Reds vs. Cardinals
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 17 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-09-15T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Cincinnati Reds travel to Busch Stadium on September 17, 2025, for their final game in a three-game set against the St. Louis Cardinals, as the Reds fight to stay alive in the NL Wild Card race. With both teams under pressure—Cincinnati needing wins to remain in contention and St. Louis aiming to spoil their rival’s hopes—the matchup should deliver urgency and competitive intensity.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 17, 2025

Start Time: 1:15 PM EST​

Venue: Busch Stadium​

Cardinals Record: (74-78)

Reds Record: (75-76)

OPENING ODDS

CIN Moneyline: -117

STL Moneyline: -102

CIN Spread: -1.5

STL Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

CIN
Betting Trends

  • The Reds are entering this game with modest but real pressure, and their performance against the spread (ATS) reflects a somewhat volatile season. According to prediction lines, the Reds have been consistently favored, often priced around -275 in this matchup, suggesting that bookmakers see a solid edge in backing them. However, their recent results have been mixed—they snapped a three-game losing skid with an 11-6 win over St. Louis on September 16 but have still shown offensive inconsistency and pitching concerns in other recent outings. Overall, while they tend to cover when their offense clicks and their starters deliver decent outings, bettors must be cautious of the times when things fall apart in the later innings or runs fail to come when needed.

STL
Betting Trends

  • St. Louis comes into this contest with home-field records that show some strength: in their last 30 games at Busch Stadium, they have posted a 15-6 mark, indicating they perform significantly better at home than on the road. While their overall season record (73-78) places them well out of playoff contention, and their odds in this game open as underdogs, their recent home performance and ability to limit mistakes in Busch Stadium give them some appeal for bettors seeking value. Still, their offensive production has been uneven, and their bullpen has been inconsistent, particularly in tight situations, which tempers the confidence that can be placed in them covering against stronger offensive teams.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • This series has seen back-and-forth results and several close games, and both teams are aware of what’s at stake: the Reds clinging to faint Wild Card hopes, St. Louis looking to play spoiler and salvage some pride. Key players and lineup moves (such as Elly De La Cruz being moved in the batting order, Nolan Arenado returning) may shift momentum. Betting lines have opened with the Reds as clear favorites and a total set around 9 runs, reflecting expectations for some offensive production but also acknowledgement of pitching matchups that could keep the scoring contained. The fact that the Cardinals have dominated many head-to-head matchups against Cincinnati this season adds context—if they can leverage their home strength, they may cover or at least make bettors for the Reds wary.

CIN vs. STL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: I. Herrera over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

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Cincinnati vs St. Louis Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 9/17/25

The September 17, 2025 matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium represents a late-season divisional clash where the stakes are far higher for one side than the other, with Cincinnati still clinging to its postseason hopes while St. Louis looks to play spoiler and close out the season with dignity. The Reds enter this contest in a precarious position, fighting to keep pace in the Wild Card race, and they are coming off a much-needed win in which their bats came alive after a stretch of offensive inconsistency. Their lineup, anchored by emerging young stars like Elly De La Cruz and supported by steady contributors such as Tyler Stephenson and Spencer Steer, has the raw talent to produce crooked numbers quickly, but consistency has often been the issue, as they sometimes go long stretches without capitalizing on opportunities with runners in scoring position. The Reds’ offensive identity has relied on power and speed, with De La Cruz in particular adding a dynamic element on the bases, but they will need to string together timely hits in a ballpark like Busch Stadium where big innings are less common. On the mound, Brady Singer takes the ball for Cincinnati, and his performance will be pivotal; when he commands his pitches and limits walks, he is more than capable of keeping opposing offenses quiet, but lapses in control have at times made his outings shorter than the Reds would prefer, placing pressure on a bullpen that has struggled with reliability in high-leverage spots. That bullpen will be a major storyline in this game, as late-inning collapses have cost Cincinnati numerous contests this season, and they cannot afford any miscues with their playoff chances hanging in the balance.

Defensively, the Reds have shown improvement but remain vulnerable to occasional lapses, particularly infield misplays that extend innings, which against a Cardinals team eager to play spoiler could prove costly. St. Louis, for its part, has had a disappointing season, but they have played much better at home, where they boast a strong record in their last 30 games, and they will likely hand the ball to Matthew Liberatore, a pitcher who has flashed potential but has struggled to put together consistent quality starts. Their offense has been hit-or-miss, with Nolan Arenado, Willson Contreras, and Alec Burleson among the names capable of delivering production, but like Cincinnati, the Cardinals have been guilty of inconsistency at the plate. Their bullpen has also been a liability, blowing leads and allowing opponents to mount late rallies, though they have occasionally been sharper at Busch Stadium, where the crowd and familiarity seem to steady them somewhat. Defensively, St. Louis remains capable but not elite, with mistakes in the field having cost them games, something they cannot afford if they hope to frustrate a Reds team that thrives on extra chances. The matchup thus shapes up as a classic late-season scenario: one team with everything to play for and the other with nothing to lose, which often makes for a dangerous combination. If the Reds can harness their urgency and execute in all facets—timely hitting, solid starting pitching, and reliable bullpen work—they have the edge and should be favored to win. However, the Cardinals’ pride, home-field comfort, and spoiler mentality make them a tricky opponent, meaning Cincinnati must approach this game with full focus if they want to leave St. Louis with their playoff hopes intact.

Cincinnati Reds MLB Preview

The Cincinnati Reds step into their September 17, 2025 contest against the St. Louis Cardinals with urgency and determination, knowing that every game down the stretch carries enormous weight for their playoff ambitions. Their season has been defined by peaks and valleys, with thrilling offensive bursts followed by frustrating stretches of inconsistency, and their challenge in this matchup will be to put together a complete performance that reflects their potential rather than their flaws. Offensively, the Reds are built around a mix of young talent and steady veterans, with Elly De La Cruz serving as the face of their dynamic style of play, blending power, speed, and raw athleticism that can change games instantly. Alongside him, Spencer Steer and Tyler Stephenson have provided crucial production, while other role players have stepped up at times to keep the offense moving. Yet the story of Cincinnati’s bats has often been one of missed opportunities, as their tendency to leave runners stranded in scoring position has held them back in games they otherwise had the chance to win. In this matchup, they will need to be sharp early, as Busch Stadium can be a difficult park in which to mount late rallies, and putting pressure on the Cardinals’ pitching staff early could tilt the game decisively in their favor. On the mound, Brady Singer is expected to get the nod, and while he has not always been flawless, his ability to pitch effectively when commanding his slider and fastball makes him a strong candidate to neutralize the Cardinals’ middle of the order.

Singer’s main weakness has been occasional control lapses that drive up his pitch count and shorten his outings, which in turn exposes a Reds bullpen that has been inconsistent throughout the season. That bullpen will be a focal point in this contest, as Cincinnati has blown too many late leads for comfort, and their ability to secure the back end of a game will likely determine whether they leave St. Louis with a critical win or another costly setback. Defensively, the Reds have shown flashes of excellence, with athletic plays in the infield and outfield saving runs, but they remain vulnerable to mistakes that give opponents extra chances. For a Cardinals team that thrives on momentum at home, those mistakes could easily snowball into trouble for Cincinnati. From a betting perspective, the Reds have been modestly profitable against the spread in road games when their offense clicks, but their uneven bullpen results make them risky for bettors depending on large spreads. The formula for Cincinnati is clear: score early, get at least six solid innings from Singer, and allow their bullpen to work with a cushion rather than in high-leverage, one-run scenarios. If they can do that, the Reds not only have a strong chance to secure this game but also to keep their postseason hopes alive as September grinds toward its conclusion. In every way, this matchup is a test of whether Cincinnati can harness their talent, minimize their weaknesses, and perform like a true playoff-caliber team when it matters most.

The Cincinnati Reds travel to Busch Stadium on September 17, 2025, for their final game in a three-game set against the St. Louis Cardinals, as the Reds fight to stay alive in the NL Wild Card race. With both teams under pressure—Cincinnati needing wins to remain in contention and St. Louis aiming to spoil their rival’s hopes—the matchup should deliver urgency and competitive intensity. Cincinnati vs St. Louis AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Sep 17. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

St. Louis Cardinals MLB Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals enter their September 17, 2025 matchup against the Cincinnati Reds at Busch Stadium playing for pride rather than postseason positioning, but that does not mean this game lacks significance for them, as it represents another chance to frustrate a division rival and demonstrate progress in what has otherwise been a disappointing season. The Cardinals have long been known for their ability to rise to the occasion at home, and even in a rebuilding year they have posted a strong record at Busch Stadium, winning the majority of their recent contests in front of their fans and showing that the environment still gives them a competitive edge. Offensively, the Cardinals are in the midst of transition, but they still have dangerous bats capable of punishing mistakes, with Nolan Arenado’s leadership, Willson Contreras’ clutch hitting, and Alec Burleson’s consistency providing the foundation for their scoring potential. While their lineup has not been as deep or reliable as in years past, they have had games where everything clicks, and if they can sustain rallies rather than relying solely on solo home runs, they can put pressure on Cincinnati’s pitching staff. Their likely starter, Matthew Liberatore, is a young arm still working through growing pains, and while his outings have been uneven, he has shown glimpses of what the Cardinals hope he can become, capable of generating ground balls and keeping opponents off balance when his command is sharp.

His success in this game will be crucial, as St. Louis cannot afford to overtax a bullpen that has been one of the weakest links of their roster, often struggling to hold leads or keep deficits manageable in late innings. The bullpen has cost them multiple close games this season, and its volatility means Liberatore’s ability to work deep into the contest could be the difference between competing and collapsing. Defensively, St. Louis has been better at home, where crowd energy seems to sharpen their focus, but errors remain a lingering issue, with infield miscues and miscommunications in the outfield occasionally gifting runs to opponents. Against a Reds team fighting for the postseason, the Cardinals must play crisp, disciplined baseball and avoid handing away free opportunities, as Cincinnati’s young stars have the ability to exploit every extra chance. From a motivational standpoint, St. Louis has every reason to relish the chance to derail Cincinnati’s playoff pursuit, as spoiling a rival’s postseason hopes provides a spark for players and fans alike. Betting trends show that while they have been underdogs in many matchups, their strong recent home record makes them a viable team to cover spreads when playing in Busch Stadium, and their offensive firepower, though streaky, is enough to threaten even solid opposing starters. For the Cardinals, the path to victory is straightforward: get early production from their bats, give Liberatore run support, play clean defense, and limit exposure to their bullpen until absolutely necessary. If they execute this formula, they can pull off a meaningful win that reinforces their pride, pleases their home crowd, and reminds the division that even in a down season, St. Louis remains a dangerous opponent.

Cincinnati vs. St. Louis Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Reds and Cardinals play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Busch Stadium in Sep rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: I. Herrera over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

Cincinnati vs. St. Louis Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Reds and Cardinals and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Reds team going up against a possibly unhealthy Cardinals team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Cincinnati vs St. Louis picks, computer picks Reds vs Cardinals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/1 SD@CHC UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 SD@CHC UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD UNLOCK THIS PICK 3 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 DET@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 DET@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY GET FREE PICK NOW 0

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Reds Betting Trends

The Reds are entering this game with modest but real pressure, and their performance against the spread (ATS) reflects a somewhat volatile season. According to prediction lines, the Reds have been consistently favored, often priced around -275 in this matchup, suggesting that bookmakers see a solid edge in backing them. However, their recent results have been mixed—they snapped a three-game losing skid with an 11-6 win over St. Louis on September 16 but have still shown offensive inconsistency and pitching concerns in other recent outings. Overall, while they tend to cover when their offense clicks and their starters deliver decent outings, bettors must be cautious of the times when things fall apart in the later innings or runs fail to come when needed.

Cardinals Betting Trends

St. Louis comes into this contest with home-field records that show some strength: in their last 30 games at Busch Stadium, they have posted a 15-6 mark, indicating they perform significantly better at home than on the road. While their overall season record (73-78) places them well out of playoff contention, and their odds in this game open as underdogs, their recent home performance and ability to limit mistakes in Busch Stadium give them some appeal for bettors seeking value. Still, their offensive production has been uneven, and their bullpen has been inconsistent, particularly in tight situations, which tempers the confidence that can be placed in them covering against stronger offensive teams.

Reds vs. Cardinals Matchup Trends

This series has seen back-and-forth results and several close games, and both teams are aware of what’s at stake: the Reds clinging to faint Wild Card hopes, St. Louis looking to play spoiler and salvage some pride. Key players and lineup moves (such as Elly De La Cruz being moved in the batting order, Nolan Arenado returning) may shift momentum. Betting lines have opened with the Reds as clear favorites and a total set around 9 runs, reflecting expectations for some offensive production but also acknowledgement of pitching matchups that could keep the scoring contained. The fact that the Cardinals have dominated many head-to-head matchups against Cincinnati this season adds context—if they can leverage their home strength, they may cover or at least make bettors for the Reds wary.

Cincinnati vs. St. Louis Game Info

Cincinnati vs St. Louis starts on September 17, 2025 at 1:15 PM EST.

Spread: St. Louis +1.5
Moneyline: Cincinnati -117, St. Louis -102
Over/Under: 8.5

Cincinnati: (75-76)  |  St. Louis: (74-78)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: I. Herrera over 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

This series has seen back-and-forth results and several close games, and both teams are aware of what’s at stake: the Reds clinging to faint Wild Card hopes, St. Louis looking to play spoiler and salvage some pride. Key players and lineup moves (such as Elly De La Cruz being moved in the batting order, Nolan Arenado returning) may shift momentum. Betting lines have opened with the Reds as clear favorites and a total set around 9 runs, reflecting expectations for some offensive production but also acknowledgement of pitching matchups that could keep the scoring contained. The fact that the Cardinals have dominated many head-to-head matchups against Cincinnati this season adds context—if they can leverage their home strength, they may cover or at least make bettors for the Reds wary.

CIN trend: The Reds are entering this game with modest but real pressure, and their performance against the spread (ATS) reflects a somewhat volatile season. According to prediction lines, the Reds have been consistently favored, often priced around -275 in this matchup, suggesting that bookmakers see a solid edge in backing them. However, their recent results have been mixed—they snapped a three-game losing skid with an 11-6 win over St. Louis on September 16 but have still shown offensive inconsistency and pitching concerns in other recent outings. Overall, while they tend to cover when their offense clicks and their starters deliver decent outings, bettors must be cautious of the times when things fall apart in the later innings or runs fail to come when needed.

STL trend: St. Louis comes into this contest with home-field records that show some strength: in their last 30 games at Busch Stadium, they have posted a 15-6 mark, indicating they perform significantly better at home than on the road. While their overall season record (73-78) places them well out of playoff contention, and their odds in this game open as underdogs, their recent home performance and ability to limit mistakes in Busch Stadium give them some appeal for bettors seeking value. Still, their offensive production has been uneven, and their bullpen has been inconsistent, particularly in tight situations, which tempers the confidence that can be placed in them covering against stronger offensive teams.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Cincinnati vs. St. Louis Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Cincinnati vs St. Louis trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Cincinnati vs St. Louis Opening Odds

CIN Moneyline: -117
STL Moneyline: -102
CIN Spread: -1.5
STL Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

Cincinnati vs St. Louis Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 2, 2025 3:08PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
10/2/25 3:08PM
Tigers
Guardians
+100
-120
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-215)
O 7 (-105)
U 7 (-115)
Oct 2, 2025 5:08PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
10/2/25 5:08PM
Padres
Cubs
+100
-118
-1.5 (+172)
+1.5 (-210)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Oct 2, 2025 8:08PM EDT
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
10/2/25 8:08PM
Red Sox
Yankees
+136
-162
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+130)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
Oct 4, 2025 2:30PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 2:30PM
Dodgers
Phillies
+110
-130
pk
pk
Oct 4, 2025 5:09PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 5:09PM
Dodgers
Phillies
+108
-126
pk
pk
O 7 (-135)
U 7 (+115)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals on September 17, 2025 at Busch Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS