Seattle enters Sunday's rubber game as a clear home favorite, roughly -179 on the moneyline with a 7.0 total, and the pitching matchup explains the price. Logan Gilbert has delivered a 2.20 ERA and a 5:1 strikeout-to-walk ratio over his last nine starts, while Seattle's rotation and bullpen both carry major prevention advantages over San Francisco. The better favorite angle is the moneyline, not the -1.5 run line. Seattle owns a league-worst 38-61 ATS record and has failed to cover six of its last seven, including both games in this series. San Francisco is 47-51 ATS and has stayed inside the number twice, winning 7-0 Friday before losing 4-3 in extras Saturday. Robbie Ray's 3.38 ERA and Rafael Devers' recent power make the Giants dangerous at plus money, but Seattle's deeper pitching staff should create the stronger nine-inning floor. The total of 7.0 leaves little margin for error, so early command from both left-hander Ray and right-hander Gilbert is the central betting variable.