Pirates vs. Braves
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 27 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-09-25T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Pittsburgh Pirates travel to Truist Park on September 27, 2025, to face the Atlanta Braves in a late-season clash between a rebuilding team and one of the league’s perennial contenders. While the Braves aim to sharpen their form for the postseason, the Pirates will look to play spoiler and test their young talent against elite opposition.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 27, 2025
Start Time: 7:15 PM EST
Venue: Truist Park
Braves Record: (75-85)
Pirates Record: (70-90)
OPENING ODDS
PIT Moneyline: +142
ATL Moneyline: -171
PIT Spread: +1.5
ATL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8
PIT
Betting Trends
- The Pirates have struggled against the spread on the road lately, covering in only three of their last ten games.
ATL
Betting Trends
- The Braves have been one of the league’s most reliable home teams, covering in seven of their last ten games at Truist Park.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Atlanta has covered in five of its last six games against Pittsburgh, with four of those wins coming by multiple runs, highlighting the mismatch in depth and experience between the two clubs.
PIT vs. ATL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Horwitz over 4.5 Fantasy Score.
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Pittsburgh vs Atlanta Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 9/27/25
Their pitching staff, while still inconsistent, has had bright spots with Mitch Keller showing the ability to dominate lineups when his command is sharp, and younger arms trying to establish themselves at the major-league level. However, facing Atlanta’s high-powered offense, headlined by Ronald Acuña Jr., Matt Olson, and Austin Riley, will push Pittsburgh’s pitchers to their limits, as few lineups in baseball can turn games around as quickly as the Braves. Atlanta also boasts a pitching staff with a balance of front-line starters and a bullpen that can shorten games, making it difficult for teams like the Pirates who need to capitalize on every scoring opportunity. Beyond the numbers, this game highlights the broader theme of baseball’s competitive landscape, where rebuilding teams like Pittsburgh are trying to carve their way back into contention while established powers like Atlanta aim to maintain their dominance and chase championships. The Pirates will look to play spoiler and gain confidence, while the Braves are expected to handle business and showcase the depth and discipline that has made them contenders year after year. Still, in baseball, where one mistake can swing momentum and young talent can rise to the occasion, the Pirates have a chance to make this more competitive than the projections might suggest. Fans should anticipate a contest where Atlanta’s stars aim to take control early, while Pittsburgh’s youngsters will try to prove they belong on the same stage, creating a matchup that blends immediate stakes for the Braves with long-term growth opportunities for the Pirates in a single compelling game.
Friday night fun.#RaiseIt 🏴☠️ pic.twitter.com/ZaH00I9uB6
— Pittsburgh Pirates (@Pirates) September 27, 2025
Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates enter their September 27, 2025, showdown with the Atlanta Braves as clear underdogs on paper, but this game is about much more than the standings or the betting line; it is about showing growth, competing with a top-tier opponent, and proving that the work being put into the rebuild is starting to bear fruit. For the Pirates, the offensive centerpiece has been Bryan Reynolds, whose consistency in the middle of the order gives Pittsburgh the kind of reliable bat that can set the tone against any pitcher. His ability to get on base, hit for power, and play steady defense has made him both a leader and a cornerstone around which the rest of the roster has developed. Alongside him, Oneil Cruz remains one of the most fascinating players in the league, a towering shortstop with incredible raw tools, but also someone still learning to harness his power and reduce strikeouts; if he puts the bat on the ball, he has the potential to change the game with one swing. Catcher Henry Davis has also taken steps forward, adding balance to the lineup while providing a long-term solution behind the plate, and players like Ke’Bryan Hayes, who is regarded as one of the better defensive third basemen in baseball, continue to work on adding more consistency with the bat to complement their gloves. Pitching has been a major area of development, with Mitch Keller establishing himself as the leader of the staff; when his command and velocity are in sync, he has proven he can hold even elite lineups in check, and his performance will be crucial if the Pirates are going to compete in this game.
Younger arms like Jared Jones and Roansy Contreras have shown flashes of promise but will be tested heavily against Atlanta’s relentless lineup that rarely gives away at-bats. The bullpen has been a work in progress, but closer David Bednar provides stability in the ninth inning, and his ability to lock down tight games is one of the Pirates’ biggest strengths. The key for Pittsburgh will be to scratch across runs early and put pressure on Atlanta, because falling behind against a team with that much offensive firepower and bullpen depth is rarely a recipe for success. This game also provides the Pirates with a chance to embrace the spoiler role; while they may not be in contention, they can still impact the playoff race by making things difficult for Atlanta, and that kind of competitive spirit is often a motivator for young teams looking to prove themselves. The Pirates’ ability to handle the bright lights and execute against one of the National League’s elite will tell fans and coaches a lot about where they stand in the rebuilding process, and even if the result does not go their way, how they compete will be just as important. With nothing to lose and everything to gain in terms of experience, the Pirates should come into this matchup with energy and determination, eager to show that while their future is still under construction, they are no longer a team that can be dismissed without a fight.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Atlanta Braves MLB Preview
The Atlanta Braves head into their September 27, 2025 matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates as one of the most complete teams in baseball, boasting a roster that has balance, power, speed, and depth, all of which make them not only a dangerous regular-season opponent but also a perennial postseason contender. At the heart of Atlanta’s success is Ronald Acuña Jr., who continues to play at an MVP-caliber level, combining elite power and speed with the ability to change a game on the basepaths or at the plate in a single at-bat; his presence at the top of the order energizes the lineup and sets the tone for everything the Braves do offensively. Surrounding him are a collection of sluggers and versatile hitters, from Austin Riley’s power at third base to Matt Olson’s ability to launch balls out of any park while also providing Gold Glove defense at first base, giving Atlanta a middle-of-the-order punch that very few teams can match. Ozzie Albies brings both power and speed from the second base position, while Michael Harris II adds another dynamic bat and stellar defense in center field, making this lineup deep and multidimensional. Even their role players, such as Orlando Arcia and Travis d’Arnaud, bring experience and timely hitting, ensuring there are no easy outs from one through nine. On the pitching side, Max Fried remains the ace of the staff, a left-hander with pinpoint command and big-game experience, while Spencer Strider has blossomed into one of the most electric strikeout pitchers in baseball, capable of overpowering hitters with his high-velocity fastball and wipeout slider.
Charlie Morton, still a veteran presence, adds leadership and reliability, and the bullpen is stacked with flamethrowers like Raisel Iglesias and A.J. Minter, who can shorten games and protect leads with consistency. Defensively, the Braves are equally strong, combining steady gloves on the infield with rangy outfielders who cut off extra-base hits and limit damage, ensuring their pitching staff is always supported. From a tactical standpoint, Atlanta’s ability to mix patience with power at the plate allows them to wear down opposing pitchers, and they are just as comfortable winning slugfests as they are tight, low-scoring games, a versatility that separates them from many other teams in the league. With the postseason looming, games like this against the Pirates offer a chance to fine-tune rotations, rest key players, and still push for home-field advantage, which the Braves know can be critical come October. Fans at Truist Park have been spoiled with sustained excellence, but they also expect the team to deliver in these types of matchups, and the Braves have rarely disappointed. Against a young and scrappy Pirates team, the Braves’ experience and depth should allow them to dictate the pace of the game, but they also know not to overlook any opponent, especially one with a chip on its shoulder. Ultimately, Atlanta enters this game with championship aspirations, and while a regular-season matchup in late September may feel routine for a franchise used to winning, it is games like these where they show why they are the standard in the National League: disciplined, powerful, and built to win now and in the future.
"Olson, party of 1, your dinger is ready."#BravesCountry pic.twitter.com/2mDiwpoZpt
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) September 26, 2025
Pittsburgh vs. Atlanta Prop Picks (AI)
Pittsburgh vs. Atlanta Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Pirates and Braves and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned emphasis human bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Pirates team going up against a possibly rested Braves team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Pittsburgh vs Atlanta picks, computer picks Pirates vs Braves, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 10/1 | SD@CHC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 10/1 | SD@CHC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/1 | DET@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/1 | DET@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | GET FREE PICK NOW | 0 | – |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Pirates Betting Trends
The Pirates have struggled against the spread on the road lately, covering in only three of their last ten games.
Braves Betting Trends
The Braves have been one of the league’s most reliable home teams, covering in seven of their last ten games at Truist Park.
Pirates vs. Braves Matchup Trends
Atlanta has covered in five of its last six games against Pittsburgh, with four of those wins coming by multiple runs, highlighting the mismatch in depth and experience between the two clubs.
Pittsburgh vs. Atlanta Game Info
What time does Pittsburgh vs Atlanta start on September 27, 2025?
Pittsburgh vs Atlanta starts on September 27, 2025 at 7:15 PM EST.
Where is Pittsburgh vs Atlanta being played?
Venue: Truist Park.
What are the opening odds for Pittsburgh vs Atlanta?
Spread: Atlanta -1.5
Moneyline: Pittsburgh +142, Atlanta -171
Over/Under: 8
What are the records for Pittsburgh vs Atlanta?
Pittsburgh: (70-90) | Atlanta: (75-85)
What is the AI best bet for Pittsburgh vs Atlanta?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Horwitz over 4.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Pittsburgh vs Atlanta trending bets?
Atlanta has covered in five of its last six games against Pittsburgh, with four of those wins coming by multiple runs, highlighting the mismatch in depth and experience between the two clubs.
What are Pittsburgh trending bets?
PIT trend: The Pirates have struggled against the spread on the road lately, covering in only three of their last ten games.
What are Atlanta trending bets?
ATL trend: The Braves have been one of the league’s most reliable home teams, covering in seven of their last ten games at Truist Park.
Where can I find AI Picks for Pittsburgh vs Atlanta?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Pittsburgh vs. Atlanta Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Pittsburgh vs Atlanta trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Pittsburgh vs Atlanta Opening Odds
PIT Moneyline:
+142 ATL Moneyline: -171
PIT Spread: +1.5
ATL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8
Pittsburgh vs Atlanta Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 2, 2025 3:08PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
10/2/25 3:08PM
Tigers
Guardians
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
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-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-215)
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O 7 (-105)
U 7 (-115)
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Oct 2, 2025 5:08PM EDT
San Diego Padres
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10/2/25 5:08PM
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–
–
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+100
-118
|
-1.5 (+172)
+1.5 (-210)
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O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
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Oct 2, 2025 8:08PM EDT
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
10/2/25 8:08PM
Red Sox
Yankees
|
–
–
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+136
-162
|
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+130)
|
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
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Oct 4, 2025 2:30PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 2:30PM
Dodgers
Phillies
|
–
–
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+110
-130
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pk
pk
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Oct 4, 2025 5:09PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 5:09PM
Dodgers
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+108
-126
|
pk
pk
|
O 7 (-135)
U 7 (+115)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves on September 27, 2025 at Truist Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |