Reds vs. Cardinals
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 17 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-09-15T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Cincinnati Reds travel to Busch Stadium on September 17, 2025, for their final game in a three-game set against the St. Louis Cardinals, as the Reds fight to stay alive in the NL Wild Card race. With both teams under pressure—Cincinnati needing wins to remain in contention and St. Louis aiming to spoil their rival’s hopes—the matchup should deliver urgency and competitive intensity.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 17, 2025
Start Time: 1:15 PM EST
Venue: Busch Stadium
Cardinals Record: (74-78)
Reds Record: (75-76)
OPENING ODDS
CIN Moneyline: -117
STL Moneyline: -102
CIN Spread: -1.5
STL Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5
CIN
Betting Trends
- The Reds are entering this game with modest but real pressure, and their performance against the spread (ATS) reflects a somewhat volatile season. According to prediction lines, the Reds have been consistently favored, often priced around -275 in this matchup, suggesting that bookmakers see a solid edge in backing them. However, their recent results have been mixed—they snapped a three-game losing skid with an 11-6 win over St. Louis on September 16 but have still shown offensive inconsistency and pitching concerns in other recent outings. Overall, while they tend to cover when their offense clicks and their starters deliver decent outings, bettors must be cautious of the times when things fall apart in the later innings or runs fail to come when needed.
STL
Betting Trends
- St. Louis comes into this contest with home-field records that show some strength: in their last 30 games at Busch Stadium, they have posted a 15-6 mark, indicating they perform significantly better at home than on the road. While their overall season record (73-78) places them well out of playoff contention, and their odds in this game open as underdogs, their recent home performance and ability to limit mistakes in Busch Stadium give them some appeal for bettors seeking value. Still, their offensive production has been uneven, and their bullpen has been inconsistent, particularly in tight situations, which tempers the confidence that can be placed in them covering against stronger offensive teams.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- This series has seen back-and-forth results and several close games, and both teams are aware of what’s at stake: the Reds clinging to faint Wild Card hopes, St. Louis looking to play spoiler and salvage some pride. Key players and lineup moves (such as Elly De La Cruz being moved in the batting order, Nolan Arenado returning) may shift momentum. Betting lines have opened with the Reds as clear favorites and a total set around 9 runs, reflecting expectations for some offensive production but also acknowledgement of pitching matchups that could keep the scoring contained. The fact that the Cardinals have dominated many head-to-head matchups against Cincinnati this season adds context—if they can leverage their home strength, they may cover or at least make bettors for the Reds wary.
CIN vs. STL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: I. Herrera over 5.5 Fantasy Score.
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Cincinnati vs St. Louis Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 9/17/25
Defensively, the Reds have shown improvement but remain vulnerable to occasional lapses, particularly infield misplays that extend innings, which against a Cardinals team eager to play spoiler could prove costly. St. Louis, for its part, has had a disappointing season, but they have played much better at home, where they boast a strong record in their last 30 games, and they will likely hand the ball to Matthew Liberatore, a pitcher who has flashed potential but has struggled to put together consistent quality starts. Their offense has been hit-or-miss, with Nolan Arenado, Willson Contreras, and Alec Burleson among the names capable of delivering production, but like Cincinnati, the Cardinals have been guilty of inconsistency at the plate. Their bullpen has also been a liability, blowing leads and allowing opponents to mount late rallies, though they have occasionally been sharper at Busch Stadium, where the crowd and familiarity seem to steady them somewhat. Defensively, St. Louis remains capable but not elite, with mistakes in the field having cost them games, something they cannot afford if they hope to frustrate a Reds team that thrives on extra chances. The matchup thus shapes up as a classic late-season scenario: one team with everything to play for and the other with nothing to lose, which often makes for a dangerous combination. If the Reds can harness their urgency and execute in all facets—timely hitting, solid starting pitching, and reliable bullpen work—they have the edge and should be favored to win. However, the Cardinals’ pride, home-field comfort, and spoiler mentality make them a tricky opponent, meaning Cincinnati must approach this game with full focus if they want to leave St. Louis with their playoff hopes intact.
Final: pic.twitter.com/N7kXyOHHOr
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) September 17, 2025
Cincinnati Reds MLB Preview
The Cincinnati Reds step into their September 17, 2025 contest against the St. Louis Cardinals with urgency and determination, knowing that every game down the stretch carries enormous weight for their playoff ambitions. Their season has been defined by peaks and valleys, with thrilling offensive bursts followed by frustrating stretches of inconsistency, and their challenge in this matchup will be to put together a complete performance that reflects their potential rather than their flaws. Offensively, the Reds are built around a mix of young talent and steady veterans, with Elly De La Cruz serving as the face of their dynamic style of play, blending power, speed, and raw athleticism that can change games instantly. Alongside him, Spencer Steer and Tyler Stephenson have provided crucial production, while other role players have stepped up at times to keep the offense moving. Yet the story of Cincinnati’s bats has often been one of missed opportunities, as their tendency to leave runners stranded in scoring position has held them back in games they otherwise had the chance to win. In this matchup, they will need to be sharp early, as Busch Stadium can be a difficult park in which to mount late rallies, and putting pressure on the Cardinals’ pitching staff early could tilt the game decisively in their favor. On the mound, Brady Singer is expected to get the nod, and while he has not always been flawless, his ability to pitch effectively when commanding his slider and fastball makes him a strong candidate to neutralize the Cardinals’ middle of the order.
Singer’s main weakness has been occasional control lapses that drive up his pitch count and shorten his outings, which in turn exposes a Reds bullpen that has been inconsistent throughout the season. That bullpen will be a focal point in this contest, as Cincinnati has blown too many late leads for comfort, and their ability to secure the back end of a game will likely determine whether they leave St. Louis with a critical win or another costly setback. Defensively, the Reds have shown flashes of excellence, with athletic plays in the infield and outfield saving runs, but they remain vulnerable to mistakes that give opponents extra chances. For a Cardinals team that thrives on momentum at home, those mistakes could easily snowball into trouble for Cincinnati. From a betting perspective, the Reds have been modestly profitable against the spread in road games when their offense clicks, but their uneven bullpen results make them risky for bettors depending on large spreads. The formula for Cincinnati is clear: score early, get at least six solid innings from Singer, and allow their bullpen to work with a cushion rather than in high-leverage, one-run scenarios. If they can do that, the Reds not only have a strong chance to secure this game but also to keep their postseason hopes alive as September grinds toward its conclusion. In every way, this matchup is a test of whether Cincinnati can harness their talent, minimize their weaknesses, and perform like a true playoff-caliber team when it matters most.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
St. Louis Cardinals MLB Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals enter their September 17, 2025 matchup against the Cincinnati Reds at Busch Stadium playing for pride rather than postseason positioning, but that does not mean this game lacks significance for them, as it represents another chance to frustrate a division rival and demonstrate progress in what has otherwise been a disappointing season. The Cardinals have long been known for their ability to rise to the occasion at home, and even in a rebuilding year they have posted a strong record at Busch Stadium, winning the majority of their recent contests in front of their fans and showing that the environment still gives them a competitive edge. Offensively, the Cardinals are in the midst of transition, but they still have dangerous bats capable of punishing mistakes, with Nolan Arenado’s leadership, Willson Contreras’ clutch hitting, and Alec Burleson’s consistency providing the foundation for their scoring potential. While their lineup has not been as deep or reliable as in years past, they have had games where everything clicks, and if they can sustain rallies rather than relying solely on solo home runs, they can put pressure on Cincinnati’s pitching staff. Their likely starter, Matthew Liberatore, is a young arm still working through growing pains, and while his outings have been uneven, he has shown glimpses of what the Cardinals hope he can become, capable of generating ground balls and keeping opponents off balance when his command is sharp.
His success in this game will be crucial, as St. Louis cannot afford to overtax a bullpen that has been one of the weakest links of their roster, often struggling to hold leads or keep deficits manageable in late innings. The bullpen has cost them multiple close games this season, and its volatility means Liberatore’s ability to work deep into the contest could be the difference between competing and collapsing. Defensively, St. Louis has been better at home, where crowd energy seems to sharpen their focus, but errors remain a lingering issue, with infield miscues and miscommunications in the outfield occasionally gifting runs to opponents. Against a Reds team fighting for the postseason, the Cardinals must play crisp, disciplined baseball and avoid handing away free opportunities, as Cincinnati’s young stars have the ability to exploit every extra chance. From a motivational standpoint, St. Louis has every reason to relish the chance to derail Cincinnati’s playoff pursuit, as spoiling a rival’s postseason hopes provides a spark for players and fans alike. Betting trends show that while they have been underdogs in many matchups, their strong recent home record makes them a viable team to cover spreads when playing in Busch Stadium, and their offensive firepower, though streaky, is enough to threaten even solid opposing starters. For the Cardinals, the path to victory is straightforward: get early production from their bats, give Liberatore run support, play clean defense, and limit exposure to their bullpen until absolutely necessary. If they execute this formula, they can pull off a meaningful win that reinforces their pride, pleases their home crowd, and reminds the division that even in a down season, St. Louis remains a dangerous opponent.
That's a Winner! pic.twitter.com/Yu5fOgpWqQ
— St. Louis Cardinals (@Cardinals) September 17, 2025
Cincinnati vs. St. Louis Prop Picks (AI)
Cincinnati vs. St. Louis Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Reds and Cardinals and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Reds team going up against a possibly unhealthy Cardinals team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Cincinnati vs St. Louis picks, computer picks Reds vs Cardinals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 10/1 | SD@CHC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 10/1 | SD@CHC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/1 | DET@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/1 | DET@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | GET FREE PICK NOW | 0 | – |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Reds Betting Trends
The Reds are entering this game with modest but real pressure, and their performance against the spread (ATS) reflects a somewhat volatile season. According to prediction lines, the Reds have been consistently favored, often priced around -275 in this matchup, suggesting that bookmakers see a solid edge in backing them. However, their recent results have been mixed—they snapped a three-game losing skid with an 11-6 win over St. Louis on September 16 but have still shown offensive inconsistency and pitching concerns in other recent outings. Overall, while they tend to cover when their offense clicks and their starters deliver decent outings, bettors must be cautious of the times when things fall apart in the later innings or runs fail to come when needed.
Cardinals Betting Trends
St. Louis comes into this contest with home-field records that show some strength: in their last 30 games at Busch Stadium, they have posted a 15-6 mark, indicating they perform significantly better at home than on the road. While their overall season record (73-78) places them well out of playoff contention, and their odds in this game open as underdogs, their recent home performance and ability to limit mistakes in Busch Stadium give them some appeal for bettors seeking value. Still, their offensive production has been uneven, and their bullpen has been inconsistent, particularly in tight situations, which tempers the confidence that can be placed in them covering against stronger offensive teams.
Reds vs. Cardinals Matchup Trends
This series has seen back-and-forth results and several close games, and both teams are aware of what’s at stake: the Reds clinging to faint Wild Card hopes, St. Louis looking to play spoiler and salvage some pride. Key players and lineup moves (such as Elly De La Cruz being moved in the batting order, Nolan Arenado returning) may shift momentum. Betting lines have opened with the Reds as clear favorites and a total set around 9 runs, reflecting expectations for some offensive production but also acknowledgement of pitching matchups that could keep the scoring contained. The fact that the Cardinals have dominated many head-to-head matchups against Cincinnati this season adds context—if they can leverage their home strength, they may cover or at least make bettors for the Reds wary.
Cincinnati vs. St. Louis Game Info
What time does Cincinnati vs St. Louis start on September 17, 2025?
Cincinnati vs St. Louis starts on September 17, 2025 at 1:15 PM EST.
Where is Cincinnati vs St. Louis being played?
Venue: Busch Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Cincinnati vs St. Louis?
Spread: St. Louis +1.5
Moneyline: Cincinnati -117, St. Louis -102
Over/Under: 8.5
What are the records for Cincinnati vs St. Louis?
Cincinnati: (75-76) | St. Louis: (74-78)
What is the AI best bet for Cincinnati vs St. Louis?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: I. Herrera over 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Cincinnati vs St. Louis trending bets?
This series has seen back-and-forth results and several close games, and both teams are aware of what’s at stake: the Reds clinging to faint Wild Card hopes, St. Louis looking to play spoiler and salvage some pride. Key players and lineup moves (such as Elly De La Cruz being moved in the batting order, Nolan Arenado returning) may shift momentum. Betting lines have opened with the Reds as clear favorites and a total set around 9 runs, reflecting expectations for some offensive production but also acknowledgement of pitching matchups that could keep the scoring contained. The fact that the Cardinals have dominated many head-to-head matchups against Cincinnati this season adds context—if they can leverage their home strength, they may cover or at least make bettors for the Reds wary.
What are Cincinnati trending bets?
CIN trend: The Reds are entering this game with modest but real pressure, and their performance against the spread (ATS) reflects a somewhat volatile season. According to prediction lines, the Reds have been consistently favored, often priced around -275 in this matchup, suggesting that bookmakers see a solid edge in backing them. However, their recent results have been mixed—they snapped a three-game losing skid with an 11-6 win over St. Louis on September 16 but have still shown offensive inconsistency and pitching concerns in other recent outings. Overall, while they tend to cover when their offense clicks and their starters deliver decent outings, bettors must be cautious of the times when things fall apart in the later innings or runs fail to come when needed.
What are St. Louis trending bets?
STL trend: St. Louis comes into this contest with home-field records that show some strength: in their last 30 games at Busch Stadium, they have posted a 15-6 mark, indicating they perform significantly better at home than on the road. While their overall season record (73-78) places them well out of playoff contention, and their odds in this game open as underdogs, their recent home performance and ability to limit mistakes in Busch Stadium give them some appeal for bettors seeking value. Still, their offensive production has been uneven, and their bullpen has been inconsistent, particularly in tight situations, which tempers the confidence that can be placed in them covering against stronger offensive teams.
Where can I find AI Picks for Cincinnati vs St. Louis?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Cincinnati vs. St. Louis Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Cincinnati vs St. Louis trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Cincinnati vs St. Louis Opening Odds
CIN Moneyline:
-117 STL Moneyline: -102
CIN Spread: -1.5
STL Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5
Cincinnati vs St. Louis Live Odds
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Oct 2, 2025 3:08PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
10/2/25 3:08PM
Tigers
Guardians
|
–
–
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+100
-120
|
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-215)
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O 7 (-105)
U 7 (-115)
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Oct 2, 2025 5:08PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
10/2/25 5:08PM
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Cubs
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–
–
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+100
-118
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-1.5 (+172)
+1.5 (-210)
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O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 2, 2025 8:08PM EDT
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
10/2/25 8:08PM
Red Sox
Yankees
|
–
–
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+136
-162
|
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+130)
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O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
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Oct 4, 2025 2:30PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 2:30PM
Dodgers
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+110
-130
|
pk
pk
|
|
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Oct 4, 2025 5:09PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 5:09PM
Dodgers
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+108
-126
|
pk
pk
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O 7 (-135)
U 7 (+115)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals on September 17, 2025 at Busch Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |