Mariners vs. Royals
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 18 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-09-16T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Seattle Mariners travel to face the Kansas City Royals on September 18, 2025, in a matchup that carries weight for Seattle’s playoff chase and gives Kansas City a chance to spoil. Both teams bring momentum from their previous meetings, with Seattle’s offense and Kansas City’s timely hitting setting the stage for a tight battle.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 18, 2025
Start Time: 2:10 PM EST
Venue: Kauffman Stadium
Royals Record: (76-76)
Mariners Record: (83-69)
OPENING ODDS
SEA Moneyline: -125
KC Moneyline: +105
SEA Spread: -1.5
KC Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9
SEA
Betting Trends
- The Mariners have struggled covering spreads in road games following win streaks, as inconsistency in their bullpen has led to late collapses despite strong overall play.
KC
Betting Trends
- The Royals have been profitable at home as underdogs, especially when their young lineup generates enough offense to pressure opposing pitchers in close games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Games between Seattle and Kansas City often trend toward the under because of Seattle’s strong pitching staff, though Kansas City’s offensive surges have pushed totals higher than expected in several recent meetings.
SEA vs. KC
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Polanco over 5.5 Fantasy Score.
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Seattle vs Kansas City Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 9/18/25
Kansas City, meanwhile, turns to Cole Ragans, making a return from injury and looking to stabilize a staff that has often been overworked. Ragans’ strikeout potential is intriguing, but he can be punished if he loses command, and Seattle has the patient bats to wait him out. Beyond the starters, both bullpens are likely to determine the outcome. Seattle’s bullpen, while talented, has looked vulnerable against aggressive lineups, and the Royals’ pen has been unreliable for most of the season, giving fans more than a few late-game heartaches. This dynamic makes the first six innings crucial, as whichever starter can extend into the late game may give their team the decisive edge. On offense, the Mariners have the edge in overall power and depth, but Kansas City has proven they can scratch out runs with speed and timely hitting. Bobby Witt Jr. is the centerpiece for the Royals, and his ability to impact the game on both sides of the ball is unmatched in their lineup, while Vinnie Pasquantino and Maikel Garcia provide enough complementary offense to make them dangerous. Defensively, Seattle is one of the steadier teams in the league, limiting mistakes and converting outs consistently, while Kansas City plays with youthful energy but can sometimes falter in pressure situations. The atmosphere at Kauffman Stadium adds another wrinkle, as the spacious outfield favors athletic defenders and speed-based offenses, something the Royals thrive on. The Mariners must impose their style early, using power and efficient pitching to quiet the Royals’ confidence, while Kansas City will look to extend innings, frustrate Miller, and hope their bullpen can hold together just long enough. This is a game that highlights the contrast between a contender sharpening its edges for October and a rebuilding team hungry to prove itself, and those kinds of contrasts often make for dramatic, tightly contested battles. For Seattle, it is a must-win to maintain control of their playoff destiny, and for Kansas City, it is an opportunity to showcase growth, pride, and the promise of a young core that wants to show it can stand up to one of baseball’s toughest opponents.
We’ll look to take the series tomorrow with the first pitch set for 11:10 a.m. pic.twitter.com/uh2NljG0BF
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) September 18, 2025
Seattle Mariners MLB Preview
The Seattle Mariners enter their September 18, 2025 matchup against the Kansas City Royals with the pressure of postseason aspirations weighing heavily on them, and this game serves as yet another test of their resilience and consistency down the stretch. Sitting in a tight divisional battle in the AL West, Seattle cannot afford to drop games to teams lower in the standings, which means every at-bat, every pitch, and every defensive play matters as they look to secure a favorable playoff position. The Mariners’ offense is built around the dynamic skill set of Julio Rodríguez, whose ability to impact games with both power and speed makes him a constant threat, but he is far from alone in carrying the load. Cal Raleigh has emerged as one of the premier power-hitting catchers in the league, consistently delivering timely home runs, while Eugenio Suárez provides veteran presence and clutch hitting in the middle of the lineup. Depth is also a strength, with hitters like J.P. Crawford and Ty France capable of setting the table or extending rallies with professional at-bats. On the pitching side, Bryce Miller is expected to take the mound, and his ability to establish command early will be crucial. Miller has shown flashes of brilliance with his fastball and slider combination, but inconsistency has occasionally opened the door for opposing offenses, something Kansas City will try to exploit.
Seattle’s bullpen, anchored by Andrés Muñoz, has the velocity and swing-and-miss stuff to close out games, but their recent struggles in protecting late leads are a concern and highlight the importance of Miller pitching deep into the game. Defensively, the Mariners pride themselves on clean execution and limiting extra outs, with Rodríguez patrolling the outfield and Crawford steady at shortstop. The key for Seattle will be to strike early offensively, force Cole Ragans into high pitch counts, and put pressure on a Royals bullpen that has struggled throughout the season. Playing in Kauffman Stadium presents its own challenges, as the ballpark’s spacious outfield can suppress power numbers, which means the Mariners may need to rely more on gap-to-gap hitting, situational execution, and aggressive baserunning rather than solely looking for the long ball. The Mariners know they are the better team on paper, but they also understand that Kansas City thrives in the spoiler role, as they showed earlier in this series. Maintaining focus and not letting the Royals hang around will be paramount, and Seattle’s ability to play like a seasoned contender rather than a nervous team under pressure could be the difference between a comfortable win and a costly stumble. For a club with October ambitions, this game is less about surviving and more about proving that they can dictate terms against any opponent, even one with nothing to lose.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Kansas City Royals MLB Preview
The Kansas City Royals enter their September 18, 2025 matchup against the Seattle Mariners with the energy of a young team that has found its stride late in the season and is eager to play spoiler against a playoff hopeful. Though the Royals have struggled in the standings for much of the year, recent weeks have shown a competitive edge that has made them a tough out for even the best teams in baseball, and this series has been a prime example of their willingness to challenge expectations. At the heart of the Royals’ offensive resurgence is Bobby Witt Jr., who has cemented himself as one of the most exciting young players in the game with his rare blend of speed, power, and defense. Alongside Witt, Vinnie Pasquantino provides a disciplined left-handed bat capable of driving in runs, while MJ Melendez and Salvador Perez bring both veteran experience and power that make Kansas City a lineup capable of producing crooked numbers when they are clicking. The Royals have also seen their younger contributors like Maikel Garcia and Nick Loftin step up, injecting athleticism and hunger into a roster that is clearly laying the foundation for the future. On the mound, Cole Ragans is expected to get the ball, and he represents the Royals’ best hope of controlling Seattle’s lineup.
Ragans has blossomed into a legitimate frontline pitcher, with an electric fastball and a changeup that has kept opposing hitters off balance all season, but he faces the challenge of going deep into the game to avoid exposing a bullpen that has been one of Kansas City’s weaker links. The Royals’ bullpen has been inconsistent, often struggling with command and giving up big innings, which means the team’s success hinges heavily on their starter’s ability to neutralize the Mariners’ middle of the order. Defensively, Kansas City has shown improvement with Witt providing highlight plays at shortstop and Garcia showing versatility in the infield, while the outfield has benefited from improved range and athleticism. Playing at Kauffman Stadium also gives the Royals some advantages, as the expansive outfield can work to their benefit by turning potential home runs into long outs, which plays into Ragans’ style of pitching to contact when necessary. The Royals know that while they are not in playoff contention, games like this provide opportunities to build confidence, test their young core against high-caliber opponents, and set a tone heading into the offseason. Kansas City thrives in the underdog role, and if their lineup can get to Bryce Miller early, they could create momentum that energizes both their dugout and fanbase. For a franchise looking to turn the corner, beating a contender like Seattle is about more than just the win—it’s about proving that they are building something sustainable and reminding the league that they cannot be overlooked, even in a season where the standings say otherwise.
Evened the series.#HEYHEYHEYHEY pic.twitter.com/QTIFzGJKBb
— Kansas City Royals (@Royals) September 18, 2025
Seattle vs. Kansas City Prop Picks (AI)
Seattle vs. Kansas City Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Mariners and Royals and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the growing factor emotional bettors often put on coaching factors between a Mariners team going up against a possibly healthy Royals team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Seattle vs Kansas City picks, computer picks Mariners vs Royals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 10/1 | SD@CHC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 10/1 | SD@CHC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/1 | DET@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/1 | DET@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | GET FREE PICK NOW | 0 | – |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Mariners Betting Trends
The Mariners have struggled covering spreads in road games following win streaks, as inconsistency in their bullpen has led to late collapses despite strong overall play.
Royals Betting Trends
The Royals have been profitable at home as underdogs, especially when their young lineup generates enough offense to pressure opposing pitchers in close games.
Mariners vs. Royals Matchup Trends
Games between Seattle and Kansas City often trend toward the under because of Seattle’s strong pitching staff, though Kansas City’s offensive surges have pushed totals higher than expected in several recent meetings.
Seattle vs. Kansas City Game Info
What time does Seattle vs Kansas City start on September 18, 2025?
Seattle vs Kansas City starts on September 18, 2025 at 2:10 PM EST.
Where is Seattle vs Kansas City being played?
Venue: Kauffman Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Seattle vs Kansas City?
Spread: Kansas City +1.5
Moneyline: Seattle -125, Kansas City +105
Over/Under: 9
What are the records for Seattle vs Kansas City?
Seattle: (83-69) | Kansas City: (76-76)
What is the AI best bet for Seattle vs Kansas City?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Polanco over 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Seattle vs Kansas City trending bets?
Games between Seattle and Kansas City often trend toward the under because of Seattle’s strong pitching staff, though Kansas City’s offensive surges have pushed totals higher than expected in several recent meetings.
What are Seattle trending bets?
SEA trend: The Mariners have struggled covering spreads in road games following win streaks, as inconsistency in their bullpen has led to late collapses despite strong overall play.
What are Kansas City trending bets?
KC trend: The Royals have been profitable at home as underdogs, especially when their young lineup generates enough offense to pressure opposing pitchers in close games.
Where can I find AI Picks for Seattle vs Kansas City?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Seattle vs. Kansas City Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Seattle vs Kansas City trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Seattle vs Kansas City Opening Odds
SEA Moneyline:
-125 KC Moneyline: +105
SEA Spread: -1.5
KC Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9
Seattle vs Kansas City Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 2, 2025 3:08PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
10/2/25 3:08PM
Tigers
Guardians
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
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-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-215)
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O 7 (-105)
U 7 (-115)
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Oct 2, 2025 5:08PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
10/2/25 5:08PM
Padres
Cubs
|
–
–
|
+100
-118
|
-1.5 (+172)
+1.5 (-210)
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O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 2, 2025 8:08PM EDT
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
10/2/25 8:08PM
Red Sox
Yankees
|
–
–
|
+136
-162
|
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+130)
|
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 2:30PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 2:30PM
Dodgers
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+110
-130
|
pk
pk
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Oct 4, 2025 5:09PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 5:09PM
Dodgers
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+108
-126
|
pk
pk
|
O 7 (-135)
U 7 (+115)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals on September 18, 2025 at Kauffman Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |