Pirates vs. Braves
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 28 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-09-26T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Pittsburgh Pirates travel to Atlanta on September 28, 2025, to take on the Braves in the final game of their season series, with both clubs looking to maintain momentum heading into the offseason. While Atlanta may have more at stake in terms of pride and fan expectations, the Pirates aim to close strong and prove their young core can compete in hostile territory.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 28, 2025

Start Time: 6:20 PM EST​

Venue: Truist Park​

Braves Record: (75-86)

Pirates Record: (71-90)

OPENING ODDS

PIT Moneyline: +169

ATL Moneyline: -204

PIT Spread: +1.5

ATL Spread: -2

Over/Under: +8

PIT
Betting Trends

  • On the road, the Pirates have been inconsistent in covering the spread, especially in matchups against playoff-caliber teams, as their offense has often lagged or failed to support strong pitching performances.

ATL
Betting Trends

  • The Braves have been more reliable at home in 2025 when they maintain steady starting pitching and avoid bullpen meltdowns, covering the spread in a majority of their home games against weaker opponents.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Historically, Atlanta has a positive record against Pittsburgh versus the run line—30 wins to 27 losses all time. Additionally, prior Braves–Pirates series tend to see games decided by one or two runs, which amplifies the importance of bullpen matchups and late-inning execution.

PIT vs. ATL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Acuna over 6.5 Fantasy Score.

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Pittsburgh vs Atlanta Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 9/28/25

The upcoming matchup between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Atlanta Braves on September 28, 2025, at Truist Park is one that highlights the contrasting paths of two franchises at very different stages in their development. The Braves, long regarded as one of the National League’s powerhouse organizations, are looking to close their season with authority in front of a home crowd, while the Pirates, fueled by their promising young pitching staff and flashes of offensive upside, are aiming to prove they can hang with one of baseball’s elite clubs. Atlanta’s offensive identity remains rooted in power and consistency, with veterans like Matt Olson and Marcell Ozuna leading the way, while Michael Harris II continues to solidify himself as a key part of their lineup. For Pittsburgh, the focus is less about star power and more about development and execution. Rookie phenom Paul Skenes has been a revelation on the mound, regularly giving the Pirates a fighting chance in nearly every outing, but the question remains whether the lineup behind him can provide enough run support against a Braves staff that knows how to win in big games. Atlanta will lean heavily on its rotation to provide length and quality to preserve its bullpen, which has shown signs of wear during the long grind of the season. On the other side, Pittsburgh’s bullpen has been inconsistent, though capable of brilliance when arms are rested and roles are clearly defined.

This game, like many between these two clubs in recent years, may come down to who executes in the late innings, as both teams have had a history of tight, low-scoring affairs when pitching controls the pace. Another wrinkle is how Atlanta can leverage its depth, both offensively and defensively, to pressure Pittsburgh into mistakes, while the Pirates’ path to victory may lie in manufacturing runs through small ball, clutch situational hitting, and capitalizing on any lapses by the Braves. Historically, Atlanta has enjoyed the upper hand in this matchup, particularly at home, but Pittsburgh has demonstrated resilience in stretches, often playing spoiler when least expected. With both clubs motivated—Atlanta to reinforce its standing as a perennial contender and Pittsburgh to build confidence heading into the offseason—this game sets up as a battle of experience versus potential. Braves fans will expect their lineup to ignite early and their bullpen to finish the job, while Pirates fans will be watching closely to see if their young core can hold up under the bright lights. In a season that has been as much about growth as it has been about wins for Pittsburgh, and as much about sustained dominance as it has been about fan expectation for Atlanta, this matchup promises to provide a sharp snapshot of where these two franchises stand. It is more than just another game on the schedule; it is a litmus test for the Pirates’ progress and a chance for the Braves to show why they remain among the National League’s most feared teams.

Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates enter their September 28, 2025, matchup against the Atlanta Braves as the clear underdogs, but they bring with them a growing sense of optimism surrounding the future of the franchise and the young talent beginning to emerge. The Pirates’ season has largely been defined by the development of their rotation, highlighted by Paul Skenes, who has already shown flashes of ace potential despite being in just his first full year in the majors. His overpowering fastball and command have given Pittsburgh a fighting chance in many games, and his ability to keep lineups like Atlanta’s at bay will be critical if the Pirates are to hang with one of baseball’s most potent offenses. Offensively, the Pirates have struggled with consistency, often relying on streaky production from players like Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz. Cruz’s return to form has given them a dynamic, power-speed threat in the middle of the lineup, but beyond him and Reynolds, run production has been sparse at times. The Pirates’ biggest weakness has been situational hitting, with runners in scoring position continuing to be an obstacle in close games, and that’s an area they must improve upon to compete against playoff-caliber clubs like the Braves.

Their bullpen has been another story of inconsistency, at times showing great flashes from arms like David Bednar while also coughing up leads late in games, making every ninth inning an adventure. For Pittsburgh, this game represents more than just another regular-season contest—it’s a chance to measure themselves against one of the best, and even in defeat, a strong showing could provide confidence heading into 2026. The Pirates’ road woes this season have been notable, as they’ve had difficulty stringing together wins away from PNC Park, and taking on a Braves lineup loaded with power bats like Matt Olson and Austin Riley will push them to the brink. Still, the Pirates’ path to success lies in pressuring Braves pitching by putting the ball in play, limiting strikeouts, and finding ways to manufacture runs through speed and aggressive base running. It may not be flashy, but for a rebuilding team, it’s about staying competitive and learning how to win in hostile environments. If the Pirates can keep the game close into the late innings and avoid defensive miscues, they could make things interesting, but it will require near-perfect execution on both sides of the ball. While they remain a long shot to win at Truist Park, every inning against a team like Atlanta is a building block for a Pittsburgh roster determined to change its narrative. For fans, it’s another chance to see whether the youth movement is ready to rise to the moment against elite opposition, a small but important step in their climb back to relevance.

The Pittsburgh Pirates travel to Atlanta on September 28, 2025, to take on the Braves in the final game of their season series, with both clubs looking to maintain momentum heading into the offseason. While Atlanta may have more at stake in terms of pride and fan expectations, the Pirates aim to close strong and prove their young core can compete in hostile territory. Pittsburgh vs Atlanta AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Sep 28. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Atlanta Braves MLB Preview

The Atlanta Braves enter their September 28, 2025, showdown with the Pittsburgh Pirates as one of the most feared teams in Major League Baseball, boasting a roster stacked with star power, depth, and a winning pedigree that has kept them among the elite for several years. Truist Park has become a fortress for Atlanta, with fans packing the stands to see a team that blends raw power, athleticism, and consistent execution in every phase of the game. The Braves’ lineup remains their greatest weapon, featuring sluggers like Ronald Acuña Jr., who brings a rare combination of speed and power, and Matt Olson, who continues to dominate as one of the league’s premier home run hitters and RBI leaders. Add to that the reliable bat of Austin Riley and the ever-dangerous Ozzie Albies, and Atlanta has an offense that can put up crooked numbers quickly, often overwhelming opposing pitching staffs before they can settle in. What separates the Braves further is their balance; while the middle of the lineup provides muscle, they also get production from role players who extend at-bats and turn over the order, giving their stars more chances to do damage. On the pitching side, Atlanta’s rotation has been strong, with Max Fried continuing to anchor the staff with ace-level performance, complemented by rising arms like Spencer Strider, who racks up strikeouts with his electric fastball-slider combo. The bullpen has also been a steady force, featuring dominant late-inning options that help Atlanta close out tight games, making them one of the toughest teams to mount a comeback against.

As they host the Pirates, the Braves will be looking not just to win but to stay sharp as the postseason draws closer, knowing that every game is an opportunity to refine their approach and keep their momentum rolling. Atlanta has thrived at home this season, with their offense often elevating to another level in front of their fans, and against a Pirates team still in the midst of rebuilding, they’ll look to flex their superiority early to avoid giving the underdogs any belief. Beyond just this game, the Braves are playing for October, ensuring that their pitching staff is lined up and that their hitters are locked into playoff form, which adds another layer of focus and determination to their late-season contests. The Pirates, while improved, represent a mismatch on paper against Atlanta’s firepower, but the Braves know the importance of not underestimating any opponent. Their ability to put together quality at-bats, dominate the pitching matchups, and stay defensively sound will give them a clear path to victory, and if the lineup catches fire as it often does at Truist Park, this game could become another statement win. For Atlanta, every inning is about setting the tone for the postseason, and this game will be another chance to remind the league why the Braves are perennial contenders with their eyes set firmly on another deep October run.

Pittsburgh vs. Atlanta Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Pirates and Braves play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Truist Park in Sep almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Acuna over 6.5 Fantasy Score.

Pittsburgh vs. Atlanta Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Pirates and Braves and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most watching on the linear correlation of factor emotional bettors tend to put on Atlanta’s strength factors between a Pirates team going up against a possibly tired Braves team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Pittsburgh vs Atlanta picks, computer picks Pirates vs Braves, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/1 SD@CHC UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 SD@CHC UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD UNLOCK THIS PICK 3 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 DET@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 DET@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY GET FREE PICK NOW 0

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Pirates Betting Trends

On the road, the Pirates have been inconsistent in covering the spread, especially in matchups against playoff-caliber teams, as their offense has often lagged or failed to support strong pitching performances.

Braves Betting Trends

The Braves have been more reliable at home in 2025 when they maintain steady starting pitching and avoid bullpen meltdowns, covering the spread in a majority of their home games against weaker opponents.

Pirates vs. Braves Matchup Trends

Historically, Atlanta has a positive record against Pittsburgh versus the run line—30 wins to 27 losses all time. Additionally, prior Braves–Pirates series tend to see games decided by one or two runs, which amplifies the importance of bullpen matchups and late-inning execution.

Pittsburgh vs. Atlanta Game Info

Pittsburgh vs Atlanta starts on September 28, 2025 at 6:20 PM EST.

Spread: Atlanta -2
Moneyline: Pittsburgh +169, Atlanta -204
Over/Under: +8

Pittsburgh: (71-90)  |  Atlanta: (75-86)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Acuna over 6.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Historically, Atlanta has a positive record against Pittsburgh versus the run line—30 wins to 27 losses all time. Additionally, prior Braves–Pirates series tend to see games decided by one or two runs, which amplifies the importance of bullpen matchups and late-inning execution.

PIT trend: On the road, the Pirates have been inconsistent in covering the spread, especially in matchups against playoff-caliber teams, as their offense has often lagged or failed to support strong pitching performances.

ATL trend: The Braves have been more reliable at home in 2025 when they maintain steady starting pitching and avoid bullpen meltdowns, covering the spread in a majority of their home games against weaker opponents.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Pittsburgh vs. Atlanta Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Pittsburgh vs Atlanta trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Pittsburgh vs Atlanta Opening Odds

PIT Moneyline: +169
ATL Moneyline: -204
PIT Spread: +1.5
ATL Spread: -2
Over/Under: +8

Pittsburgh vs Atlanta Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 2, 2025 3:08PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
10/2/25 3:08PM
Tigers
Guardians
+100
-120
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-215)
O 7 (-105)
U 7 (-115)
Oct 2, 2025 5:08PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
10/2/25 5:08PM
Padres
Cubs
+100
-118
-1.5 (+172)
+1.5 (-210)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Oct 2, 2025 8:08PM EDT
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
10/2/25 8:08PM
Red Sox
Yankees
+136
-162
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+130)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
Oct 4, 2025 2:30PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 2:30PM
Dodgers
Phillies
+110
-130
pk
pk
Oct 4, 2025 5:09PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 5:09PM
Dodgers
Phillies
+108
-126
pk
pk
O 7 (-135)
U 7 (+115)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves on September 28, 2025 at Truist Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS