Away Team
Record 85-77
Last 5 4-1 last five
ATS 81-81-0 ATS
Road 44-37 road
Standings
MLB Game Preview
Schedule
First Pitch Countdown
11:25:19
Start Time 8:00 PM EST
Date October 13, 2026
Venue Tropicana Field
Where To Watch TBS
Where To Stream HBO Max
Season Series Tampa Bay leads 5-1

Cleveland stole ALCS Game 1 with a late bullpen-backed rally, but Tampa Bay counters with Freddy Peralta and an urgent need to avoid a 2-0 deficit. A tight total and underdog run line sharpen the stakes.

Home Team
Record 98-64
Last 5 3-2 last five
ATS 85-77-0 ATS
Home 55-26 home
Analysis Updated: 8:20 AM ET
Injuries Checked: 8:15 AM ET
Odds Updated: 8:34 AM ET

Betting Snapshot

Spread
TB -1.5
Open: TB -1.5
Market Steady

Spread Movement

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Odds Updated: 10/13 8:34 AM ET
Moneyline
TB -132
Open: TB -134
Dog Taking Support

Moneyline Movement

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Odds Updated: 10/13 8:34 AM ET
Total
7
Open: 7
Total Steady

Total Movement

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Odds Updated: 10/13 8:34 AM ET

Best Free Prop Pick

FREE PROP
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Total Bases
Messick recorded 193 regular-season strikeouts and six in his ALDS opener, supporting over 4.5 strikeouts. Messick struck out six Rays at Tropicana Field in July, supporting over 4.5 strikeouts again. Cleveland used five bullpen innings Monday, increasing Messick's workload importance for over 4.5 strikeouts.

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Odds Comparison Center

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Best Home Spread
FanDuel | TB -1.5
Best Home Moneyline
FanDuel | TB -130
Best Over Line
FanDuel | 6.5
Best Away Spread
FanDuel | CLE +1.5
Best Away Moneyline
BetOnline.ag | CLE +123
Best Under Line
DraftKings | 7
Updated 8:34 AM ET
Sportsbook Spread Moneyline Total
FanDuelCLE +1.5
TB -1.5
CLE +110
TB -130
O 6.5
U 6.5
DraftKingsCLE +1.5
TB -1.5
CLE +110
TB -132
O 7
U 7
BetMGMCLE +1.5
TB -1.5
CLE +110
TB -135
O 6.5
U 6.5
BetRiversCLE +1.5
TB -1.5
CLE +116
TB -137
O 7
U 7
FanaticsCLE +1.5
TB -1.5
CLE +115
TB -140
O 7
U 7
BovadaCLE +1.5
TB -1.5
CLE +113
TB -135
O 7
U 7
BetOnline.agCLE +1.5
TB -1.5
CLE +123
TB -136
O 7
U 7
LowVig.agCLE +1.5
TB -1.5
CLE +123
TB -136
O 7
U 7
MyBookie.agCLE +1.5
TB -1.5
CLE +113
TB -132
O 7
U 7
BetUSCLE +1.5
TB -1.5
CLE +121
TB -133
O 7
U 7
CaesarsCLE +1.5
TB -1.5
CLE +116
TB -136
O 7
U 7

Injury Report

Cleveland enters Game 2 without a newly reported injury among its ALCS lineup or pitching group. Tampa Bay will be without left-hander Shane McClanahan, shut down for the remainder of the postseason because of forearm tightness. Junior Caminero and Jonny DeLuca both indicated they were fine after colliding on a foul ball in Game 1. Rays reliever Cole Sulser's 27-pitch appearance also restricts immediate bullpen flexibility.

Key Players

Cleveland
José Ramírez
Ramírez hit .348 with a 1.183 OPS and eight RBIs through six playoff games.
Tampa Bay
Junior Caminero
Caminero hit 42 regular-season home runs and drove in a run in ALCS Game 1.

Key Matchup Edge

Cleveland's biggest leverage point is bullpen availability. Hunter Gaddis, Erik Sabrowski and Cade Smith are all expected to be available after closing out Game 1, with Smith needing only six pitches. Tampa Bay has Peralta's strong recent form, but its middle relief cracked in Monday's late innings.

3 Things to Watch

  • Messick against Tampa Bay's right-handed core
  • Peralta's fastball velocity versus Cleveland bats
  • Rays late bullpen response after collapse

Betting Breakdown

Cleveland enters Tuesday's ALCS Game 2 with the series lead after turning a two-run deficit into a 7-3 road victory. The late rally included home runs by Chase DeLauter and Patrick Bailey, while the Guardians' bullpen covered five innings and allowed only one run. That relief depth matters again behind left-hander Parker Messick, whose 2.56 regular-season ERA contrasts with a shakier two-start ALDS. His best Tampa Bay reference point is strong: one run and six strikeouts over 7 2/3 innings at Tropicana Field in July. Tampa Bay answers with Freddy Peralta, who has gone 5-0 with a 0.93 ERA across his past seven starts and limited the Yankees to one run in his ALDS outing. The Rays finished 55-26 at home in the regular season, but the market makes them only moderate favorites after Monday's reversal. With totals priced around 6.5 to seven, starting-pitcher command and the first bullpen handoff are central. Cleveland's +1.5 run line offers protection in another close game, while Peralta's recent surge keeps Tampa Bay dangerous.

Cleveland Betting Outlook

The Guardians were only 85-77 in the regular season, but their 44-37 road record and a 4-1 mark over their last five playoff games underline their resilience. José Ramírez is driving the offense, batting .348 with eight RBIs and a 1.183 OPS through six postseason contests entering Game 2. Chase DeLauter also supplied timely power in Monday's comeback. Left-hander Parker Messick recorded 193 strikeouts in the regular season and held the Rays to one run across 7 2/3 innings in his July visit. His recent ALDS command issues create early-inning risk, although Cleveland can again lean on Hunter Gaddis, Erik Sabrowski and Cade Smith if the starter exits early. The underdog run line has appeal in a low-total matchup.

Tampa Bay Betting Outlook

Tampa Bay's 98-64 regular season and 55-26 home mark explain why it remains favored despite losing the opener. Freddy Peralta supplies the clearest bounce-back route after posting a 0.93 ERA across his last seven starts and allowing just one run in 4 2/3 ALDS innings against New York. The lineup needs Yandy Díaz, Jonathan Aranda and Junior Caminero to put more traffic on base; Caminero delivered an RBI single Monday, but Aranda went hitless. Tampa Bay won five of six regular-season meetings with Cleveland, including three July victories at home. The main concern is late-inning execution after Monday's bullpen unraveling. With Shane McClanahan unavailable for the postseason, Tampa Bay needs Peralta to handle quality innings and protect its rested high-leverage relievers.

Latest Team Buzz

Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays FAQ

What is the current spread for Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays?

The current home spread is TB -1.5, while the away spread is CLE +1.5.

How far has the spread moved for Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays?

The spread opened at TB -1.5 and is now TB -1.5.

What is the current moneyline for Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays?

The current moneyline is CLE +110 / TB -132.

How far has the moneyline moved for Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays?

The moneyline opened at CLE +111 / TB -134 and is now CLE +110 / TB -132.

What is the current total for Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays?

The current total is 7.

How far has the total moved for Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays?

The total opened at 7 and is now 7.

Is the market taking the underdog in Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays?

Current market signal: Market Steady.

Is the market taking the favorite in Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays?

Current market signal: Dog Taking Support.

Is the total dropping for Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays?

Current totals signal: Total Steady.

Is the total rising for Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays?

Current totals signal: Total Steady.

Where to watch Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays?

You can watch this game on TBS. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.

Where to stream Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays?

You can stream this game on HBO Max.

What is the best free prop bet for Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays?

Jo Adell Over 0.5 Total Bases

What is the biggest matchup edge for Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays?

Cleveland's biggest leverage point is bullpen availability. Hunter Gaddis, Erik Sabrowski and Cade Smith are all expected to be available after closing out Game 1, with Smith needing only six pitches. Tampa Bay has Peralta's strong recent form, but its middle relief cracked in Monday's late innings.

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MLB Past Picks

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Matchup Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Game Date October 13, 2026
Venue Tropicana Field
RECENT COMPLETED PICKS

AI MLB PAST PICKS

35-16 68.6% WIN
GAME
LEAN
WIN %
UNITS
RESULT
SF@PIT
OVER 8.5
55.3%
5
WIN
TOR@CLE
TOR -115
54.6%
4
WIN
ATL@WAS
ATL -130
55.4%
4
WIN
TOR@CLE
JO ADELL OVER 0.5 HITS
55.4%
5
LOSS
SF@PIT
OVER 7.5
55.9%
5
WIN
SD@CIN
SD -126
55.0%
3
LOSS
NYM@TB
TB -130
54.9%
3
WIN
SF@PIT
JUNG HOO LEE OVER 0.5 HITS
54.2%
4
LOSS
DET@MIN
ROYCE LEWIS UNDER 0.5 RUNS
54.5%
4
LOSS
BAL@COL
BAL -121
54.7%
4
WIN
NYY@LAA
NYY -114
55.1%
5
LOSS
PHI@LAA
UNDER 8
54.7%
4
WIN
COL@ATL
UNDER 8.5
56.3%
6
WIN
BOS@NYY
BOS -112
54.8%
4
LOSS
SEA@TOR
SEA -125
54.6%
4
LOSS
SEA@TOR
GEORGE SPRINGER OVER 0.5 HITS
54.2%
4
WIN
MIA@WAS
OVER 7.5
55.3%
5
WIN
SEA@TOR
TOR -118
54.8%
4
WIN
COL@ATL
GRANT HOLMES OVER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED
54.2%
4
WIN
ARI@SF
ARI -110
54.8%
4
WIN
KC@CLE
CLE -126
54.9%
3
LOSS
ARI@SF
RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 0.5 HITS
54.2%
4
WIN
KC@TOR
KC -106
53.3%
3
WIN
LAD@ATL
ATL -109
53.5%
3
WIN
LAD@ATL
MICHAEL HARRIS II UNDER 1.5 BASES
53.2%
3
WIN
COL@WAS
OVER 8.5
55.8%
5
WIN
CLE@LAA
CLE -130
55.4%
4
WIN
CIN@SF
SAL STEWART OVER 0.5 STRIKEOUTS
54.7%
4
LOSS
KC@TOR
OVER 8.5
56.1%
6
LOSS
BAL@STL
STL -124
55.2%
5
LOSS
CLE@LAA
CLE -131
55.2%
4
WIN
TEX@CHW
EVAN CARTER OVER 0.5 HITS
54.2%
4
WIN
TEX@CHW
OVER 8.5
54.9%
4
WIN
CHC@ARI
CHC -130
55.5%
4
WIN
NYM@CHW
JARED YOUNG OVER 0.5 HITS
54.3%
4
WIN
STL@PHI
OVER 7.5
55.2%
5
WIN
WAS@MIA
OVER 8.5
55.4%
5
LOSS
LAA@TEX
EZEQUIEL DURAN OVER 0.5 HITS
54.2%
4
WIN
STL@PHI
OVER 9
55.8%
5
WIN
TB@BAL
TB -116
54.6%
4
LOSS
STL@PHI
BRANDON MARSH UNDER 0.5 RUNS
55.1%
5
LOSS
PIT@LAD
OVER 8
55.6%
5
WIN
TB@BAL
BAL -124
55.0%
4
WIN
SEA@MIL
DOMINIC CANZONE OVER 0.5 HITS
53.4%
3
WIN
NYY@BAL
UNDER 8
54.0%
4
WIN
NYY@BAL
NYY -116
54.2%
4
WIN
MIA@PHI
JUSTIN CRAWFORD OVER 0.5 HITS
54.4%
4
WIN
SD@NYM
SD -125
55.1%
5
LOSS
MIA@PHI
PHI -121
55.2%
5
WIN
TOR@TB
TAYLOR WALLS OVER 0.5 HITS
54.4%
4
WIN
TOR@TB
TB -126
55.1%
4
LOSS
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Picks are displayed for informational purposes only.