Pirates vs. Braves
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 28 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-09-26T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Pittsburgh Pirates travel to Atlanta on September 28, 2025, to take on the Braves in the final game of their season series, with both clubs looking to maintain momentum heading into the offseason. While Atlanta may have more at stake in terms of pride and fan expectations, the Pirates aim to close strong and prove their young core can compete in hostile territory.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 28, 2025
Start Time: 6:20 PM EST
Venue: Truist Park
Braves Record: (75-86)
Pirates Record: (71-90)
OPENING ODDS
PIT Moneyline: +169
ATL Moneyline: -204
PIT Spread: +1.5
ATL Spread: -2
Over/Under: +8
PIT
Betting Trends
- On the road, the Pirates have been inconsistent in covering the spread, especially in matchups against playoff-caliber teams, as their offense has often lagged or failed to support strong pitching performances.
ATL
Betting Trends
- The Braves have been more reliable at home in 2025 when they maintain steady starting pitching and avoid bullpen meltdowns, covering the spread in a majority of their home games against weaker opponents.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Historically, Atlanta has a positive record against Pittsburgh versus the run line—30 wins to 27 losses all time. Additionally, prior Braves–Pirates series tend to see games decided by one or two runs, which amplifies the importance of bullpen matchups and late-inning execution.
PIT vs. ATL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Acuna over 6.5 Fantasy Score.
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Pittsburgh vs Atlanta Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 9/28/25
This game, like many between these two clubs in recent years, may come down to who executes in the late innings, as both teams have had a history of tight, low-scoring affairs when pitching controls the pace. Another wrinkle is how Atlanta can leverage its depth, both offensively and defensively, to pressure Pittsburgh into mistakes, while the Pirates’ path to victory may lie in manufacturing runs through small ball, clutch situational hitting, and capitalizing on any lapses by the Braves. Historically, Atlanta has enjoyed the upper hand in this matchup, particularly at home, but Pittsburgh has demonstrated resilience in stretches, often playing spoiler when least expected. With both clubs motivated—Atlanta to reinforce its standing as a perennial contender and Pittsburgh to build confidence heading into the offseason—this game sets up as a battle of experience versus potential. Braves fans will expect their lineup to ignite early and their bullpen to finish the job, while Pirates fans will be watching closely to see if their young core can hold up under the bright lights. In a season that has been as much about growth as it has been about wins for Pittsburgh, and as much about sustained dominance as it has been about fan expectation for Atlanta, this matchup promises to provide a sharp snapshot of where these two franchises stand. It is more than just another game on the schedule; it is a litmus test for the Pirates’ progress and a chance for the Braves to show why they remain among the National League’s most feared teams.
Series Dub 🏴☠️ pic.twitter.com/n5ddu9WMeq
— Pittsburgh Pirates (@Pirates) September 28, 2025
Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates enter their September 28, 2025, matchup against the Atlanta Braves as the clear underdogs, but they bring with them a growing sense of optimism surrounding the future of the franchise and the young talent beginning to emerge. The Pirates’ season has largely been defined by the development of their rotation, highlighted by Paul Skenes, who has already shown flashes of ace potential despite being in just his first full year in the majors. His overpowering fastball and command have given Pittsburgh a fighting chance in many games, and his ability to keep lineups like Atlanta’s at bay will be critical if the Pirates are to hang with one of baseball’s most potent offenses. Offensively, the Pirates have struggled with consistency, often relying on streaky production from players like Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz. Cruz’s return to form has given them a dynamic, power-speed threat in the middle of the lineup, but beyond him and Reynolds, run production has been sparse at times. The Pirates’ biggest weakness has been situational hitting, with runners in scoring position continuing to be an obstacle in close games, and that’s an area they must improve upon to compete against playoff-caliber clubs like the Braves.
Their bullpen has been another story of inconsistency, at times showing great flashes from arms like David Bednar while also coughing up leads late in games, making every ninth inning an adventure. For Pittsburgh, this game represents more than just another regular-season contest—it’s a chance to measure themselves against one of the best, and even in defeat, a strong showing could provide confidence heading into 2026. The Pirates’ road woes this season have been notable, as they’ve had difficulty stringing together wins away from PNC Park, and taking on a Braves lineup loaded with power bats like Matt Olson and Austin Riley will push them to the brink. Still, the Pirates’ path to success lies in pressuring Braves pitching by putting the ball in play, limiting strikeouts, and finding ways to manufacture runs through speed and aggressive base running. It may not be flashy, but for a rebuilding team, it’s about staying competitive and learning how to win in hostile environments. If the Pirates can keep the game close into the late innings and avoid defensive miscues, they could make things interesting, but it will require near-perfect execution on both sides of the ball. While they remain a long shot to win at Truist Park, every inning against a team like Atlanta is a building block for a Pittsburgh roster determined to change its narrative. For fans, it’s another chance to see whether the youth movement is ready to rise to the moment against elite opposition, a small but important step in their climb back to relevance.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Atlanta Braves MLB Preview
The Atlanta Braves enter their September 28, 2025, showdown with the Pittsburgh Pirates as one of the most feared teams in Major League Baseball, boasting a roster stacked with star power, depth, and a winning pedigree that has kept them among the elite for several years. Truist Park has become a fortress for Atlanta, with fans packing the stands to see a team that blends raw power, athleticism, and consistent execution in every phase of the game. The Braves’ lineup remains their greatest weapon, featuring sluggers like Ronald Acuña Jr., who brings a rare combination of speed and power, and Matt Olson, who continues to dominate as one of the league’s premier home run hitters and RBI leaders. Add to that the reliable bat of Austin Riley and the ever-dangerous Ozzie Albies, and Atlanta has an offense that can put up crooked numbers quickly, often overwhelming opposing pitching staffs before they can settle in. What separates the Braves further is their balance; while the middle of the lineup provides muscle, they also get production from role players who extend at-bats and turn over the order, giving their stars more chances to do damage. On the pitching side, Atlanta’s rotation has been strong, with Max Fried continuing to anchor the staff with ace-level performance, complemented by rising arms like Spencer Strider, who racks up strikeouts with his electric fastball-slider combo. The bullpen has also been a steady force, featuring dominant late-inning options that help Atlanta close out tight games, making them one of the toughest teams to mount a comeback against.
As they host the Pirates, the Braves will be looking not just to win but to stay sharp as the postseason draws closer, knowing that every game is an opportunity to refine their approach and keep their momentum rolling. Atlanta has thrived at home this season, with their offense often elevating to another level in front of their fans, and against a Pirates team still in the midst of rebuilding, they’ll look to flex their superiority early to avoid giving the underdogs any belief. Beyond just this game, the Braves are playing for October, ensuring that their pitching staff is lined up and that their hitters are locked into playoff form, which adds another layer of focus and determination to their late-season contests. The Pirates, while improved, represent a mismatch on paper against Atlanta’s firepower, but the Braves know the importance of not underestimating any opponent. Their ability to put together quality at-bats, dominate the pitching matchups, and stay defensively sound will give them a clear path to victory, and if the lineup catches fire as it often does at Truist Park, this game could become another statement win. For Atlanta, every inning is about setting the tone for the postseason, and this game will be another chance to remind the league why the Braves are perennial contenders with their eyes set firmly on another deep October run.
Strider gets the start!#BravesCountry pic.twitter.com/tg7UvS4oMb
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) September 27, 2025
Pittsburgh vs. Atlanta Prop Picks (AI)
Pittsburgh vs. Atlanta Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Pirates and Braves and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most watching on the linear correlation of factor emotional bettors tend to put on Atlanta’s strength factors between a Pirates team going up against a possibly tired Braves team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Pittsburgh vs Atlanta picks, computer picks Pirates vs Braves, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 10/1 | SD@CHC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 10/1 | SD@CHC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/1 | DET@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/1 | DET@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | GET FREE PICK NOW | 0 | – |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Pirates Betting Trends
On the road, the Pirates have been inconsistent in covering the spread, especially in matchups against playoff-caliber teams, as their offense has often lagged or failed to support strong pitching performances.
Braves Betting Trends
The Braves have been more reliable at home in 2025 when they maintain steady starting pitching and avoid bullpen meltdowns, covering the spread in a majority of their home games against weaker opponents.
Pirates vs. Braves Matchup Trends
Historically, Atlanta has a positive record against Pittsburgh versus the run line—30 wins to 27 losses all time. Additionally, prior Braves–Pirates series tend to see games decided by one or two runs, which amplifies the importance of bullpen matchups and late-inning execution.
Pittsburgh vs. Atlanta Game Info
What time does Pittsburgh vs Atlanta start on September 28, 2025?
Pittsburgh vs Atlanta starts on September 28, 2025 at 6:20 PM EST.
Where is Pittsburgh vs Atlanta being played?
Venue: Truist Park.
What are the opening odds for Pittsburgh vs Atlanta?
Spread: Atlanta -2
Moneyline: Pittsburgh +169, Atlanta -204
Over/Under: +8
What are the records for Pittsburgh vs Atlanta?
Pittsburgh: (71-90) | Atlanta: (75-86)
What is the AI best bet for Pittsburgh vs Atlanta?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Acuna over 6.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Pittsburgh vs Atlanta trending bets?
Historically, Atlanta has a positive record against Pittsburgh versus the run line—30 wins to 27 losses all time. Additionally, prior Braves–Pirates series tend to see games decided by one or two runs, which amplifies the importance of bullpen matchups and late-inning execution.
What are Pittsburgh trending bets?
PIT trend: On the road, the Pirates have been inconsistent in covering the spread, especially in matchups against playoff-caliber teams, as their offense has often lagged or failed to support strong pitching performances.
What are Atlanta trending bets?
ATL trend: The Braves have been more reliable at home in 2025 when they maintain steady starting pitching and avoid bullpen meltdowns, covering the spread in a majority of their home games against weaker opponents.
Where can I find AI Picks for Pittsburgh vs Atlanta?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Pittsburgh vs. Atlanta Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Pittsburgh vs Atlanta trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Pittsburgh vs Atlanta Opening Odds
PIT Moneyline:
+169 ATL Moneyline: -204
PIT Spread: +1.5
ATL Spread: -2
Over/Under: +8
Pittsburgh vs Atlanta Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 2, 2025 3:08PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
10/2/25 3:08PM
Tigers
Guardians
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
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-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-215)
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O 7 (-105)
U 7 (-115)
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Oct 2, 2025 5:08PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
10/2/25 5:08PM
Padres
Cubs
|
–
–
|
+100
-118
|
-1.5 (+172)
+1.5 (-210)
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O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
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Oct 2, 2025 8:08PM EDT
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
10/2/25 8:08PM
Red Sox
Yankees
|
–
–
|
+136
-162
|
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+130)
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O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
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Oct 4, 2025 2:30PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 2:30PM
Dodgers
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+110
-130
|
pk
pk
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Oct 4, 2025 5:09PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 5:09PM
Dodgers
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+108
-126
|
pk
pk
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O 7 (-135)
U 7 (+115)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves on September 28, 2025 at Truist Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |