Away Team
Record 89-63
Last 5 3-2 last five
ATS 79-73 ATS
Road 38-36 road
Standings
MLB Game Preview
Schedule
First Pitch Countdown
12:08:25
Start Time 7:41 PM EST
Date September 16, 2026
Venue Wrigley Field
Where To Watch Marquee Sports Network
Where To Stream MLB.TV
Season Series Atlanta leads 3-2.

Chicago is laying roughly -1.5 runs with Shota Imanaga against rookie JR Ritchie, but Atlanta just flipped Tuesday's game with three late homers. The rubber match also carries division-clinching pressure for the Braves and Wild Card urgency for the Cubs.

Home Team
Record 84-68
Last 5 3-2 last five
ATS 74-78 ATS
Home 44-33 home
Analysis Updated: 7:00 AM ET
Injuries Checked: 6:59 AM ET
Odds Updated: 7:19 AM ET

Betting Snapshot

Spread
CHC -1.5
Open: CHC -1.5
Market Steady

Spread Movement

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Odds Updated: 9/16 7:19 AM ET
Moneyline
CHC -143
Open: CHC -141
Favorite Taking Support

Moneyline Movement

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Odds Updated: 9/16 7:19 AM ET
Total
7.5
Open: 8
Total Dropping

Total Movement

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Odds Updated: 9/16 7:19 AM ET

Best Free Prop Pick

FREE PROP
Carson Kelly Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI
Ronald Acuña Jr. Over 0.5 hits is backed by seven hits across his last five games. Ronald Acuña Jr. Over 0.5 hits gets multiple plate appearances against a starter carrying a 1.12 WHIP. Ronald Acuña Jr. Over 0.5 hits benefits from everyday top-order volume in a competitive game.

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Odds Comparison Center

Shop for the best lines in one place.

Best Home Spread
FanDuel | CHC -1.5
Best Home Moneyline
BetOnline.ag | CHC -135
Best Over Line
FanDuel | 7.5
Best Away Spread
FanDuel | ATL +1.5
Best Away Moneyline
BetOnline.ag | ATL +122
Best Under Line
BetMGM | 8
Updated 7:19 AM ET
Sportsbook Spread Moneyline Total
FanDuelATL +1.5
CHC -1.5
ATL +120
CHC -142
O 7.5
U 7.5
DraftKingsATL +1.5
CHC -1.5
ATL +119
CHC -143
O 7.5
U 7.5
BetMGMATL +118
CHC -145
O 8
U 8
BetRiversATL +1.5
CHC -1.5
ATL +118
CHC -141
O 8
U 8
FanaticsATL +1.5
CHC -1.5
ATL +115
CHC -140
O 7.5
U 7.5
BovadaATL +1.5
CHC -1.5
ATL +119
CHC -142
O 7.5
U 7.5
BetOnline.agATL +1.5
CHC -1.5
ATL +122
CHC -135
O 8
U 8
LowVig.agATL +1.5
CHC -1.5
ATL +122
CHC -135
O 8
U 8
MyBookie.agATL +1.5
CHC -1.5
ATL +120
CHC -142
O 7.5
U 7.5
BetUSATL +1.5
CHC -1.5
ATL +122
CHC -135
O 8
U 8
CaesarsATL +1.5
CHC -1.5
ATL +118
CHC -140
O 8
U 8

Injury Report

Atlanta's rotation depth is stressed after Reynaldo Lopez returned to the 15-day IL with right shoulder inflammation, while Spencer Strider is out for the season and Bryce Elder remains sidelined after knee surgery. Lane Thomas is also on the IL with an intercostal strain. Chicago is still without Dansby Swanson because of a left oblique strain, with his return targeted for the Cincinnati series.

Key Players

Atlanta
Ronald Acuña Jr.
Seven hits and two homers across his last five games.
Chicago
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Entered the finale with 42 homers, 37 steals and 100 RBIs.

Key Matchup Edge

Chicago's clearest edge is the starting-pitching gap. Imanaga enters with a 3.88 ERA and 156 strikeouts, while Atlanta turns to JR Ritchie at 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA after another rotation injury. That supports the Cubs' favorite price, though Atlanta's right-handed bats can pressure the lefty early.

3 Things to Watch

  • Imanaga versus Atlanta's right-handed core
  • Ritchie's command in hostile Wrigley
  • Late innings after Tuesday's bullpen swing

Betting Breakdown

Chicago enters the rubber match as the favorite because the starting-pitcher matchup leans clearly toward Shota Imanaga, who owns a 3.88 ERA and has worked six innings in each of his first two September starts. Atlanta counters with JR Ritchie, recalled after Reynaldo Lopez went back on the injured list, so early command and traffic will matter immediately. The Braves still bring the stronger overall record at 89-63 and are 38-36 away from home, while Chicago is 44-33 at Wrigley and remains tightly involved in the National League Wild Card race. The first two games showed both paths: Chicago won 7-3 when it created early pressure, then Atlanta answered 6-3 behind late homers from Ronald Acuña Jr., Ozzie Albies and Drake Baldwin. The market has stayed close to Chicago -143 with a total around 8, reflecting respect for Imanaga without dismissing Atlanta's offense. Bettors should watch Ritchie's first trip through the order, Imanaga's efficiency against Atlanta's right-handed bats, and whether the Cubs can rebuild a late lead against Atlanta's stronger relief group.

Atlanta Betting Outlook

Atlanta comes in 89-63 with a 38-36 road record and a 3-2 season-series lead. The Braves' offense showed its ceiling Tuesday, erasing a 3-0 deficit with home runs from Ronald Acuña Jr., Ozzie Albies and Drake Baldwin. Acuña has seven hits and two homers in his last five games, giving Atlanta a dangerous top-of-order answer against Imanaga. The concern is pitching depth. JR Ritchie starts after Lopez returned to the IL, and the rookie carries a 4.50 ERA into Wrigley. Atlanta's path is to keep the game close early, force Imanaga's pitch count, then lean on a bullpen that has generally been a team strength.

Chicago Betting Outlook

Chicago is 84-68 overall and 44-33 at home, with the stronger starting-pitcher setup for the finale. Shota Imanaga brings a 3.88 ERA and 156 strikeouts, and he has limited damage across his first two September starts. Pete Crow-Armstrong remains the lineup's central pressure point after reaching 42 home runs, 37 steals and 100 RBIs, while the Cubs have scored 10 runs through the first two games of this series. The downside is bullpen volatility, which surfaced Tuesday when a 3-0 lead disappeared. With Dansby Swanson still sidelined by an oblique strain, Chicago needs Imanaga to control the middle innings and hand a manageable lead to the relief corps.

Latest Team Buzz

Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs FAQ

What is the current spread for Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs?

The current home spread is CHC -1.5, while the away spread is ATL +1.5.

How far has the spread moved for Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs?

The spread opened at CHC -1.5 and is now CHC -1.5.

What is the current moneyline for Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs?

The current moneyline is ATL +119 / CHC -143.

How far has the moneyline moved for Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs?

The moneyline opened at ATL +117 / CHC -141 and is now ATL +119 / CHC -143.

What is the current total for Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs?

The current total is 7.5.

How far has the total moved for Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs?

The total opened at 8 and is now 7.5.

Is the market taking the underdog in Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs?

Current market signal: Market Steady.

Is the market taking the favorite in Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs?

Current market signal: Favorite Taking Support.

Is the total dropping for Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs?

Current totals signal: Total Dropping.

Is the total rising for Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs?

Current totals signal: Total Dropping.

Where to watch Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs?

You can watch this game on Marquee Sports Network. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.

Where to stream Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs?

You can stream this game on MLB.TV.

What is the best free prop bet for Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs?

Carson Kelly Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI

What is the biggest matchup edge for Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs?

Chicago's clearest edge is the starting-pitching gap. Imanaga enters with a 3.88 ERA and 156 strikeouts, while Atlanta turns to JR Ritchie at 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA after another rotation injury. That supports the Cubs' favorite price, though Atlanta's right-handed bats can pressure the lefty early.

REMI AI PERFORMANCE

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement. We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

Matchup Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs
Game Date September 16, 2026
Venue Wrigley Field
RECENT COMPLETED PICKS

AI MLB PAST PICKS

35-16 68.6% WIN
GAME
LEAN
WIN %
UNITS
RESULT
SF@PIT
OVER 8.5
55.3%
5
WIN
TOR@CLE
TOR -115
54.6%
4
WIN
ATL@WAS
ATL -130
55.4%
4
WIN
TOR@CLE
JO ADELL OVER 0.5 HITS
55.4%
5
LOSS
SF@PIT
OVER 7.5
55.9%
5
WIN
SD@CIN
SD -126
55.0%
3
LOSS
NYM@TB
TB -130
54.9%
3
WIN
SF@PIT
JUNG HOO LEE OVER 0.5 HITS
54.2%
4
LOSS
DET@MIN
ROYCE LEWIS UNDER 0.5 RUNS
54.5%
4
LOSS
BAL@COL
BAL -121
54.7%
4
WIN
NYY@LAA
NYY -114
55.1%
5
LOSS
PHI@LAA
UNDER 8
54.7%
4
WIN
COL@ATL
UNDER 8.5
56.3%
6
WIN
BOS@NYY
BOS -112
54.8%
4
LOSS
SEA@TOR
SEA -125
54.6%
4
LOSS
SEA@TOR
GEORGE SPRINGER OVER 0.5 HITS
54.2%
4
WIN
MIA@WAS
OVER 7.5
55.3%
5
WIN
SEA@TOR
TOR -118
54.8%
4
WIN
COL@ATL
GRANT HOLMES OVER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED
54.2%
4
WIN
ARI@SF
ARI -110
54.8%
4
WIN
KC@CLE
CLE -126
54.9%
3
LOSS
ARI@SF
RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 0.5 HITS
54.2%
4
WIN
KC@TOR
KC -106
53.3%
3
WIN
LAD@ATL
ATL -109
53.5%
3
WIN
LAD@ATL
MICHAEL HARRIS II UNDER 1.5 BASES
53.2%
3
WIN
COL@WAS
OVER 8.5
55.8%
5
WIN
CLE@LAA
CLE -130
55.4%
4
WIN
CIN@SF
SAL STEWART OVER 0.5 STRIKEOUTS
54.7%
4
LOSS
KC@TOR
OVER 8.5
56.1%
6
LOSS
BAL@STL
STL -124
55.2%
5
LOSS
CLE@LAA
CLE -131
55.2%
4
WIN
TEX@CHW
EVAN CARTER OVER 0.5 HITS
54.2%
4
WIN
TEX@CHW
OVER 8.5
54.9%
4
WIN
CHC@ARI
CHC -130
55.5%
4
WIN
NYM@CHW
JARED YOUNG OVER 0.5 HITS
54.3%
4
WIN
STL@PHI
OVER 7.5
55.2%
5
WIN
WAS@MIA
OVER 8.5
55.4%
5
LOSS
LAA@TEX
EZEQUIEL DURAN OVER 0.5 HITS
54.2%
4
WIN
STL@PHI
OVER 9
55.8%
5
WIN
TB@BAL
TB -116
54.6%
4
LOSS
STL@PHI
BRANDON MARSH UNDER 0.5 RUNS
55.1%
5
LOSS
PIT@LAD
OVER 8
55.6%
5
WIN
TB@BAL
BAL -124
55.0%
4
WIN
SEA@MIL
DOMINIC CANZONE OVER 0.5 HITS
53.4%
3
WIN
NYY@BAL
UNDER 8
54.0%
4
WIN
NYY@BAL
NYY -116
54.2%
4
WIN
MIA@PHI
JUSTIN CRAWFORD OVER 0.5 HITS
54.4%
4
WIN
SD@NYM
SD -125
55.1%
5
LOSS
MIA@PHI
PHI -121
55.2%
5
WIN
TOR@TB
TAYLOR WALLS OVER 0.5 HITS
54.4%
4
WIN
TOR@TB
TB -126
55.1%
4
LOSS
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Picks are displayed for informational purposes only.