Mets vs. Marlins
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 26 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-09-24T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The New York Mets and Miami Marlins meet at loanDepot Park on September 26, 2025, in an NL East matchup with both teams seeking to finish the season strong. With the Mets’ veteran-heavy roster facing the Marlins’ young pitching staff, this contest offers an intriguing clash of experience versus development.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 26, 2025

Start Time: 7:10 PM EST​

Venue: loanDepot park​

Marlins Record: (77-82)

Mets Record: (82-77)

OPENING ODDS

NYM Moneyline: -134

MIA Moneyline: +112

NYM Spread: -1.5

MIA Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

NYM
Betting Trends

  • The New York Mets have struggled recently against the spread, failing to cover in five of their last seven games as their offense has been inconsistent on the road.

MIA
Betting Trends

  • The Miami Marlins have fared better at home, covering in four of their last six games, often leaning on their pitching depth to keep contests close.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Interestingly, head-to-head meetings between the Mets and Marlins have often been tight, with seven of their last ten matchups being decided by two runs or fewer, and the under hitting in six of those games due to both lineups struggling with timely hitting.

NYM vs. MIA
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Alonso over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

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New York vs Miami Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 9/26/25

The New York Mets and Miami Marlins meet at loanDepot Park on September 26, 2025, in a divisional clash that highlights two franchises taking very different approaches to building their futures, yet both arrive at this game hungry for momentum as the season nears its conclusion. The Mets, with their veteran core and star power in Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor, are still trying to find the offensive consistency that has eluded them for stretches of the season, as their lineup has produced bursts of power but also endured prolonged droughts that leave their pitching staff under pressure. Kodai Senga remains the linchpin of their rotation, offering strikeout ability and poise, but depth behind him has wavered, forcing the bullpen into uncomfortable roles that have led to late-game collapses, an issue that manager Carlos Mendoza continues to wrestle with in high-leverage situations. On the other side, the Marlins remain a pitching-first organization, built around a young rotation that includes Eury Pérez, Jesús Luzardo, and Edward Cabrera, all of whom can dominate when they command their arsenals, but Miami’s offense has too often been the limiting factor.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. provides the spark, blending power and speed into a dangerous package, yet the supporting cast has been streaky, meaning Miami frequently finds itself in tight, low-scoring games that hinge on one or two pivotal at-bats. Defensively, the Marlins’ athleticism plays well in the spacious dimensions of their ballpark, but their inconsistency at the plate has left them unable to fully capitalize on strong pitching performances. Historically, matchups between these two teams have been tight, with many games decided by just a couple of runs, and this one projects to be no different, as the Mets’ veteran bats square off against Miami’s talented but young rotation. The Marlins will aim to keep the game close and turn it into a battle of bullpens, where they have been steadier at home, while the Mets will want to strike early, relying on Alonso and Lindor to provide instant offense and establish control. For both clubs, this game represents more than just another divisional meeting—it is a test of whether the Mets’ star-driven approach can break through against a pitching staff designed to suppress power, and whether Miami’s developmental model can prove it is ready to consistently challenge more established rosters. With playoff positioning and pride on the line, expect a hard-fought game where execution in late innings will almost certainly decide the outcome, and whichever team avoids the critical mistake will be the one to seize an important victory in September.

New York Mets MLB Preview

The New York Mets come into this divisional battle against the Miami Marlins knowing that their performance on the road has been a key factor in whether they can stay competitive deep into the season, and this matchup will demand that their veterans rise to the occasion. Offensively, the Mets continue to be anchored by Pete Alonso, whose ability to change the game with one swing remains central to their approach, while Francisco Lindor provides not just run production but also leadership and defensive excellence that steady the team in high-pressure moments. Brandon Nimmo adds an important spark at the top of the lineup with his on-base skills and hustle, while younger bats like Francisco Álvarez and Brett Baty represent the future but have often struggled with consistency, leaving the offense prone to droughts when Alonso and Lindor aren’t carrying the load. On the pitching side, Kodai Senga has given the Mets a true ace presence, combining swing-and-miss stuff with the ability to handle tough situations, but the rotation behind him has been uneven, often forcing the bullpen to pick up more innings than desired.

The relief corps remains a source of concern, as blown leads have cost New York several close games, though Edwin Díaz, when healthy and locked in, still brings dominant closer potential that can shut down opponents in the ninth. Defensively, the Mets are solid in the infield with Lindor’s range and instincts complemented by Alonso’s steady glove at first, but the outfield must stay sharp in loanDepot Park’s expansive dimensions, where gaps can quickly turn singles into extra-base hits. Manager Carlos Mendoza is likely to emphasize early offense in this contest, pushing his hitters to attack Miami’s young starters before they settle into a groove, knowing that waiting too long could put them at the mercy of the Marlins’ bullpen in a tight game. The Mets’ challenge will be to balance their power-driven approach with more situational hitting, as relying solely on the long ball has backfired against strong pitching teams, and Miami’s rotation is particularly adept at minimizing damage when runners are on base. For New York, this game represents both a test and an opportunity: the test being whether their veteran-heavy roster can execute under the pressure of playing in a hostile environment against a division rival, and the opportunity being the chance to prove that their star power can still win them critical games when it matters most. If Alonso and Lindor can deliver offensively, Senga or another starter can keep the Marlins’ bats contained, and Díaz gets a chance to close without middle-relief hiccups, the Mets will have every chance to grab a much-needed road win and remind the rest of the division that they remain a dangerous team despite their inconsistencies.

The New York Mets and Miami Marlins meet at loanDepot Park on September 26, 2025, in an NL East matchup with both teams seeking to finish the season strong. With the Mets’ veteran-heavy roster facing the Marlins’ young pitching staff, this contest offers an intriguing clash of experience versus development. New York vs Miami AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Sep 26. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Miami Marlins MLB Preview

The Miami Marlins return to loanDepot Park for this matchup with the New York Mets eager to showcase the strides they’ve made as a young but resilient team, leaning on their pitching-heavy identity and an energetic core that thrives in front of their home crowd. Their greatest strength remains their starting rotation, with Eury Pérez flashing ace-level potential when his command is sharp, Jesús Luzardo providing experience and consistency from the left side, and Edward Cabrera adding another high-upside option who can keep hitters off balance with his electric stuff. That trio, supported by a bullpen that has been more reliable at home, gives the Marlins a fighting chance in almost every game, but their success ultimately hinges on whether their offense can complement the arms with timely production. Jazz Chisholm Jr. continues to be the face of the franchise, his blend of speed, power, and charisma giving Miami a player who can ignite the crowd and swing the game in an instant, while Bryan De La Cruz and Jake Burger offer power potential that can punish mistakes, even if their overall consistency has fluctuated.

Veterans like Josh Bell bring stability to the lineup, but Miami’s bats as a whole have been streaky, capable of breaking out for big innings one night but falling flat the next, which has often defined their season. Defensively, the Marlins benefit from a fast and athletic outfield well-suited for their spacious home park, an asset that allows them to cut off extra-base hits and keep games close, but mental lapses in key spots have occasionally undone strong pitching efforts. Manager Skip Schumaker knows that against a team like the Mets, keeping the game within striking distance will be crucial, as New York has the power to score in bunches but has also shown vulnerability in late-inning situations due to bullpen inconsistency. Expect the Marlins to try to put pressure on Mets pitchers early with aggressive baserunning and patient at-bats designed to raise pitch counts, while trusting their own pitching staff to keep New York’s sluggers like Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor from delivering game-changing swings. With the playoff picture tightening, every game carries extra weight, and this one provides the Marlins with a chance not only to chip away at a division rival but also to reinforce their reputation as a club capable of frustrating more experienced rosters with their youth, energy, and pitching depth. If Miami can combine strong pitching with opportunistic hitting and clean defense, they will have every opportunity to defend their home turf and continue building momentum as a team eager to prove its progress in meaningful late-season baseball.

New York vs. Miami Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Mets and Marlins play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at loanDepot park in Sep seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Alonso over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

New York vs. Miami Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Mets and Marlins and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most fixated on the linear correlation of emphasis emotional bettors tend to put on New York’s strength factors between a Mets team going up against a possibly healthy Marlins team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New York vs Miami picks, computer picks Mets vs Marlins, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/1 SD@CHC UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 SD@CHC UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD UNLOCK THIS PICK 3 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 DET@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 DET@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY GET FREE PICK NOW 0

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets have struggled recently against the spread, failing to cover in five of their last seven games as their offense has been inconsistent on the road.

Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins have fared better at home, covering in four of their last six games, often leaning on their pitching depth to keep contests close.

Mets vs. Marlins Matchup Trends

Interestingly, head-to-head meetings between the Mets and Marlins have often been tight, with seven of their last ten matchups being decided by two runs or fewer, and the under hitting in six of those games due to both lineups struggling with timely hitting.

New York vs. Miami Game Info

New York vs Miami starts on September 26, 2025 at 7:10 PM EST.

Spread: Miami +1.5
Moneyline: New York -134, Miami +112
Over/Under: 8.5

New York: (82-77)  |  Miami: (77-82)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Alonso over 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Interestingly, head-to-head meetings between the Mets and Marlins have often been tight, with seven of their last ten matchups being decided by two runs or fewer, and the under hitting in six of those games due to both lineups struggling with timely hitting.

NYM trend: The New York Mets have struggled recently against the spread, failing to cover in five of their last seven games as their offense has been inconsistent on the road.

MIA trend: The Miami Marlins have fared better at home, covering in four of their last six games, often leaning on their pitching depth to keep contests close.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

New York vs. Miami Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the New York vs Miami trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

New York vs Miami Opening Odds

NYM Moneyline: -134
MIA Moneyline: +112
NYM Spread: -1.5
MIA Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

New York vs Miami Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 2, 2025 3:08PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
10/2/25 3:08PM
Tigers
Guardians
+100
-120
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-215)
O 7 (-105)
U 7 (-115)
Oct 2, 2025 5:08PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
10/2/25 5:08PM
Padres
Cubs
+100
-118
-1.5 (+172)
+1.5 (-210)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Oct 2, 2025 8:08PM EDT
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
10/2/25 8:08PM
Red Sox
Yankees
+136
-162
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+130)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
Oct 4, 2025 2:30PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 2:30PM
Dodgers
Phillies
+110
-130
pk
pk
Oct 4, 2025 5:09PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 5:09PM
Dodgers
Phillies
+108
-126
pk
pk
O 7 (-135)
U 7 (+115)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins on September 26, 2025 at loanDepot park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS