Yankees vs. Twins
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 17 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-09-15T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The New York Yankees head into Target Field on September 17, 2025, to wrap up their three-game series against the Minnesota Twins in a matchup with playoff implications for New York, who are pushing to solidify Wild Card position. The Twins, long out of contention, will try to spoil while their rotation and bullpen are tested by a Yankees squad with a far more potent and balanced offense.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 17, 2025
Start Time: 7:40 PM EST
Venue: Target Field
Twins Record: (66-85)
Yankees Record: (84-67)
OPENING ODDS
NYY Moneyline: -177
MIN Moneyline: +147
NYY Spread: -1.5
MIN Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9
NYY
Betting Trends
- The Yankees have been moderately successful against the spread this season, though their performance as road favorites has been less dominant; when betting markets have given New York moderate odds (-175 to -200), Yankees games have covered in only about 55-60% of those contests. In recent outings, the Yankees have struggled to cover large spreads on the road when struggling starters or bullpen-heavy games are involved.
MIN
Betting Trends
- Minnesota has had a middling to slightly negative ATS record at home, frequently failing to cover spreads even in games where they are underdogs due to limited offensive output and pitching inconsistencies. Their home games have seen fewer blowouts in either direction, but the Twins often fall short in covering large spreads against more explosive teams.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Oddsmakers have set the total for this matchup around 9 runs, which suggests expectations of a relatively high-scoring affair. The Yankees are favored by about -1.5 on the run line, reflecting confidence in their ability to win by more than one. Public betting has leaned toward the Over in recent Yankees-Twins games, especially when Yankees starters have proven vulnerable or Twins bats have flashed power, creating upside for higher scoring than usual.
NYY vs. MIN
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Judge over 8.5 Fantasy Score.
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New York vs Minnesota Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 9/17/25
Their pitching staff has been inconsistent as well, with starters struggling to provide length and a bullpen that has frequently been exposed when forced to carry too much of the workload, which is problematic against a Yankees team that thrives on patience and wearing pitchers down across multiple at-bats. Defensively, the Twins have been prone to errors, particularly in the infield, and against a team like New York, which capitalizes quickly on mistakes, even one misplay could shift the game’s momentum. Betting lines reflect this imbalance, with the Yankees favored on the moneyline and run line, and the total runs line hovering around nine, as oddsmakers expect that New York’s offense will do the heavy lifting to push the game toward the over, though Minnesota could play a role if their bats awaken at home. For the Yankees, the path to victory lies in striking early, putting pressure on Minnesota’s starter, and letting their lineup depth and pitching strength dictate the flow, while the Twins must hope for a strong outing from their starter, clutch hitting from their middle order, and error-free defense to even have a chance at pulling an upset. Ultimately, this matchup appears tilted heavily toward New York, with the Yankees seeking to consolidate their postseason push and the Twins grasping for an unlikely upset in front of their home crowd.
Back in the win column ✅#RepBX pic.twitter.com/Bx6T1PozMu
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) September 17, 2025
New York Yankees MLB Preview
The New York Yankees enter their September 17, 2025 matchup against the Minnesota Twins at Target Field as the clear favorite, driven by a roster stacked with star power and motivated by the urgency of maintaining their position in the American League playoff race, and their form down the stretch has reflected a balanced combination of offensive firepower and pitching reliability that should serve them well in this contest. At the heart of the Yankees’ success is their lineup, which remains one of the most dangerous in baseball with Aaron Judge anchoring the order through his elite on-base skills and game-changing power, while Giancarlo Stanton adds protection and timely run production, and players such as Anthony Volpe and Gleyber Torres provide critical support through contact hitting and speed that help extend rallies. This depth has allowed New York to stay competitive even when top names go through slumps, as the lineup’s ability to grind out at-bats and capitalize on opposing pitchers’ mistakes makes them a nightmare to face, particularly for a Minnesota staff that has struggled to keep games under control when facing elite offenses. On the pitching side, Luis Gil is projected to get the start, and his strikeout ability has been a revelation for New York, though his success in this game will hinge on his ability to limit walks and avoid falling behind in counts, as the Twins’ hitters, despite their inconsistency, can punish mistakes if given opportunities.
The Yankees’ bullpen has been serviceable but not airtight, meaning the pressure will be on Gil to provide at least five or six innings to bridge to reliable late-game arms such as Clay Holmes, and any faltering could expose a vulnerability that Minnesota might exploit. Defensively, the Yankees have been solid and disciplined, which is critical in games like this, as minimizing errors and making routine plays keeps the pressure squarely on their opponents. On the road, New York has been steady, covering spreads in a majority of games when favored by modest margins, which reflects their ability to assert control early and ride their pitching to close out wins. For this game, bettors and fans alike will expect the Yankees to attack early and often, leveraging Judge and Stanton to set the tone and forcing Minnesota into a reactive position, where their limited offensive depth often proves insufficient. The Yankees know that games like this are must-win opportunities against weaker competition, as every victory helps solidify their playoff standing and confidence heading into October, and given their superior talent, current form, and deeper motivation, New York will approach this contest not just to win but to dominate, establishing themselves once again as a team that can punish underperforming opponents and keep momentum building for the postseason.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Minnesota Twins MLB Preview
The Minnesota Twins come into their September 17, 2025 clash against the New York Yankees at Target Field knowing they face an uphill battle against one of baseball’s premier franchises, yet for a team out of postseason contention, this matchup still offers a chance to play spoiler and test themselves against elite competition, a role they have often embraced late in seasons where development and pride become the primary motivators. Offensively, the Twins have battled inconsistency all year, with too many stretches where their lineup goes cold and fails to deliver with runners in scoring position, leaving them overly reliant on isolated power from a handful of bats rather than sustained rallies, and that lack of depth is especially problematic against a Yankees pitching staff capable of exploiting weaknesses and minimizing damage. Minnesota’s starter will need to set the tone early by working ahead in counts, mixing pitches effectively, and limiting traffic on the bases, because falling behind to Judge, Stanton, and the rest of New York’s lineup invites disaster, as the Yankees thrive on patient at-bats and timely big swings that can turn close games into lopsided affairs in just one inning. The bullpen will also be under pressure, having been a point of vulnerability throughout the season, as too often middle-inning relievers have failed to bridge the gap to the late-game arms, leaving opponents room to extend leads; against a team as potent as New York, even one misstep can be fatal.
Defensively, the Twins must play clean baseball, as errors and lapses in execution have cost them repeatedly, and the Yankees are particularly ruthless at capitalizing on mistakes, using extra outs to extend innings and add runs. At home, Minnesota has not been especially strong against the spread, with frequent failures to cover as underdogs due to their inability to generate enough offense to match stronger opponents, though occasional bursts of power have given fans hope that they can upset favored teams when everything clicks. To have any chance in this game, the Twins will need a combination of stellar pitching, opportunistic hitting, and flawless defense, along with a bit of luck, to keep the contest within reach and create late-inning opportunities for an upset. For the players, especially younger ones, games like this are an important proving ground to gain experience against elite arms and big-game pressure, while veterans look to show consistency and leadership in what has been a difficult year. Ultimately, while the Yankees enter as heavy favorites with more to play for, the Twins will look to harness home-field pride, energy from their fan base, and whatever momentum they can muster to give themselves a chance, though the task is daunting given their struggles against top-tier teams and the Yankees’ clear advantages across the board.
Last dollar-a-dog night of the season 😭
— Minnesota Twins (@Twins) September 16, 2025
📺 https://t.co/7owDbqKTsI pic.twitter.com/p9ZXfkE0AB
New York vs. Minnesota Prop Picks (AI)
New York vs. Minnesota Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Yankees and Twins and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned weight knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on New York’s strength factors between a Yankees team going up against a possibly rested Twins team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI New York vs Minnesota picks, computer picks Yankees vs Twins, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 10/1 | SD@CHC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 10/1 | SD@CHC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/1 | DET@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/1 | DET@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | GET FREE PICK NOW | 0 | – |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Yankees Betting Trends
The Yankees have been moderately successful against the spread this season, though their performance as road favorites has been less dominant; when betting markets have given New York moderate odds (-175 to -200), Yankees games have covered in only about 55-60% of those contests. In recent outings, the Yankees have struggled to cover large spreads on the road when struggling starters or bullpen-heavy games are involved.
Twins Betting Trends
Minnesota has had a middling to slightly negative ATS record at home, frequently failing to cover spreads even in games where they are underdogs due to limited offensive output and pitching inconsistencies. Their home games have seen fewer blowouts in either direction, but the Twins often fall short in covering large spreads against more explosive teams.
Yankees vs. Twins Matchup Trends
Oddsmakers have set the total for this matchup around 9 runs, which suggests expectations of a relatively high-scoring affair. The Yankees are favored by about -1.5 on the run line, reflecting confidence in their ability to win by more than one. Public betting has leaned toward the Over in recent Yankees-Twins games, especially when Yankees starters have proven vulnerable or Twins bats have flashed power, creating upside for higher scoring than usual.
New York vs. Minnesota Game Info
What time does New York vs Minnesota start on September 17, 2025?
New York vs Minnesota starts on September 17, 2025 at 7:40 PM EST.
Where is New York vs Minnesota being played?
Venue: Target Field.
What are the opening odds for New York vs Minnesota?
Spread: Minnesota +1.5
Moneyline: New York -177, Minnesota +147
Over/Under: 9
What are the records for New York vs Minnesota?
New York: (84-67) | Minnesota: (66-85)
What is the AI best bet for New York vs Minnesota?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Judge over 8.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are New York vs Minnesota trending bets?
Oddsmakers have set the total for this matchup around 9 runs, which suggests expectations of a relatively high-scoring affair. The Yankees are favored by about -1.5 on the run line, reflecting confidence in their ability to win by more than one. Public betting has leaned toward the Over in recent Yankees-Twins games, especially when Yankees starters have proven vulnerable or Twins bats have flashed power, creating upside for higher scoring than usual.
What are New York trending bets?
NYY trend: The Yankees have been moderately successful against the spread this season, though their performance as road favorites has been less dominant; when betting markets have given New York moderate odds (-175 to -200), Yankees games have covered in only about 55-60% of those contests. In recent outings, the Yankees have struggled to cover large spreads on the road when struggling starters or bullpen-heavy games are involved.
What are Minnesota trending bets?
MIN trend: Minnesota has had a middling to slightly negative ATS record at home, frequently failing to cover spreads even in games where they are underdogs due to limited offensive output and pitching inconsistencies. Their home games have seen fewer blowouts in either direction, but the Twins often fall short in covering large spreads against more explosive teams.
Where can I find AI Picks for New York vs Minnesota?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
New York vs. Minnesota Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the New York vs Minnesota trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
New York vs Minnesota Opening Odds
NYY Moneyline:
-177 MIN Moneyline: +147
NYY Spread: -1.5
MIN Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9
New York vs Minnesota Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 2, 2025 3:08PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
10/2/25 3:08PM
Tigers
Guardians
|
–
–
|
-103
-120
|
-1.5 (+180)
+1.5 (-235)
|
O 7 (-108)
U 7 (-118)
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|
Oct 2, 2025 5:08PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
10/2/25 5:08PM
Padres
Cubs
|
–
–
|
-104
-118
|
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-230)
|
O 7.5 (-113)
U 7.5 (-113)
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|
Oct 2, 2025 8:08PM EDT
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
10/2/25 8:08PM
Red Sox
Yankees
|
–
–
|
+140
-175
|
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+133)
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O 7.5 (-117)
U 7.5 (-109)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 2:30PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 2:30PM
Dodgers
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+108
-131
|
pk
pk
|
|
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Oct 4, 2025 5:09PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 5:09PM
Dodgers
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+114
-126
|
pk
pk
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O 7 (-134)
U 7 (+117)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins on September 17, 2025 at Target Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |