Yankees vs. Orioles
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 18 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-09-16T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Baltimore Orioles, currently trailing in the AL Wild Card race, will host the New York Yankees in what promises to be a pivotal late-season showdown. New York enters the matchup coming off a strong offensive display and looking to sharpen their edge, while Baltimore hopes home field at Camden Yards and recent momentum can carry them.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 18, 2025

Start Time: 7:15 PM EST​

Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards​

Orioles Record: (72-80)

Yankees Record: (85-67)

OPENING ODDS

NYY Moneyline: -194

BAL Moneyline: +161

NYY Spread: -1.5

BAL Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 9

NYY
Betting Trends

  • Over their last 15 games, the Yankees are 10-5 against the run line. This indicates they’ve been strong covering when favored or underdog lines on the road recently.

BAL
Betting Trends

  • Baltimore’s record against the run line at home this season is 16-25. This shows they’ve struggled to cover on their own field.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Orioles have struggled overall against the run line this season, sitting at 40-55, and their 16-25 mark at home highlights their inconsistency when favored in Baltimore. The Yankees, meanwhile, hold a solid 67-61 record against the spread and have gone 10-5 in their last 15, showing steady reliability. In recent head-to-head meetings, Baltimore has covered six of the last ten against New York, which adds an intriguing wrinkle to this divisional matchup.

NYY vs. BAL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Judge over 8.5 Fantasy Score.

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New York vs Baltimore Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 9/18/25

The upcoming clash between the New York Yankees and the Baltimore Orioles on September 18, 2025, has the makings of a classic late-season divisional battle with playoff implications, as both teams are jockeying for positioning and looking to assert dominance in the always-competitive AL East. The Yankees enter the game with momentum, not only because of their recent hot streak but also thanks to their overall steadiness against the spread, as they have been able to win convincingly or at least keep games tight enough to cover in most of their recent matchups. With Aaron Judge leading the charge offensively, supported by hitters like Cody Bellinger and Gleyber Torres, New York has showcased a dangerous combination of power and plate discipline that allows them to both create instant offense with the long ball and grind down pitchers with extended at-bats. Their bullpen, anchored by reliable late-inning arms, has also found a groove, which has been essential in holding leads and avoiding late collapses that plagued them earlier in the year. Baltimore, on the other hand, knows their path to victory lies in putting pressure on Yankee pitching, manufacturing runs, and leveraging their own ballpark advantage to fuel their offense. With a home record that has them solidly above .500, the Orioles are capable of generating momentum in Camden Yards, but their inconsistency against the run line points to a tendency to either scrape by in close games or fall apart when expectations are high.

Their pitching rotation will need to be sharp to slow down New York’s power threats, especially since any early mistakes could tilt the momentum heavily in the Yankees’ favor. The Orioles have some bats capable of making noise, with young sluggers and veterans alike needing to contribute timely hits, but their ability to string together rallies against strong Yankee pitching will ultimately dictate how competitive this game becomes. The crowd factor should not be underestimated either, as a packed house in Baltimore can rattle opposing pitchers and create energy, but New York has the experience to weather those storms, given their history of thriving in hostile environments. Statistically, the Yankees hold the edge, with better consistency against the spread and a lineup that has proven more reliable in late-game scenarios, while Baltimore has shown flashes of brilliance but remains unpredictable. The tactical chess match between managers will also matter, as bullpen decisions, pinch-hitting opportunities, and defensive alignments could swing momentum in such a tight game. This contest is more than just another September matchup; it could serve as a tone-setter for either team as they push toward October, with the Yankees looking to prove they are built for another deep postseason run and the Orioles trying to remind the league that they are no pushover despite statistical struggles. Ultimately, this game promises intensity, star power, and the kind of playoff-like atmosphere that makes late-season baseball in the AL East some of the most compelling sports drama available.

New York Yankees MLB Preview

The New York Yankees enter this road matchup against the Baltimore Orioles on September 18, 2025, with a sense of confidence born not just from their record but from their ability to deliver in high-pressure divisional games, and they will be looking to continue building momentum as the postseason looms ever closer. The Yankees have shown steadiness against the spread throughout the season, boasting a 67-61 mark that has made them a reliable bet, and their 10-5 record in their last 15 ATS games underscores their ability to meet or exceed expectations whether as favorites or underdogs. On offense, the lineup remains anchored by Aaron Judge, whose power bat continues to dictate how opposing pitchers approach every inning, while Cody Bellinger, Gleyber Torres, and a cast of young contributors have stepped up to provide depth, making this roster more dynamic than just a one-man show. Their ability to hit for power has been matched by their knack for grinding out at-bats, seeing plenty of pitches, and forcing opposing starters to labor, which often opens the door for the Yankees to feast on middle relievers and weaker bullpen arms. Defensively, New York has also been sharper of late, cutting down on costly errors and turning key double plays to support their pitchers, a factor that becomes crucial in tight, late-season contests. The pitching staff will be equally vital, as the Yankees’ rotation has had its ups and downs but has recently stabilized, with starters giving length and the bullpen stepping up as a reliable bridge to the late innings.

Relievers like Clay Holmes have embraced the closer role and helped the Yankees hold on to narrow leads, a skill that could prove decisive in a close contest at Camden Yards. For the Yankees, the game plan on the road is straightforward: quiet the crowd early with timely offense, rely on their pitching staff to neutralize Baltimore’s streaky bats, and avoid the kind of mental lapses that can fuel a momentum swing for the home side. History and recent betting trends are on their side, as they have covered more consistently than Baltimore, and their experience in late-season divisional matchups often gives them an edge when the stakes are highest. This is a team built to thrive on pressure, and the Yankees know how to handle the noise and intensity of a hostile environment, making them a tough out regardless of where they play. Their combination of power, patience, and pitching depth should keep them firmly in contention in this game, and if Judge or another power bat delivers a signature moment, it could be enough to silence the Orioles and their fans. For New York, every game at this stage of the season is about sharpening for October, and this matchup presents both a challenge and an opportunity to reinforce their status as a legitimate contender. The Yankees will enter with swagger, a strong recent ATS track record, and a roster equipped to handle Baltimore’s best punch, which sets the stage for them to walk out of Camden Yards with a critical road win and potentially another cover for bettors banking on their late-season consistency.

The Baltimore Orioles, currently trailing in the AL Wild Card race, will host the New York Yankees in what promises to be a pivotal late-season showdown. New York enters the matchup coming off a strong offensive display and looking to sharpen their edge, while Baltimore hopes home field at Camden Yards and recent momentum can carry them. New York vs Baltimore AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Sep 18. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Baltimore Orioles MLB Preview

The Baltimore Orioles take the field at Camden Yards on September 18, 2025, facing the daunting challenge of hosting the New York Yankees in a late-season divisional showdown that could prove pivotal for their fading postseason hopes, and while they have enjoyed some home success with a respectable win-loss record, their inability to consistently cover the run line at home (16-25) has been a glaring weakness that bettors and fans alike have noticed. The Orioles have been a streaky club all year, capable of pulling off surprising wins against quality opponents but just as prone to frustrating collapses, and much of that inconsistency has stemmed from uneven pitching performances and an offense that sometimes fails to deliver with runners in scoring position. Offensively, Baltimore will look to their young core to ignite the bats, with players like Gunnar Henderson, Adley Rutschman, and other rising stars expected to carry the burden of providing timely hits and applying pressure to Yankee pitching. Their ability to work counts and avoid striking out in key spots will be crucial, especially against a New York staff that thrives when it can settle into a rhythm. On the mound, Baltimore’s starting rotation has been serviceable at times but will need to rise to the occasion, as giving the Yankees’ lineup early momentum could quickly turn the game into an uphill battle.

The bullpen, another point of volatility throughout the season, must be sharper and avoid the implosions that have cost the team close games, particularly in high-stakes divisional contests where every pitch is magnified. Defensively, Baltimore has shown flashes of excellence but must eliminate errors and mental lapses, as extra outs against the Yankees are often punished with devastating results. The Camden Yards crowd, known for its passion and energy, will undoubtedly provide an emotional lift, but the Orioles must harness that support effectively by starting strong and preventing the Yankees from quieting the atmosphere early with big swings. Betting trends suggest the Orioles are less trustworthy to cover spreads, but that also means they have an opportunity to surprise bettors if they can put together a complete performance, combining solid pitching, disciplined at-bats, and sharp defense. Managerial decisions will loom large, as the Orioles’ skipper must be willing to make quick hooks if a pitcher struggles and strategically deploy pinch hitters or defensive replacements in key moments to tilt the balance in their favor. For Baltimore, this game is about proving resilience, showing they can hang with the big names in their division, and demonstrating that their young talent is ready to grow into the pressure of September baseball. If Henderson and Rutschman can spark rallies, if the pitching staff can limit damage from Aaron Judge and the Yankees’ power bats, and if the bullpen can execute cleanly, the Orioles could steal a win that not only boosts their morale but also helps keep their postseason dreams alive. Ultimately, Baltimore knows this is more than just another game; it is a test of character and competitiveness, and pulling off a victory against the Yankees at home would be a defining moment in their season.

New York vs. Baltimore Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Yankees and Orioles play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Sep rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Judge over 8.5 Fantasy Score.

New York vs. Baltimore Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Yankees and Orioles and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most keyed in on the growing emphasis human bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Yankees team going up against a possibly unhealthy Orioles team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New York vs Baltimore picks, computer picks Yankees vs Orioles, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/1 SD@CHC UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 SD@CHC UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD UNLOCK THIS PICK 3 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 DET@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 DET@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY GET FREE PICK NOW 0

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Yankees Betting Trends

Over their last 15 games, the Yankees are 10-5 against the run line. This indicates they’ve been strong covering when favored or underdog lines on the road recently.

Orioles Betting Trends

Baltimore’s record against the run line at home this season is 16-25. This shows they’ve struggled to cover on their own field.

Yankees vs. Orioles Matchup Trends

The Orioles have struggled overall against the run line this season, sitting at 40-55, and their 16-25 mark at home highlights their inconsistency when favored in Baltimore. The Yankees, meanwhile, hold a solid 67-61 record against the spread and have gone 10-5 in their last 15, showing steady reliability. In recent head-to-head meetings, Baltimore has covered six of the last ten against New York, which adds an intriguing wrinkle to this divisional matchup.

New York vs. Baltimore Game Info

New York vs Baltimore starts on September 18, 2025 at 7:15 PM EST.

Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Spread: Baltimore +1.5
Moneyline: New York -194, Baltimore +161
Over/Under: 9

New York: (85-67)  |  Baltimore: (72-80)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Judge over 8.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Orioles have struggled overall against the run line this season, sitting at 40-55, and their 16-25 mark at home highlights their inconsistency when favored in Baltimore. The Yankees, meanwhile, hold a solid 67-61 record against the spread and have gone 10-5 in their last 15, showing steady reliability. In recent head-to-head meetings, Baltimore has covered six of the last ten against New York, which adds an intriguing wrinkle to this divisional matchup.

NYY trend: Over their last 15 games, the Yankees are 10-5 against the run line. This indicates they’ve been strong covering when favored or underdog lines on the road recently.

BAL trend: Baltimore’s record against the run line at home this season is 16-25. This shows they’ve struggled to cover on their own field.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

New York vs. Baltimore Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the New York vs Baltimore trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

New York vs Baltimore Opening Odds

NYY Moneyline: -194
BAL Moneyline: +161
NYY Spread: -1.5
BAL Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9

New York vs Baltimore Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 2, 2025 3:08PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
10/2/25 3:08PM
Tigers
Guardians
-103
-120
-1.5 (+180)
+1.5 (-235)
O 7 (-108)
U 7 (-118)
Oct 2, 2025 5:08PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
10/2/25 5:08PM
Padres
Cubs
-104
-118
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-230)
O 7.5 (-113)
U 7.5 (-113)
Oct 2, 2025 8:08PM EDT
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
10/2/25 8:08PM
Red Sox
Yankees
+140
-175
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+133)
O 7.5 (-117)
U 7.5 (-109)
Oct 4, 2025 2:30PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 2:30PM
Dodgers
Phillies
+108
-131
pk
pk
Oct 4, 2025 5:09PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 5:09PM
Dodgers
Phillies
+114
-126
pk
pk
O 7 (-134)
U 7 (+117)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles on September 18, 2025 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS