Red Sox vs. Yankees
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 30 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-09-28T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees renew their historic rivalry on September 30, 2025, in what promises to be another fierce battle with potential playoff implications. With both teams fighting for positioning in the AL East, expect intensity, star power, and a playoff-like atmosphere under the lights in the Bronx.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 30, 2025
Start Time: 6:08 PM EST​
Venue: Yankee Stadium​
Yankees Record: (94-68)
Red Sox Record: (89-73)
OPENING ODDS
BOS Moneyline: +110
NYY Moneyline: -130
BOS Spread: +1.5
NYY Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7
BOS
Betting Trends
- The Red Sox have struggled to cover on the road lately, particularly against division rivals, where inconsistency from their pitching staff has cost them in tight games.
NYY
Betting Trends
- The Yankees have been one of the stronger ATS performers at home this season, fueled by dominant starting pitching and timely power hitting.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- This rivalry matchup has historically produced close spreads, and recent head-to-head results have shown the underdog covering more often than not. Both teams also trend toward the under in Yankee Stadium meetings due to strong pitching duels and postseason-type intensity.
BOS vs. NYY
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Fried under 6.5 Pitcher Strikeouts.
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Boston vs New York Yankees Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 9/30/25
Boston’s bullpen has been a question mark at times, but when it clicks, it gives them a fighting chance in high-leverage spots, and against a rival like New York, those innings will be magnified as every pitch carries playoff-level pressure. The rivalry also brings intangibles that statistics can’t measure: the emotional swings, the roar of the Yankee Stadium crowd, and the ability of players to rise—or falter—under the brightest lights, all of which will play a role in determining the outcome. For the Yankees, the key will be establishing control early by leaning on their starting pitching and capitalizing on opportunities to put Boston on its heels, forcing them to play catch-up in an environment where mistakes are magnified. For the Red Sox, the challenge lies in keeping the game close into the late innings, where their lineup has shown the ability to deliver clutch hits and create chaos on the basepaths, turning momentum in their favor. These games rarely end in blowouts; they’re decided by razor-thin margins, a single defensive miscue, a critical strikeout, or a timely home run, and with both teams still jostling for playoff positioning, this matchup has all the makings of a postseason preview. In the end, whether it’s New York’s pitching and power asserting itself or Boston’s scrappiness and knack for seizing opportunities that wins out, the baseball world can expect another dramatic chapter added to a rivalry that has never failed to deliver drama, tension, and unforgettable moments.
The guy for Game 1. pic.twitter.com/RwcNqaHmsh
— Red Sox (@RedSox) September 29, 2025
Boston Red Sox MLB Preview
The Boston Red Sox head into their September 30, 2025, matchup against the New York Yankees with the challenge of not only facing their fiercest rival but also doing so in one of the most hostile environments in baseball, Yankee Stadium, where the stakes are magnified, and every pitch feels like October. The Red Sox have shown resilience all season, often finding ways to stay in games despite inconsistencies on the mound, and that same determination will be required if they hope to take down a Yankees team that has thrived at home. Offensively, Boston relies on a blend of youth and veteran leadership, with young hitters injecting speed and energy while experienced bats provide the clutch power and plate discipline needed in high-pressure moments. They know they cannot simply wait for the long ball to win games in the Bronx; manufacturing runs through patient at-bats, aggressive baserunning, and timely hitting will be critical to keeping pace with New York’s potent offense.
Pitching remains the great unknown for the Red Sox, as their starters have been up and down throughout the year, and this game will demand that whoever takes the mound delivers not only length but also poise under the bright lights, limiting damage from New York’s power bats while avoiding the big inning that could swing momentum. The bullpen, too, will face its greatest test, needing to step up late in the game where the Yankees are notorious for their ability to grind down relievers and capitalize on mistakes. Defensively, Boston must play near flawless baseball, as errors in Yankee Stadium have a way of snowballing into rallies, and with so much on the line, execution will be paramount in all facets of the game. Still, the Red Sox embrace the underdog role in this rivalry, and they know that one well-timed rally, one gutsy pitching performance, or one clutch hit can turn the tables and silence a crowd that thrives on intimidation. For Boston, the path to victory is about discipline, composure, and seizing opportunities whenever they arise, and though the odds may favor the Yankees on their home turf, the Red Sox have proven many times before that they are capable of spoiling New York’s plans and writing their own chapter in one of baseball’s greatest rivalries.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
New York Yankees Yankees MLB Preview
The New York Yankees enter their September 30, 2025, clash with the Boston Red Sox at Yankee Stadium with the confidence of a team built to win big games in front of their home crowd, knowing this rivalry always carries extra weight both in the standings and in pride. The Yankees have relied heavily on their pitching staff all season, with their rotation delivering consistent quality starts and their bullpen standing as one of the most dependable in baseball, particularly at home where late-inning dominance has been the difference in countless tight contests. Offensively, New York continues to live up to its reputation as a power-hitting club, with sluggers capable of changing the game with one swing, especially given the short porch in right field, but they’ve also grown more balanced this season, producing key runs through disciplined at-bats and situational hitting that extends innings and wears down opposing pitchers.
Defensively, the Yankees have been sharp, cutting down mistakes and executing in pressure moments, which is critical against a Red Sox team that thrives on turning miscues into rallies. The energy of Yankee Stadium always amplifies their advantage, as the crowd not only fuels their own players but also applies relentless pressure on opponents, and New York has mastered the art of capitalizing on that intensity to seize momentum. For this matchup, the formula is clear: the starters must control the game early, the offense must strike decisively when opportunities arise, and the bullpen must once again deliver when the game tightens late, as Boston has a knack for clawing back into contests. With playoff implications looming large, the Yankees will lean on their stars to set the tone, but they also know that contributions from role players and defensive standouts can make the difference in such a high-stakes environment. In this rivalry, every pitch feels like a battle, but the Yankees believe their combination of power, depth, and pitching superiority at home gives them the edge to both protect their turf and continue their push toward October with authority.
Our favorite season: pic.twitter.com/7fJmagNnX8
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) September 29, 2025
Boston vs. New York Yankees Prop Picks (AI)
Boston vs. New York Yankees Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Red Sox and Yankees and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most keyed in on the growing weight human bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Red Sox team going up against a possibly deflated Yankees team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Boston vs New York Yankees picks, computer picks Red Sox vs Yankees, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Red Sox Betting Trends
The Red Sox have struggled to cover on the road lately, particularly against division rivals, where inconsistency from their pitching staff has cost them in tight games.
Yankees Betting Trends
The Yankees have been one of the stronger ATS performers at home this season, fueled by dominant starting pitching and timely power hitting.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Matchup Trends
This rivalry matchup has historically produced close spreads, and recent head-to-head results have shown the underdog covering more often than not. Both teams also trend toward the under in Yankee Stadium meetings due to strong pitching duels and postseason-type intensity.
Boston vs. New York Yankees Game Info
What time does Boston vs New York Yankees start on September 30, 2025?
Boston vs New York Yankees starts on September 30, 2025 at 6:08 PM EST.
Where is Boston vs New York Yankees being played?
Venue: Yankee Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Boston vs New York Yankees?
Spread: New York Yankees -1.5
Moneyline: Boston +110, New York Yankees -130
Over/Under: 7
What are the records for Boston vs New York Yankees?
Boston: (89-73) Â |Â New York Yankees: (94-68)
What is the AI best bet for Boston vs New York Yankees?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Fried under 6.5 Pitcher Strikeouts.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Boston vs New York Yankees trending bets?
This rivalry matchup has historically produced close spreads, and recent head-to-head results have shown the underdog covering more often than not. Both teams also trend toward the under in Yankee Stadium meetings due to strong pitching duels and postseason-type intensity.
What are Boston trending bets?
BOS trend: The Red Sox have struggled to cover on the road lately, particularly against division rivals, where inconsistency from their pitching staff has cost them in tight games.
What are New York Yankees trending bets?
NYY trend: The Yankees have been one of the stronger ATS performers at home this season, fueled by dominant starting pitching and timely power hitting.
Where can I find AI Picks for Boston vs New York Yankees?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Boston vs. New York Yankees Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Boston vs New York Yankees trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Boston vs New York Yankees Opening Odds
BOS Moneyline:
+110 NYY Moneyline: -130
BOS Spread: +1.5
NYY Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7
Boston vs New York Yankees Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 30, 2025 1:08PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
9/30/25 1:08PM
Tigers
Guardians
|
–
–
|
-177
+145
|
-1.5 (+115)
+1.5 (-135)
|
O 6.5 (-105)
U 6.5 (-115)
|
|
Sep 30, 2025 3:08PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
9/30/25 3:08PM
Padres
Cubs
|
–
–
|
-103
-117
|
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-210)
|
O 7 (-110)
U 7 (-110)
|
|
Sep 30, 2025 6:09PM EDT
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
9/30/25 6:09PM
Red Sox
Yankees
|
–
–
|
+114
-136
|
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+165)
|
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
|
|
Sep 30, 2025 9:08PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Dodgers
9/30/25 9:08PM
Reds
Dodgers
|
–
–
|
+154
-186
|
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+125)
|
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
|
MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Yankees on September 30, 2025 at Yankee Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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   LEAN |    %WIN |    UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |