Heat vs Grizzlies Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Oct 24)
Updated: 2025-10-22T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Miami Heat visit the Memphis Grizzlies on October 24, 2025 at FedExForum, where Miami looks to test its veteran depth against a Grizzlies squad hungry to make a statement at home. Both teams feature two-way rosters and are entering the season with questions about consistency, making this a compelling clash of styles early in the year.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Oct 24, 2025
Start Time: 8:00 PM
Venue: FedExForum
Grizzlies Record: (1-0)
Heat Record: (0-1)
OPENING ODDS
MIA Moneyline: +135
MEM Moneyline: -143
MIA Spread: +2.5
MEM Spread: -2.5
Over/Under: 232.5
MIA
Betting Trends
- The Heat posted a 43-44-2 record against the spread in the 2023-24 season, indicating they hovered just under break-even in covering expectations.
MEM
Betting Trends
- The Grizzlies had a 23-21 record against the spread at home during the 2024-25 season, showing moderate success in covering when playing on their own floor.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Miami’s under-50 % cover rate combined with Memphis’s relatively strong home ATS record suggests this matchup may lean toward Memphis covering more reliably than the visitor. The numbers point to value perhaps lying with the home side maintaining control and covering rather than expecting the Heat to dominate on the road.
MIA vs. MEM
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Ware under 16.5 PTS+REB.
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Miami vs Memphis Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 10/24/25
His ability to control tempo, penetrate defenses, and create opportunities both in transition and half-court sets defines Memphis’s offensive rhythm. Desmond Bane provides a reliable perimeter weapon, capable of both spacing the floor and handling playmaking duties when Morant sits. The presence of Jaren Jackson Jr., a reigning All-Defensive Team member, gives the Grizzlies a critical advantage on the interior; his rim protection, rebounding, and improved outside shooting stretch the floor on one end and anchor the defense on the other. Veteran Marcus Smart brings leadership and championship pedigree to a young locker room, reinforcing the defensive tenacity that has long been the team’s hallmark. At home, Memphis thrives on energy, second-chance points, and forcing turnovers, often turning defense into offense with lightning-fast precision. Against Miami, the Grizzlies will look to dictate pace, push the ball in transition, and use physicality to wear down the Heat’s rotation. The clash between Miami’s methodical execution and Memphis’s high-energy aggression makes this a fascinating stylistic battle. Miami will aim to slow the tempo, force half-court possessions, and grind down the Grizzlies’ rhythm through physical defense and efficient shot selection. Expect Spoelstra to deploy a mix of man and zone schemes designed to clog driving lanes for Morant and bait Memphis into perimeter-heavy possessions. Offensively, Butler will look to exploit mismatches on the wings, while Adebayo’s versatility in the pick-and-roll will test Jaren Jackson’s defensive discipline. Memphis, conversely, will try to speed Miami up, force turnovers, and control the offensive glass. Bane’s shooting and Jackson’s inside-out presence will be vital in stretching Miami’s defense, while Smart’s defensive pressure on Herro and Rozier could disrupt Miami’s flow. From a betting standpoint, Memphis’s strong home ATS record and Miami’s near-even road performance suggest a close game where the spread could go either way. The Heat’s experience and execution give them an edge in late-game situations, but Memphis’s athleticism and crowd-driven energy could swing momentum early. Expect a gritty, defense-first battle where physicality, poise, and late-game execution determine the outcome — the perfect embodiment of both teams’ identities.
v strong HEAT debut!
— Miami HEAT (@MiamiHEAT) October 23, 2025
Statline Shoutout // @Ticketmaster pic.twitter.com/9MeqxiPXd9
Miami Heat NBA Preview
The Miami Heat enter their October 24, 2025 road matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies with the same mix of veteran composure, toughness, and precision that has defined the franchise under Erik Spoelstra’s tenure. Few teams in the league embody a clearer culture than Miami — a system built on defensive accountability, unselfish offense, and a relentless commitment to conditioning. The Heat, led by Jimmy Butler, remain a dangerous opponent regardless of venue or circumstance, capable of dictating the tone of a game through discipline and experience. Butler, now in his mid-thirties but still playing at an elite two-way level, continues to serve as the emotional and tactical centerpiece of this team. His ability to control pace, get to the free-throw line, and thrive in clutch moments makes him one of the NBA’s most impactful veterans. Alongside him, Bam Adebayo anchors the defense and initiates much of the offense through high-post facilitation and pick-and-roll actions. Adebayo’s development as a scorer and decision-maker gives Miami flexibility — he can defend five positions while still functioning as a playmaking hub. Tyler Herro’s return to form following last season’s injury adds much-needed spacing and secondary scoring, complementing Butler’s downhill attacks and Adebayo’s midrange precision. The addition of guard Terry Rozier bolsters Miami’s offensive variety, offering an extra perimeter option capable of creating his own shot when the offense stalls.
Offensively, Miami thrives on spacing, patience, and rhythm rather than explosive pace. Expect Spoelstra to emphasize methodical execution against Memphis’s aggressive defense, using Butler and Adebayo in two-man actions to manipulate switches and find open looks. Miami’s offense isn’t built on overwhelming opponents — it’s about wearing them down with efficiency and exploiting mistakes. Role players such as Duncan Robinson and Jaime Jaquez Jr. will be vital, as their off-ball movement and three-point shooting help stretch Memphis’s defense and open driving lanes. Defensively, the Heat will focus on containment, physicality, and communication. Slowing down Ja Morant will be the top priority, and Miami’s scheme will likely rotate multiple defenders — Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith, and even Butler — to limit his penetration. The key will be walling off the paint to prevent Morant from creating easy looks for shooters like Desmond Bane or dump-off passes to Jaren Jackson Jr. Miami’s veteran roster understands the importance of transition defense, especially against a Grizzlies team that thrives on pace and energy at home. The Heat must control the glass, limit turnovers, and dictate tempo through half-court execution rather than allowing Memphis to turn the game into a track meet. From a betting perspective, Miami’s recent 43–44–2 ATS record reflects a team that wins games but often plays close, low-possession matchups that make covering spreads on the road difficult. Their structure and leadership make them competitive in any environment, but they’ve been more reliable straight-up than ATS, particularly in early-season contests. However, their experience gives them a unique advantage in tight situations — few teams execute late-game possessions as cleanly as the Heat. The key for Miami will be tempo control and composure. If they can frustrate Memphis into inefficient half-court offense and avoid giving up easy transition points, they’ll have every chance to grind out a road win. The Heat are not a team that overwhelms opponents; they dissect them. Expect Butler to set the tone early, Adebayo to anchor the middle, and the supporting cast to focus on physical, intelligent basketball. If Miami imposes its will defensively and keeps the game within its preferred slower pace, it can neutralize the Grizzlies’ athleticism and come away with a narrow, hard-earned road victory that exemplifies “Heat Culture” at its finest.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Memphis Grizzlies NBA Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies return to FedExForum on October 24, 2025, eager to remind the league why their home court remains one of the toughest environments in the NBA. After a frustrating 2024–25 season marred by injuries and inconsistency, the Grizzlies enter this new campaign healthy, motivated, and determined to reestablish themselves as a Western Conference contender. With Ja Morant back at full strength and surrounded by a deeper, more balanced roster, Memphis aims to reclaim its identity as one of the league’s most explosive yet disciplined teams. Morant, the team’s electrifying leader, remains the engine that fuels everything Memphis does. His ability to control tempo, finish through contact, and create scoring opportunities for both himself and his teammates makes him nearly impossible to contain when he’s locked in. Alongside him, Desmond Bane provides elite shooting and underrated playmaking, while Marcus Smart — one of the league’s most respected defensive guards — continues to set the tone with his intensity and leadership. The trio forms a backcourt built on versatility, toughness, and high basketball IQ, perfectly suited for a physical matchup against a veteran team like Miami. In the frontcourt, Jaren Jackson Jr. anchors the defense and gives Memphis a significant edge at the rim. His shot-blocking, length, and improved rebounding will be crucial against Bam Adebayo and Miami’s pick-and-roll-heavy offense. Offensively, Jackson’s ability to stretch the floor creates valuable spacing for Morant’s drives, forcing opposing bigs to defend beyond their comfort zone. Memphis will also rely heavily on their depth — something that has quietly become one of the team’s biggest strengths. Santi Aldama’s shooting, Luke Kennard’s perimeter accuracy, and Ziaire Williams’ athleticism provide instant offense off the bench, while Xavier Tillman and Brandon Clarke (if fully recovered from injury) give the Grizzlies interior toughness and hustle minutes.
The return of a healthy roster allows head coach Taylor Jenkins to utilize multiple lineup combinations, whether he wants to push the pace, go small and switch-heavy, or grind opponents down in the paint. Expect the Grizzlies to push tempo early, using home-court energy to fuel fast-break opportunities while challenging Miami to keep up athletically. Defensively, Memphis’s strategy will center on disrupting Miami’s rhythm and making life difficult for Jimmy Butler and Tyler Herro. Expect Smart and Bane to alternate defensive assignments on Herro and Rozier, applying constant ball pressure and contesting every perimeter look. Against Butler, the Grizzlies will rely on physicality — rotating defenders, denying post touches, and forcing him into tough midrange shots. Adebayo’s playmaking at the elbow poses a challenge, but Jackson’s rim protection and the Grizzlies’ collective defensive rotations will aim to neutralize those actions. Rebounding will be pivotal, as Miami’s opportunistic offense often thrives on second-chance looks. If Memphis controls the boards and forces the Heat into contested jumpers, they’ll have the upper hand in dictating the game’s flow. From a betting perspective, Memphis’s 23–21 home ATS record last season suggests moderate success covering spreads at FedExForum, particularly when favored by small margins. Given Miami’s tendency to play close, low-scoring games, Memphis’s pace, crowd energy, and ability to generate turnovers could give them the separation needed to both win and cover. The Grizzlies’ formula for success is clear — pressure the ball, dominate in transition, and feed off their fans’ intensity. If Morant dictates tempo, Bane catches fire from three, and Jackson controls the paint, Memphis will have every ingredient to deliver a statement win at home and remind the league that “Grit and Grind” basketball is alive and thriving in the Bluff City.
𝐇𝐨𝐮𝐬𝐞 𝐑𝐮𝐥𝐞 #𝟏 - 𝐒𝐡𝐨𝐰 𝐔𝐩 so we can show out 〽️
— Memphis Grizzlies (@memgrizz) October 23, 2025
Get Tix for Friday & Saturday 🎟️ https://t.co/G8iht98QJy pic.twitter.com/Tl73jrscpL
Miami vs. Memphis Prop Picks (AI)
Miami vs. Memphis Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Heat and Grizzlies and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most watching on the trending emphasis human bettors often put on player performance factors between a Heat team going up against a possibly improved Grizzlies team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Miami vs Memphis picks, computer picks Heat vs Grizzlies, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NBA | 11/4 | OKC@LAC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v4
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| NBA | 11/4 | ORL@ATL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v3
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| NBA | 11/4 | MIL@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NBA | 11/4 | PHX@GS | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NBA | 11/4 | ORL@ATL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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| NBA | 11/4 | OKC@LAC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Heat Betting Trends
The Heat posted a 43-44-2 record against the spread in the 2023-24 season, indicating they hovered just under break-even in covering expectations.
Grizzlies Betting Trends
The Grizzlies had a 23-21 record against the spread at home during the 2024-25 season, showing moderate success in covering when playing on their own floor.
Heat vs. Grizzlies Matchup Trends
Miami’s under-50 % cover rate combined with Memphis’s relatively strong home ATS record suggests this matchup may lean toward Memphis covering more reliably than the visitor. The numbers point to value perhaps lying with the home side maintaining control and covering rather than expecting the Heat to dominate on the road.
Miami vs. Memphis Game Info
What time does Miami vs Memphis start on October 24, 2025?
Miami vs Memphis starts on October 24, 2025 at 8:00 PM.
Where is Miami vs Memphis being played?
Venue: FedExForum.
What are the opening odds for Miami vs Memphis?
Spread: Memphis -2.5
Moneyline: Miami +135, Memphis -143
Over/Under: 232.5
What are the records for Miami vs Memphis?
Miami: (0-1) | Memphis: (1-0)
What is the AI best bet for Miami vs Memphis?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Ware under 16.5 PTS+REB.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Miami vs Memphis trending bets?
Miami’s under-50 % cover rate combined with Memphis’s relatively strong home ATS record suggests this matchup may lean toward Memphis covering more reliably than the visitor. The numbers point to value perhaps lying with the home side maintaining control and covering rather than expecting the Heat to dominate on the road.
What are Miami trending bets?
MIA trend: The Heat posted a 43-44-2 record against the spread in the 2023-24 season, indicating they hovered just under break-even in covering expectations.
What are Memphis trending bets?
MEM trend: The Grizzlies had a 23-21 record against the spread at home during the 2024-25 season, showing moderate success in covering when playing on their own floor.
Where can I find AI Picks for Miami vs Memphis?
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Miami vs. Memphis Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Miami vs Memphis trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Miami vs Memphis Opening Odds
MIA Moneyline:
+135 MEM Moneyline: -143
MIA Spread: +2.5
MEM Spread: -2.5
Over/Under: 232.5
Miami vs Memphis Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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In Progress
Oklahoma City Thunder
Los Angeles Clippers
In Progress
Thunder
Clippers
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78
78
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-295
+220
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-4.5 (-128)
+4.5 (-104)
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O 226.5 (-125)
U 226.5 (-106)
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Nov 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Brooklyn Nets
Indiana Pacers
11/5/25 7PM
Nets
Pacers
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–
–
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+235
-290
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+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
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O 233.5 (-106)
U 233.5 (-114)
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Nov 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Utah Jazz
Detroit Pistons
11/5/25 7PM
Jazz
Pistons
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–
–
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+420
-550
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+11 (-114)
-11 (-106)
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O 230.5 (-114)
U 230.5 (-106)
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Nov 5, 2025 7:10PM EST
Philadelphia 76ers
Cleveland Cavaliers
11/5/25 7:10PM
76ers
Cavaliers
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–
–
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+370
-480
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+10.5 (-106)
-10.5 (-114)
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O 233.5 (-112)
U 233.5 (-108)
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Nov 5, 2025 7:30PM EST
Washington Wizards
Boston Celtics
11/5/25 7:30PM
Wizards
Celtics
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–
–
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+450
-600
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+12 (-110)
-12 (-110)
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O 231.5 (-110)
U 231.5 (-110)
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Nov 5, 2025 7:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
New York Knicks
11/5/25 7:30PM
Timberwolves
Knicks
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–
–
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+164
-196
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+5.5 (-112)
-5.5 (-108)
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O 229.5 (-110)
U 229.5 (-110)
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Nov 5, 2025 8:00PM EST
Houston Rockets
Memphis Grizzlies
11/5/25 8PM
Rockets
Grizzlies
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–
–
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-310
+250
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-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
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O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
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Nov 5, 2025 8:40PM EST
New Orleans Pelicans
Dallas Mavericks
11/5/25 8:40PM
Pelicans
Mavericks
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–
–
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+235
-290
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+7.5 (-106)
-7.5 (-114)
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O 226.5 (-110)
U 226.5 (-110)
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Nov 5, 2025 9:00PM EST
Miami Heat
Denver Nuggets
11/5/25 9PM
Heat
Nuggets
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–
–
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+300
-375
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+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
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O 242.5 (-110)
U 242.5 (-110)
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Nov 5, 2025 10:00PM EST
Golden State Warriors
Sacramento Kings
11/5/25 10PM
Warriors
Kings
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–
–
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-134
+114
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-2.5 (-106)
+2.5 (-114)
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O 232.5 (-110)
U 232.5 (-110)
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Nov 5, 2025 10:00PM EST
San Antonio Spurs
Los Angeles Lakers
11/5/25 10PM
Spurs
Lakers
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–
–
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+120
-142
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+3 (-112)
-3 (-108)
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O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
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Nov 5, 2025 10:10PM EST
Oklahoma City Thunder
Portland Trail Blazers
11/5/25 10:10PM
Thunder
Trail Blazers
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–
–
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-220
+184
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-5.5 (-114)
+5.5 (-106)
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O 228.5 (-110)
U 228.5 (-110)
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Dec 25, 2025 12:00PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
New York Knicks
12/25/25 12PM
Cavaliers
Knicks
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–
–
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+117
-143
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+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-113)
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O 229.5 (-113)
U 229.5 (-113)
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Dec 25, 2025 5:00PM EST
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
12/25/25 5PM
Mavericks
Warriors
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–
–
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+150
-195
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+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-114)
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O 227 (-115)
U 227 (-110)
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Dec 25, 2025 10:30PM EST
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
12/25/25 10:30PM
Timberwolves
Nuggets
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–
–
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+175
-220
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+5 (-109)
-5 (-117)
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O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-114)
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NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Miami Heat vs. Memphis Grizzlies on October 24, 2025 at FedExForum.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS@PHI | BOS +1.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@CLE | TOR +6 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@POR | JERAMI GRANT OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| WAS@OKC | WAS +15.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| NO@DEN | DEN -12.5 | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
| NO@DEN | NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 26.5 POINTS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| SAC@OKC | SAC +10 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@MIL | MIL +3 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| LAC@GS | GS +2.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| LAC@GS | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI UNDER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| CLE@DET | DET +2.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| ORL@PHI | ORL -5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| OKC@DAL | DAL +9 | 66.4% | 6 | WIN |
| BOS@NO | NO +2 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| BKN@HOU | BKN +16.5 | 57.0% | 7 | LOSS |
| BOS@NO | TREY MURPHY III UNDER 25.5 PTS + REB | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MIL@CLE | MIL +6.5 | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| POR@LAC | POR +8.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| ATL@ORL | ATL +5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@DAL | WAS +10 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| PHX@LAC | IVICA ZUBAC OVER 6.5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@IND | IND +8 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| CLE@NY | CLE -116 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAC@UTA | UTA +9.5 | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| WAS@MIL | KYLE KUZMA OVER 1.5 ASSTS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| HOU@OKC | HOU +6.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| GS@LAL | STEPHEN CURRY UNDER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 54.4 | 4 | WIN |
| IND@OKC | SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 1.5 STEALS | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 0.5 1Q REBOUNDS | 55.70% | 5 | WIN |
| OKC@IND | TJ MCCONNELL UNDER 7.5 TWO POINT ATT | 55.70% | 5 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN OVER 1.5 SHOTS BLOCKED | 53.40% | 3 | WIN |
| OKC@IND | TJ MCCONNELL OVER 1.5 TURNOVERS | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKC@IND | MYLES TURNER OVER 5.5 REBOUNDS | 55.90% | 5 | LOSS |
| IND@OKC | PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 2.5 PERSONAL FOULS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
| IND@OKC | IND +10 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| IND@OKC | BENNEDICT MATHURIN OVER 2.5 FREE THROW ATT | 54.90% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@IND | MYLES TURNER OVER 6 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@NY | IND +5 | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
| NY@IND | JALEN BRUNSON UNDER 22 FIELD GOAL ATT | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
| OKC@MIN | RUDY GOBERT OVER 1.5 FREE THROWS MADE | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
| OKC@MIN | OKC -2.5 | 56.70% | 6 | LOSS |
| NY@IND | KARL ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 32.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS | 54.00% | 4 | WIN |
| OKC@MIN | NAZ REID OVER 9.0 FIELD GOAL ATT | 54.60% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@NY | MYLES TURNER OVER 5 MADE FIELD GOALS | 53.60% | 3 | WIN |
| IND@NY | NY -5.5 | 55.00% | 4 | LOSS |
| MIN@OKC | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN UNDER 7.5 REBOUNDS | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@OKC | MIN +7.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@NY | TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSTS - UNDER 8.5 | 54.10% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@NY | IND +4.5 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@OKC | ALEX CARUSO UNDER 2.5 ASSTS | 54.10% | 4 | WIN |
| DEN@OKC | MICHAEL PORTER UNDER 7.5 REBS + AST | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |