA odds and precise AI NBA picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
Steph gonna Steph pic.twitter.com/LdU6QifUSz
— Golden State Warriors (@warriors) November 16, 2025
Golden State Warriors NBA Preview
The Golden State Warriors enter this road matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans understanding that their ability to impose offensive rhythm, maintain composure in a hostile environment, and execute with discipline across all four quarters will determine whether they can overcome a Pelicans team that leans heavily on physicality, rebounding, and home-court energy. Golden State’s moderate ATS record this season reflects their inconsistency in extending scoring bursts into sustained control, and on the road that inconsistency becomes an even bigger liability. To succeed in New Orleans, the Warriors must establish pace early—not through reckless rushing, but through purposeful early-clock actions, quick ball movement, and spacing that prevents the Pelicans’ defense from collapsing effectively. Their shooters must set the tone, hitting perimeter looks early to stretch New Orleans’ help defense and create driving lanes; if they go cold early, the Pelicans can pack the paint and force Golden State into difficult, contested shots late in the shot clock. Defensively, the Warriors’ primary task is securing rebounds and preventing second-chance opportunities, as New Orleans has enough interior strength and athleticism to punish even brief lapses on the glass. Golden State also must maintain communication in pick-and-roll defense, close out with discipline, and avoid unnecessary fouls that give the Pelicans free points and momentum surges.
Turnovers, always a critical factor in Warriors basketball, become especially dangerous on the road—any sloppy pass or misread risks triggering New Orleans transition attacks and energizing the building. Golden State’s bench must contribute stability, defensive precision, and reliable scoring bursts to avoid the drop-offs that have defined their tougher road stretches. Emotional control is also essential; the Warriors must withstand Pelicans runs, maintain poise during momentum swings, and respond with structure rather than rushed threes or isolation desperation. The opening six minutes will be a crucial litmus test—if the Warriors establish offensive flow, share the ball, and hit early shots, they can quiet the crowd and tilt the game toward their rhythm. But if they start slowly, allow offensive rebounds, or commit early turnovers, the Pelicans will seize control and force the Warriors into a grind that weakens their strengths. Ultimately, Golden State’s success hinges on pairing their veteran offensive talent with disciplined fundamentals: protect the glass, limit turnovers, force New Orleans into tough half-court possessions, and maintain offensive balance. If the Warriors can achieve that blend, they can turn this challenging road environment into an opportunity to reinforce their identity and secure a convincing performance away from home.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
New Orleans Pelicans NBA Preview
The New Orleans Pelicans enter this home matchup against the Golden State Warriors with a clear opportunity to assert their physicality, rebounding strength, and improving defensive structure against a Warriors team that can overwhelm opponents with perimeter creation but has shown stretches of inconsistency, especially when forced into slower, more physical games. For New Orleans, everything begins on the glass—the Pelicans must win the rebounding battle decisively, as controlling the defensive boards not only limits Golden State’s second-chance scoring but also prevents the Warriors from converting long rebounds into transition threes that can swing momentum in an instant. Their defensive focus must be sharp from the opening tip: strong closeouts on shooters, disciplined help rotations that protect the paint without overcommitting to the perimeter, and physical on-ball pressure designed to disrupt Golden State’s rhythm and force the Warriors deeper into the shot clock. Offensively, New Orleans must lean into its advantages by attacking downhill, generating paint touches, and using ball movement to collapse Golden State’s defense before kicking out to open shooters.
They should prioritize a steady tempo, resisting the urge to engage in fast-paced exchanges that favor the Warriors, instead forcing the game into half-court possessions where their physicality and interior presence become more impactful. New Orleans’s bench must support this game plan—bringing energy, maintaining defensive physicality, and providing enough scoring to prevent drop-offs that Golden State can exploit with quick bursts. The Pelicans must also stay disciplined with turnovers, as any careless possession risks fueling Warriors runs that swing momentum sharply. The opening quarter is particularly critical: if the Pelicans establish dominance on the boards, protect the paint, and dictate a slower, more measured pace, they can force Golden State into contested shots and disrupt their movement-heavy offense. Conversely, if they surrender early offensive rebounds or allow the Warriors to hit perimeter shots in rhythm, New Orleans may find themselves reacting instead of controlling. Crowd energy will be a meaningful factor; the Pelicans often play with heightened physicality and urgency at home, and sustaining that intensity through all four quarters will be essential. Ultimately, New Orleans’s path to victory lies in turning the game into one defined by rebounding control, defensive toughness, interior scoring, and tempo discipline—translating home-court advantage into a structured, imposing performance that prevents the Warriors from ever fully unlocking their high-octane offensive identity.
rooks🔗#Pelicans | @MyLouisianaBlue pic.twitter.com/2BNJrrBlrh
— New Orleans Pelicans (@PelicansNBA) November 15, 2025
Golden State vs New Orleans Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Warriors and Pelicans play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Smoothie King Center in Nov can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Golden State vs New Orleans Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Warriors and Pelicans and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the growing emphasis emotional bettors tend to put on Golden State’s strength factors between a Warriors team going up against a possibly deflated Pelicans team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Golden State vs New Orleans picks, computer picks Warriors vs Pelicans, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 11/25 | LAC@LAL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v3
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| NBA | 11/25 | ORL@PHI | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
EXECUTIVE
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Golden State Betting Trends
The Warriors are 6-5 against the spread this season.
New Orleans Betting Trends
The Pelicans are approximately 4-5-1 ATS this season.
Warriors vs. Pelicans Matchup Trends
Noteworthy angles include Golden State’s moderate cover rate—indicating while they win often, they don’t always dominate margins—and New Orleans’s weaker home cover consistency despite being the home team, which may point to value for the away side. Also relevant: when these two teams meet historically, the Warriors hold a strong winning record and games have varied in total-points outcomes, which adds complexity to betting on totals.
Golden State vs. New Orleans Game Info
Golden State vs New Orleans starts on November 16, 2025 at 8:00 PM EST.
Venue: Smoothie King Center.
Spread: New Orleans +11.5
Moneyline: Golden State -526, New Orleans +438
Over/Under: 227.5
Golden State: (8-6) | New Orleans: (2-10)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Z. Williamson over 23.5 PTS+REB.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Noteworthy angles include Golden State’s moderate cover rate—indicating while they win often, they don’t always dominate margins—and New Orleans’s weaker home cover consistency despite being the home team, which may point to value for the away side. Also relevant: when these two teams meet historically, the Warriors hold a strong winning record and games have varied in total-points outcomes, which adds complexity to betting on totals.
GSW trend: The Warriors are 6-5 against the spread this season.
NO trend: The Pelicans are approximately 4-5-1 ATS this season.
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Golden State vs. New Orleans Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Golden State vs New Orleans trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
| GSW Moneyline | -526 |
|---|---|
| NO Moneyline | +438 |
| GSW Spread | -11.5 |
| NO Spread | +11.5 |
| Over / Under | 227.5 |
Golden State vs New Orleans Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Nov 26, 2025 5:10PM EST
Detroit Pistons
Boston Celtics
11/26/25 5:10PM
Pistons
Celtics
|
–
–
|
-145
+120
|
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
|
O 230.5 (-115)
U 230.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 7:10PM EST
New York Knicks
Charlotte Hornets
11/26/25 7:10PM
Knicks
Hornets
|
–
–
|
-275
+220
|
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
|
O 238.5 (-110)
U 238.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 7:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Toronto Raptors
11/26/25 7:40PM
Pacers
Raptors
|
–
–
|
+375
-500
|
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
|
O 233.5 (-115)
U 233.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 7:40PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Oklahoma City Thunder
11/26/25 7:40PM
Timberwolves
Thunder
|
–
–
|
+280
-350
|
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
|
O 227.5 (-105)
U 227.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 7:40PM EST
Milwaukee Bucks
Miami Heat
11/26/25 7:40PM
Bucks
Heat
|
–
–
|
+240
-300
|
+7.5 (-105)
-7.5 (-115)
|
O 237.5 (-110)
U 237.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 8:10PM EST
Memphis Grizzlies
New Orleans Pelicans
11/26/25 8:10PM
Grizzlies
Pelicans
|
–
–
|
-140
+115
|
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
|
O 235.5 (-110)
U 235.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 10:10PM EST
Phoenix Suns
Sacramento Kings
11/26/25 10:10PM
Suns
Kings
|
–
–
|
-190
+154
|
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
|
O 233.5 (-115)
U 233.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 10:10PM EST
San Antonio Spurs
Portland Trail Blazers
11/26/25 10:10PM
Spurs
Trail Blazers
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 239.5 (-105)
U 239.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 10:10PM EST
Houston Rockets
Golden State Warriors
11/26/25 10:10PM
Rockets
Warriors
|
–
–
|
+118
-145
|
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
|
O 224.5 (-115)
U 224.5 (-105)
|
NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Golden State Warriors vs. New Orleans Pelicans on November 16, 2025 at Smoothie King Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET@ATL | DET +1.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@ORL | ORL +3.5 | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@ATL | JALEN DUREN UNDER 22.5 PTS + ASSTS | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| BOS@BKN | MICHAEL PORTER JR UNDER 26.5 PTS + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@DET | DET -10.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| NY@MIA | NY +2.5 | 51.8% | 1 | WIN |
| LAC@PHI | LAC +5.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@PHI | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 STEALS & BLOCKS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| ORL@HOU | HOU -7.5 | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| POR@DAL | DAL +4.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| LAL@MIL | LAL -115 | 55.7% | 4 | WIN |
| CHA@MIL | MIL -9 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| POR@HOU | POR +8 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| POR@HOU | TARI EASON OVER 4.5 FG MADE | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| ATL@UTA | UTA +2.5 | 55.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| ATL@UTA | KYLE FILIPOWSKI OVER 7.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| NJ@CHI | JACK HUGHES UNDER 0.5 ASST | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@HOU | KEVIN DURANT OVER 4.5 REBOUNDS | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| GS@SA | GS +4 | 52.5% | 2 | WIN |
| MEM@BOS | MEM +7.5 | 56.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| BOS@PHI | PHI +1.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| IND@UTA | UTA +3 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| GS@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN UNDER 18.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@UTA | MIN -7.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIL@DAL | DAL +3 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| POR@MIA | POR -3.5 | 57.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| LAL@ATL | DYSON DANIELS OVER 2.5 STEALS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@MIL | CHI +4.5 | 55.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| DAL@MEM | MEM -4 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@ATL | TOR +118 | 48.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@MIA | OVER 235.5 | 54.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@PHX | PHX -135 | 58.9% | 7 | WIN |
| PHI@CLE | PHI +10.5 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIA@DEN | MIA +9.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@POR | POR +4.5 | 52.9% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@MEM | MEM +8.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@DET | UTA +10 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| NO@DAL | TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| ORL@ATL | ORL -3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIL@TOR | MIL +3.5 | 56.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@GS | STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@LAC | JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAL@POR | POR -2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@PHX | SA -5.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ORL@WAS | WAS +9 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@DET | DAL +8 | 58.7% | 8 | LOSS |
| NY@CHI | NY -4.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@PHI | BOS +1.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@CLE | TOR +6 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@POR | JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| WAS@OKC | WAS +15.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |