Cubs vs. Reds
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 18 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-09-16T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Chicago Cubs, having recently clinched a postseason berth, travel to Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds in the first game of their four-game set. The Reds are still fighting for relevance, trying to stay in the wild-card conversation, so this game could be closer than many expect and one with momentum implications for both teams.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 18, 2025

Start Time: 7:15 PM EST​

Venue: Great American Ball Park​

Reds Record: (76-76)

Cubs Record: (88-64)

OPENING ODDS

CHC Moneyline: LOADING

CIN Moneyline: LOADING

CHC Spread: LOADING

CIN Spread: LOADING

Over/Under: LOADING

CHC
Betting Trends

  • The Cubs are 28-29 against the run line on the season.

CIN
Betting Trends

  • While I didn’t find a clean overall ATS home-record for the Reds in this preview, one source shows the Cubs as underdogs have had success in similar roles on the road. Also, odds for this matchup favor the Reds on the run line.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Bookmakers list the Reds as −125 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the Cubs +105, with the run line favoring Cincinnati at −1.5. The total (over/under) for this game is pegged around 9 runs, indicating expectations for a moderately scoring affair. Also, the Cubs are just 16-24 against the run line at home this season, which may suggest they struggle to cover even in games they are competitive.

CHC vs. CIN
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Busch over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

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Chicago vs Cincinnati Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 9/18/25

The matchup between the Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds on September 18, 2025, at Great American Ball Park is set to be an intriguing late-season clash between two teams with different levels of urgency but still plenty of pride and stakes involved, as the Cubs enter the game having already clinched their postseason berth while the Reds remain on the outside looking in and fighting desperately to keep their wild-card hopes alive. The Cubs’ approach to this contest may reflect that duality of being both a playoff-bound team fine-tuning its roster and a group still motivated to maintain sharpness and possibly improve its seeding, while the Reds will approach every inning with a do-or-die mentality, hoping to leverage the support of their home fans and the hitter-friendly dimensions of Great American Ball Park to generate momentum. On the mound, Cincinnati is expected to turn to Hunter Greene, whose electric stuff and strikeout ability make him a potential game-changer if he commands the strike zone, but his tendency to give up the long ball or struggle with efficiency could open the door for a Cubs lineup capable of grinding out at-bats. Chicago counters with Colin Rea, a pitcher who may not have Greene’s overpowering repertoire but has been steady enough to keep his team competitive, and his ability to limit walks and avoid giving in to pressure will be critical against a Reds team that thrives on turning opportunities into crooked numbers.

Offensively, the Cubs feature depth and versatility, with Seiya Suzuki’s hot bat, Ian Happ’s switch-hitting balance, and Pete Crow-Armstrong’s speed and defense offering them multiple avenues to create runs, while the Reds lean heavily on Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer to provide both power and energy in the middle of their order. This game could come down to execution in the later innings, where both bullpens have been inconsistent, and whichever team can manage leverage situations better will likely walk away victorious. Defensively, the Cubs may have a slight edge given their sharper fielding metrics, but the Reds have the advantage of playing in a stadium where their aggressive approach on the bases can pay dividends. From a betting perspective, the Reds are slight favorites on the moneyline, reflecting both their home-field advantage and their greater sense of urgency, but the Cubs’ ability to cover spreads even in losses makes them an appealing underdog pick, especially given that they may find ways to keep this game tight. The over/under is set at nine runs, which makes sense given both the offensive potential and the ballpark factors, suggesting this could be a moderately high-scoring game if Greene struggles or if either bullpen falters late. Ultimately, this is a matchup of urgency versus security, with the Reds trying to stave off elimination and the Cubs working to maintain their edge as October approaches, and it is exactly the kind of divisional showdown that can deliver fireworks and remind fans why September baseball remains among the most dramatic stretches of the season.

Chicago Cubs MLB Preview

The Chicago Cubs head into Great American Ball Park on September 18, 2025, with the confidence of a team that has already secured its postseason ticket but also with the awareness that games like this matter for maintaining rhythm and sharpness, as well as for potential playoff seeding. Having clinched early, the Cubs are in the rare position of balancing competitive intensity with strategic rest, and how manager Craig Counsell chooses to deploy his roster could determine whether they approach this game with their full strength or with a slightly experimental look. Probable starter Colin Rea represents steadiness more than dominance, and his ability to give Chicago five or six solid innings without letting the Reds’ explosive hitters, such as Elly De La Cruz or Spencer Steer, take control of the game will be crucial. The Cubs have been a balanced team all season, not overly reliant on one star but rather using a blend of power, speed, and defense to put pressure on opponents, with Seiya Suzuki anchoring their offense thanks to his power surge in recent months, Ian Happ providing switch-hitting flexibility, and Pete Crow-Armstrong energizing the lineup with his speed and defense in center field. What makes the Cubs dangerous is their patience at the plate—they don’t chase often and can drive up pitch counts, which could test Hunter Greene’s command and efficiency early, forcing Cincinnati to turn to a bullpen that has been shaky in stretches.

Defensively, the Cubs remain one of the more reliable units in the National League, minimizing errors and backing their pitchers with solid infield and outfield coverage, something that could prove decisive in a hitter-friendly ballpark where a single misplay can change momentum quickly. The bullpen, however, remains their most unpredictable aspect, as late-game execution has not always been sharp, and with playoff positioning on the line, Chicago will be looking to see which relievers can be trusted in tight, high-leverage spots. From a mental standpoint, the Cubs have the freedom of not needing to win every game but also the discipline to understand that going cold in the final two weeks before October can be dangerous, so they are unlikely to take their foot off the gas entirely. Their run-line record reflects their ability to stay competitive even in losses, and that makes them a tough out for Cincinnati, who will be under immense pressure to execute flawlessly. If Rea can keep the game close early and the offense can push Greene into deep counts, the Cubs will be in position to lean on their timely hitting and defensive sharpness to either steal a win outright or at least cover the spread. With playoff security already in hand, Chicago’s task in this game is less about desperation and more about refinement, but that can make them even more dangerous as they play loose, confident baseball while Cincinnati shoulders the burden of urgency.

The Chicago Cubs, having recently clinched a postseason berth, travel to Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds in the first game of their four-game set. The Reds are still fighting for relevance, trying to stay in the wild-card conversation, so this game could be closer than many expect and one with momentum implications for both teams. Chicago vs Cincinnati AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Sep 18. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Cincinnati Reds MLB Preview

The Cincinnati Reds return to Great American Ball Park on September 18, 2025, with a heightened sense of urgency as they host the Chicago Cubs in a divisional matchup that carries significant weight for their fading wild card hopes, and they know that every game from here on out must be treated like an elimination contest. The Reds are expected to hand the ball to Hunter Greene, whose electric velocity and strikeout ability make him the kind of pitcher who can dominate a game if his command is sharp, but his tendency to rack up pitch counts and occasionally surrender the long ball could spell trouble against a Cubs lineup that thrives on patience and situational hitting. Offensively, Cincinnati will rely on their youthful energy and star power, with Elly De La Cruz serving as both a spark plug and a run producer in the heart of the lineup, while Spencer Steer and other complementary bats provide support with timely hitting and extra-base power. Their home field is one of the most hitter-friendly parks in the league, and the Reds have historically leaned on it to generate offense, but that also means their pitching staff must be careful, because a single mistake can quickly result in multiple runs. Defensively, the Reds have shown athleticism and range, but lapses in execution have cost them games throughout the season, and they can ill afford to gift extra outs to a disciplined Cubs team that capitalizes on mistakes.

The bullpen remains a critical variable; while it has had stretches of effectiveness, inconsistency has plagued it in high-leverage spots, and late-inning failures have often undone solid starts from Greene and others. For Cincinnati to succeed, they will need Greene to deliver length, ideally six or seven innings of quality work, while the offense applies pressure early to prevent Chicago from settling in. The Reds’ ability to utilize their speed on the bases, disrupt the Cubs’ defense, and manufacture runs will also be key, especially if they struggle to string together big innings through power alone. From a betting perspective, the Reds are slight favorites, which reflects both their home field and the desperation factor, but they have been inconsistent against the run line, meaning many of their wins have come by narrow margins rather than blowouts. Still, the stakes favor Cincinnati playing with intensity, and the crowd will provide energy that could rattle the Cubs’ pitching staff in key spots. Ultimately, this game is about resilience and urgency for the Reds: if Greene can harness his best stuff, if De La Cruz and Steer can produce timely hits, and if the bullpen holds firm, they have every chance to secure a vital win to keep their postseason dreams alive. For Cincinnati, the task is clear—play clean, capitalize on opportunities, and lean on their young stars to outduel a Cubs team already preparing for October but still dangerous enough to spoil the Reds’ push.

Chicago vs. Cincinnati Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Cubs and Reds play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Great American Ball Park in Sep seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Busch over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

Chicago vs. Cincinnati Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Cubs and Reds and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the growing weight emotional bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Cubs team going up against a possibly unhealthy Reds team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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Below is our current AI Chicago vs Cincinnati picks, computer picks Cubs vs Reds, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/1 SD@CHC UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 SD@CHC UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD UNLOCK THIS PICK 3 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 DET@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 DET@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY GET FREE PICK NOW 0

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Cubs Betting Trends

The Cubs are 28-29 against the run line on the season.

Reds Betting Trends

While I didn’t find a clean overall ATS home-record for the Reds in this preview, one source shows the Cubs as underdogs have had success in similar roles on the road. Also, odds for this matchup favor the Reds on the run line.

Cubs vs. Reds Matchup Trends

Bookmakers list the Reds as −125 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the Cubs +105, with the run line favoring Cincinnati at −1.5. The total (over/under) for this game is pegged around 9 runs, indicating expectations for a moderately scoring affair. Also, the Cubs are just 16-24 against the run line at home this season, which may suggest they struggle to cover even in games they are competitive.

Chicago vs. Cincinnati Game Info

Chicago vs Cincinnati starts on September 18, 2025 at 7:15 PM EST.

Venue: Great American Ball Park.

Spread: Cincinnati LOADING
Moneyline: Chicago LOADING, Cincinnati LOADING
Over/Under: LOADING

Chicago: (88-64)  |  Cincinnati: (76-76)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Busch over 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Bookmakers list the Reds as −125 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the Cubs +105, with the run line favoring Cincinnati at −1.5. The total (over/under) for this game is pegged around 9 runs, indicating expectations for a moderately scoring affair. Also, the Cubs are just 16-24 against the run line at home this season, which may suggest they struggle to cover even in games they are competitive.

CHC trend: The Cubs are 28-29 against the run line on the season.

CIN trend: While I didn’t find a clean overall ATS home-record for the Reds in this preview, one source shows the Cubs as underdogs have had success in similar roles on the road. Also, odds for this matchup favor the Reds on the run line.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Chicago vs. Cincinnati Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Chicago vs Cincinnati trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Chicago vs Cincinnati Opening Odds

CHC Moneyline: LOADING
CIN Moneyline: LOADING
CHC Spread: LOADING
CIN Spread: LOADING
Over/Under: LOADING

Chicago vs Cincinnati Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 2, 2025 3:08PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
10/2/25 3:08PM
Tigers
Guardians
-103
-120
-1.5 (+180)
+1.5 (-235)
O 7 (-108)
U 7 (-118)
Oct 2, 2025 5:08PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
10/2/25 5:08PM
Padres
Cubs
-104
-118
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-230)
O 7.5 (-113)
U 7.5 (-113)
Oct 2, 2025 8:08PM EDT
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
10/2/25 8:08PM
Red Sox
Yankees
+140
-175
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+133)
O 7.5 (-117)
U 7.5 (-109)
Oct 4, 2025 2:30PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 2:30PM
Dodgers
Phillies
+108
-131
pk
pk
Oct 4, 2025 5:09PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 5:09PM
Dodgers
Phillies
+114
-126
pk
pk
O 7 (-134)
U 7 (+117)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds on September 18, 2025 at Great American Ball Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS