Mets vs. Marlins
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 27 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-09-25T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The New York Mets head to loanDepot park to face the Miami Marlins on September 27, 2025, in a late-season divisional matchup that could have implications for pride, evaluation, and potentially postseason seeding. Both teams have been inconsistent, making this game an important opportunity to gauge where each franchise stands heading into the offseason.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 27, 2025

Start Time: 4:10 PM EST​

Venue: loanDepot park​

Marlins Record: (78-82)

Mets Record: (82-78)

OPENING ODDS

NYM Moneyline: LOADING

MIA Moneyline: LOADING

NYM Spread: LOADING

MIA Spread: LOADING

Over/Under: LOADING

NYM
Betting Trends

  • The Mets have struggled to cover on the road, particularly within the division, as uneven pitching performances have often overshadowed their offensive firepower.

MIA
Betting Trends

  • The Marlins have been slightly stronger ATS at home, especially in low-scoring games where their pitching has managed to keep opponents in check despite a lack of run support.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Head-to-head meetings between the Mets and Marlins have trended toward the under, with both teams’ pitching staffs limiting explosive offensive outputs. Interestingly, Miami has covered more often at home against the Mets in recent series, but New York tends to respond well when coming off consecutive losses in the matchup.

NYM vs. MIA
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Alonso over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

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New York vs Miami Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 9/27/25

The September 27, 2025 matchup between the New York Mets and the Miami Marlins at loanDepot park is the type of late-season divisional contest that, while unlikely to decide playoff positioning in a big way, provides critical evaluation opportunities and a glimpse at each team’s trajectory heading into 2026, and for both clubs, this game is about proving they can finish strong despite inconsistency throughout the year. For the Mets, the narrative of the season has centered on the gap between star power and results, as they boast big names like Pete Alonso, who remains one of the game’s premier sluggers, Francisco Lindor, whose defense and switch-hitting presence add balance to the lineup, and Brandon Nimmo, who continues to provide reliable on-base skills and leadership at the top of the order. Yet despite that core, New York has often struggled with runners in scoring position and defensive miscues that have cost them winnable games, while their pitching staff behind ace Kodai Senga has been erratic, leaving their bullpen exposed too frequently in late innings. The Mets’ younger contributors, such as catcher Francisco Alvarez, have shown growth, giving fans hope that the transition to a younger core will stabilize their future, but this year has been marked by an inability to consistently put all phases of the game together.

Miami, meanwhile, has spent the season in a developmental mode, leaning heavily on the brilliance of Sandy Alcantara when healthy, as well as the promise of Eury Pérez, whose high-velocity arsenal projects him as a potential frontline starter for years to come. Offensively, the Marlins’ lineup has relied on Jazz Chisholm Jr. for its spark, combining power and speed, while Luis Arraez has delivered his trademark contact hitting and high batting average presence, though the supporting cast has been inconsistent at best. The Marlins’ bullpen has been volatile, blowing too many leads, but the organization has viewed those failures as opportunities for young arms to learn on the job. Defensively, Miami has shown flashes of improvement but remains prone to lapses that undermine their pitching, while offensively they have often lacked the depth to sustain rallies, putting pressure on their pitching to keep games close. This matchup will test whether the Mets’ star-laden but inconsistent roster can execute against a Marlins team built around pitching and opportunism, with Petco Park’s—excuse me, loanDepot park’s—dimensions favoring the arms and emphasizing the importance of situational hitting. For New York, a win would show that despite a frustrating campaign they can handle business against a divisional rival and provide momentum for their younger players heading into the offseason, while for Miami, the game represents another chance to frustrate a bigger-budget opponent and highlight the potential of their young arms and athletic lineup. Though it may not carry the intensity of a pennant race, this game still holds meaning as both franchises measure progress, evaluate rosters, and showcase the players who will carry them into the next stage of their respective journeys, making it an intriguing late-season matchup defined as much by growth and evaluation as it is by wins and losses.

New York Mets MLB Preview

The New York Mets enter their September 27, 2025 contest against the Miami Marlins with a roster that still boasts marquee talent but has struggled to find consistency throughout the season, making this matchup both a chance to salvage pride and an opportunity to evaluate how their pieces fit heading into 2026. At the forefront is Pete Alonso, the franchise cornerstone at first base, whose home run power remains one of the most feared weapons in baseball; his ability to change a game with a single swing continues to give the Mets a chance in any contest. Complementing him is Francisco Lindor, who despite occasional streakiness has provided steady defense at shortstop and the ability to contribute offensively from both sides of the plate, offering leadership that has been invaluable in an up-and-down campaign. Brandon Nimmo’s role as the leadoff man has also been crucial, with his patience and knack for getting on base helping to set the table for the heart of the order, while young catcher Francisco Alvarez has taken meaningful strides both at the plate and behind it, giving fans hope that he will grow into a cornerstone of the franchise’s next competitive window. The challenge for New York has not been talent but consistency, as the lineup too often strands runners and fails to execute in big moments, a trend that has cost them countless close games.

On the mound, Kodai Senga has emerged as the clear ace, using his splitter-heavy arsenal to dominate, but the rotation behind him has been shaky, with injuries and inconsistency creating problems that have forced an overreliance on the bullpen. That relief corps, in turn, has been erratic, with flashes of dominance undermined by costly meltdowns that have turned potential wins into losses. Defensively, the Mets remain solid in many areas but have suffered from untimely errors that have undone otherwise strong performances, further contributing to their reputation as a team that cannot quite get out of its own way. Manager Carlos Mendoza has emphasized development down the stretch, giving opportunities to younger players while still leaning on veterans to steady the roster. Against Miami, the Mets’ focus will be on capitalizing against a young but talented Marlins pitching staff, putting pressure on them early and avoiding the tendency to leave scoring chances on the table. A win here would not change the course of the season, but it would represent progress for a franchise desperate to show that its blend of stars and youth is capable of creating momentum into next year. For Alonso, Lindor, Nimmo, and Alvarez, this game is about asserting themselves as the nucleus of a competitive core, while for the rest of the roster, it is a chance to prove they belong in the conversation as contributors going forward. Ultimately, the Mets arrive in Miami aware that they have underperformed relative to expectations, but also motivated to end the season with performances that suggest their rebuild-retool hybrid strategy is beginning to stabilize.

The New York Mets head to loanDepot park to face the Miami Marlins on September 27, 2025, in a late-season divisional matchup that could have implications for pride, evaluation, and potentially postseason seeding. Both teams have been inconsistent, making this game an important opportunity to gauge where each franchise stands heading into the offseason. New York vs Miami AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Sep 27. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Miami Marlins MLB Preview

The Miami Marlins approach their September 27, 2025 matchup against the New York Mets at loanDepot park with a clear focus on continuing to build around their young talent and leaning on their pitching to keep them competitive, as this season has largely been about development and identifying pieces that can be part of their long-term vision. Jazz Chisholm Jr. remains the face of the franchise, bringing athleticism, swagger, and a blend of power and speed that can ignite the Marlins’ lineup when he is healthy, though durability has been a concern throughout his career. Luis Arraez continues to be one of the most reliable contact hitters in baseball, delivering a high batting average and a steady presence at the top of the order, though his lack of power underscores the need for Miami to find more complementary bats around him. Players like Bryan De La Cruz and Jesús Sánchez have shown flashes of run-producing potential but remain inconsistent, which has often left the Marlins struggling to string together rallies and provide sufficient run support for their strong pitching staff. On the mound, Sandy Alcantara remains the ace, and even if he has dealt with stretches of inconsistency or injury, his dominance when locked in makes Miami competitive in nearly every game he starts. Eury Pérez has been a revelation as a young arm, flashing electric stuff and hinting at the future of the Marlins’ rotation, while other pitchers like Braxton Garrett and Edward Cabrera have added depth when healthy, though consistency remains a challenge.

The bullpen has been volatile, showing promise in stretches but faltering in high-leverage moments, which has cost the Marlins numerous close games and remains one of their biggest developmental priorities moving forward. Defensively, Miami has athleticism across the diamond, but lapses in execution have too often compounded their offensive shortcomings, and those breakdowns in critical spots have prevented them from converting tight contests into wins. Manager Skip Schumaker has been tasked with balancing growth and accountability, making it clear that while the Marlins are still rebuilding, every opportunity on the field matters, and players are being evaluated on their ability to adapt and contribute consistently. Against the Mets, the Marlins will look to lean heavily on their pitching staff to neutralize New York’s big bats like Alonso and Lindor while hoping that their offense can scratch across just enough runs with situational hitting, aggressive baserunning, and timely execution. For the fan base, games like this carry less weight in the standings and more value in showcasing the young core that is being built for the future, and for the players, it is a chance to prove they can hold their own against divisional rivals with bigger payrolls and bigger names. While the Marlins may not be in the playoff mix this year, matchups like this against the Mets are critical steppingstones, both for confidence and for long-term growth, and the organization views every inning as an investment toward eventually becoming a consistent contender.

New York vs. Miami Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Mets and Marlins play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at loanDepot park in Sep seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Alonso over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

New York vs. Miami Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Mets and Marlins and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most fixated on the trending weight emotional bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Mets team going up against a possibly strong Marlins team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New York vs Miami picks, computer picks Mets vs Marlins, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/1 SD@CHC UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 SD@CHC UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD UNLOCK THIS PICK 3 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 DET@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 DET@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY GET FREE PICK NOW 0

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have struggled to cover on the road, particularly within the division, as uneven pitching performances have often overshadowed their offensive firepower.

Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins have been slightly stronger ATS at home, especially in low-scoring games where their pitching has managed to keep opponents in check despite a lack of run support.

Mets vs. Marlins Matchup Trends

Head-to-head meetings between the Mets and Marlins have trended toward the under, with both teams’ pitching staffs limiting explosive offensive outputs. Interestingly, Miami has covered more often at home against the Mets in recent series, but New York tends to respond well when coming off consecutive losses in the matchup.

New York vs. Miami Game Info

New York vs Miami starts on September 27, 2025 at 4:10 PM EST.

Spread: Miami LOADING
Moneyline: New York LOADING, Miami LOADING
Over/Under: LOADING

New York: (82-78)  |  Miami: (78-82)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Alonso over 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Head-to-head meetings between the Mets and Marlins have trended toward the under, with both teams’ pitching staffs limiting explosive offensive outputs. Interestingly, Miami has covered more often at home against the Mets in recent series, but New York tends to respond well when coming off consecutive losses in the matchup.

NYM trend: The Mets have struggled to cover on the road, particularly within the division, as uneven pitching performances have often overshadowed their offensive firepower.

MIA trend: The Marlins have been slightly stronger ATS at home, especially in low-scoring games where their pitching has managed to keep opponents in check despite a lack of run support.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

New York vs. Miami Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the New York vs Miami trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

New York vs Miami Opening Odds

NYM Moneyline: LOADING
MIA Moneyline: LOADING
NYM Spread: LOADING
MIA Spread: LOADING
Over/Under: LOADING

New York vs Miami Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 2, 2025 3:08PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
10/2/25 3:08PM
Tigers
Guardians
+100
-120
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-215)
O 7 (-105)
U 7 (-115)
Oct 2, 2025 5:08PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
10/2/25 5:08PM
Padres
Cubs
+100
-118
-1.5 (+172)
+1.5 (-210)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Oct 2, 2025 8:08PM EDT
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
10/2/25 8:08PM
Red Sox
Yankees
+136
-162
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+130)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
Oct 4, 2025 2:30PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 2:30PM
Dodgers
Phillies
+110
-130
pk
pk
Oct 4, 2025 5:09PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 5:09PM
Dodgers
Phillies
+108
-126
pk
pk
O 7 (-135)
U 7 (+115)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins on September 27, 2025 at loanDepot park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS