Atlanta vs Phoenix Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Nov 16)
Updated: 2025-11-14T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Atlanta Hawks visit the Phoenix Suns on November 16, 2025 in a matchup between Atlanta’s young-core offensive explosiveness and Phoenix’s home-court platform and veteran roster aiming for consistency. With both teams showing volatility in covering the spread and fluctuating defensive performance, this game will likely pivot on tempo, rebounding battles and which side imposes its preferred pace first.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 16, 2025
Start Time: 9:00 PM EST
Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center
Suns Record: (8-5)
Hawks Record: (8-5)
OPENING ODDS
ATL Moneyline: -114
PHX Moneyline: +108
ATL Spread: -1.5
PHX Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 231.5
ATL
Betting Trends
- The Hawks are currently sitting at about a 45.5 % cover rate ATS (approximately 5-6) per recent data.
PHX
Betting Trends
- The Suns have struggled at home against the spread, with a mark around 3-8 or roughly a 27 % cover rate in recent home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Key angles include the Suns’ very weak home-cover performance despite home court, suggesting potential value on the visitor side or at least caution on heavy favoritism for Phoenix at home. Meanwhile the Hawks’ moderate but unimpressive road cover rate means that while they’re not dominant, the road dynamics and Phoenix’s home-court vulnerability open unusual pathways for Atlanta value. Additionally, total‐points markets may lean toward the over if Atlanta’s pace hits and Phoenix fails to control tempo; conversely if Phoenix dictates possession and slows the game, the under becomes plausible.
ATL vs. PHX
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Daniels under 19.5 PTS+AST.
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Atlanta vs Phoenix Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 11/16/25
The upcoming matchup between the Atlanta Hawks and the Phoenix Suns on November 16, 2025 arrives as an intriguing collision of contrasting identities, structural inconsistencies, and situational vulnerabilities that make this game far more unpredictable than their reputations might suggest, with Atlanta entering as a young, pace-centric team capable of explosive scoring surges and Phoenix operating as a veteran group that should thrive at home but has struggled to convert that advantage into reliable ATS performance. Atlanta’s road profile shows a team that can generate exceptional rhythm when allowed to run, push pace, and exploit early-clock mismatches, yet their inconsistency in half-court execution and tendency to surrender defensive boards create volatility that experienced opponents can punish, especially if the Hawks fall into stretches of isolation or rushed perimeter attempts. Phoenix, meanwhile, brings a roster with experience, shot creation, and half-court stability, but their poor home ATS record exposes a troubling inability to sustain defensive focus, protect leads, or dictate pace for full stretches, often allowing opponents to hang around long enough to tilt momentum. The keys to this matchup begin with tempo control: Atlanta will attempt to run at every opportunity, attacking through transition, drive-and-kick sequences, and off-ball movement that forces Phoenix’s defense into continuous rotation, while the Suns must slow the game into deliberate possessions built on disciplined spacing, intelligent screening, and veteran decision-making that forces the Hawks to defend for full clock cycles. Rebounding sits at the heart of the tactical battle, as Atlanta’s success relies on securing defensive boards to ignite transition and Phoenix depends on winning the glass to prevent runouts and create second-chance scoring that neutralizes the Hawks’ speed. Turnovers will likely be decisive, as Atlanta thrives when opponents make mistakes that fuel pace, while Phoenix must limit live-ball errors to avoid giving the Hawks the runway they need to seize control.
Defensively, the Suns must limit dribble penetration, close out under control on Atlanta’s shooters, and maintain interior resistance without fouling, while the Hawks must commit to protecting the rim, preventing Phoenix’s veteran scorers from settling into comfortable rhythms, and rotating with precision to avoid surrendering open perimeter looks off post-touches or ball reversals. Bench minutes will also shape the game’s rhythm, as Atlanta’s second unit must preserve pace and defensive energy, while Phoenix’s bench must provide stability, rebounding, and controlled offense to prevent the Hawks from generating momentum during rotation stretches. The opening quarter will likely shape the complexion of the game—if Atlanta hits early shots, controls the tempo, and forces Phoenix into reactive possessions, they can tilt the contest toward their strengths; if the Suns rebound assertively, slow the game, and make the Hawks operate in the half-court, they can impose veteran structure. Ultimately, the winner will be whichever team consistently imposes its identity, minimizes self-inflicted damage, controls the glass, and handles momentum swings with more discipline across all four quarters.
Get live NBA odds and precise AI NBA picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
Heat Czech in the last 4 games:
— Atlanta Hawks (@ATLHawks) November 16, 2025
19.0 PPG
63.4% FG
59.4% 3PT (8.0 3PA)
He's going nuclear 🤯 pic.twitter.com/r2pdVH53q5
Atlanta Hawks NBA Preview
The Atlanta Hawks enter this road matchup against the Phoenix Suns knowing that their ability to impose pace, control transition flow, and maintain defensive discipline for a full four quarters will determine whether they can exploit a Phoenix team that has struggled badly against the spread at home and often fails to dictate tempo despite its veteran roster. For Atlanta, everything begins with pace—not reckless acceleration, but purposeful early-clock attacks that force Phoenix’s aging defensive core into uncomfortable rotations and deny them the chance to settle into half-court structure. The Hawks must push off every defensive rebound, make quick outlet decisions, and attack downhill before the Suns can load the paint, as this is where Atlanta’s length, athleticism, and spacing become potent advantages. Rebounding will be a defining factor for the Hawks: if they control the defensive glass, they can generate the transition opportunities that shape their winning identity, but if they surrender offensive boards or long rebounds, they risk allowing Phoenix to dictate rhythm and slow the game into possessions that expose Atlanta’s tendency to break down defensively late in the clock. Atlanta must also protect possessions on the road, avoiding the sloppy turnovers—bad passes, forced drives, miscommunications—that Phoenix can convert into momentum swings and crowd-engaging runs.
Offensively, the Hawks need to maintain balance: spacing must be crisp, ball movement must be deliberate yet quick, and shot selection must lean toward high-percentage interior looks or rhythm perimeter attempts created from drive-and-kick action rather than early-clock isolation threes. Their creators must pressure the rim consistently to collapse Phoenix’s help defense; if Atlanta settles for jumpers too early, the Suns’ defense becomes exponentially easier to navigate. Defensively, the Hawks must commit to protecting the paint first and foremost: Phoenix’s veteran scorers thrive when allowed to get to comfortable mid-range and elbow spots, and Atlanta must force them into contested jumpers while avoiding overhelping that opens up corner threes. Rotations must be sharp, closeouts must be controlled, and the Hawks cannot afford to give Phoenix easy slip screens, backdoor cuts, or high-low entries that disrupt Atlanta’s defensive spacing. Bench play will be critical: the Hawks’ second unit must sustain the pace, defend with energy, and rebound effectively, as any mid-game lapse will be punished by Phoenix’s more experienced reserves. Emotional stability is another key layer; road environments require resilience when Phoenix inevitably goes on scoring bursts, and Atlanta must respond with structure rather than rushed shots or breakdowns in defensive communication. The opening minutes will set the tone—if the Hawks hit early shots, control tempo, win the glass, and deny Phoenix comfortable half-court looks, they can quiet the crowd and force the Suns into reactive basketball. But if they start slowly, surrender rebounding battles, or turn the ball over early, they risk allowing Phoenix to dictate pace and leveraging veteran experience to keep the Hawks chasing all night. Ultimately, Atlanta’s path to a successful road performance requires merging pace with discipline, rebounding with urgency, and defense with cohesion, ensuring that their speed becomes a weapon rather than a liability in a matchup where execution will decide everything.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Phoenix Suns NBA Preview
The Phoenix Suns enter this home matchup against the Atlanta Hawks with both opportunity and urgency, knowing that despite having a veteran-anchored roster and the benefits of home-court familiarity, their poor ATS performance at home reflects recurring issues with defensive consistency, rebounding discipline, and tempo control that must be addressed if they intend to neutralize Atlanta’s pace-driven attack. For Phoenix, success begins with dictating the game’s rhythm; they must slow the tempo, force the Hawks into deliberate half-court possessions, and avoid getting pulled into the kind of up-and-down exchanges that favor Atlanta’s young legs and transition scoring. Controlling the glass will be a defining element of their game plan: the Suns must secure defensive rebounds with urgency to limit Atlanta’s second-chance opportunities and prevent them from turning long rebounds into fast-break acceleration, which is where the Hawks are at their most dangerous. Offensively, Phoenix must rely on structure and veteran decision-making—utilizing pick-and-roll actions, purposeful ball movement, interior touches, and spacing that forces Atlanta’s help defense into tough choices. Their creators must relentlessly attack the paint, as doing so collapses Atlanta’s defense and opens kick-outs for shooters; settling for early-clock jumpers or contested long twos risks empowering the Hawks’ transition game.
Phoenix must also avoid offensive stagnation, a recurring issue in their home struggles, ensuring that possessions remain fluid and multi-action rather than isolation-heavy. Defensively, the Suns must prioritize rim protection and transition denial: sprinting back, cutting off driving lanes, and forcing Atlanta to earn difficult wings-to-paint entries rather than allowing downhill attacks. Phoenix’s perimeter defenders must close out under control to prevent Atlanta’s shooters from finding early rhythm, but without biting on pump fakes that open straight-line drives—an area where the Hawks excel. Foul discipline is critical; Phoenix cannot afford to give Atlanta free points at the line, especially when trying to slow pace. Bench contributions loom especially large, given that the Hawks’ reserves are capable of maintaining or even elevating pace; Phoenix’s second unit must offer steady scoring, control rebounds, and avoid turnovers that swing momentum. Emotional steadiness is equally vital—Phoenix must counter Atlanta’s inevitable scoring bursts with composure rather than rushed possessions or defensive breakdowns. The opening quarter will be a barometer for Phoenix’s readiness: if they secure rebounds, control tempo, and force Atlanta into contested half-court shots, they can shape the game around their strengths; but if they surrender transition opportunities, lose the rebounding battle early, or fall behind due to rushed offensive decisions, they risk reinforcing their season-long struggles at home. Ultimately, the Suns’ path to a strong home performance lies in merging veteran poise with disciplined execution—controlling possessions, winning the glass, protecting the rim, and ensuring that Atlanta is forced to play a slower, more methodical style that strips away the Hawks’ biggest advantages and restores Phoenix’s ability to command its own building.
The Rising of the Sun, by François Boucher, 1752
— Phoenix Suns (@Suns) November 16, 2025
📸 by Barry Gossage
Via @ArtButSports pic.twitter.com/a5OOBleGQ8
Atlanta vs Phoenix Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Hawks and Suns play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Mortgage Matchup Center in Nov seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Atlanta vs Phoenix Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Hawks and Suns and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the linear correlation of weight human bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Hawks team going up against a possibly rested Suns team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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Below is our current AI Atlanta vs Phoenix picks, computer picks Hawks vs Suns, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 11/25 | LAC@LAL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v3
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| NBA | 11/25 | ORL@PHI | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
EXECUTIVE
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Atlanta Betting Trends
The Hawks are currently sitting at about a 45.5 % cover rate ATS (approximately 5-6) per recent data.
Phoenix Betting Trends
The Suns have struggled at home against the spread, with a mark around 3-8 or roughly a 27 % cover rate in recent home games.
Hawks vs. Suns Matchup Trends
Key angles include the Suns’ very weak home-cover performance despite home court, suggesting potential value on the visitor side or at least caution on heavy favoritism for Phoenix at home. Meanwhile the Hawks’ moderate but unimpressive road cover rate means that while they’re not dominant, the road dynamics and Phoenix’s home-court vulnerability open unusual pathways for Atlanta value. Additionally, total‐points markets may lean toward the over if Atlanta’s pace hits and Phoenix fails to control tempo; conversely if Phoenix dictates possession and slows the game, the under becomes plausible.
Atlanta vs. Phoenix Game Info
Atlanta vs Phoenix starts on November 16, 2025 at 9:00 PM EST.
Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center.
Spread: Phoenix +1.5
Moneyline: Atlanta -114, Phoenix +108
Over/Under: 231.5
Atlanta: (8-5) | Phoenix: (8-5)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Daniels under 19.5 PTS+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Key angles include the Suns’ very weak home-cover performance despite home court, suggesting potential value on the visitor side or at least caution on heavy favoritism for Phoenix at home. Meanwhile the Hawks’ moderate but unimpressive road cover rate means that while they’re not dominant, the road dynamics and Phoenix’s home-court vulnerability open unusual pathways for Atlanta value. Additionally, total‐points markets may lean toward the over if Atlanta’s pace hits and Phoenix fails to control tempo; conversely if Phoenix dictates possession and slows the game, the under becomes plausible.
ATL trend: The Hawks are currently sitting at about a 45.5 % cover rate ATS (approximately 5-6) per recent data.
PHX trend: The Suns have struggled at home against the spread, with a mark around 3-8 or roughly a 27 % cover rate in recent home games.
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Atlanta vs. Phoenix Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Atlanta vs Phoenix trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
| ATL Moneyline | -114 |
|---|---|
| PHX Moneyline | +108 |
| ATL Spread | -1.5 |
| PHX Spread | +1.5 |
| Over / Under | 231.5 |
Atlanta vs Phoenix Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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–
–
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U 230.5 (-106)
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-6.5 (-114)
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O 241.5 (-108)
U 241.5 (-112)
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–
–
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+400
-520
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+10.5 (-106)
-10.5 (-114)
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O 234.5 (-110)
U 234.5 (-110)
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Nov 26, 2025 7:40PM EST
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–
–
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+295
-370
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+8.5 (-106)
-8.5 (-114)
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O 226.5 (-114)
U 226.5 (-106)
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Nov 26, 2025 7:40PM EST
Milwaukee Bucks
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11/26/25 7:40PM
Bucks
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–
–
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+275
-340
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+8.5 (-106)
-8.5 (-114)
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O 237.5 (-114)
U 237.5 (-106)
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Nov 26, 2025 8:10PM EST
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–
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-164
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-4 (-106)
+4 (-114)
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O 235.5 (-110)
U 235.5 (-110)
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Nov 26, 2025 10:10PM EST
Phoenix Suns
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Suns
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–
–
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-174
+148
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-4.5 (-106)
+4.5 (-114)
|
O 233.5 (-110)
U 233.5 (-110)
|
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–
–
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+102
-120
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 239.5 (-110)
U 239.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Nov 26, 2025 10:10PM EST
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Golden State Warriors
11/26/25 10:10PM
Rockets
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|
–
–
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+124
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|
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
|
O 224.5 (-108)
U 224.5 (-112)
|
NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Atlanta Hawks vs. Phoenix Suns on November 16, 2025 at Mortgage Matchup Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET@ATL | DET +1.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@ORL | ORL +3.5 | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
| DET@ATL | JALEN DUREN UNDER 22.5 PTS + ASSTS | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| BOS@BKN | MICHAEL PORTER JR UNDER 26.5 PTS + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@DET | DET -10.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| NY@MIA | NY +2.5 | 51.8% | 1 | WIN |
| LAC@PHI | LAC +5.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| LAC@PHI | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 1.5 STEALS & BLOCKS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| ORL@HOU | HOU -7.5 | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| POR@DAL | DAL +4.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| LAL@MIL | LAL -115 | 55.7% | 4 | WIN |
| CHA@MIL | MIL -9 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| POR@HOU | POR +8 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| POR@HOU | TARI EASON OVER 4.5 FG MADE | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| ATL@UTA | UTA +2.5 | 55.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| ATL@UTA | KYLE FILIPOWSKI OVER 7.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| NJ@CHI | JACK HUGHES UNDER 0.5 ASST | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@HOU | KEVIN DURANT OVER 4.5 REBOUNDS | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| GS@SA | GS +4 | 52.5% | 2 | WIN |
| MEM@BOS | MEM +7.5 | 56.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| BOS@PHI | PHI +1.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| IND@UTA | UTA +3 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| GS@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN UNDER 18.5 POINTS + ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@UTA | MIN -7.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIL@DAL | DAL +3 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| POR@MIA | POR -3.5 | 57.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| LAL@ATL | DYSON DANIELS OVER 2.5 STEALS | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@MIL | CHI +4.5 | 55.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| DAL@MEM | MEM -4 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@ATL | TOR +118 | 48.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CHA@MIA | OVER 235.5 | 54.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| LAC@PHX | PHX -135 | 58.9% | 7 | WIN |
| PHI@CLE | PHI +10.5 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIA@DEN | MIA +9.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@POR | POR +4.5 | 52.9% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@MEM | MEM +8.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| UTA@DET | UTA +10 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| NO@DAL | TREY MURPHY III OVER 25.5 PTS & REB | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| ORL@ATL | ORL -3.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIL@TOR | MIL +3.5 | 56.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHX@GS | STEPH CURRY UNDER 4.5 THREE PTRS MADE | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@LAC | JAMES HARDEN OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAL@POR | POR -2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SA@PHX | SA -5.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ORL@WAS | WAS +9 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@DET | DAL +8 | 58.7% | 8 | LOSS |
| NY@CHI | NY -4.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@PHI | BOS +1.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@CLE | TOR +6 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@POR | JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| WAS@OKC | WAS +15.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |