Cubs vs. Reds
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 20 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-09-18T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Cubs travel to Cincinnati for Game 2 of their series, looking to build off recent road performances and tighten up their playoff positioning. The Reds, meanwhile, are still alive in the Wild Card picture, using home games to try to swing momentum — this matchup has extra weight for both clubs.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 20, 2025

Start Time: 6:40 PM EST​

Venue: Great American Ball Park​

Reds Record: (78-76)

Cubs Record: (88-66)

OPENING ODDS

CHC Moneyline: -111

CIN Moneyline: -108

CHC Spread: -1.5

CIN Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 9

CHC
Betting Trends

  • While specific recent run-line data for the Cubs is less clearly summarized in public sources, their season has featured several games where they have failed to cover on the road despite competitive performances; their road results versus strong opponents tend to show variance in covering spreads depending on starting pitching and bullpen strength.

CIN
Betting Trends

  • Cincinnati has a solid home record this season; at home they are 23-20 against the run line, showing that they often do slightly better than expectations in front of their crowd. Their overall home winning percentage is above .500, which adds weight to bullish views when they draw favorable spreads at Great American Ball Park.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Given that the Reds are just above .500 vs. spread at home, and the Cubs have shown both flare and inconsistency on the road, this game may offer value to bettors leaning toward Cincinnati, especially if the spread is modest. Also, the Cubs have had trouble in this season with scoring consistently in road games when facing strong starts, which could gear momentum toward the Reds early. Finally, in head-to-head matchups, the Reds have held the edge this season, which may be reflected (or even overemphasized) in the betting line; the question is whether the Cubs can overcome that given their recent adjustments.

CHC vs. CIN
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Assad over 2.5 Pitcher Strikeouts.

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Chicago vs Cincinnati Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 9/20/25

The September 20, 2025 matchup between the Chicago Cubs and the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park is set up as a meaningful divisional clash with postseason implications, as both teams enter in pursuit of positioning that could shape their October outlook, and the rivalry adds extra intrigue to what is already a high-stakes contest. Cincinnati has the advantage of playing at home, where they’ve been slightly better than average against the spread with a 23-20 mark, and their offense has tended to perform more comfortably in front of their fans, using power and aggressive approaches to pressure opposing pitching early. For the Reds, the formula is straightforward: get a solid outing from their starting pitcher, avoid giving the Cubs free baserunners, and allow their power bats to take advantage of the hitter-friendly dimensions of Great American Ball Park, while relying on their bullpen to hold leads if given a cushion. The Cubs, however, come into this game with urgency of their own, having shown flashes of postseason-caliber play but struggling to sustain consistency away from Wrigley Field, especially against teams that can pile on runs quickly if given opportunities.

Chicago’s offense has the potential to keep pace with anyone when their middle-of-the-order hitters produce, but their tendency to go quiet in early innings has often forced them to play from behind, which becomes more difficult on the road. Their pitching staff will need to shoulder the load, with the starter tasked to give depth and efficiency so that the bullpen is not overexposed, as high-leverage innings have proven costly for them throughout the season. Defensively, both teams understand the importance of clean execution in what is likely to be a close game, but for the Cubs in particular, avoiding errors is critical, as giving the Reds extra outs in this ballpark often turns into runs. From a betting standpoint, Cincinnati’s stronger home performance suggests they may be favored, but the Cubs’ ability to fight back late gives them appeal as an underdog if the line stretches too far. Ultimately, this game is likely to hinge on execution in the middle innings: if Cincinnati can establish momentum early, they should control the flow and lean on their bullpen to close it out, while if Chicago’s starter keeps things tight and their bats wake up in time, the Cubs have every chance to make this a down-to-the-wire divisional battle with playoff implications written all over it.

Chicago Cubs MLB Preview

The Chicago Cubs travel to Great American Ball Park on September 20, 2025, looking to assert themselves in a critical divisional matchup against the Cincinnati Reds, and while they’ve shown playoff-caliber potential in stretches, their inconsistency on the road has been one of the biggest storylines of their season. Away from Wrigley Field, the Cubs have struggled to cover spreads, often starting slowly and leaving themselves in early holes that force their bullpen into high-pressure situations, and that pattern has made them difficult to trust when expectations are high. Offensively, however, Chicago has the personnel to break through at any moment, with their middle-of-the-order bats capable of providing power and run production if they can establish rhythm early in the game, while their role players are tasked with generating baserunners and creating balance in the lineup. The Cubs’ success in this contest will likely hinge on their starting pitcher’s ability to set the tone by limiting walks and avoiding long innings, as handing the Reds free chances in their hitter-friendly ballpark almost always leads to momentum shifts that are difficult to overcome.

The bullpen, a source of both strength and frustration throughout the year, will also need to deliver clean innings late, as Cincinnati has shown a knack for staging comebacks or extending leads once they reach opposing relief arms. Defensively, Chicago cannot afford mistakes, as errors on the road tend to magnify under hostile conditions and often open the door for teams like the Reds to take control. From a betting perspective, the Cubs enter as a riskier side given their recent track record away from home, but their upside lies in their ability to score quickly if their lineup locks in, making them an intriguing underdog option if the line favors Cincinnati heavily. To succeed, Chicago must establish an early lead or at least keep the game close into the late innings, rely on disciplined at-bats to wear down the Reds’ starter, and trust their bullpen to hold the line once called upon. While the odds lean toward the home team, the Cubs’ mix of urgency, lineup talent, and potential to string together late rallies means they cannot be overlooked in what should be a hard-fought divisional contest.

The Cubs travel to Cincinnati for Game 2 of their series, looking to build off recent road performances and tighten up their playoff positioning. The Reds, meanwhile, are still alive in the Wild Card picture, using home games to try to swing momentum — this matchup has extra weight for both clubs. Chicago vs Cincinnati AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Sep 20. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Cincinnati Reds MLB Preview

The Cincinnati Reds enter their September 20, 2025 matchup against the Chicago Cubs at Great American Ball Park with the advantage of playing in front of their home crowd and the urgency of needing every win as the postseason race heats up, and they will look to lean on the consistency they have shown at home where they have been slightly above .500 both straight up and against the spread. Offensively, Cincinnati thrives in its own ballpark, with the hitter-friendly dimensions rewarding their mix of power and aggressive approaches, and the middle of their order has often been the difference-maker in building early leads. For the Reds, the formula is clear: pressure the Cubs’ starter early with disciplined at-bats, capitalize on mistakes, and force Chicago into its bullpen before the game reaches the late innings, where their offense has often been able to pile on against fatigued arms. Their own starting pitcher will be tasked with avoiding the kind of early lapses that allow the Cubs to generate momentum, but at home, Cincinnati’s rotation has generally provided enough depth to keep the team competitive through the middle innings.

The bullpen, while inconsistent at times, has been steadier in front of their fans, and when handed a lead, they have shown more confidence in closing games out cleanly. Defensively, the Reds must play sharp baseball, as extra outs given to a Cubs lineup with capable power hitters could flip the balance of the game, and their focus will be on minimizing mistakes that open the door for rallies. From a betting perspective, Cincinnati holds the statistical edge, with their 23-20 ATS home record giving them credibility in this spot, especially against a Chicago team that has underperformed away from Wrigley Field. The keys for Cincinnati will be to strike first, use their offensive depth to stretch out at-bats and score in bunches, and rely on their pitching staff to keep the Cubs from mounting late rallies that have plagued them in previous divisional battles. If they execute cleanly, the Reds should be positioned not only to secure another important win at home but also to strengthen their playoff case while dealing a blow to a divisional rival.

Chicago vs. Cincinnati Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Cubs and Reds play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Great American Ball Park in Sep rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Assad over 2.5 Pitcher Strikeouts.

Chicago vs. Cincinnati Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Cubs and Reds and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the trending emphasis emotional bettors tend to put on Cincinnati’s strength factors between a Cubs team going up against a possibly deflated Reds team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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Below is our current AI Chicago vs Cincinnati picks, computer picks Cubs vs Reds, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/1 SD@CHC UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 SD@CHC UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD UNLOCK THIS PICK 3 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 DET@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 DET@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY GET FREE PICK NOW 0

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Cubs Betting Trends

While specific recent run-line data for the Cubs is less clearly summarized in public sources, their season has featured several games where they have failed to cover on the road despite competitive performances; their road results versus strong opponents tend to show variance in covering spreads depending on starting pitching and bullpen strength.

Reds Betting Trends

Cincinnati has a solid home record this season; at home they are 23-20 against the run line, showing that they often do slightly better than expectations in front of their crowd. Their overall home winning percentage is above .500, which adds weight to bullish views when they draw favorable spreads at Great American Ball Park.

Cubs vs. Reds Matchup Trends

Given that the Reds are just above .500 vs. spread at home, and the Cubs have shown both flare and inconsistency on the road, this game may offer value to bettors leaning toward Cincinnati, especially if the spread is modest. Also, the Cubs have had trouble in this season with scoring consistently in road games when facing strong starts, which could gear momentum toward the Reds early. Finally, in head-to-head matchups, the Reds have held the edge this season, which may be reflected (or even overemphasized) in the betting line; the question is whether the Cubs can overcome that given their recent adjustments.

Chicago vs. Cincinnati Game Info

Chicago vs Cincinnati starts on September 20, 2025 at 6:40 PM EST.

Venue: Great American Ball Park.

Spread: Cincinnati +1.5
Moneyline: Chicago -111, Cincinnati -108
Over/Under: 9

Chicago: (88-66)  |  Cincinnati: (78-76)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Assad over 2.5 Pitcher Strikeouts.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Given that the Reds are just above .500 vs. spread at home, and the Cubs have shown both flare and inconsistency on the road, this game may offer value to bettors leaning toward Cincinnati, especially if the spread is modest. Also, the Cubs have had trouble in this season with scoring consistently in road games when facing strong starts, which could gear momentum toward the Reds early. Finally, in head-to-head matchups, the Reds have held the edge this season, which may be reflected (or even overemphasized) in the betting line; the question is whether the Cubs can overcome that given their recent adjustments.

CHC trend: While specific recent run-line data for the Cubs is less clearly summarized in public sources, their season has featured several games where they have failed to cover on the road despite competitive performances; their road results versus strong opponents tend to show variance in covering spreads depending on starting pitching and bullpen strength.

CIN trend: Cincinnati has a solid home record this season; at home they are 23-20 against the run line, showing that they often do slightly better than expectations in front of their crowd. Their overall home winning percentage is above .500, which adds weight to bullish views when they draw favorable spreads at Great American Ball Park.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Chicago vs. Cincinnati Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Chicago vs Cincinnati trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

Chicago vs Cincinnati Opening Odds

CHC Moneyline: -111
CIN Moneyline: -108
CHC Spread: -1.5
CIN Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9

Chicago vs Cincinnati Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 2, 2025 3:08PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
10/2/25 3:08PM
Tigers
Guardians
-103
-120
-1.5 (+180)
+1.5 (-235)
O 7 (-108)
U 7 (-118)
Oct 2, 2025 5:08PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
10/2/25 5:08PM
Padres
Cubs
-104
-118
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-230)
O 7.5 (-113)
U 7.5 (-113)
Oct 2, 2025 8:08PM EDT
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
10/2/25 8:08PM
Red Sox
Yankees
+140
-175
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+133)
O 7.5 (-117)
U 7.5 (-109)
Oct 4, 2025 2:30PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 2:30PM
Dodgers
Phillies
+108
-131
pk
pk
Oct 4, 2025 5:09PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 5:09PM
Dodgers
Phillies
+114
-126
pk
pk
O 7 (-134)
U 7 (+117)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds on September 20, 2025 at Great American Ball Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS