Pirates vs. Braves
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 26 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-09-24T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Pittsburgh Pirates visit Truist Park on September 26, 2025, to take on the powerhouse Atlanta Braves in a late-season National League showdown. The Braves will look to flex their offensive depth and playoff-tested rotation, while the Pirates aim to prove their young roster can compete against one of baseball’s elite.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 26, 2025

Start Time: 7:15 PM EST​

Venue: Truist Park​

Braves Record: (75-84)

Pirates Record: (69-90)

OPENING ODDS

PIT Moneyline: +134

ATL Moneyline: -162

PIT Spread: +1.5

ATL Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

PIT
Betting Trends

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered in just three of their last nine games, struggling on the road as their pitching depth continues to be tested.

ATL
Betting Trends

  • The Atlanta Braves have been one of the most consistent teams at home, covering in six of their last eight games thanks to a relentless offense and steady starting pitching.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Interestingly, in the last ten meetings between the Pirates and Braves, the over has hit seven times, highlighting how Atlanta’s bats have dominated Pittsburgh’s pitching staff while still leaving room for the Pirates to sneak in late runs.

PIT vs. ATL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Baldwin over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

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Pittsburgh vs Atlanta Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 9/26/25

The matchup between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Atlanta Braves on September 26, 2025, at Truist Park has the makings of a showcase game for two franchises at very different points in their trajectories, with the Braves looking to polish their postseason readiness while the Pirates aim to demonstrate that their rebuild is taking real strides forward. Atlanta enters this contest as one of the most complete teams in the league, boasting a lineup that can overwhelm pitchers with relentless pressure and a rotation that features front-line talent like Spencer Strider and Max Fried, both of whom have been capable of shutting down even the strongest opposing lineups. Ronald Acuña Jr. remains the catalyst for their attack, pairing MVP-caliber power and speed with the ability to change games on the basepaths, while Austin Riley’s consistency and Matt Olson’s left-handed thunder make for one of the most imposing middle-of-the-order duos in baseball. Add to that the steady production of Ozzie Albies, Michael Harris II’s athleticism in center, and Sean Murphy’s impact behind the plate, and the Braves’ offense presents no soft spots, which poses a daunting challenge for Pittsburgh’s pitching staff. For the Pirates, Mitch Keller will likely need to lead the charge as the ace of the rotation, though he will be tested heavily by Atlanta’s ability to grind at-bats and force high pitch counts, something that has been a weakness for Pittsburgh’s pitching depth throughout the season.

Offensively, the Pirates look to Oneil Cruz, Bryan Reynolds, and Ke’Bryan Hayes to set the tone, but while Cruz’s raw tools can electrify, his strikeout tendencies could be exposed against Atlanta’s power arms, and Hayes along with Reynolds will need to provide stability against a Braves pitching staff that typically minimizes damage. Defensively, Pittsburgh has made strides, but lapses in execution could be particularly costly in a game against an Atlanta team that thrives on capitalizing on mistakes. The Pirates’ bullpen will also be tested if the game remains close, as inconsistencies in late innings have plagued them all season, while Atlanta’s relief corps has steadied as the year has progressed, giving them a distinct edge in tight games. Truist Park adds another factor, as the Braves’ power bats are well-suited to its dimensions, while Pittsburgh’s offense, more contact-oriented, may find it harder to keep pace unless they string together quality at-bats and push runs across through opportunistic baserunning. This matchup ultimately reflects the broader contrast between these two teams: Atlanta’s proven ability to dominate opponents with depth, power, and execution versus Pittsburgh’s ongoing quest to prove that its young core can withstand the test of baseball’s elite. For the Braves, this game is about sharpening their focus and maintaining their momentum as October approaches, while for the Pirates, it’s an opportunity to measure their progress, test their resiliency, and perhaps deliver a statement performance that shows their future is not as far away as skeptics may think.

Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates step into Truist Park to face the Atlanta Braves on September 26, 2025, fully aware of the uphill battle they face against one of baseball’s most complete teams, but also embracing the challenge as an opportunity to measure their young core against elite competition. Their lineup continues to revolve around the blend of upside and steady production provided by players like Bryan Reynolds, who has been their most consistent bat with his ability to work counts and deliver in clutch moments, and Oneil Cruz, whose raw athleticism and towering power make him a potential game-changer on any given night despite his ongoing struggles with plate discipline. Ke’Bryan Hayes has become a defensive cornerstone at third base while also providing more offensive consistency than in years past, and his leadership is beginning to shine through for a roster still learning how to win at the major league level. Beyond those core pieces, the Pirates’ offense has been opportunistic, relying on manufacturing runs through smart baserunning, situational hitting, and taking advantage of defensive lapses, but against a team as efficient and relentless as the Braves, they will need to sustain rallies instead of waiting for isolated home runs.

On the mound, Mitch Keller stands as the anchor of their rotation and will likely be tasked with setting the tone, but his success will hinge on limiting traffic early, as Atlanta’s lineup thrives on turning small openings into crooked numbers. The bullpen has been an ongoing concern, with inconsistencies in the middle innings putting added pressure on the offense to play catch-up, and in a ballpark like Truist Park, where mistakes can leave the yard in a hurry, those cracks could be magnified. Defensively, the Pirates must be sharp, especially in the outfield where the Braves’ aggressive approach can stretch singles into doubles and force errors from teams not fully locked in. Manager Derek Shelton has emphasized resilience and development throughout the year, and games like this provide invaluable experience for a roster still learning how to execute in hostile environments. The Pirates don’t need to out-slug Atlanta to compete, but they do need to stay disciplined at the plate, extend at-bats to drive up pitch counts, and capitalize on whatever opportunities arise, particularly with runners in scoring position, an area where they have been inconsistent. While the odds are stacked against them, this matchup offers the Pirates a chance to prove that their rebuild is producing tangible results, as competing closely with a team of Atlanta’s caliber—even in defeat—could serve as a statement that Pittsburgh’s young core is on the rise and capable of handling the pressures of meaningful September baseball.

The Pittsburgh Pirates visit Truist Park on September 26, 2025, to take on the powerhouse Atlanta Braves in a late-season National League showdown. The Braves will look to flex their offensive depth and playoff-tested rotation, while the Pirates aim to prove their young roster can compete against one of baseball’s elite. Pittsburgh vs Atlanta AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Sep 26. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Atlanta Braves MLB Preview

The Atlanta Braves enter their September 26, 2025, clash against the Pittsburgh Pirates at Truist Park with the confidence and swagger of a team that has been among the National League’s most dominant all season, built on a combination of elite talent, depth, and an ability to win in multiple ways. Offensively, the Braves continue to field one of the most feared lineups in baseball, with Ronald Acuña Jr. at the top setting the tone through his blend of speed, power, and elite on-base skills, while Austin Riley and Matt Olson form a lethal middle-of-the-order duo capable of changing the game with one swing. Ozzie Albies adds balance with his switch-hitting power and knack for driving in runs, Michael Harris II’s athleticism and developing bat strengthen the lower half of the lineup, and Sean Murphy provides both defensive stability behind the plate and a dangerous bat to lengthen the order. This balance means that opposing pitchers rarely get a breather, and at Truist Park, where the Braves have been especially potent, that relentless pressure often forces opponents into mistakes. On the mound, Atlanta leans on the firepower of Spencer Strider, who remains one of the league’s premier strikeout artists, alongside Max Fried, whose command and experience make him a reliable anchor for the rotation.

Their bullpen, headlined by closer Raisel Iglesias, has steadied as the season has progressed, giving the Braves the late-inning confidence needed to close out tight games, while middle relievers have found their roles and strengthened the bridge from the starters. Defensively, Atlanta excels as well, with Harris patrolling center field at a Gold Glove-caliber level, Albies and Riley anchoring the infield, and Acuña’s cannon arm in right field deterring baserunners. Manager Brian Snitker has this group playing disciplined, fundamentally sound baseball, minimizing mistakes and emphasizing situational execution to complement their raw talent. Against the Pirates, the Braves will look to seize control early by putting pressure on Mitch Keller or whoever takes the mound for Pittsburgh, forcing long innings, and capitalizing on any command lapses. Their goal will be to build a cushion that allows them to deploy their bullpen in ideal matchups while keeping momentum fully in their favor. With the postseason looming, games like this are about sharpening execution and maintaining rhythm, and Atlanta has consistently shown they understand how to balance the grind of September with the urgency of staying sharp for October. Truist Park will be buzzing with energy as the Braves continue to showcase why they are viewed as one of the World Series favorites, and for them, this game is as much about reinforcing their dominance as it is about adding another win to an already impressive season.

Pittsburgh vs. Atlanta Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Pirates and Braves play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Truist Park in Sep can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Baldwin over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

Pittsburgh vs. Atlanta Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Pirates and Braves and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most watching on the trending weight knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Pirates team going up against a possibly rested Braves team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Pittsburgh vs Atlanta picks, computer picks Pirates vs Braves, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/1 SD@CHC UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 SD@CHC UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD UNLOCK THIS PICK 3 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 DET@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 DET@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY GET FREE PICK NOW 0

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered in just three of their last nine games, struggling on the road as their pitching depth continues to be tested.

Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves have been one of the most consistent teams at home, covering in six of their last eight games thanks to a relentless offense and steady starting pitching.

Pirates vs. Braves Matchup Trends

Interestingly, in the last ten meetings between the Pirates and Braves, the over has hit seven times, highlighting how Atlanta’s bats have dominated Pittsburgh’s pitching staff while still leaving room for the Pirates to sneak in late runs.

Pittsburgh vs. Atlanta Game Info

Pittsburgh vs Atlanta starts on September 26, 2025 at 7:15 PM EST.

Spread: Atlanta -1.5
Moneyline: Pittsburgh +134, Atlanta -162
Over/Under: 8.5

Pittsburgh: (69-90)  |  Atlanta: (75-84)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Baldwin over 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Interestingly, in the last ten meetings between the Pirates and Braves, the over has hit seven times, highlighting how Atlanta’s bats have dominated Pittsburgh’s pitching staff while still leaving room for the Pirates to sneak in late runs.

PIT trend: The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered in just three of their last nine games, struggling on the road as their pitching depth continues to be tested.

ATL trend: The Atlanta Braves have been one of the most consistent teams at home, covering in six of their last eight games thanks to a relentless offense and steady starting pitching.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Pittsburgh vs. Atlanta Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Pittsburgh vs Atlanta trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

Pittsburgh vs Atlanta Opening Odds

PIT Moneyline: +134
ATL Moneyline: -162
PIT Spread: +1.5
ATL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

Pittsburgh vs Atlanta Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 2, 2025 3:08PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
10/2/25 3:08PM
Tigers
Guardians
+100
-120
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-215)
O 7 (-105)
U 7 (-115)
Oct 2, 2025 5:08PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
10/2/25 5:08PM
Padres
Cubs
+100
-118
-1.5 (+172)
+1.5 (-210)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Oct 2, 2025 8:08PM EDT
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
10/2/25 8:08PM
Red Sox
Yankees
+136
-162
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+130)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
Oct 4, 2025 2:30PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 2:30PM
Dodgers
Phillies
+110
-130
pk
pk
Oct 4, 2025 5:09PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 5:09PM
Dodgers
Phillies
+108
-126
pk
pk
O 7 (-135)
U 7 (+115)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves on September 26, 2025 at Truist Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS