Cubs vs. Reds
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 20 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-09-18T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Cubs travel to Cincinnati for Game 2 of their series, looking to build off recent road performances and tighten up their playoff positioning. The Reds, meanwhile, are still alive in the Wild Card picture, using home games to try to swing momentum — this matchup has extra weight for both clubs.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 20, 2025
Start Time: 6:40 PM EST
Venue: Great American Ball Park
Reds Record: (78-76)
Cubs Record: (88-66)
OPENING ODDS
CHC Moneyline: -111
CIN Moneyline: -108
CHC Spread: -1.5
CIN Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9
CHC
Betting Trends
- While specific recent run-line data for the Cubs is less clearly summarized in public sources, their season has featured several games where they have failed to cover on the road despite competitive performances; their road results versus strong opponents tend to show variance in covering spreads depending on starting pitching and bullpen strength.
CIN
Betting Trends
- Cincinnati has a solid home record this season; at home they are 23-20 against the run line, showing that they often do slightly better than expectations in front of their crowd. Their overall home winning percentage is above .500, which adds weight to bullish views when they draw favorable spreads at Great American Ball Park.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Given that the Reds are just above .500 vs. spread at home, and the Cubs have shown both flare and inconsistency on the road, this game may offer value to bettors leaning toward Cincinnati, especially if the spread is modest. Also, the Cubs have had trouble in this season with scoring consistently in road games when facing strong starts, which could gear momentum toward the Reds early. Finally, in head-to-head matchups, the Reds have held the edge this season, which may be reflected (or even overemphasized) in the betting line; the question is whether the Cubs can overcome that given their recent adjustments.
CHC vs. CIN
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Assad over 2.5 Pitcher Strikeouts.
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Chicago vs Cincinnati Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 9/20/25
Chicago’s offense has the potential to keep pace with anyone when their middle-of-the-order hitters produce, but their tendency to go quiet in early innings has often forced them to play from behind, which becomes more difficult on the road. Their pitching staff will need to shoulder the load, with the starter tasked to give depth and efficiency so that the bullpen is not overexposed, as high-leverage innings have proven costly for them throughout the season. Defensively, both teams understand the importance of clean execution in what is likely to be a close game, but for the Cubs in particular, avoiding errors is critical, as giving the Reds extra outs in this ballpark often turns into runs. From a betting standpoint, Cincinnati’s stronger home performance suggests they may be favored, but the Cubs’ ability to fight back late gives them appeal as an underdog if the line stretches too far. Ultimately, this game is likely to hinge on execution in the middle innings: if Cincinnati can establish momentum early, they should control the flow and lean on their bullpen to close it out, while if Chicago’s starter keeps things tight and their bats wake up in time, the Cubs have every chance to make this a down-to-the-wire divisional battle with playoff implications written all over it.
Better call Shaw. pic.twitter.com/RxBLxIfX3z
— Chicago Cubs (@Cubs) September 19, 2025
Chicago Cubs MLB Preview
The Chicago Cubs travel to Great American Ball Park on September 20, 2025, looking to assert themselves in a critical divisional matchup against the Cincinnati Reds, and while they’ve shown playoff-caliber potential in stretches, their inconsistency on the road has been one of the biggest storylines of their season. Away from Wrigley Field, the Cubs have struggled to cover spreads, often starting slowly and leaving themselves in early holes that force their bullpen into high-pressure situations, and that pattern has made them difficult to trust when expectations are high. Offensively, however, Chicago has the personnel to break through at any moment, with their middle-of-the-order bats capable of providing power and run production if they can establish rhythm early in the game, while their role players are tasked with generating baserunners and creating balance in the lineup. The Cubs’ success in this contest will likely hinge on their starting pitcher’s ability to set the tone by limiting walks and avoiding long innings, as handing the Reds free chances in their hitter-friendly ballpark almost always leads to momentum shifts that are difficult to overcome.
The bullpen, a source of both strength and frustration throughout the year, will also need to deliver clean innings late, as Cincinnati has shown a knack for staging comebacks or extending leads once they reach opposing relief arms. Defensively, Chicago cannot afford mistakes, as errors on the road tend to magnify under hostile conditions and often open the door for teams like the Reds to take control. From a betting perspective, the Cubs enter as a riskier side given their recent track record away from home, but their upside lies in their ability to score quickly if their lineup locks in, making them an intriguing underdog option if the line favors Cincinnati heavily. To succeed, Chicago must establish an early lead or at least keep the game close into the late innings, rely on disciplined at-bats to wear down the Reds’ starter, and trust their bullpen to hold the line once called upon. While the odds lean toward the home team, the Cubs’ mix of urgency, lineup talent, and potential to string together late rallies means they cannot be overlooked in what should be a hard-fought divisional contest.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Cincinnati Reds MLB Preview
The Cincinnati Reds enter their September 20, 2025 matchup against the Chicago Cubs at Great American Ball Park with the advantage of playing in front of their home crowd and the urgency of needing every win as the postseason race heats up, and they will look to lean on the consistency they have shown at home where they have been slightly above .500 both straight up and against the spread. Offensively, Cincinnati thrives in its own ballpark, with the hitter-friendly dimensions rewarding their mix of power and aggressive approaches, and the middle of their order has often been the difference-maker in building early leads. For the Reds, the formula is clear: pressure the Cubs’ starter early with disciplined at-bats, capitalize on mistakes, and force Chicago into its bullpen before the game reaches the late innings, where their offense has often been able to pile on against fatigued arms. Their own starting pitcher will be tasked with avoiding the kind of early lapses that allow the Cubs to generate momentum, but at home, Cincinnati’s rotation has generally provided enough depth to keep the team competitive through the middle innings.
The bullpen, while inconsistent at times, has been steadier in front of their fans, and when handed a lead, they have shown more confidence in closing games out cleanly. Defensively, the Reds must play sharp baseball, as extra outs given to a Cubs lineup with capable power hitters could flip the balance of the game, and their focus will be on minimizing mistakes that open the door for rallies. From a betting perspective, Cincinnati holds the statistical edge, with their 23-20 ATS home record giving them credibility in this spot, especially against a Chicago team that has underperformed away from Wrigley Field. The keys for Cincinnati will be to strike first, use their offensive depth to stretch out at-bats and score in bunches, and rely on their pitching staff to keep the Cubs from mounting late rallies that have plagued them in previous divisional battles. If they execute cleanly, the Reds should be positioned not only to secure another important win at home but also to strengthen their playoff case while dealing a blow to a divisional rival.
Big W tonight‼️#ATOBTTR pic.twitter.com/3aCrFCMQd3
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) September 20, 2025
Chicago vs. Cincinnati Prop Picks (AI)
Chicago vs. Cincinnati Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Cubs and Reds and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the trending emphasis emotional bettors tend to put on Cincinnati’s strength factors between a Cubs team going up against a possibly deflated Reds team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Chicago vs Cincinnati picks, computer picks Cubs vs Reds, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 10/1 | SD@CHC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 10/1 | SD@CHC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/1 | DET@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/1 | DET@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | GET FREE PICK NOW | 0 | – |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Cubs Betting Trends
While specific recent run-line data for the Cubs is less clearly summarized in public sources, their season has featured several games where they have failed to cover on the road despite competitive performances; their road results versus strong opponents tend to show variance in covering spreads depending on starting pitching and bullpen strength.
Reds Betting Trends
Cincinnati has a solid home record this season; at home they are 23-20 against the run line, showing that they often do slightly better than expectations in front of their crowd. Their overall home winning percentage is above .500, which adds weight to bullish views when they draw favorable spreads at Great American Ball Park.
Cubs vs. Reds Matchup Trends
Given that the Reds are just above .500 vs. spread at home, and the Cubs have shown both flare and inconsistency on the road, this game may offer value to bettors leaning toward Cincinnati, especially if the spread is modest. Also, the Cubs have had trouble in this season with scoring consistently in road games when facing strong starts, which could gear momentum toward the Reds early. Finally, in head-to-head matchups, the Reds have held the edge this season, which may be reflected (or even overemphasized) in the betting line; the question is whether the Cubs can overcome that given their recent adjustments.
Chicago vs. Cincinnati Game Info
What time does Chicago vs Cincinnati start on September 20, 2025?
Chicago vs Cincinnati starts on September 20, 2025 at 6:40 PM EST.
Where is Chicago vs Cincinnati being played?
Venue: Great American Ball Park.
What are the opening odds for Chicago vs Cincinnati?
Spread: Cincinnati +1.5
Moneyline: Chicago -111, Cincinnati -108
Over/Under: 9
What are the records for Chicago vs Cincinnati?
Chicago: (88-66) | Cincinnati: (78-76)
What is the AI best bet for Chicago vs Cincinnati?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Assad over 2.5 Pitcher Strikeouts.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Chicago vs Cincinnati trending bets?
Given that the Reds are just above .500 vs. spread at home, and the Cubs have shown both flare and inconsistency on the road, this game may offer value to bettors leaning toward Cincinnati, especially if the spread is modest. Also, the Cubs have had trouble in this season with scoring consistently in road games when facing strong starts, which could gear momentum toward the Reds early. Finally, in head-to-head matchups, the Reds have held the edge this season, which may be reflected (or even overemphasized) in the betting line; the question is whether the Cubs can overcome that given their recent adjustments.
What are Chicago trending bets?
CHC trend: While specific recent run-line data for the Cubs is less clearly summarized in public sources, their season has featured several games where they have failed to cover on the road despite competitive performances; their road results versus strong opponents tend to show variance in covering spreads depending on starting pitching and bullpen strength.
What are Cincinnati trending bets?
CIN trend: Cincinnati has a solid home record this season; at home they are 23-20 against the run line, showing that they often do slightly better than expectations in front of their crowd. Their overall home winning percentage is above .500, which adds weight to bullish views when they draw favorable spreads at Great American Ball Park.
Where can I find AI Picks for Chicago vs Cincinnati?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Chicago vs. Cincinnati Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Chicago vs Cincinnati trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Chicago vs Cincinnati Opening Odds
CHC Moneyline:
-111 CIN Moneyline: -108
CHC Spread: -1.5
CIN Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9
Chicago vs Cincinnati Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 2, 2025 3:08PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
10/2/25 3:08PM
Tigers
Guardians
|
–
–
|
-103
-120
|
-1.5 (+180)
+1.5 (-235)
|
O 7 (-108)
U 7 (-118)
|
|
Oct 2, 2025 5:08PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
10/2/25 5:08PM
Padres
Cubs
|
–
–
|
-104
-118
|
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-230)
|
O 7.5 (-113)
U 7.5 (-113)
|
|
Oct 2, 2025 8:08PM EDT
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
10/2/25 8:08PM
Red Sox
Yankees
|
–
–
|
+140
-175
|
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+133)
|
O 7.5 (-117)
U 7.5 (-109)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 2:30PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 2:30PM
Dodgers
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+108
-131
|
pk
pk
|
|
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Oct 4, 2025 5:09PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 5:09PM
Dodgers
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+114
-126
|
pk
pk
|
O 7 (-134)
U 7 (+117)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds on September 20, 2025 at Great American Ball Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |