Mets vs. Marlins
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 28 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-09-26T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The New York Mets and Miami Marlins will meet on September 28, 2025, in a late-season divisional battle with both teams hoping to finish strong and shape their standing in the NL East. With pitching depth, young talent, and playoff positioning in play, this game offers an exciting matchup between two clubs fighting for momentum.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 28, 2025
Start Time: 3:10 PM EST
Venue: loanDepot Park
Marlins Record: (78-83)
Mets Record: (83-78)
OPENING ODDS
NYM Moneyline: LOADING
MIA Moneyline: LOADING
NYM Spread: LOADING
MIA Spread: LOADING
Over/Under: LOADING
NYM
Betting Trends
- The Mets have struggled to cover in recent weeks, particularly on the road where inconsistent offense has cost them games despite strong pitching.
MIA
Betting Trends
- The Marlins have been steady at home, covering in most of their recent contests behind clutch hitting and effective bullpen support.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Both teams trend toward low-scoring games, with the under cashing in a majority of their recent matchups. The head-to-head series has been tight, with neither side dominating the spread consistently, making this contest a near toss-up from a betting perspective.
NYM vs. MIA
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Manaea over 3.5 Pitcher Strikeouts.
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New York vs Miami Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 9/28/25
For Miami, this season has been another step in the maturation of a young core that has quietly built one of the more balanced rosters in the National League. The Marlins’ pitching staff is their crown jewel, with Eury Pérez emerging as a true ace and Jesús Luzardo providing a dominant left-handed presence, making it difficult for opponents to gain momentum against them. Their bullpen has also held firm, often bailing the team out in tight games and keeping Miami alive in late innings when the offense is quiet. Offensively, the Marlins have leaned heavily on Luis Arraez’s ability to get on base, Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s power-speed combination, and timely contributions from role players like Bryan De La Cruz and Jesús Sánchez. Miami does not typically overwhelm opponents with sheer offensive firepower, but they specialize in situational hitting, manufacturing runs when it matters most, and leveraging their speed and athleticism to turn pressure into results. Defensively, the Marlins boast athletic outfielders who cover ground well and an infield anchored by Arraez’s steady glove, making them a team that rarely beats itself with mistakes. The key storyline in this contest is the clash between New York’s top-heavy lineup and Miami’s elite pitching depth, as whichever side imposes its will likely controls the outcome. If Alonso and Lindor can break through against the Marlins’ starters, the Mets could steal a win, but if Pérez or Luzardo dictate the tempo early, Miami will be well-positioned to grind out another home-field victory. Both teams view this late-September tilt as more than just another divisional game—it’s a test of resilience, execution, and readiness to compete at a high level, and with pride and momentum on the line, fans can expect a hard-fought contest filled with playoff-style intensity.
Pete Alonso wants YOUR support tomorrow, #Mets fans! 🫡 pic.twitter.com/chYZFY45Kp
— New York Mets (@Mets) September 27, 2025
New York Mets MLB Preview
The New York Mets enter this late-season clash against the Miami Marlins carrying the weight of a season that has been defined by both promise and frustration, and for them, this matchup is an opportunity to show that they can finish strong despite the inconsistencies that have plagued their campaign. Offensively, the Mets have leaned heavily on their core stars, with Pete Alonso continuing to anchor the lineup as a premier power hitter who can change the momentum of a game with one swing, and Francisco Lindor providing both clutch hitting and defensive stability at shortstop. Brandon Nimmo’s ability to get on base at a high rate has been crucial for setting the tone, but the Mets have struggled with sustained production from the supporting cast, as players like Jeff McNeil and Starling Marte have had stretches of effectiveness but not enough to carry the load consistently when the stars go quiet.
The team’s younger hitters, such as Brett Baty and Francisco Álvarez, represent the future but have been learning under the pressure of expectations, and their ability to contribute in matchups like this against strong pitching staffs will be pivotal to the Mets’ success both in the short term and long term. On the pitching side, the Mets’ starting rotation has been their saving grace, with veterans providing stability and younger arms stepping in to give competitive outings, even when the offense has struggled to provide run support. The bullpen, however, has been a rollercoaster, as Edwin Díaz remains one of the league’s most dominant closers when available, but the bridge to him has too often been shaky, leading to blown leads that have cost the Mets valuable ground in the standings. Defensively, the Mets remain solid up the middle, with Lindor’s glove, Alonso’s reliability at first base, and Nimmo’s range in the outfield providing stability, though occasional lapses have shown up in high-pressure moments. The key for New York in this contest is their ability to cash in on scoring chances and avoid stranding runners, as Miami’s pitching staff thrives when given breathing room. If Alonso and Lindor can break through with timely hits and the bullpen holds firm, the Mets have the tools to grind out a critical win on the road. More than anything, though, this game is a test of character for New York—a chance to prove that despite the ups and downs, they can compete with divisional rivals in hostile environments and lay the groundwork for momentum heading into the next season.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Miami Marlins MLB Preview
The Miami Marlins step into this divisional matchup against the New York Mets with confidence fueled by the steady growth of their young roster and the consistency they have shown at home, where their pitching staff has often set the tone for success. Built around a foundation of electric arms, the Marlins have relied on Eury Pérez to emerge as their ace, combining power fastballs with elite strikeout ability, while Jesús Luzardo has given them a strong left-handed complement who can neutralize power-heavy lineups like New York’s. Behind the starters, the bullpen has proven to be one of Miami’s greatest assets, featuring high-leverage relievers who thrive in pressure situations and have kept the club competitive in countless tight games. Offensively, Luis Arraez remains the engine of the lineup, leading with his uncanny ability to make contact and get on base, setting up scoring chances for the rest of the order. Jazz Chisholm Jr. brings energy and explosiveness, capable of delivering home runs, swiping bases, and playing highlight-reel defense that swings momentum in Miami’s favor. Role players like Bryan De La Cruz and Jesús Sánchez add pop and timely hitting, giving the Marlins the depth needed to capitalize when opponents focus too much on their stars.
Defensively, Miami’s athletic outfield and steady infield play allow them to reduce mistakes and put their pitchers in positions to succeed, a trait that has helped them excel in close, low-scoring contests. At home, the Marlins also benefit from an energized fan base that has embraced the team’s youth movement and competitive spirit, making loanDepot Park a difficult environment for visiting opponents. Against the Mets, Miami will look to leverage its pitching dominance, relying on Pérez or Luzardo to quiet Alonso and Lindor while leaning on their bullpen to secure the later innings. If Arraez can continue to get on base and Chisholm can spark the offense with his dynamic play, the Marlins have the formula to frustrate New York and control the pace of the game. For Miami, this matchup is more than just another divisional contest—it is another opportunity to prove that their rebuild has taken root, that they can compete with bigger-market rivals, and that their blend of pitching, speed, and situational hitting can be the blueprint for long-term success in the National League.
One last wave of pink & teal for the season 🌊
— Miami Marlins (@Marlins) September 27, 2025
🤝: @PNCBank
📺: @FanDuelSN_FL , @FDSN_Marlins
👂: @MarlinsRadio , @WIOD
⏰: 4:10 PM ET
🏟️: Roof status: CLOSED#Marlinsbeisbol // https://t.co/ZrOdIbZbJg pic.twitter.com/5GtgZGwWYb
New York vs. Miami Prop Picks (AI)
New York vs. Miami Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Mets and Marlins and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of weight knucklehead sportsbettors often put on Miami’s strength factors between a Mets team going up against a possibly rested Marlins team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI New York vs Miami picks, computer picks Mets vs Marlins, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 10/1 | SD@CHC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 10/1 | SD@CHC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/1 | DET@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/1 | DET@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | GET FREE PICK NOW | 0 | – |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Mets Betting Trends
The Mets have struggled to cover in recent weeks, particularly on the road where inconsistent offense has cost them games despite strong pitching.
Marlins Betting Trends
The Marlins have been steady at home, covering in most of their recent contests behind clutch hitting and effective bullpen support.
Mets vs. Marlins Matchup Trends
Both teams trend toward low-scoring games, with the under cashing in a majority of their recent matchups. The head-to-head series has been tight, with neither side dominating the spread consistently, making this contest a near toss-up from a betting perspective.
New York vs. Miami Game Info
What time does New York vs Miami start on September 28, 2025?
New York vs Miami starts on September 28, 2025 at 3:10 PM EST.
Where is New York vs Miami being played?
Venue: loanDepot Park.
What are the opening odds for New York vs Miami?
Spread: Miami LOADING
Moneyline: New York LOADING, Miami LOADING
Over/Under: LOADING
What are the records for New York vs Miami?
New York: (83-78) | Miami: (78-83)
What is the AI best bet for New York vs Miami?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Manaea over 3.5 Pitcher Strikeouts.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are New York vs Miami trending bets?
Both teams trend toward low-scoring games, with the under cashing in a majority of their recent matchups. The head-to-head series has been tight, with neither side dominating the spread consistently, making this contest a near toss-up from a betting perspective.
What are New York trending bets?
NYM trend: The Mets have struggled to cover in recent weeks, particularly on the road where inconsistent offense has cost them games despite strong pitching.
What are Miami trending bets?
MIA trend: The Marlins have been steady at home, covering in most of their recent contests behind clutch hitting and effective bullpen support.
Where can I find AI Picks for New York vs Miami?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
New York vs. Miami Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the New York vs Miami trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
New York vs Miami Opening Odds
NYM Moneyline:
LOADING MIA Moneyline: LOADING
NYM Spread: LOADING
MIA Spread: LOADING
Over/Under: LOADING
New York vs Miami Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 2, 2025 3:08PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
10/2/25 3:08PM
Tigers
Guardians
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-215)
|
O 7 (-105)
U 7 (-115)
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|
Oct 2, 2025 5:08PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
10/2/25 5:08PM
Padres
Cubs
|
–
–
|
+100
-118
|
-1.5 (+172)
+1.5 (-210)
|
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 2, 2025 8:08PM EDT
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
10/2/25 8:08PM
Red Sox
Yankees
|
–
–
|
+136
-162
|
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+130)
|
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 2:30PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 2:30PM
Dodgers
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+110
-130
|
pk
pk
|
|
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Oct 4, 2025 5:09PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 5:09PM
Dodgers
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+108
-126
|
pk
pk
|
O 7 (-135)
U 7 (+115)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins on September 28, 2025 at loanDepot Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |