Twins vs. Phillies
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 28 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-09-26T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Minnesota Twins travel to take on the Philadelphia Phillies on September 28, 2025, in what promises to be a compelling late-season battle between a team fighting for postseason positioning and another with pride and momentum on the line. The Phillies, having locked in a high seed in the NL playoffs, will likely treat this as both a final tune-up and an opportunity to stay sharp, while the Twins, out of the playoff picture, will look to play spoiler and showcase young talent in a major market.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 28, 2025
Start Time: 3:05 PM EST​
Venue: Citizens Bank Park​
Phillies Record: (95-66)
Twins Record: (70-91)
OPENING ODDS
MIN Moneyline: +173
PHI Moneyline: -208
MIN Spread: +1.5
PHI Spread: -2
Over/Under: +8
MIN
Betting Trends
- The Twins have often underperformed the spread on the road this season, especially against contending clubs, as their pitching and offense have failed to be consistent in hostile environments.
PHI
Betting Trends
- At home, the Phillies have been relatively solid against the spread, particularly when their pitching staff delivers quality starts and their bullpen holds up in tight games late in the season.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Betting lines suggest an over/under around 8.5 runs, indicating expectations for a moderately scoring game; historically, matchups between these clubs have seen a mix of outcomes, with trends leaning slightly toward over when the Twins bring their offensive weapons.
MIN vs. PHI
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Woods Richardson over 14.5 Fantasy Score.
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Minnesota vs Philadelphia Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 9/28/25
However, inconsistency has been their downfall, particularly away from Target Field, where their pitching has struggled with command and stamina, often forcing their bullpen into high-leverage innings that don’t always go in their favor. Defensively, the Twins are competent but prone to lapses that can extend innings and give opponents extra chances, which is dangerous against a Phillies team that thrives on capitalization. The key factors here will be whether Minnesota’s young arms can rise to the occasion and limit Philadelphia’s sluggers, and whether their lineup can produce enough timely hits to keep the game competitive. The Phillies, on the other hand, want to sharpen their form, manage workloads, and send a message of dominance heading into October. The clash between a team prepping for the postseason and one trying to finish strong makes for an intriguing late-season storyline, but ultimately, the Phillies’ depth, balance, and home-field advantage should give them the upper hand in what promises to be a testy contest.
Mick locked it down tonight đź”’ pic.twitter.com/dypxo8tN75
— Minnesota Twins (@Twins) September 28, 2025
Minnesota Twins MLB Preview
The Minnesota Twins head into their September 28, 2025, clash with the Philadelphia Phillies playing for pride, evaluation, and the chance to end a difficult season on a strong note. Minnesota’s 2025 campaign has been marred by inconsistency, with flashes of brilliance from its core players often overshadowed by prolonged slumps and pitching struggles that have kept them out of the postseason picture. Still, this matchup offers them the chance to test themselves against a legitimate contender, and with Byron Buxton leading the way, they bring a mix of power, speed, and athleticism that can cause problems if they put it together. Buxton has had a resurgent year at the plate and in the field, proving once again why he’s considered one of the most dynamic players in the game when healthy. Complementing him, Carlos Correa has provided leadership and timely hitting, while rookies like Brooks Lee and Walker Jenkins have injected youthful energy and shown glimpses of being key long-term contributors. On the mound, the Twins’ rotation has been shaky, often plagued by short outings that put pressure on the bullpen, but there are bright spots—Joe Ryan has delivered solid starts when his command is on, and Jhoan Duran has been electric at the back end of the bullpen, showcasing his triple-digit fastball and devastating splitter.
The challenge, however, lies in maintaining consistency against a Phillies lineup stacked with All-Star hitters who can change the game with one swing. Minnesota will also need to clean up defensively, as miscues in the infield and outfield have cost them dearly throughout the season and cannot afford to extend innings against a team as relentless as Philadelphia. Away from Target Field, the Twins have struggled, often failing to generate enough offense to keep pace in high-scoring environments, and Citizens Bank Park is not forgiving for pitchers who leave the ball up in the zone. Still, this is the type of late-season game that can serve as a building block, especially for the young players who will be tasked with carrying the franchise forward in the coming years. If Buxton and Correa can spark the offense, if Ryan or another starter can limit the damage, and if the bullpen can find a way to hold leads, the Twins have the pieces to at least make this competitive. While they may not have the playoff implications on the line that Philadelphia does, pride and development remain powerful motivators, and Minnesota will aim to prove they can hang with one of the league’s elite as they look to finish their season on an encouraging note.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Philadelphia Phillies MLB Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies enter their September 28, 2025, matchup against the Minnesota Twins with momentum and purpose, as this game carries significant weight in their push for playoff seeding and the possibility of defending their National League crown. Citizens Bank Park has been a fortress for Philadelphia this season, with the team thriving on the energy of its passionate fan base and feeding off the confidence that comes from a balanced roster filled with both seasoned veterans and rising stars. The offensive core has remained one of the most dangerous in baseball, led by Bryce Harper, who continues to cement his legacy as one of the best hitters of his generation with his combination of power, patience, and clutch ability. Alongside Harper, Kyle Schwarber’s left-handed thunder and Trea Turner’s dynamic speed and contact bat give the lineup tremendous depth, while Alec Bohm and Bryson Stott have provided steady production that ensures there are no easy outs for opposing pitchers. Philadelphia’s ability to hit home runs in bunches has been a defining trait, but what makes them even tougher to beat is their improved situational hitting, as they have capitalized with runners in scoring position far more consistently than in years past. On the mound, the Phillies feature one of the most formidable rotations in the National League, anchored by Zack Wheeler and Aaron Nola, who have delivered quality starts with regularity, while Ranger Suárez has continued to shine as one of the more underrated left-handers in the game.
Their bullpen, often a source of concern in previous years, has been a stabilizing force in 2025, with JosĂ© Alvarado and Seranthony DomĂnguez locking down late innings and Craig Kimbrel providing veteran experience in high-leverage situations. Defensively, the Phillies have also taken a step forward, with Turner’s athleticism at shortstop, Harper’s leadership in the field, and Stott’s versatility all contributing to a unit that supports its pitchers effectively. The stakes in this contest are clear: Philadelphia cannot afford to take its foot off the gas, as the crowded National League playoff race leaves little margin for error. Facing a Minnesota team that is young and dangerous but inconsistent, the Phillies must avoid playing down to their opponent’s level and instead impose their will early by jumping on the Twins’ starting pitching and forcing them into their bullpen. The combination of veteran leadership, postseason experience, and a powerful home-field advantage makes Philadelphia the clear favorite in this matchup, and the fans will expect nothing less than a dominant showing as the team looks to head into October sharp and ready for another deep postseason run.
Suárez Saturday#RingTheBell pic.twitter.com/9hOkcpcXTX
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) September 27, 2025
Minnesota vs. Philadelphia Prop Picks (AI)
Minnesota vs. Philadelphia Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Twins and Phillies and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most watching on the trending weight emotional bettors regularly put on Philadelphia’s strength factors between a Twins team going up against a possibly rested Phillies team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Minnesota vs Philadelphia picks, computer picks Twins vs Phillies, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 10/1 | SD@CHC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 10/1 | SD@CHC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/1 | DET@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/1 | DET@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | GET FREE PICK NOW | 0 | – |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Twins Betting Trends
The Twins have often underperformed the spread on the road this season, especially against contending clubs, as their pitching and offense have failed to be consistent in hostile environments.
Phillies Betting Trends
At home, the Phillies have been relatively solid against the spread, particularly when their pitching staff delivers quality starts and their bullpen holds up in tight games late in the season.
Twins vs. Phillies Matchup Trends
Betting lines suggest an over/under around 8.5 runs, indicating expectations for a moderately scoring game; historically, matchups between these clubs have seen a mix of outcomes, with trends leaning slightly toward over when the Twins bring their offensive weapons.
Minnesota vs. Philadelphia Game Info
What time does Minnesota vs Philadelphia start on September 28, 2025?
Minnesota vs Philadelphia starts on September 28, 2025 at 3:05 PM EST.
Where is Minnesota vs Philadelphia being played?
Venue: Citizens Bank Park.
What are the opening odds for Minnesota vs Philadelphia?
Spread: Philadelphia -2
Moneyline: Minnesota +173, Philadelphia -208
Over/Under: +8
What are the records for Minnesota vs Philadelphia?
Minnesota: (70-91) Â |Â Philadelphia: (95-66)
What is the AI best bet for Minnesota vs Philadelphia?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Woods Richardson over 14.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Minnesota vs Philadelphia trending bets?
Betting lines suggest an over/under around 8.5 runs, indicating expectations for a moderately scoring game; historically, matchups between these clubs have seen a mix of outcomes, with trends leaning slightly toward over when the Twins bring their offensive weapons.
What are Minnesota trending bets?
MIN trend: The Twins have often underperformed the spread on the road this season, especially against contending clubs, as their pitching and offense have failed to be consistent in hostile environments.
What are Philadelphia trending bets?
PHI trend: At home, the Phillies have been relatively solid against the spread, particularly when their pitching staff delivers quality starts and their bullpen holds up in tight games late in the season.
Where can I find AI Picks for Minnesota vs Philadelphia?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Minnesota vs. Philadelphia Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Minnesota vs Philadelphia trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Minnesota vs Philadelphia Opening Odds
MIN Moneyline:
+173 PHI Moneyline: -208
MIN Spread: +1.5
PHI Spread: -2
Over/Under: +8
Minnesota vs Philadelphia Live Odds
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–
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+100
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O 7 (-105)
U 7 (-115)
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–
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O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
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Oct 4, 2025 2:30PM EDT
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–
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Oct 4, 2025 5:09PM EDT
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–
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+108
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pk
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O 7 (-135)
U 7 (+115)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Minnesota Twins vs. Philadelphia Phillies on September 28, 2025 at Citizens Bank Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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   LEAN |    %WIN |    UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |